zach

The fact that it has no clearly discernible purpose is evidence for it being something to be enjoyed for aesthetics, spiritual purposes, or, most likely I think, entertainment. Attach some string and it is a durable, highly portable puzzle and even two-player game: https://tinkerings.org/2020/06/17/roman-dodecahedrons-part-i...

The DAK Industries Catalog is a wild masterpiece of copywriting. One carefully-curated product per page, with no table of specifications or even a price box, just densely information-packed, quirky, well-paced, clever conversational descriptions of each item. Every word is the product of Drew A. Kaplan (whose initials provide DAK its name), a kind of blog in its own time. Cabel Sasser recently wrote a definitive tribute that provides many more details: https://cabel.com/2023/11/06/dak-and-the-golden-age-of-gadge...

For a still-contemporary comparison, Trader Joe’s still publishes a similar (but more condensed and less personal) story-per-item format catalog for its grocery offerings in its Fearless Flyer, which you can find at https://www.traderjoes.com/home/ff

Choplifters of the world unite and take over

I agree, robotaxis do not belong in LA, at least culturally.

The collective suffering of working-class commuters ascending and descending the income gradient on packed freeways is the thing that powers LA, like children’s screams powered the city in Monsters, Inc. Robotaxis can never replace that.

I was not as aware of all the drama that happened before I got there (August 1999) except for reading Stormy Weather* and hearing the weird twice-daily all-office pages for Todd Porter that made me wonder if he was holed up somewhere.

From what I learned about it since that time, the details John shares in the book are definitely much more significant factors in why things happened why they did. And if anyone needed to learn what the words “vertical slice” meant, it was the DK production team. Programming the sidekicks, a definitional feature, was left until close to the end of the project, with disappointing results.

So the complaints about how hard staffing was and how people didn’t want to come to Dallas were straight from John’s mouth, but I think it had a lot to do with the state of the project and Ion. Steve Ash (RIP), our fourth lead programmer, was just about ready to return to California where he would end up helping to start Double Fine, so that situation was on his mind (speaking to me as a California fly-in AI programmer).

But as the 1300x960 arrow story typified, experienced developers were hard to find as team sizes were doubling from 20 to 40 throughout the industry. At the same time, Daikatana was being roasted constantly on Old Man Murray, Something Awful and various messageboards, and Half-Life made Daikatana’s story and cinematic ambitions seem less impressive. So by 1999, it’s fair to say Ion Storm was a hard sell as a place to work for a lot more reasons than the Dallas area...

* - https://www.dallasobserver.com/news/stormy-weather-6427649

If you’re interested, I worked for a short time on Daikanana and have some thoughts on this topic, some of which match up to themes in John’s book: https://www.cracked.com/personal-experiences-1596-5-things-w...

To make this more HN-relevant, I will say that the whole point of Ion Storm was supposed to be unleashing Romero’s game direction, but the business partners who were supposed to give him that space instead provided another level of distraction.

John worked insanely hard and doesn’t blame others for what he’s responsible for, but with all the business chaos at Ion which he dealt with personally, he just could not be on top of everything and that’s the major reason why DK was not the epic game it could have been. That’s the part that he doesn’t want to say, but to me it’s clear.

It’s a good example of why a startup needs its product visionary highly focused at the most critical times. As a rough approximation, every night John went to bed thinking about Ion’s latest issues instead of thinking about Daikatana was a lost chance to make the game 2% better. That adds up.

I noticed that Evan O’Dorney’s generals was chaired by Bhargava and this question was asked:

  What is Brauer's theorem?
    [I had no idea and they moved on]

He clearly should have read Bhargava’s generals, where Andrew Wiles asks Bhargava the same question!

Very much so — this was looking at graduation, so even its most recent data from 2015 represented students who applied to college no later than spring of 2011.

