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volkl48

1,541 karma · joined June 29, 2017

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volkl48··on A new map of medieval London
That probably somewhat depends on what you consider "natural".

While I'm not an expert - to my knowledge the land/resources were pretty thoroughly exploited and agricultural productivity wasn't exactly high. You'd have seen a lot of farm fields/pastures stretching across vast areas and things like that. Not that much "wild", unaltered/unworked land.

volkl48··on 'Right to roam' movement fights to give the commons back to the public
Anyone can file a lawsuit for anything. Filing a lawsuit that doesn't get immediately dismissed by the judge because it has no merit, is a different question.

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In the Northern New England states (VT/NH/ME) that have a sort of freedom to roam codified in law (basically - unposted, undeveloped property is generally free to access for low-impact uses like hiking without requiring permission) - there is broad liability protection provided to the property owner.

For example, the law in VT for liability in that land access situation is only if the injury that occurs is "....the result of the willful or wanton misconduct of the owner." (and has further exemptions from even that if the injury is with regards to accessing equipment/machinery/personal property - which you're not entitled to access).

You pretty much need to be setting traps or creating some truly absurd unnatural hazards to be at legal risk.

volkl48··on 'Right to roam' movement fights to give the commons back to the public
There's lots of state + national forest land in the Northeast where that's legal. I've done it many times in PA/NY/VT/NH/ME. There are probably some options in the other more developed states too, but I don't usually visit them as much for outdoor recreation.

Outside of the most popular locations for tourists that's pretty much the default.

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If you've had trouble finding this, have you been limiting your search to parks? Parks are usually more heavily restricted in terms of camping.

volkl48··on The Internet Archive's last-ditch effort to save itself
Downtown Seattle does not exactly resemble 99% of other places in the country.
volkl48··on Airlines in the U.S. charge separately for checked bags in order to reduce tax
In my experience the newest aircraft are solving the overhead bin space question with larger bins that are nearly 1:1 in terms of passengers vs number of standard carry-ons that they can fit in the bins.

https://www.boeing.com/commercial/737max/space-bins

Pretty sure Airbus has some similar thing.

Not saying I expect the anxiety to fully disappear/that there will never be a forced gate checking of a bag again in the future, but I do think this will become much less of a problem than it's been in the past 5-10 years.

volkl48··on School absences have ‘exploded’ almost everywhere
Correct, they did. And as someone who went to school ~20 years ago - the requirement the prior poster mentions was either not a thing or not enforced if the student was doing fine academically.

Pretty much no one raised an eyebrow about this sort of thing, certainly not at the 10 day total mark.

Why do you think the rules have remained the same?

Similarly, I don't think I ever had an "excused" absence, I didn't have to provide evidence or doctor's notes to the school when I was sick. That simply wasn't a thing that was tracked at all.

volkl48··on Sam Bankman-Fried sentenced to 25 years in prison
There is a possible "good behavior" reduction, but the maximum of that works out to around 15% off the sentence. He'll serve at least 21 of those years or so.
volkl48··on Automakers are sharing consumers' driving behavior with insurance companies
As someone in the Northeast US: Many of our highways were designed 80+ years ago, and do not have appropriate acceleration/deceleration lanes.

The terrible drivers are often those with the most timid inputs, especially with regards to acceleration. It is perfectly normal here to need to merge into heavy, 60mph+ traffic from a dead stop, or to need to quickly match speed and identify an appropriate merge spot to not wind up stuck at the end of a ramp.

And it's not like they sit there for 15 minutes waiting for some exceptionally large gap to match their acceleration habits - that would be very annoying to other drivers, but theoretically "safe". They enter in the same length gap as someone that actually uses their gas pedal - but rely on oncoming traffic to hit their brakes/evade, as they fail to get up to speed quickly enough for the small gap they've entered in.

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Hard braking is something with fewer reasons it should happen regularly - but I'm still reminded of the usual adage about metrics. Do you really want people to be mentally reluctant to hit their brakes as hard because of the insurance hit? That seems like a recipe for increasing decision time and accidents.

volkl48··on Mass trespass on Dartmoor to highlight England's 'piecemeal' right to roam laws
Also the case in New Hampshire and Vermont. And at least in NH there's some tax incentives for leaving your land unposted/open to that kind of access.
volkl48··on US rail safety legislation stalled one year after East Palestine Ohio disaster
US freight rail moves roughly 40% of the cargo in the country, China's moves about 15% (and is in long stagnation/decline in terms of how much it moves). Roughly 80% of what moves within China does so by an endless sea of trucks.

