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creakingstairs

1,459 karma · joined January 19, 2021

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creakingstairs··on Does Market Timing Work?
1. Their reasoning is arbitrary. They pick and choose factors to justify their analysis.

2. They would be much richer if they could.

creakingstairs··on Does Market Timing Work?
One of my family members is absolutely convinced that they can time the market and it kinda drives me up the wall every time it comes up. They will use all these “techniques” to draw arbitrary lines on the chart to establish a trend in the market while watching the news like a hawk everyday.

Meanwhile I just get on with my day with index funds and get better returns.

creakingstairs··on Tell HN: Enterprises spend 10x more to build no-code solutions than coded ones
It’s learned helplessness. They learned that doing the job faster is not only reward-less but only gets them more work.
creakingstairs··on Show HN: A JavaScript function that looks and behaves like a pipe operator
If you are interested in this kind of things, also have a look at fp-ts and it’s version of pipe and flow. Also comes with various monads to play around with!

[1] https://github.com/gcanti/fp-ts

creakingstairs··on Windows Subsystem for Linux 2.0 release
Does MS have an internal memo or something that directs teams to make versions/names not go up linearly?

E.g. .net framework/core, xbox, windows and now WSL

creakingstairs··on The forced return to the office is the definition of insanity
I know it’s just anecdotal but I really do think mentoring is usually better offline. It doesn’t mean it can’t be done well remotely. But there are way more hurdles in the way.

One of the perks being in the same space is that it is much easier to clear up misunderstandings. Things like body language, facial expressions really do play a huge part in our communication. Especially if people are from different cultures. Also, a lot of juniors are already nervous when they start so having people with friendly body language around helps.

Being in the same space and doing shared activities also helps people gel together. Looking back at my days as a junior and as buddies later, I just don’t think zoom meetings are equal to shared activities like morning coffees and occasional table tennis to blow off steam. I don’t think I would have gotten along with some people if it weren’t for shared experiences in the office.

All this being said, I really do love wfh though. So I often think about how we could get the best of both worlds.

creakingstairs··on In praise of blowing up your life
This kind of sounds like me. My life has been blown up voluntarily and otherwise. These include multiple immigrations, career changes and most recently quitting my well paying job with nothing lined up.

Not all of them worked out. But I don’t think I regret any of them. Though I think this was much easier because I was not married. Nowadays I do have to think about people nearby when I try to blow up my life.

Also, I’ve found myself starting to yearn for some stability after all these years of change. It would be nice to put my roots down and join or cultivate nice communities.

creakingstairs··on Apple Vision
I probably won’t buy Apple Vision for a while but will eagerly follow it. Like the author, I’m mainly excited about using this for work/ productivity.

I’ve tried out working in VR using oculus and immersed. I’ve really liked the experience but the blurry text was a deal breaker. From the reviews so far, that might not be a problem anymore.

creakingstairs··on The work is never just “the work” (2022)
> I especially find it frustrating that many PMs think that the instant a system goes into production, the project is finished and everyone should be putting tools down and walking away.

This mentality and Agile mixed together creates monster technical debts. A team is rushed to create an MVP. Since it’s an MVP, things are skipped, rushed and riddled with edge cases. This is fine if the team can now use the customer feedback and deeper understanding of the domain to iterate and polish the product. Write some documentation, refactor rough edges etc.

But of course, this often doesn’t happen and the team begins sprinting to deliver on yet another “top priority”. After a while, management starts to wonder why doing anything takes forever and devs are leaving.

creakingstairs··on Ask HN: How do you not take criticism of your work personally?
I think I'm usually decent taking feedback but recently I realised I get really annoyed when someone I don't respect gives me feedback. Doubly so if the feedback is bad or nitpicky. It must be ego, plus my belief that one ought to do minimum due dilligence before giving feedback.

