Michael Lewis's Blind Side
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He has a bias for scrappy little guys vs big guys across his books, but the little guy, on balance, is not always the "good guy".
Often in the type of tales he writes, there is no good guy.. Sometimes it's just a bunch of guys at a poker table and one of them is going to go home with the money. I'd try not to derive any moral lessons from that.
I also do wonder why everyone wants to be told who is good & bad now rather than deciding on their own.
It is also an unrealistic ask that an author get close access to still living characters and then manage to write a book to tell you how bad that person is. They are unlikely to be able to find a subject willing to give them access on another book again.
It is not that his book should have painted a bad guy as an unequivocal bad guy. It is that you cannot trust Lewis' accounting of events and people because of his known extreme bias in the matter; his descriptions of events and emotions at play during them are filtered through a very biased lens.
It can still be an entertaining read and story, it just can't be a trusted one.
The prosecution for Aleynikov's crimes was definitely heavy-handed (and that in itself would have made a good book), but there's really no doubt that he transferred the code out of Goldman, breaking the law while doing so.
It wasn't the only issue with the book. Lewis also didn't seem to understand the dynamics of national best bid and offer, and that if a large market order was submitted, it will not be executed at the original nbbo necessarily because of nefarious activity, but because there are not enough bids or offers at the original nbbo to execute the buy or sell for every order at the original nbbo. So much of the book hinges on a misunderstanding of this idea. There is also no discussion of the fact that spreads and liquidity used to be worse prior to electronic market makers. Instead there's this idea that market makers are competing with institutional investors submitting large orders, when really, they are competing with other market markers/liquidity providers, such as how Goldman Sachs e-trading(where Aleynikov left) would have been competing with Teza Technologies (where Aleynikov was invited to). I think that either Brad Katsuyama, who seems to have fed much of the electronic trading related information to Lewis, was misled himself or was possibly intentionally misleading Lewis.
That product is a differentiated market that makes nbbo latency arb more difficult.
Agreed the big anti-HFT/electronic market making bias is funny since we now have decentralized market makers competing for penny spreads. Versus the alleged "more fair" world we are supposed to yearn for is the pre-RegNMS days of 25cent spreads guaranteed to a guy on the NYSE floor.
Where do people think their cheap/free trading commissions come from (that and PFOF).
Also the idea that large holders of assets should be able to de-risk (or put on risk) without market impact by buying/selling huge lots at the bid/ask is interesting. It's the opposite of defending the little guy. NBBO was put into place to protect small investors more if anything as the first 100 share lot is protected. There is no constitutional right to buy a million dollars of some midcap stock at the ask.
In flash Boys, Lewis asserted:
- Pushing confidential codes to a personal SVN hosting (or sending them to your personal email account) is perfectly fine.
- Deleting .bash_history is a normal practice.
- Also he clearly did not understand how GPL works.
Wes Big Short (or Money Ball) a legit work, or just a fun-to-read story?
The purpose of most books (like this book or by a similar author or topic) is to sell books and entertain. The value to most readers is not knowing the truth but to be engaged and entertained. Similar to movies based on real events (which take liberties with happenings and story telling to make the movie interesting and watchable and profitable).
The gist I got from reading this "book review" is that the author works in "EA" and did not like Lewis' treatment of "EA" in the book.
It's got some strange comments like where he is telling us how FTX had someone running communications with zero experience in that field, then he quotes some programmer with a Twitter feed as a "finance writer".
Or when he mentions getting the opinion of his "Wall Street lawyer" friend and then seeking counsel from his "homeless friend" on apprently the same issue.
Now, that's not Evil with a capital "E", it's just dumb; in fact, criminally dumb because being a dumbass with other people's money (even if it turns out 100% of it can be recovered), is still fraud. SBF belongs in jail. Lewis' book, although not satisfying in the end, actually explained the whole FTX shitshow for me.
As a good complement or even substitute, I highly recommend Zvi Mowshowitz's review[1] of Going Infinite. I have some familiarity with the trading world but virtually none in crypto. The book review is incredibly long but very rich in both micro details and macro perspective. Zvi seems to know what he's talking about as a former Jane Street employee who knew people in the book (including some acquaintance with SBF before he became SBF) and as a crypto trader.
[1]:https://thezvi.substack.com/p/book-review-going-infinite
Book Review: Going Infinite - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38014638 - Oct 2023 (24 comments)
> Many of the reviews that I have read of the book complain that Lewis does not sufficiently explain that Bankman-Fried is Guilty and Bad, Actually, but that is not the book that he wanted to write or the one I want to read. He wanted to understand and explain Bankman-Fried’s psychology and tell a good story. If you want to read a moral condemnation of crypto theft, you can get that anywhere. You go to Michael Lewis for character and story.