Since then, computer science has certainly been growing: “The number of students nationwide seeking four-year degrees in computer and information sciences and related fields shot up 34 percent from 2017 to 2022, to about 573,000, according to the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.” https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2023/05/19/college-...

Even at that rate, colleges cannot meet demand and CS majors are difficult to be admitted to even for the most competitive college applicants: https://www.geekwire.com/2022/it-is-not-acceptable-uw-comput...

The major is so sought-after that as of last year, UIUC has closed computer science for transfer from other majors: https://cs.illinois.edu/admissions/undergraduate/transfer-st...

Hey, Matthew. I have some bad news: I can’t read this article without a Medium account. This is probably going to be fatal to its hopes of being widely read via HN.

One of the most memorable moments of my career was when I joined a project and, the very first day, had the equivalent of a “showrunner” sit me and another engineer down and pitch the project to us.

It was mostly the same pitch that the showrunner gave to get the green light for the project, and it was crackling with energy, excitement and potential. It was magical.

So many other times, I was kind of tossed into a team and had to piece together what we were making and even why and how. This time, though, I went from knowing almost nothing about this project to having a clear view of where we wanted to go and being thrilled to be on this journey.

Speaking of which, I can’t resist sharing a fantastic metaphor of a creative project as a journey from Pixar director Andrew Stanton (the following are all his words):

The hardest thing about directing an animated movie is keeping yourself excited about it. It's hard enough to make the crew excited about it, but keeping yourself excited about it -- trying to remind yourself why you wanted to do it. Because it's all about the details once you really start making the movie.

It's no different than building a house, or, building a really extravagant mansion. There's a million details that you have to spend more time with after the bigger ideas of where the rooms are going to go and how it's going to be structured, and it can get you kind of bogged down.

Joe Ranft used to have this great expression that there's always a point during the making of a movie where there's sort of the Columbus where-is-the-land moment, where everybody on the boat is going "You promised us the land. Where's the land? We're not seeing it!" And people get bogged down in all the minor problems or the major problems that won't go away, and it's all justified -- it's all legitimate to have that response.

So, for me, to prevent that is to get really, really picky about what story you're going to tell up front. And this is my opinion, and it's not a rule. But if I have an idea that I kinda like, then I don't want to do it. If I have an idea that affects every fiber of my being, like "I want to see that movie made whether I make it or not" -- it's like that idea has to get on the screen -- that's a real good quality to start with. Because it's going to get attacked for the next four years. And there's going to be, sometimes, weeks or months where nothing seems to be going right.

[...] It's like looking for oil or something -- it's like "where can I find something that has enough fuel that's going to keep me going for years?" Because there's going to large stretches of time where nothing is working, nobody's happy, everybody thinks that the sky is going to fall, and what's going to get me out of bed is just because that idea still has to be on the screen.

So I want that when I'm going to go into battle. Because it's going to be battle. So if I don't have that going in, then I won't go into it -- I won't make that movie.

When I started a real estate startup, it was because I had gotten the wall version of the Thomas Bros. map — of course! — and plotted LA’s median home prices, crime and school stats.

My idea was, wow, wouldn’t it be great to give other people this kind of expansive knowledge about Los Angeles? If they could only understand what I see on this map!

But of course, it’s not necessary to understand the entirety of a map if you have a tool that zeroes in on what you really want. Google doesn’t exist for you to understand the whole web, but to mine it precisely. Finding a home is hard to do the same way, but giving people a zeitgeist is always inferior to giving them a tool that lets them understand the least about something. It’s a hard lesson for an infovore to learn, I’ll say that.

So, of course, now LA drivers know too much, while they themselves know very little. In the 2000s there were “hidden shortcuts” and alternate routes that were risky. Now, the risk is hedged and nothing is hidden. It is a marketplace of nearly perfect information, where saving a minute of someone’s life in traffic is treated with the respect it actually deserves.

