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fshbbdssbbgdd

3,889 karma · joined February 15, 2021

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fshbbdssbbgdd··on IEA: 20% of 2023 new car sales globally were EVs, curbing oil demand
I’m optimistic that with better energy tech we have multiple potential routes (solar+storage, fission, fusion, geothermal) to create energy abundance in the future. It can bring about great human flourishing if we don’t burn or blow up the world first.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Heinz’s sustainable ketchup cap
I agree in principle with specialization, but I don’t think it applies well to this case. Before you throw stuff in the bin, it’s already mostly separated. After it’s in the bin, everything is getting crushed and squashed together before it can reach a plant where it can be picked apart and separated.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Apple to wind down electric car effort after decadelong odyssey
Given the geometry of a wrist, you can comfortably fit a bigger usable display on a square watch face than a round one.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on People Buying Houses with Their Friends
There’s a weird advantage in US tax code for buying a house with your friend. An individual can write off the interest on up to $750k of mortgage. A married couple gets $750k total. Two unmarried people get $750k apiece, and they can use it on the same house. This could be worth like $20k/year depending on your situation.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Losing Trust in Google
Raw GPT is a good tool but there’s a reason it didn’t get 100 million users.

If you made unbiased Gemini and asked it for images of German soldiers it probably wouldn’t output an image at all, and if it did it would probably be porn.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on Losing Trust in Google
If you make a language model which just predicts the next word without trying to shape the output to be “good”, what you get is GPT instead of ChatGPT. You try to ask it a question and it will keep asking more questions (with a similar writing style). Or curse at you, or change the subject. RLHF was the breakthrough that fixed this. We used human feedback to train the model to give “good” output.

Ok, so probably we agree that the product needs to try to be “good”. Cue a million opinions about what “good” is. Whatever comes out is the result of a value judgment, there is no getting around it. Same issue comes up with images from Gemini in this case, or any other generative AI product. You don’t actually want the AI to be unbiased because that output would be hot garbage.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on US judge says FTX can sell its Anthropic shares; FTX invested $500M in 2021
The prices of BTC and ETH dropped by about 15% between Nov 2 when the Coindesk story about FTX balance sheet came out and Nov 11 when FTX went bankrupt. And some others like Solana dropped more.

But you’re right that crypto already had a much bigger crash before that.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on US judge says FTX can sell its Anthropic shares; FTX invested $500M in 2021
Wow. I never followed up on that story after I heard that the payouts would be low. Wonder how long it takes for FTX depositors to get paid out.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on US judge says FTX can sell its Anthropic shares; FTX invested $500M in 2021
It’s looking more like FTX is going repay customers in full, with a cash value computed based on the value of crypto deposits when the company went bankrupt in November 2022. That was a time when the prices of crypto had fallen, and they’ve gone back up.

If FTX has billions of dollars left over after paying depositors, FTX equity holders could end up getting paid too. If that happens, the outcome arguably would be pretty unfair. You’d have a situation where an insolvent FTX effectively managed to crash the crypto market, forcibly cash out all its customers at the low prices, but hold onto the other assets that it bought with customer money.

In effect, capital gains that were earned with the capital of FTX customers are going to go FTX shareholders instead. Same happened with Mt Gox.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on Data will not tell you what to do
When I worked at a company that did a lot of AB testing, we had a lot of people whose main job was to interview users. This was an input in the development process. Then we tested whatever we came up with before releasing it.

I suspect there’s a disconnect here where you are talking about smaller, early stage companies. A lot of the time they don’t have the sample size to do proper AB testing, or the resources to do it properly, and they have less to lose. So shooting from the hip is more likely to be the only reasonable choice.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on The lifespan of large appliances is shrinking
That’s a good start, but it would help to know more about how long cars from different model years last. Those numbers would be consistent with increasing reliability over time, but that’s not the only possible explanation. For example, if there is a cohort of 2000-2010 year cars that keeps running and getting older, while more recent cars are replaced more often, it could result in an increasing average age over time while new cars get less reliable.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on The lifespan of large appliances is shrinking
Is there a good source of data on this? On the one hand, I could believe that newer cars have better engineering which makes many components more reliable. On the other hand, crumple zones and expensive bodywork mean that modern cars are Fabregé eggs that can be easily totaled in minor accidents. And increases in the complexity and scope of what cars do can increase the cost of maintenance and make them go obsolete faster.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on The majority of traffic from X may have been fake during the Super Bowl
It would be interesting to know how well X detects signups with stolen credit cards. If scammers have millions of credit cards from data dumps and make a $8 charge on X, what portion of the victims would even notice? Even if X receives a fraud report and acts decisively to shut down the offending account, it might just be an inconvenience to scammers who have signed up for many more. At scale, fraudsters could be moving a substantial amount of stolen money into X membership fees.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Almost every infrastructure decision I endorse or regret
Giving discounts on the things that are more commodified, but digging in on areas that are harder to define and compare with competitors. And of course, evaluating your sophistication and lock-in to determine if they have to compete at all.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Almost every infrastructure decision I endorse or regret
I have had the experience of an AWS account manager helping me by getting something fixed (working at a big client). But more commonly, I think the account manager’s job at AWS or any cloud or SAAS is to create a reality distortion field and distract you from how much they are charging you.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on California bill would ban all plastic shopping bags at grocery stores
I bought a sturdy arm-carry shopping bag (with multiple sections and some padding), and it really is nice to have. That thing can hold several disposable plastic bags worth of goods, it’s more comfortable to carry, and it’s definitely not going to break. I use it all the time, and it makes me more willing to go shopping on foot.

