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zachshefska

215 karma · joined February 27, 2014

Currently working on CarEdge.
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zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
Thanks! Six years in the making ... We started as a YouTube channel (me and my dad), and now we are here. So fun. So cool. What a time to be building!
zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
80 character limit on the post title is why I edited it in that way. Thanks for the feedback. Also the article was entirely organic. The journalist saw our article/interview in PYMNTS from last week (as referenced in the Fortune piece) and then wrote this. He interviewed me yesterday. This is a bummer. I have been building this company for six years and am so proud of what we have accomplished. I hope we can get this post back on the front page. It's a tremendous moment for our team and company and I am so excited to get feedback from commenters here on HN.
zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
It is $40 :-) https://caredge.com/ai
zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
How can you say this is an ad? Fortune wrote an article about my company and I posted it here. How is that an ad?
zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
No, this works for customers who are financing the purchase of their vehicle, leasing, or paying cash. The AI Agent negotiates the out-the-door price for the user regardless of payment method and then goes from there.
zachshefska··on AI negotiator successfully haggles down the price of a car thousands of dollars
OP here. I’m not sure I understand your point. The AI Negotiator is only intended for customers who want to buy a car — that’s what we mean by qualified.
zachshefska··on Bill to ban hidden fees in California signed into law
I hope this applies to car dealers too.
zachshefska··on Carvana to cut 1,500 jobs as online auto dealer’s troubles mount
Carvana is destined for acquisition or bankruptcy. They have WAY too much inventory that they overpaid for. Consumer demand has plummeted and new car supply is bouncing back (up 78% year over year). They have too much debt on their books to make the model work. Good thing the CEOs dad cashed out when he did.
zachshefska··on The rise of 'stealerships' and the shady economics of car buying
Disclaimer; I run a popular youtube channel educating consumers on car buying.

Greg did a good job documenting the challenges of buying a car in today's market. Fortunately, we are starting to see a softening in consumer demand which has led to used car prices to begin to drop in some areas and for certain types of vehicles.

We expect that as automakers increase production we'll go away from markups. The timeline for that is tricky since Asian brands (Toyota and Honda especially) are struggling MUCH more than American automakers. MSRPs are rising fast too, so while dealer markups may disappear as demand weakens and supply increases, don't be surprised if you see MSRPs that are 5-10% higher year over year.

Wait times right now for hybrid vehicles are over a year. The push to PHEV and BEV will continue to be delayed due to ridiculous prices. The average transaction price for a new EV last month was north of $66,000. Not affordable.

Great insights in Greg's article. I wish we could have helped him before he embarked on the journey.

zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
Let me be clear; we should move away from Manufacturers SUGGESTED Retail price and go towards Manufacturers Retail Price. Just make it that the price is the price, and then the dealers can become glorified delivery centers/showrooms and service centers.

They'll make tons of gross profit because their cost infrastructure will go down, and OEMs will be happy because they still won't have to deal with customers and can focus on wholesaling cars to their "dealer" network.

The rub is in the finance and insurance products. OEMs all have captive lending arms, and currently dealers make a ton of money ($1,500+ per vehicle retailed) in finance and insurance profit. Navigating that relationship will be interesting as OEMs take on more control of the sales process.

zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
And to be clear, consumers shouldn't have to negotiate for hours to try and get a "fair" price during "normal" market conditions.

The current "markup" phenomenon is the same as the prior experience (pre-pandemic) where OEMs intentionally subsidized the purchase of their vehicles well below MSRP, and savvy customers could negotiate thousands off a car deal. It's mind boggling to me that we allow for such an inefficient market to perpetuate! 100 years of franchise dealerships is enough! Time for business and consumers to wake up and enact change.

zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
Thank you for the kind words. We have so much more work to do! Trying to innovate in this industry is TOUGH. All of the incumbent business models are predicated on information asymmetry. We're having fun changing the way things work and sliding the scale in the consumers favor.
zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
The market is SO inefficient. While you’re right in describing the principles of supply and demand, the reality is that buying a car should be 10x simpler and the price should just be the price. No games, no haggling, no BS add-ons that increase dealer profits. Retail auto is due for a wake up call, and I sense it’s happening right now. You wouldn’t need markups to make extra profit if the cost infrastructure associated with selling cars was lower than it currently is.
zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
You'll enjoy this read: https://joinyaa.com/guides/how-did-car-dealerships-become-so...

The reason car dealers are so powerful is because they influence so many aspects of local government.

zachshefska··on Nonprofit markups.org is exposing the most egregious new car prices
Great point (I’m the Zach Shefska referenced in the article), and have been working in this space to advocate for consumers. Two things:

1) new FTC proposed rules (which are open for public comment!) would ban the practice of “surprise” add-ons at the dealership.

2) a lot of folks that contribute to markups (and other crowdsourced initiatives) go all the way to getting a buyers order and then report those add-ons when they show up then.

If you’re interested in the FTC rules, read here: https://joinyaa.com/guides/ftc-dealer-rules/

zachshefska··on Carmakers feel chip crisis easing
A lot of folks bought used cars at ridiculously high prices (over original MSRP when sold new in some cases). Banks approved them for those loans, and when the market corrects and used values come back in line (ie stop appreciating and depreciate again) those folks will be in severe negative equity positions.
zachshefska··on Carmakers feel chip crisis easing
The ripple effects from the chip shortage will be felt for years … nearly all new cars are already “spoken for” and consumers will still be paying MSRP & MSRP+ for 12-18 months. What happens to used car prices over the coming 2-3 years will be fascinating. So many people will be underwater on their car loans.
zachshefska··on Auto dealer Napleton fined $10M for illegal fees and discrimination
I'm sorry you had that experience. I've helped dozens of people buy cars from them and they are notorious for this. It's a shame, most dealers do this crap. It's ridiculous.
zachshefska··on Auto dealer Napleton fined $10M for illegal fees and discrimination
OP here: I run a popular youtube channel helping people get fair car deals (search YAA). We are building a crowdsourced database of reviews to find dealers who are doing this type of stuff: https://joinyaa.com/car-dealer-reviews/results/
zachshefska··on Car brands that have increased the most and least in the past year
That’s what I get for writing and posting with no editor fixed! Thanks for reading
zachshefska··on Auto industry now expects to lose 10m+ vehicles to the microchip shortage
The number of global vehicle production losses related to the microchip shortage surged by 576,500 vehicles last week, pushing the industry’s amount of projected lost volume past the 10 million mark, according to new AutoForecast Solutions data.