I try not to express this annoyance, so other people haven’t picked it up (though I'm sure it shows sometimes). It's something I'm trying to work on as suppressing that annoyance cannot be healthy for me.

creakingstairs··on Modern work requires attention – constant alerts steal it
> losing that green status means HR will be asking you to leave or sending you a box for your equipment by the end of the day

I genuinely never had that fear in any of the places I worked at (or heard of one!). If that is a cause for termination or being written up, I'd probably look for some place else.

> Fake meetings are fine until it is discovered you did a fake meeting

My meetings are titled "focus time". It’s purely there to communicate to other team members why I may be unavailable during those time. If people need me during that time, they just ask me beforehand and I’m happy to oblige.

creakingstairs··on Modern work requires attention – constant alerts steal it
Do you have to keep it green and respond right away? I put a meeting in my calendar as “focus time” and then turn off slack. People are usually quite understanding. It also helps to be regular so people know that you are never available around that time.
creakingstairs··on The $40M bet that made South Korea a food and cultural power
Sales & branding strategy feels pretty related to Hubspot or at least people who might be interested in Hubspot.
creakingstairs··on Poll: Do you get along with your parents?
I wish. I had cut tie with one of them (which was really hard for me with Asian upbringing) but have since reconnected, only to be disappointed again and again. And I gotta tell you, it hurts every time.

I understand and empathise how they came to be like that but I still cannot truly forgive them. I wish I can forgive and be at peace one day.

creakingstairs··on How to sell Elixir again
Yes it is the only thing that really bothers me about Elixir. In my personal projects, I heavily utilise typespecs which makes it somewhat bearable. But in my previous day job that had a high turnover rate (and hence a huge mess) doing any refactoring on the Elixir codebase was a nightmare even with tests.

I found maintaining the Typescript codebase in the same company much easier.

creakingstairs··on Commuter Cars Tango
IIRC you can’t buy cars in Japan unless you have a certificate proving that you have a parking space for it. So owning a car for lots of people in Tokyo is borderline impossible.

If you look at Seoul, with similar density and public transit system but without a similar regulation for car ownership, you’ll find that the rate of car registration dramatically increases.

creakingstairs··on The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom Release
I’ve played both and I’ve also enjoyed Horizon more than BOTW. BOTW’s world felt more organic and I loved that the game encouraged having curiosity and rewarded them (Can I go there? Can I solve this puzzle this way?).

But in the end, I enjoyed Horizon’s tight combat system much more than BOTW.

creakingstairs··on Transcending My Father's Abuse
> The crazy thing about this, is growing up and realizing that not everybody was raised like this.

I just remember going to a friends place and being bewildered at overflowing trust and joy in their normal interactions. At first, I thought it was because I was there as a guest. But turns out they actually enjoyed being with each other. Really opened my eyes up to what a family could be.

creakingstairs··on Error Handling Patterns
looks like more ergonomic/focused version of fp-ts[1] Thanks for sharing!

[1] https://gcanti.github.io/fp-ts/

creakingstairs··on Storage on Vercel
Yes their DX is technically “over complicating basic things to extract money from chump developers” but it lets users just write code and automate away everything else with couple of click.

It limiting your options can be a good thing, people can just ship instead of being stuck in analysis paralysis forever.

I also found it quite nice entry point for newbie developers. I’ve been donating my time to help out new developers, and learning deployment (it isn’t ”basic” for complete newbies) on top of everything can be daunting. Vercel lets them deploy for free and effortlessly so that they can show off what they’ve learned.

That being said, I personally wouldn’t touch Vercel for any serious work either.

creakingstairs··on Chess is booming among teens
In lower Elos, it’s pretty obvious if the other user is cheating, so the platforms seem to detect them pretty well.
creakingstairs··on Use of antibiotics in farming ‘endangering human immune system’
I believe this is partly caused by competition. As I'm sure you are aware, there are gazilion private clinics in one block competiting for business. You could be a sensible doctor and tell the patient with the common cold that it will get better naturally and send them home (or maybe prescribe them some painkillers). But giving them big piles of antibiotics makes the patients more content as they believe it is going to help. And content patients leads to better businesses.