Yet now the big problem is that people have locked in their commute route years ago, and it gets slower and slower with no escape. They drive from their far-away apartment, guided by synthesized voices, past the landed aristocracy of Los Angeles with the favor of Prop. 13 whose lawn signs chide land-use refugees to drive like their non-existent kids lived there.

Ultimately, the era of broad knowledge was also an era of choice. Both are leaving us at the same velocity. There is little need for a giant book of colleges when you can’t get into or afford the ones you’re interested in. Who cares about a directory of reviewed doctors when your crummy insurance will not let you see any of the ones you would choose? The time of the Thomas Bros. map was before the closing of the urban frontier. Now, you just take the only thing on the shelf.

Ken Nordine also lent his unique narrative stylings to a game from the LaserDisc era of arcade video games, in 1983.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FKyWNEGh_yk&t=30s

It's hard to describe exactly, but the technological "rules" about what experiences a video game could provide were not at all clear at that time, and there was still a mystique about the potential of every new video game.

Cube Quest had cutting-edge computer-generated animation (on video) and vector graphics, but to have Ken Nordine's amazing narration specifically recorded for the game was a new level in game production.

Ultimately, the spatial world inside the game (a tube shooter) was disappointing after all of the very cool presentation it was wrapped in. But before you went to wait in line for Atari's Star Wars, you would want to stick around again for the introduction.

NB: The on-screen instructions for Cube Quest may be the first documented use of the phrase "game play" for a video game.

Sure; like the song says, the village of Motunui is all you need.

But the "render just one frame" just means that package is a cut-down version of the "Animation" package which lets you render the entire scene while dispensing with the animation entirely.

Right, score inflation alongside grade inflation. The administrators of the GMAT have an answer to that: https://www.gmac.com/why-gmac/gmac-news/gmnews/2017/july-201...

It says that it doesn't explain the "conundrum" of increased higher-end scores. But it definitely addresses that it's very unlikely the test has gotten easier, since average scores have remained stable, as they have for the PSAT and ACT.

> "Academic researchers say that uptick is a sign of grade inflation, not of smarter students."

I don't think this is right. There is good evidence that the highest percentiles of students (the ones populating the competitive colleges mentioned) are indeed smarter, because they have standardized test scores to match.

First off, the bar for a PSAT score that gets National Merit recognition has risen significantly for most students in recent years. More graphically though, the number of students who get a 36 on the ACT goes back a while and is a good representation of the upper score band:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ACT_(test)#Highest_score

And indeed at the graduate level, GMAT scores at the top business schools are rising steadily:

https://www.usnews.com/education/best-graduate-schools/top-b...

So instead of the positive, hopeful story "our best students are becoming even more capable, year after year," we get a story like this shaming colleges and universities for "grade inflation" instead. Disappointing.

Productivity has skyrocketed since the 1970s in the durable-goods sector, but not so much in the rest of the economy: http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/2011/04/tfp-and-great-sta...

Interesting. It would be similar to this concept in American sports, where a team like the New York Yankees (the San Francisco housing market of baseball) can keep their economic advantage but has to pay a tax on it, the proceeds going to less-profligate teams so they can remain somewhat competitive:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luxury_tax_(sports)

I guess the real difficulty would be measuring how high San Francisco's housing-supply border wall is.

Seems trivial, but I have met someone whose ardent hobby was programming go-playing programs. With the creation of AlphaGo Zero, one could say all the clever code ever written by humans for the purpose of playing go is obsolete.

More relevantly, I would be surprised if the shift to AI techniques in fraud detection at places like PayPal is not already having an impact on the career paths of the engineers that were tasked with maintaining and tuning their pre-ML fraud system. At one point the top engineers of the original heuristic system could have been considered their most valuable non-management employees at the company. I'm sure they're not out on the streets or anything, but I also assume the next person to take their job will not be nearly as valued.

