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roundandround

152 karma · joined January 6, 2023

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roundandround··on What was the impact of Julius Caesar’s murder?
I saw a speech from Gaddafi that he was going to gradually reform Libya.. It is an often repeated lie that institutions are going to magically transform themselves to no longer be shaped by being suck ups to dictators as soon as a dictator wills it.
roundandround··on Anki-fy your life
It would definitely be hard to use Anki for conceptual learning that requires fresh problems to prevent memorizing answers. One could link to an outside site keyword categorizing problems matching specifics, I suppose..

Really though a lack of spaced repetition on practising conceptual problems is just as noticeable as the lack of spaced repetition on factual learning. Very few fields are so perfectly structured that you get practices on their earliest levels by doing later levels and then working in the field, i.e. plenty of mathematicians admit they no longer do arithmetic well.

roundandround··on Ask HN: Namecheap jacked up the price on a domain name, can you explain?
> I'd be very surprised if a big name like Namecheap were doing that today though.

The risks with getting caught doing that intentionally are very high, but preventing any employee with access to lookup information, email addresses, etc, from selling it has been a very hard problem that most large names have admitted to failing at a few times.

roundandround··on What was the impact of Julius Caesar’s murder?
The paper ends with the claim that the conspirators destroyed the republic but as you said it was already dead. Given that countries like the US like to draw parallels to Rome, I think it is an important message that normal people dont accept the late society with a consolidating dictator as a republic. Killing Caesar was a noble act, but it apparently required killing his adoptive son too. We can only learn from history if we listen to it without falling into a Stockholm syndrome like a scholar that specializes in one of the monsters.
roundandround··on Credit Suisse sheds nearly 25%, key backer says no more money
Is it hard to sell half a company you bought for a $1? Seems like more of a psychological problem than a technical one..

I mean sure the whole market could realize your purchase was an absurd liability, but they would still be immune as long as they only own their fraction, so unless the whole market prefers your bankruptcy over a free bet..

roundandround··on Credit Suisse sheds nearly 25%, key backer says no more money
Ah, but you don't have to actually assume liabilities, you can only lose as much as the purchase price.. So buying a company with 10 billion in debt and 10 billion in cash for $1 isn't $1 overpriced. It is an opportunity to take a 10 billion bet with "heads I win, tails I walk away chuckling."
roundandround··on Zuck: Engineers who joined Meta in-person perform better than joined remotely
And hurry to do so! The meta verse will be laid off gradually over the next year.
roundandround··on Long Covid happens in 4% of infections
Chronic Fatigue Syndrome has a similar link to other viruses and fibromyalgia quite possibly does as well. They haven't really made a whole lot of progress on those for decades despite them each affecting a percent or two of the population..

My interest is less in long covid than in whether the medical community is finally going to get itself together on viral induced damage instead of making up funny names for different combinations of damage.

roundandround··on America and China are preparing for a war over Taiwan
I don't really see how it can't spill over. For example, I've been wondering why China's neighbors wouldn't see Taiwan's independence and/or absorption of Chinese naval capability as an opportunity in their territorial waters disputes and I think it's unlikely none of them would become proxies for (or get favorable arms deals from) the US or others interested in containing China.
roundandround··on SVB lobbied the government to relax some Dodd-Frank provisions
I find it kind of insane to have people walking around with a 100 million bank account for their runway in the best cheese grater.

Call me crazy but I think a company with this much financial holdings would normally have a CFO that buys bonds that vest at the right times, and would have cried a tiny tear at getting less than ideal interest rates on them instead of having a bank collapse with all their finances because it wouldn't be competitive at recruiting more clients with zero financial management going forward.

Perhaps decades of no inflation and low interest expectations have left people confused to the fact that when you have millions you are an investment holding company.

roundandround··on SVB Fallout Spreads Around the World as UK Firms Plead for Help
I think they would choose this method to wind it down independent of whether it will ultimately be able to pay out everything. A Bank in the UK being run by the FDIC is probably not what they want.
roundandround··on A Bank of One's Own
It seems to me like too much of the current situation has jurisdictional gaming. We complain that banks no longer want to take the risk of their traditional role in small business loans and have a lot of economic distortion from that.

Silicon Valley apparently had better access to a bank that took risks and SVB seems to be the bank of over half of tech and public health startups..

Other jurisdictions should feel a bit cheated if their regulators didn't help their small business get the most out financing and FDIC bailouts.. Internationally, other countries have to question why they aren't giving some kind of handouts to gain more of the startup scene for occasional crises.

Really a fine mess.

roundandround··on Blind: Meta's layoff rumor March 14-16, cut ~1200 D1-D2-M1, M2 and most M0
I think the larger income hump will diminish greatly but other industries are probably just waking up to the fact that they were thrown into an accelerated automation and digital transformation competition. I really don't understand how that can't be bad for the rest of the labor market though.. I don't really see consumers as infinitely hungry for goods in the long term.
roundandround··on KGB Defector Yuri Bezmenov 1985 Interview – Idealogical Subversion
He was obviously powerless to influence US politics from Canada, but from Russia..
roundandround··on It Turns Out Money Does Buy Happiness
Sure, but a cursory reading of this article stokes the temporary impoverished billionaire who think of future wealth in a way largely interchangeable with religious views on heaven...

It actually seems to say that disvomforts required to earn a lot of money would make you less happy than earning a good amount with less effort and it generally won't make up for more relevant factors in happiness. I.e. an easy tenure would make someone happier than being a law partner earning 4 times more.

roundandround··on Show HN: WeExpire.org – Notes readable only after your death
I don't see what advantage this has over snailmail to themselves?

