Daniel Gross of Apple leaves to become Y Combinator’s newest partner
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
And, on the one hand, it certainly makes sense. All of these people have been through the YC process and used it to achieve a measure of success. Also, the Drew Houston's of the world are generally available to be partners precisely because of their success (they have companies to run, after all).
On the other hand, it can seem a little incestuous, and that's certainly something to guard against given the nature of tech in general. Too often it seems like organizations become victims of their own success precisely through this sort of "inbreeding".
*: "less successful" meant very charitably as they're only less successful when compared to i.e. Dropbox and are certainly more successful than most YC founders, let alone all founders.
This is definitely a concern with organizations like Teach for America, where they are selecting the students with the best grades to teach at schools and eventually be responsible for creating school policy. This sort of selection has the potential to have a huge negative impact on students that are already being poorly served by the system.
With YC it's less of an issue, since it would be hurting YC itself more than the entrepreneurs. E.g. if YC is funding bad startups then it's going to hurt their returns, but if YC doesn't fund your specific startup then it's not going to prevent you from going out and being successful.
I have no doubt that Daniel is going to do an awesome job as partner. But regardless, let's not forget that it's at least 10x if not 100x harder to be a good VC than a good entrepreneur, so don't go too hard on YC. :-)
Why do you say that?
Whereas for a VC, in order to be successful you really have to invest in one of the ten unicorns that gets created every year. But that's not the bad part, the bad part is that 9 of those 10 are probably going to raise their series A from the same firm (Sequoia). Which means that you either need to invest before there is any evidence of traction and gamble on getting super lucky, or else first spend decades building up your reputation to the point where the biggest startups will consistently let you into their rounds as additional capital.
When investors all talk about how much better it is to be an entrepreneur they're not just blowing smoke up your ass. There is way more capital than there are good startups, and it's a brutally efficient market where the odds are very much not in their favor. YC is consistently taking a good percentage of the best seed-stage startups that exist, and think about how much everyone complains about how shitty they all are every six months.
That's only a small percentage of investors who have basically already won though. Right now there is a local startup accelerator for pretty much every city worldwide with more than 250k residents, plus at least one for every major college town (e.g. Madison or Ithaca). So there are easily 500+ total, maybe even a couple thousand at this point depending on what you count. The vast majority of those have made dozens of investments without even a single major exit.
Most of the folks drawing a salary are getting paid far less than you'd make as a decent developer, and many aren't even getting paid at all. The folks on 20-minute VC talking about how they got started after making a few million as hobby investors are about as representative of the average investor's experience as Mark Zuckerberg is of the average junior PHP developer's experience.
I disagree. You're assuming that every startup gets funded. I think this is wrong. Just because there are lots of terrible startups that get funding, doesn't mean there aren't great startups that never get funded. I'm sure you're familiar with the story of how AirBnB wouldn't exist if it weren't for Y Combinator. Or how Y Combinator stopped operating out of Boston because DropBox couldn't get funded there.
I understand why VC is the way it is, and I think it's a big problem (unless you're Sequoia). Everybody is focused on derisking, which makes sense. But most take it too far, and look for external signalling and develop a herdlike mentality. There is absolutely an opportunity for investors to take on bigger risks with bigger upsides - that is part of Peter Thiel's strategy. And I think Marc Andreessen largely made a16z into what it is today by doing one thing extremely well - thinking for himself.
The rules for startup investing are very different for hardware than they are for software. And the world is looking for the next Apple. Who is going to fund it? I'll bet good money it's not Sequoia. I also bet Sequoia won't invest in the next big energy company, or the next big space company, or a company that wins a sizable market for self-driving cars. There are plenty of opportunities for a new VC to make money, you just need to think outside of the box.
Edit: Just wanted to add I think you make a lot of good points, but I think there is an opportunity for more great VCs to exist.
He then becomes CEO of YC. But YC is already a well established and successful outfit at that point so there is hardly any risk involved. The chief requirement is just to not screw up a good thing. So far he has managed to do that.