Also, ML will impact programmer demand in subtle ways. A lot of programming is refactoring, and there is reason to believe we can refactor code, especially in certain languages, automatically to make it more aesthetic. Realistically, that seems likely to decrease demand for programmer hours. Or an ML system that can run over someone's GitHub account or repo may be the new resume screen, and if one scores badly on it that may limit the demand for them personally.

Finally, I have to think that the overall march of software towards more complex integrated systems is already a major cause of the dearth of entry-level programming positions, and ML will accelerate that trend.

Looking at the trend here, you can see why many business forecasters and economists have predicted that advances in artificial intelligence will create huge new returns to capital. That future is worth reflecting on because it suggests a fundamental change of labor-capital dymamics.

Take startups. Right now, many startups can compete on the same basis to hire talent as huge companies. But if companies with huge capital reserves can put their cash directly to work to train AI models, startups will be hard-pressed to compete with "smarter" products. Specialization will not even be much help.

Looking at Beating the Averages (http://www.paulgraham.com/avg.html), PG enthused that, since established companies are so behind the curve on software development technology, there is always a chance for higher-productivity techniques like more productive languages to give smaller teams a real chance at a huge market. Of course, that this was in the era when Google was not creating new programming languages and there were no Facebook to widely deploy OCaml and Haskell. And now, AI looks to make the averages even harder to beat.

Even today, if you round up the smartest members of a CS grad class, it is going to be quite difficult to directly compete with a machine learning model with access to huge amounts of data and computing resources. Looking further forwards, if machine learning is able to provide "good enough" alternatives to most human-created software, the software startup narrative — that a few talented and determined people can beat billions in resources — may not even be so relevant anymore.

Indeed, Thalmic Labs (YC W13) had a article about the Myo nearly five years ago in the same publication:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/forearm-gestures-...

Wow, surprised to see “One Million Jobs” still here, from back when Uber was widely praised, and even so it encountered rampant skepticism[1]. Especially curious to see it on the same list as the “Future of Work” which implicitly contradicts its premise.

But hey, maybe there have been some compelling pitches for it. Does anyone have an idea for a One Million Jobs startup that isn’t another transportation company?

[1] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7978163

Sounds like a task that had better have a good software-only fallback, because not many people are going to have a light sensor. And if the software-only implementation works well enough, why would they buy one?

Just going off of an NYT article from last year about how Amish communities, and especially those who live among farm animals (what I, at least, think of as the "most Amish" lifestyle), have really healthy gut microbiomes:

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/04/opinion/health-secrets-of...

Wow. We thought the Amish were just getting lots of healthy exercise, but it turns out they’re the genetic Knights Templar, guarding a secret source of life for hundreds of years. Of course, their lifestyle probably maintains the healthiest gut flora around as well.

Data entry has always been a strongly female occupation. Even sixty years later, data entry workers were 92% female: http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1987-08-02/news/870226065...

It seems concerning that the de-emphasis of data entry in programming in the 1970s and 1980s may have caused the loss of entry-level opportunities for women and help lead to our field's gender imbalance.

I have good news: if we get smarter people, it seems that we may get better ethics too.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID2741266_cod...

Just yesterday I was looking up how to recommend someone for a MacArthur grant specifically for the Adams brothers. Sadly, the nomination committee is anonymous and does not accept recommendations. It's a shame because this seems like the ideal case for their grant.

The shortcomings of this noxious but common "prove you're a genius by your ROI" attitude is exactly why Y Combinator has been as successful as it has been.

There is no mystery here. PG, JL, TLB and RTM obviously thought highly of many people when entering YC, even more highly when they got to see them up close, and even more so as they worked closely with them. They see their value. And that's why Sam Altman is the CEO of YC.

Believe it or not, the YC partners and leadership are actually better judges of ability than the market. It could never work otherwise.

By "They tend to publish academic papers" you mean you used an "academic paper" template and uploaded it to your website.

So you could call this exact sort of profile a "Write Around the Murray"? http://www.writearoundthemurray.org.au/