I can credit California’s current bag policy with this purchase. I felt guilty buying the common reusable plastic bags and throwing them away, but also didn’t like the experience of reusing them. Paper bags break. A solid fabric bag really is a lot better.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on How iTunes Is Changing on PC
Huh, it never occurred to me that you could download episodes on an Apple TV. What’s the use-case? I download shows on my iPad so I can watch them when I’m traveling without internet, but my Apple TV is always plugged in. Intermittent connectivity in the home? Maybe bugs stick around because the feature is rarely used?
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Apple Vision Pro review: magic, until it's not
They don’t need the average consumer to buy it. It’s practically a developer platform. It includes a bunch of parts that have never been manufactured at scale before. Based on rumors, Apple is projected to produce 400k of these and already sold >200k.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Michael Lewis's Blind Side
It’s so easy to say stuff like this in hindsight.

> But there was not one serious and knowledgeable person who took a strong good look at FTX and concluded it was legit.

Sequoia invested in FTX. Are we going to no-true-Scotsman them out?

fshbbdssbbgdd··on Philadelphia Jury Hits Monsanto with $2.25B Roundup Verdict
They didn’t expect to lose these cases. They think the scientific facts are in their favor.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on "If nothing changes, all remaining Nitter instances will go down eventually"
Unless you are working as a journalist, or for some other reason you need to respond immediately to world events, you could just abstain.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Netflix CEO says Apple Vision Pro market is too insignificant to bother with
Are we assuming they developed those for free?
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Apple to EU, Drop Dead
Major reason Apple is mad about this is because it threatens their strategy of taking over the ad market: https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/11/19/apple-secret-digit...

Apple’s only real beef with other companies is when they are making money on iPhones without giving Apple their cut.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on San Francisco Tried to Build a $1.7M Toilet. It's Still Not Done
If we have a $1.7M budget, we could hire people to handle each of those twelve points for $100k a pop. I got dibs on “crisis information”. This toilet is going to have the most informative signage you’ve ever seen.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on The bane of my existence: Supporting both async and sync code in Rust
A common usecase for async is if you are implementing a web service with an API. Suppose your API uses Spotify’s API. Your server can handle many requests at once. It would be nice if all of them can call Spotify’s API at the same time without each holding a thread. Tokio tasks have much lower overhead than OS threads. Your N requests can all await at once and it doesn’t take N threads to do it.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on The bane of my existence: Supporting both async and sync code in Rust
Sorry to pick on this comment in particular, but it being the top voted on the post seems like a good illustration of bikeshedding.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Open-relationship enthusiasts crash mainstream romance apps
I can understand how that would be abusive in some cases. But it doesn’t match what I see. A lot of time people in these relationships engage in more like what straight people call “swinging”, and there may not be any significant age gap. Even when there is an age gap, it usually doesn’t seem abusive to me. A lot of the times the younger partner is more outgoing, is actually the main person coordinating socialization and in that sense has a lot of agency. But there are endless configurations and it is hard to generalize.

When I have seen abuse, it’s usually either someone who is controlling of their (only or primary) partner, or a single person who acts predatory (maybe too creepy to get in any deep relationship). A “third” or fling usually would have much less tying them to the relationship and can more easily cut and run if things aren’t fun.

Then again I don’t want to deny the existence of abuse just because I haven’t seen it, people cover stuff up and it’s good to speak out.

FYI your account is in a semi-banned state. This comment was marked as dead and I could only see it because I have “showdead” setting turned on. I vouched for this specific comment so it might be visible now.

fshbbdssbbgdd··on Open-relationship enthusiasts crash mainstream romance apps
In my experience with the local gay scene, it’s common for stable, long term relationships to be open. Maybe this fits what you said about “tight-knit pro-open communities” but it’s not like we intentionally self-selected to combine poly people together. Maybe it’s some difference in relationship dynamics related to gender expectations.
fshbbdssbbgdd··on US developers can offer non-app store purchasing, Apple still collect commission
That is a pretty common accusation during labor campaigns, that’s why they sing “Which side are you on?”
fshbbdssbbgdd··on Google lays off Bay Area workers, closes Mtn View child care center
I mean, learning materials can toys can’t cost that much, and classmates would just make the savings even better…
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