Michael Lewis does characters, not subjects.
You see this a lot in coverage of very contentious issues too. I'm purposefully not naming any directly here (I'm thinking of at least 3 varied topics where this is particularly bad), but there are a lot of very complicated, hot-button issues where if you read any article that goes against the 'established' narrative in a nuanced way, there are usually several paragraphs of throat-clearing where the writer feels the need to go "We all know x is important, for reasons 1, 2, and 3".
Exactly this.
> Lewis paints a portrait of Sam as singularly motivated by doing the EV-maximizing thing despite the social and emotional costs inflicted on others. But the real Sam in this story is not taking a hit to his reputation in order to maximize expectancy; he’s carelessly burning expectancy in the process of cultivating a reputation for punishing and humiliating his competition.
The “blind side” is that we don’t get the full illustration of SBF’s character, because it’s filtered through Lewis’s credulous reporting, lack of access to certain key players, and limited attention to the financial details of what was going on. This is particularly disappointing because these are precisely the things that Lewis is known for doing so well.
SBF is both a fraudster and a fraud -- not an altruistic genius.
... badly. This to me is one of the funniest parts of the story. He wasn't even good at it[1][2].
[1]: https://milkyeggs.com/crypto/what-happened-at-alameda-resear...
[2]: https://www.ft.com/content/23ab2258-ce03-4fbb-a9b2-7d9ec6e3d...
The other examples the article points to that SBF has "fried his brain" are not compelling to me either. The author is attempting to explain how SBF could have lost all this money. I think the simplest explanation is that his "intellectual ability" has nothing to do with it, he's just a crook who thought he would get away with it.
Well, not really. If you're one of those: tell us what opinions you have NOW that everyone else doesn't also have. That's the test: what do you see that isn't generally accepted?
What I especially like about this article is, in the "How can we do better?" section he tells you how you can avoid falling in with the conventional wisdom.
Well, I don't know about that. On one side, there were people who were convinced it was a fraud, some of which were very vocal and public about it. On the other side there were people who didn't care, or wanted to believe.
But there was not one serious and knowledgeable person who took a strong good look at FTX and concluded it was legit.
I think that's a tell.
> But there was not one serious and knowledgeable person who took a strong good look at FTX and concluded it was legit.
Sequoia invested in FTX. Are we going to no-true-Scotsman them out?
I had to look that up. I've heard the expression but didn't realize it was that much of a thing.
Exactly. "No one but a chump believed in FTX."
If you were a chump, you keep quiet and hope no one remembers and throws it back at you.
But it was generally accepted at the time that it was all a fraud. You didn't have to be some kind of bold contrarian visionary to see that, you just had to not be a chump. (I don't know what kind of answers you're looking for - Tether is also a fraud? AirBNB was always a scam? But those are just as uninteresting as calling out this crypto nonsense a few years back was)
just the proof that someone's not just practicing Survivor Bias: "Yeah, I knew it all along."
I can dig through some lengthy HN debates about crypto back then. If you were one of the naysayers, congratulations. Plenty of people were not.
Well the OP counters his own speculation (but even if he didn't who knows what really happened):
"(indeed, I was missing the domain knowledge and operations experience required for my role, as I had only ever been a trader)."
What's interesting about this is the tendency for people to assume the reason 'asked questions' as completely true.
What sort of 'further questions' was Lewis supposed to ask sbf? Lewis began work on the book in Spring 2022. The missing Ripple/XRP tokens incident happened around April 2018 [1]. This is not even to mention the fact that the tokens did eventually turn up on their own, so Sam's "80 percent chance" hunch proved entirely correct in retrospect [2].
[1] https://www.google.com/books/edition/Going_Infinite_The_Rise...
[2] https://www.google.com/books/edition/Going_Infinite_The_Rise...
Maybe Michael Lewis got too attached to his subjects and was hoodwinked or maybe he knew it was not all true and went along with them because they made for a good story.
All in all he lost his credibility big time, at least among lay (i.e., outsiders of Wall Street) readers. Later I read somewhere on Twitter that apparently WS folks knew his book to be a BS anyway.
I would not be surprised if it made him more sympathetic to a “young kid” at this point in his life. That sort of thing is soul crushing.
I've never particularly liked SBF even before he imploded, but I don't want him spending the rest of his life in jail for a non-violent crime. I'd rather see him banned from finance and banking and sentenced to a million or so hours of teaching programming and computer science to underserved poor children, or something similarly constructive. He has these amazing skills that could be put work benefitting society, and instead we lock him away so the prison-industrial complex can profit. Such a waste, let's rethink that.
EDIT: Looks like he graduated MIT with a physics degree, so I'd hope so. Then again, maybe we don't want con men teaching kids.