Those small clinics live and die by local ajummas' word of mouth, so anything helps.

e.g.

"I went to Haeng-bok clinic and the doctor told me to just rest up but it just won't go away"

"Aigo, Unnie~ I went to Sa-rang clinic last time I caught a cold - you know the one at that intersection - and the doctor gave me all these pills. The cold was gone the next day!"

creakingstairs··on In China, Germany’s foreign minister does not hold back–and is still welcomed
In short term, China loves "strategic autonomy" because Macron has also suggested that China invading Taiwan should not be EU's business under the principle(apparently he used much stronger words but was censored by his own communications team)

In longer term, (pure speculation) I think China may believe that after a while, China would have so much global influence that even strategically autonomous EU would be reluctant to side with US even for blatantly "unjust" cause.

creakingstairs··on Making friends as an adult is hard (2021)
> Another factor I think is whether you come from a “welcomed” country.

Definitely a factor. My wife is not Asian and she gets way more opportunities than me to make friends in Japan, though it is a double edged sword as being treated differently can get really annoying after a while.

creakingstairs··on In China, Germany’s foreign minister does not hold back–and is still welcomed
"break" has many meanings, but assuming you meant "break up" instead of "destroy":

- China has openly supported Macron's "strategic autonomy" principle which aims to distance EU from USA.

- Ever since Xi got his regime extended, they've been inviting nation leaders to increase their influence. In last 5 months, they've invited Germany, Iran, Spain, France and Brazil.

- They've brokered a peace deal between Iran and Saudi. Which is another loss for US influencer in middle east, threatening the current petrodollar hegemony.

Note that I'm not condemning China. It's just an observation. And honestly, they would be dumb if they didn't do this while US is pissing off their key allies with rate hikes and the IRA Act.

creakingstairs··on Making friends as an adult is hard (2021)
I moved from Korea to NZ. And I’m recently trying out Japan. I think it can be _easier_ to make friends as an immigrant that looks different (as long as you can speak their language) as there will always be people who are interested in different cultures.

Though I have found that it can be quite hard to become close friends but it’s definitely possible.

creakingstairs··on Show HN: Time-tracker that helps me with context switches and documentation
Hmm yeah I can see the appeal of something like that. I just had a look in my local Amazon and saw this study timer with a nice physical button which seems to have "Count up" functionality [1][2]. But it doesn't seem to have a feature to alert you while counting up.

[1] https://www.amazon.co.jp/-/en/dretec-T-580WTDI-Study-Timer-S...

[2] https://youtu.be/Ak_TjtWc8uo?t=294 (enable caption)

creakingstairs··on Show HN: Time-tracker that helps me with context switches and documentation
It's the other way round but I use a time timer[1] to give me a visual indication of how much time is left. I usually put around 40 min & extend by 15~30min if I want to focus more. It doesn't have a big clicky button, but I find physically rotating the dial satisfying.

I've also experimented with iOS timer to stop playing music after the set time is up and that worked well as a non intrusive reminder too.

[1] https://www.timetimer.com/

creakingstairs··on Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
All that but most of all, the fact USD is the world reserve currency is the biggest privilege. Every other countries have to stock up on USD/ have swaps in place and follow US when they raise fed interest rates instead of doing what’s best for the domestic economy.

For example, South Korea’s USD reserves has been sharply going down as they’ve been trying to resist following the recent rate hikes to soften the blow to the economy. This is happening all across the globe.

However, US can do (and seems to be doing) whatever they want.

creakingstairs··on Tracking the Fake GitHub Star Black Market
Closest example I know of is Korean internet. It is almost nigh impossible to get an account in major websites without SSN and a phone number. Despite this, there are still countless bots and scammers that uses hacked or leaked personal data. So I’m not sure if it would be that effective
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