Along the way he makes many more millions because as a YC insider he gets to invest at the earliest stage for the best looking start-ups.
I have nothing against the man and I do not begrudge him his millions but lets stop thinking he is a genius. He is an average entrepreneur that has had an amazing slice of luck by being in on YC at its start and making the most of it. I'm sure he is a smart, hard working and a nice bloke. But he is not a genius.
There is no mystery here. PG, JL, TLB and RTM obviously thought highly of many people when entering YC, even more highly when they got to see them up close, and even more so as they worked closely with them. They see their value. And that's why Sam Altman is the CEO of YC.
Believe it or not, the YC partners and leadership are actually better judges of ability than the market. It could never work otherwise.
Not quite. Many of the best startups choose to apply to YC because of this perception that YC is so good. Startups are not like stocks, investing in them is not something you can just click a button to do. So regular 'beat the market' reasoning doesn't apply.
Once a place is considered a great place to take good ideas, a relatively stupid person can pick between them pretty easily and get a good outcome. Because so many good companies think to apply to YC, YC has a pretty good success rate, thus perpetuating the idea that YC is so good.
Doesnt match
> It was sold years later for less than the money the investors had put into it.
I have no opinion on his brilliance, just pointing out there's no mismatch.
And how would you measure that?
I'd extend this observation to 99% of founders and CEOs.
I think Sam went way beyond that and took big steps with things like open ai
> a YC insider he gets to invest at the earliest stage for the best looking start-ups
Sam was investing himself before joining YC as CEO. I can find only https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/hydrazine-capital/in... but there might be some great investments missing from there.
Disclosure: YC founder and fan of Sam's work as CEO
I don't know him personally but Paul Graham does and thinks him exceptional so in absence of other info I'll trust take his word - http://paulgraham.com/5founders.html
This attitude is difficult to keep as you get older and you learn about reality.
Obviously when times are good, you want to be lead by optimists who will take bigger risks.
First, someone they've had occasion to judge in depth. Alumni are that. A modest exit and the path to it may show competence, and YC is in a good spot to judge it.
Second, someone who's lived through both sunny and rainy days at a actual startup. YC participants definitely are startups, and a bad or moderate exit indicates that someone has felt difficult times.
Third, people who've just folded their startup or executed a modest exit may be on the market.
AFAICT people like Sam Altman ought to comprise a fairly large pool of attractive and suitable candidates.
Guy 1: Jesus Christ what a red flag at Apple, should we be worried?
Guy 2: Apple makes a superbillion dollars therefore concern is impossible.
It's very weird to see over and over. It's like the way pro-life and pro-choice people talk past each other in their reasoning.
I know if my company lost two important people in one week would be very significant.
[1] https://lists.swift.org/pipermail/swift-evolution/Week-of-Mo...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-Tech_Employee_Antitrust_L...
a lot of companies have non-solications in place to try and prevent this kind of behavior
If you know of other companies engaging in backroom nonsolicitation agreements with each other, the responsible thing to do for your fellow STEM workers is to call the Department of Justice Antitrust Division and let them know that the Apple/Google/etc. settlement didn't achieve its intended effect.
In practice, what most big companies do is they ask incoming employees for the names and personal contact info (and only that) of good employees that they have worked with in the past, and then pass that info on to HR, for a corporate recruiter to make the initial contact. Has the same effect, but no contracts are broken, since the corporation does all the soliciting.
(just read the 2nd paragraph. the rest of the article makes the rather obvious point that, if you solicit based on confidential company information, 16600 won't save you.)
[1] http://www.pashalaw.com/legally-poaching-employees-company-a...
[2] http://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/understanding-nonsoli...
IANAL but I did some research on this and to the best of my understanding these are perfectly legal and enforceable in California.
Gross first found his way to Apple after Cue, formally called Greplin,
was acquired by the company for $40 million back in 2013 for its
predictive search capabilities. After spending the last three years in
Cupertino, Gross was ready to get back to his entrepreneurial roots.