I think the most likely nefarious thing is the question of intentionally blocking aliveness checks. If the Satoshi heir waited for his keys from this what element would he spend a few million interfering with to get his inheritance early?

roundandround··on It Turns Out Money Does Buy Happiness
Huh? The article basically confirms that small things are worth more happiness than many fold increases in salary. The one silver bullet seems like the cognitive defect being debunked.

I think society has changed a bit in terms of network effects and how much you had compared to a fixed group was more significant to both you and them when the original study was done.

roundandround··on Antitrust Cop Says Big Tech Looks a Lot Like Standard Oil
If they can't break up even one of the FAANG companies they have no chance at Microsoft. If they ever want to take out Microsoft they had better set precedent. Repeatedly banging their head against Microsoft would be a great way to pretend they want reform without ever delivering it.
roundandround··on After seven years of Brexit talks, Europe has emerged as the clear winner
Cheddar is English in terms of name origin so British Cheddar was more popular to import, but there's not much reason to bother sending your average cheddar over a border that requires paperwork.. So Irish Cheddar is the only effect of Brexit that I've noticed for the European side.
roundandround··on After seven years of Brexit talks, Europe has emerged as the clear winner
The drama was really the 4 years talking to some kind of patient in convalescence, and for what? Now the Cheddar is Irish, oh my.
roundandround··on Deploying Kubernetes with Ansible
Imperative isn't really unavoidable, all imperative programs can be expressed as functional declarative programs which is much more natural to something that should be declarative in nature (I don't want to know everything you did to get/maintain your network.)

The problem is that people want to express functions as extensions to declarations in yaml, XML, etc, instead of in a functional language that is heavy on declaration.

roundandround··on Intelligence Suggests Pro-Ukrainian Group Sabotaged Pipelines
This sounds similar to the nonsense that packets from China mean Chinese attackers.. Every country is capable of recruiting people who speak Russian and/or Ukrainian, and many wanted no way back.

If these people are government independent in origin, it still wouldn't surprise me if it later comes out that multiple governments had infiltrators to the group that were the only ones pushing hard enough to make it happen.. I think the FBI realized that some "militant" student groups were almost entirely passive aside from FBI and police sponsored infiltrators.

roundandround··on Texas Is Trying to Scrub Abortion from Its Internet
Yeah.. I would put the Islamic fundamentalists under social conservative they want to resume a system from ~820 AD. AFAIK these kinds of uses of radical are poor metaphors and certainly weren't relevant in the 18th or 19th century.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classical_radicalism

I generally view most of that explanation of the US as propaganda. The founders of the republic were 2nd generation+ congregationalists who were more going through the motions than puritans like their socially conservative forefathers. Shay's rebellion really highlights more about the nature of the actual inhabitants of the young nation, the way they influenced the republic and the fact that they were entirely foreign to Washington. I also don't think many of them could vote until Jackson.

roundandround··on Texas Is Trying to Scrub Abortion from Its Internet
I don't think we are agreeing on terminology.. AFAIK radicals and social conservatives are opposites. One wants changes to match new ideas the other a freeze or return.

The masons and quakers are examples of groups with tolerance that make them compatible with other ideas, mixes, radicalism and a republic. Other groups may coexist in a republic because the republic was designed for compatibility but they are really social conservatives and a super majority of them makes them persecutors instead of persecuted. I.e. people who would impose Sharia law as soon as they got 2/3rds are perfectly fine as a minority in a tolerant republic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_Republicans

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-Masonic_Party

roundandround··on Texas Is Trying to Scrub Abortion from Its Internet
The puritans did not build a republic, the masons did, a bunch of radicals that met with other republic forming radicals in Europe. Social conservatives of their time were deeply concerned about losing the feudal rule that kept society together.

The Republican party was religious radicals who either requested or demanded a new way and fought the status quo slavery loving (social conservative) democrats.

People in current seats have nothing to do with the history of the organizations they are in and if transported to the past would often more welcome in opponent organizations. This is also true of the revolutionary founding fathers and their very different views and make up than the puritans.

All indications are that the puritans could neither write not respect a constitution. Rhode Island was made up of people who wanted freedoms not stifled by that bunch.

roundandround··on Vitamin D supplementation and incident dementia
I think the influence on this study is probably inverted though as supplementation could be based on a recommendation to compensate for lack of outdoor time as opposed to a study that measured levels.
roundandround··on Texas Is Trying to Scrub Abortion from Its Internet
Social conservatives have nothing to do with the republic they just gradually inherited a party with that name.
roundandround··on Tell HN: My son is being bullied for owning an Android phone
I'd recommend against the earn it approach to gain an object that is at the center bullying. People don't like to think of their own kids as possible bullies, but suffering and earning is basic justification to make one a bully towards those who "still don't have one."
roundandround··on Britain’s biggest skills problem is that many firms don’t value them
Looking at Spain verse the UK in their graph. There is a lot of unskilled low paid work in places like Spain (offshore manufacturing) that feeds high paid unskilled work in the UK (brand and simple financial management.)

I think the UK has ceased investing as much in skills because every upskilling in office work or having more workers with the necessary degree is largely net zero competitions between marketing departments that will most likely all be in the UK.

For countries that were not traditionally on top and running the industry consortiums they have a small chance of pulling the income from countries like the UK.. But mostly their workers just end up over skilled for the work available for countries like Spain.

roundandround··on Airlines have a 4-wheeled problem that’s only going to get worse
People with uncertain mobility might not know how long they need to start out in advance and whether they can stand in security lines, etc. Relatives might also pressure them to take a wheelchair out of concern that they miss the flight.

But if you have no connecting flight there's a lot less risk involved in getting off a flight by your own power, particularly when airlines forget wheel chair users.

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