The bulk of vehicles taken off production schedules were in the Asia-Pacific (306,000) and North American (214,000) regions.

China accounted for the majority of Asia-Pacific losses, nearly 194,000 vehicles. About 112,000 vehicles were removed in the rest of Asia.

Honda Motor Co. cut 115,000 vehicles in the U.S., 57,000 in Canada and 19,000 in Mexico. Stellantis had a net loss of 19,500 in North America, while Ford Motor Co. lost 3,300 units in two Canadian plants.

AFS estimates the global industry has lost 8.9 million vehicles from planned production so far, and the potential lost volume is 10.15 million.

Last week, AlixPartners raised its estimate of lost auto industry revenue to $210 billion, up substantially from its May forecast of $110 billion. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that the Biden administration is considering invoking a Cold War-era national security law to force companies in the supply chain to provide information on inventory and sales of chips.

zachshefska··on Volkswagen says chip crisis won’t ease until second half of 2022
What we've seen over the past few months with rising car prices and even worse customer experiences at dealerships will continue even when the chip shortage is over. From the article:

When semiconductor shortages eventually ease, Volkswagen plans to keep fewer cars on dealer lots, because it has proved to be more profitable for manufacturers and dealers, Keogh said.

“Going back to the days of having 100 to 120 days’ supply is not going to happen,” he said. “Now, people have 30 to 40 days’ supply and it’s working quite fine. Somewhere in that 40- to 50-day camp would be a beautiful thing.”

zachshefska··on The latest numbers on the microchip shortage: Worst-case estimate grows worse
PDF version: https://joinyaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/The-latest-nu...
zachshefska··on Miss a payment? Good luck moving that car (2014)
Yes! The current car buying process takes advantage of the consumer. This is entirely why I started working on https://yourautoadvocate.com/ a year ago.
zachshefska··on BMW fined $18M for providing inaccurate retail sales information to investors
Exactly. The fraud is on the part of BMW, but also on the SEC for "slapping the wrists" of the OEMs, and not providing serious repercussions for this behavior.
zachshefska··on I Quit My Job. Here’s How I Planned the Start as an Entrepreneur
I feel like this may be relevant: https://shefska.com/blog/i-quit-my-job

I documented my decision making process leading up to leaving the firm I was COO at. I was 24, and making $200k per year. I still knew entrepreneurship was the right decision. So glad I made the leap!

zachshefska··on Fear of an impending car-price collapse grips auto industry
I'd caution against the notion that dealers make much more money off of selling used cars than new cars... At the end of the day car dealers make their money from the Service department, not from sales: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B41twMsMW-Q
zachshefska··on Fear of an impending car-price collapse grips auto industry
A lot of manufacturers have already put programs into place that are eerily similar to what they did during the Great Recession: https://yourautoadvocate.com/guides/coronavirus-car-deals/
zachshefska··on What impact has Coronavirus had on your business?
Amidst the current Coronavirus crisis, my team and I are developing a simple website where business owners and CEOs share what impact Coronavirus is having on their organization. So far we've secured responses from 72 business and nonprofit leaders. Once we have a few more we will go live with a website, and share these stories with the community at large.

Our goal is to create a resource for how small and medium size business and nonprofit leaders are adapting their organization's as a result of Coronavirus. If you have any questions or thoughts on how we can make this most valuable, please let me know.

zachshefska··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (May 2017)
MarketSmart | Full Stack Developer | College Park, MD | ONSITE, Full-time, https://imarketsmart.com/

MarketSmart is like HubSpot, SurveyMonkey and Tableau mixed together and specially designed for nonprofits to help their fundraisers zero-in on the wealthiest and most passionate prospective donors.

There’s a start-up vibe here but we are profitable and our growth is stable (+32% in 2016, +25% in 2015 and this year we are aiming to grow by 50%+). There are 1.5 million nonprofits in the United States alone. So, with fewer than 200 customers spending an average of about $25,000/year each, there is lots of room for expansion. We are well funded and already have many of the most recognized charities around the world as clients (in four countries).

We are looking for someone with technical chops and leadership abilities; someone who enjoys collaborating and teaching others, is hungry, eager to grow and wants to develop products that will make the world a better place.

Technical qualifications:

  -Experience developing scalable and high-performing Python web applications
  -Flask (or similar experience with other Python web frameworks) for rapidly developing web applications
  -Experience with REST based APIs consumption and creation
  -Strong database skills with MySQL, PostgreSQL, etc.
  -Deep commitment to test-driven development
  -Experience working with HTML5, CSS3, JavaScript, and jQuery
  -Experience working with JavaScript framework AngularJS
  -Familiarity with Amazon Web Services
  -Experience with container services like Docker
Our hiring process is a bit unique. If you’re interested in this position, please fill our our short survey here: https://imarketsmart.com/careers/open-positions/survey/ or reach out to me via email - zshefska (at) imarketsmart.com.

After completing the survey we’ll want to set up a phone call. After that, if all goes well we’ll most likely ask you to come in and meet our team.

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