It's possible that agreement during that acquisition Gross has a 3 year vesting period and it's not very surprising that some founders leave after certain stock vesting events. This is purely my speculation but it's possible. And the timing of it might just be a coincidence.Questioning a person's sincerity is unproductive and usually unnecessary. It makes discussions needlessly personal and unpleasant.
That was exactly what I meant to say. I felt that he was making presenting a positive spin on a tech company he likes.
Anyone that spins a story that they know they are spinning are being "disingenuous" to themselves.
So what your saying is Hacker News isn't interesting when two biggish names leave a company for other companies? Some of us think it is significant. The reply was someone talking about my disuse of an english word. I replied that was exactly what I intended to use.
I can't seem to figure out if your defending another person or attacking me or both/neither.
You might be surprised at who can leave without ultimately causing a problem.
Individuals with experience in specialized areas and in leading in those areas can make a large impact in any company (their own or otherwise). How can you assume that losing individuals making a large impact wouldn't have an impact itself?
I'd be surprised to learn that this was a strategic blow to Apple.
- Missing deadlines of product realeases.
- Seriously getting product design wrong and missing what users want. See Apple Watch, See iPhone 7, See MacBook Pro.
- Tim Cook being passive and an operations guy with no founder vision or drive.
- Failure to acquire new and innovate companies, instead doubling down on "strange" investments such as Didi Chuxing, and Softbank (both 1 billion).
I've been a huge Apple supporter and "fanboy", but the signs are starting to really add up. Soon enough the finance guys will start to see the patterns as well and there may be a significant correction.
Acquiring innovative companies can be a good sign for innovative buyers. (Cisco was a machine at adding to it's product lines) For non-innovative companies, it's a death knell.
It seems for the most part that these are the most common issues: it isn't a phone replacement (no cellular connectivity) and the battery life is terrible.
For me as a Watch owner the battery life could be better but I don't want or have a need for it to have a cellular connection.
Just curious about how the product design of the watch is seriously wrong (same with the iPhone 7 other than it lacking a headphone jack).
- Apple has missed plenty of ship dates in the past; I refer you to the Saga Of The White iPhone.
- The Watch is selling well (dominating its category), iPhone 7 selling well (same), new MacBook is too early to tell.
- No drive? I wonder how well-informed you are if you think Tim Cook has no drive. He's not a product guy but contrary to popular belief, a CEO does not necessarily need to be.
- FoundationDB? Tuplejump? Turi?
> The Watch is selling well (dominating its category), iPhone 7 selling well (same), new MacBook is too early to tell.
Apple Watch revenue barely shows up on their 10Q and 10K (see the mysterious other category), it is basically a non-factor to their performance and stock. I question why they even released the watch. iPhone actually is not selling as well as expected, they have cut orders[1] multiple times. There are widespread reports of users returning their new MacBook Pro's as well and switching to PCs/Linux.
FoundationDB was acquired in 2015 nearly 2 years ago. The others I can't speak too, but doesn't seem like it will make any impact. Think about this, Apple could and should have acquired either NetFlix or Tesla if they wanted too either last year or the year before... Now, both are too large and expensive for Apple to buy.
[1] - https://www.google.com/search?q=apple+cuts+iphone+orders
Without any data to back the claim up, I'm reasonably sure this is just a loud, extremely small, minority. There are some things wrong with the new MacBook Pros, but, in my opinion, they are still, very likely, the best laptops out there.
[1] - http://www.theverge.com/2017/1/10/14225716/apple-macbook-pro...
I'd love to hear how Consumer Report managed to get a nearly 20-hour battery life result in one of their tests, though.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/blog/2010/jun/25/ipho...
Best case, I'll skip this generation, but I'm strongly considering razer blade stealth + core.