But compared to, say, Jeff Dean, his skills are garbage, tofu-dreg, and devoid of any real craftsmanshift or integrity. Pick your point on the continuum.
But I'd rather have high-skilled conmen like Sam, Michael Milken, etc. answering for their crimes and rehabilitating by helping others and being constructive, than wasting away in jail, and potentially teaching other criminals there, or becoming more criminal themselves.
My guess is they'd exploit the situation for their own gain, even if only subconsciously. SBF was the face of Effective Altruism for a time.
Perhaps they can clean trash off highways or work soup kitchens.
Financial crime at this scale absolutely causes people to die unless you think several billion dollars worth of resources is ineffective at keeping people alive.
The people who engage in fraud at this scale create far more human misery than your average mugger, though I think both should be adequately punished.
There are real mental and physical impact to loss of majority of your wealth, which can lead to homelessness, exhaustion from working more to cover shortfalls, marital strife, abuse, suicide.
Considering this wasn’t just insiders like high net worth investors angel investing, but everyday people, yeah it hurts a lot of people in real ways. Probably a lot more than the Madoff crowd for example.
This is even discussed in the film version of The Big Short.
Not convinced. I lost about $50k to mortgage shennanigans and about $800 to being mugged. Guess which one gives me nightmares years down the line.
Perhaps 800$ fraud on Amazon/Ebay is a more appropriate example.
But as Stalin said, quantity has a quality all its own. When you steal large amounts of money like SBF did it’s different, but that doesn’t make it better.
The latest book about SBF seems easy to fact check because the reporting, data, and primary evidence on the FTX saga has been so comprehensively available to everyone. I have followed the entire FTX saga like a soap opera and I cannot square Lewis' take with the vast evidence it contradicts.
On a side note, as someone very close to the industry, I can say The Big Short was spot on. It simplified things, but that is to be expected for a mass market publication. I hope this means most of his books were equally evidence based, and perhaps the quality has only recently suffered.
As Matt Levin says:
> You go to Michael Lewis for character and story.
It does give you an inside look at being on the ground at FTX in the days before and after the collapse and also spends a big part of the book on time at Jane Street, which fascinated me. Before this, all I knew was OCAML, and not the craziness of modern trading.
The big bet on Trump and the stock market election night 2016 is riveting. That insane idea SBF had, to pay Trump not to run again and talking to his people about it was also entertaining.
It's just not really a book explaining the fraud. It's a number of wild scenes from a strange person's life as it collapses. And yeah, it is probably a bit too sympathetic, but it's not shy about him being a weirdo, and EA people being all a bit strange, and Lewis trying to understand what is going on in this guys head.
> It is also an unrealistic ask that an author get close access to still living characters and then manage to write a book to tell you how bad that person is. They are unlikely to be able to find a subject willing to give them access on another book again.
A hit piece person would never spend months embedded with someone, so wont give a deep picture. A lewis will, but be appropriately stockholmed by the whole thing.
That inside the actors studio guy, he only interviews people about how great they are. You learn a lot, but it has a strong perspective. Others are combative and good at it. Styles shape form.
SBF comes across as a fundamentally uninteresting and uncultured person who is very proud of not having any interests and not giving a shit about other people. Even his parents struggle to tell anything noteworthy or likable about him. Lewis seems to relish the massive challenge of turning him into a protagonist, but the reader doesn’t share in those rewards.
Also, trading stocks for a living is apparently just as boring as it sounds like. The descriptions of what Jane Street does made me feel somehow sorry for these people who are stuck making undiscerning myopic bets for their own sake instead of using their intellect for something productive.
In the end, Lewis tries a shock twist: what if the bankruptcy lawyers are the bad guys after all? It’s unsubstantiated by anything in the book and just comes across as desperation on his part to close the book with something more satisfactory than “it was all a tremendous waste of time and other people’s money.”
But I found the rest of it fascinating. It just wasn't about how SBF was bad. Even this review says the book is interesting and you'll read it one sitting.
A lot of the crazy scenes from Wallstreet that made lewis famous, when he wrote Liars poker are in this one transformed into a different world and that is interesting.
It's like look at absurdity and scale of what's happening here. But this time with nerds and gaming pcs, instead of Wallstreet and suits.
If you don't like narrative nonfiction about finance, thats zoomed in on a specific main character, well, you shouldnt read a Micheal Lewis book.
I must say I'm biased though, as I'm a fan of him as a writer.
The first option doesn't make SBF interesting anymore
But, I also wonder how much of this is Lewis trying to avoid legal culpability. If he knew that the whole thing was a total scam and he didn't warn anyone but is now making millions of dollars of the story, the people who lost money in FTX may want to sue?