If there was any clarity as to when we could expect a new MBP, I'd very strongly consider waiting. But otherwise, I'm thinking I'll just bite the bullet on the current one, mainly because of the keyboard (entirely subjective, but I very much like it), and the screen (just as subjective). Anecdotally, I've seen a reasonable number of people say that the new MBPs run cooler and quieter, which, to me, is very appealing in a laptop.
As far as TouchBar goes: while playing with it at the store, I found some reasonably cute uses that might offset the loss of function keys, such as the seek-bar for Picture-in-Picture or AirPlay videos. And, of course, TouchID.
I guess what I'm trying to say is: if at all feasible – definitely wait for a refresh. But, personally, after taking the time to think about it, I've found sufficient reasons to upgrade even to the 2016 model.
Switching back to Linux no longer feels like a downgrade after a year of VIM over SSH.
So to me its a near-total useless 'feature' that has the potential to be reverted in the next generation. Unless I see a really killer app for it, I'll just continue ignoring it - and one of the reasons I may not see it, is that Apple are discouraging developers from using it as a display and requiring, rather, that it be used as a control surface. If I had an RSS feed on the thing, I'd find it a lot more useful - but Apple have a policy against that sort of thing. This seems like a broken policy, to me, though ..
It usually takes a few iterations for an Apple product before it becomes successful. The iPhone, iPod, and iPad all had pretty weak sales for a few years before they take off. I say it's too early to judge the success or failure of the Apple Watch.
> iPhone actually is not selling as well as expected, they have cut orders[1] multiple times.
There have been reports of Apple cutting iPhone orders basically every year. People somehow seem to forget that.
> There are widespread reports of users returning their new MacBook Pro's as well and switching to PCs/Linux.
The Mac line is what I'm actually worried about. I think we'll see this year how they see the future of the Mac. My guess is that they are to switch to their own ARM based processors, especially now when Microsoft is developing ARM support for Windows. Perhaps not this year but not too far into the future.
Remember the white iPhone 4? Hell, I remember the time during the switch from PowerPC to Intel meant you couldn't get your hands on an iMac for a month or two (late 2005).
> [...] missing what users want. See Apple Watch, See iPhone 7, See MacBook Pro.
Recently purchased the iPhone 7 after having stuck with a 5S for three years. I've got to say it's an excellent phone and I don't understand the whingeing. You get headphones and an adapter in box which works fine with my other headphones, though I stick with the supplied lightning cable ones. The shallow depth of field pictures it takes makes me feel like I've got an SLR with a prime lens in my pocket wherever I go.
I've played with the new MBP and it felt more Star Trek than any touchscreen laptop I've used. The NVMe storage in it largely negates the need for more than 16gb RAM.
> Tim Cook being passive and an operations guy with no founder vision or drive.
I'd say his passion for user privacy and commentary on his sexuality has shown him to be someone who cares for peoples rights. A good attitude to have when you're the CEO of a tech giant.
> doubling down on "strange" investments such as Didi Chuxing, and Softbank (both 1 billion).
Softbank completed a $31 Billion purchase of ARM recently. Still thinking Apple shouldn't have put a $1 billion shoe in the door? If memory serves they were also the first major distributor of iPhones in Japan when NTT Docomo were more interested in pushing flip phones.
He's not running for office he running a public company. As a shareholder those things are not priorities, but to him they are. Thus the problem I have.
Getting back to my comment you quoted -- given the growing concern over user privacy, being in the position where you can serve both users who care AND those who don't is a very nice position to be in. His being gay while growing up in a conservative state no doubt influenced his desire to protect users privacy. The culture of the company is important if it's to attract new talent.
I hope you are joking here. Even the cheapest SLR with some cheap lens produce better results atm. It's a fun feature to use, but nowhere near the SLR, even when using in perfect light conditions.
Perhaps in terms of resolution and rounder bokeh but you need to understand the effect of separating the subject from the background is the important part. Being able to do it quickly and without carrying a body and lens is incredibly valuable.
Remember: The best camera is...
Resolution, noise, soapy effect on border of the object separated from the background etc.
'Being able to do it quickly' is exactly what I called fun. No point comparing in to SLR of any price range.
You missed the important part of that quote: it takes makes me feel like ...meaning it was a subjective statement.
http://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2016/12/mini-shootout-can-iph...
It doesn't matter very much what the objective performance is. Grandparent feels like he's got an SLR and there lies most of the value.
Hmm...after reading [1] and [2], it seems that at least some users wanted the iPhone 7.
[1] http://bgr.com/2016/12/22/iphone-7-popularity-revenue-record...
[2] http://bgr.com/2016/10/20/iphone-7-sales-figures-september-q...
I'd disagree with this, he has vision and drive he's just not got a great vision and sees no value in the Mac line yet pushed out weak products like the Watch and the iPad Pro.
iPad Pro might have made sense if launched at the start but launched when all the pro apps have left the iPad platform it just seems like he doesn't even understand his own ecosystem.
Thankfully they seem to have dropped the fantasy of shipping a car.
I am seriously disappointed by Apple's lack of effort into excellence at this point. Personal example, I turned my iPhone settings into Swedish to help me and there are clearly some problems with translation. Another example, not listening to the needs of the developer community and failing to evolve its Macbooks into computational powerhouses (maybe they are just hiding a next generation of élite hardware – going to spin off a not-Macbook, smartly staunch in the face of fear of cannibalizing their market. Yeah, maybe that's coming...
Where is the guy who proved a phone could be smaller by tossing it into an aquarium and drawing attention to the bubbles
Maybe I'm giving too much credit to the ghost of Steve Jobs. I feel like the problem comes top-down. Without a leader to install the culture of excellence, the culture degrades into memes of the culture, eventually signifying nothing. We saw this through the return of Ray Dalio. Maybe Michael Dell will "Make Dell Great Again" too? I think there's a small opportunity in a line of hats that say "Make Apple Great Again"
No, but seriously: what's the deal with Eddy Cue?
> My two new MacBook Pros came with SIP disabled.
And the one before it:
> I reported a related bug (#19495560) where the FileVault on a brand new MacBook does not finish encrypting. I think this is a related bug, where, when switching between the tabs on the Security & Privacy pane of the System Preferences freezes the screen.
The majority of bugs I've filed are with brand new machines, and that's not even counting all the UI sloppiness that isn't worth reporting. The machines are usable, a heck of alot more so than I remember Windows or Linux being, but the attention to having details right and having things always-work is absolutely gone.
Just this week, I tried the new AirBuds in the store: connects magically, but music app stops being able to do audio and needs restarting. Guy trying them next to me can't get his to pair with his phone at all until he toggles airplane mode off and on.
Earlier this weekend, needed to restart my phone for live photos to work (photos was playing the first preview animation, but not the whole one, even after restarting the app).
A few weeks back, a friend asks me to get the wifi password she typed into her phone onto her laptop. Easy, right? Just walk her through setting up iCloud keychain. Nope! Sync simply doesn't happen (yet? who knows!), and there's no way to force it. Wasn't surprised, but still disappointed.
You certainly are.
Apple (well, NeXT) took Unix, slapped on a nice hardware accelerated graphics layer, and then made sure it worked (on the web, in the office suite, in the mail client, in the music player, in the video player, etc). You can make the mobile version of that product in a month now, army of one style, and come up with something that's better for whatever corner of the market you intend to target - even if it's just your friends or your countrymen.
One trick ponies have a hard time learning new tricks, and Apple has always been a one trick pony. For now their mobile product is still the best - and enough of their competitors are chasing stupid ideas that they can probably coast for another 5 years. We'll see what happens long term.
But then again, by all measurements the U.S. was doing great too, yet here we are, winding up our doomsday clocks.
You need partners who know how to help a company go from two to ten employees and raise a first round of funding.
I'm a part-time partner, and I run a company with >500 employees, but I basically draw entirely on my first 2-3 years of experience when giving advice.
Is this a modern nobility title? xD