That's a pretty huge difference in terms of modal share.

And even with the sprawling size of the US network (and differences in things like labor costs), US freight rail is still more efficient at moving cargo in terms of costs.

volkl48··on A lost hiker ignored rescuers' phone calls, thinking they were spam (2021)
I'm much more likely to glance into the spam folder on the phone to see what's going on when I repeatedly get messages I think are spam, than I am to pick up a repeated call from totally unknown number(s).
volkl48··on HPV vaccine study finds zero cases of cervical cancer among women vaccinated <14
Noted in my other comment, but mentioned here as well:

- Exposure to a strain is not the same as exposure to all strains. Few are likely to have been infected with all of the strains that the vaccine protects against, and infection by multiple strains is not a rare event.

- There's research being done on if the vaccine can reduce symptoms to people who already have HPV. Early results seem promising. Certainly nothing large enough for the CDC to be making recommendations on yet (that I know of/could find from a quick search), but worth noting - there may well turn out to be a significant benefit to the vaccine even after exposure, we just seem to be relatively early in that research.

- https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6541142/

- https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38068369/

volkl48··on HPV vaccine study finds zero cases of cervical cancer among women vaccinated <14
Yes, but being infected with one strain isn't the same as being infected with all of them in terms of the risks. You are unlikely to have all the strains known to cause problems already.

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Additionally (something I only became aware of from knowing a person dealing with it) - there's a modest body of clinical research suggesting that vaccinating for HPV in someone who already has it and is symptomatic (warts) can significantly lessen or eliminate their symptoms.

It was recommended for the person I know on that basis by their doctor as a thing to try, and they've noticed significant improvement. Anectdata, but mentioning anyway.

These are very small studies and I won't claim that this is definitive (nor that I've put that much effort into a review of all literature), but to provide some support for my claims that this is a thing being suggested/investigated in research:

- https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6541142/

- https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38068369/

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I believe that it's too early in the research for that to be factoring into the analysis going into current CDC recommendations, but it's an additional possible upside of vaccination (reducing symptoms/likelihood of symptoms, even if already infected) if the research continues to pan out.

volkl48··on Judge blocks JetBlue from acquiring Spirit Airlines
They are the 6th and 7th largest airlines in the country. They are small only relative to the 4 largest.

The best argument I see for allowing the merger is that Spirit has been consistently losing money since the pandemic and may no longer have a viable business model. If they're destined for shutting down in the long run anyway, then you may as well let them attempt to merge, that'll probably lead to less of their market share winding up with the 4 biggest than them simply closing up shop will.

volkl48··on Alaska 737 cockpit voice recorder data erasure renews safety debate
"Idle chat" is important for safety.

- They need to work well together, and the better rapport they have with each other the better they're likely to perform in an actual incident. Regular interaction on the job is a part of that.

- They work a job that is often remarkably boring for much of the time. Drowsiness setting in is a real concern - a degree of social interaction is good at both keeping people engaged, and at helping them gauge how alert the other crew members are.

volkl48··on Alaska 737 cockpit voice recorder data erasure renews safety debate
Long-duration archives can be used against the company in a lawsuit - whoever's suing you would love to get decades of material to look through to help make their case.

As such, it's a large liability, and most companies retain those sorts of records for the minimum amount of time acceptable by law/regulation/customary expectations.

volkl48··on Generation Junk
Bedbugs had been suppressed to the point that you were very unlikely to ever encounter them 30-50 years ago. That's no longer the case.

I wouldn't even consider a piece of used upholstered furniture today, regardless of price or product quality.

That used sofa today represents a large risk to my wallet, property and health that it mostly didn't in the peak pesticide era.

Poor people are aware of the same - and if possible they too will opt for the shit-tier couch they can afford vs running that risk with a nice used one that would have been valued the same 30 years ago.

volkl48··on To revive Portland, officials seek to ban public drug use
As someone on the US East Coast - Boston and NYC are doing pretty fine. This is very much a specific cities problem, not an all cities problem.
volkl48··on Playstation is erasing seasons of Discovery shows from customer libraries
> You see some very sexually explicit titles on steam but then again even relatively harmless stuff can get you flagged. This creates an insecure situation for devs in certain niches and not just erotic. For example Visual Novels can be easily flagged for having a certain art style.

This seems a lot like intentional obfuscation of precisely what that "relatively harmless stuff" or "certain art style" is because you know it's going to sound a whole lot worse if you actually explain it.

I'm fairly pretty sure the actual answer here as to what's likely to get you flagged is: "drawn/animated characters that look like children in explicit or highly suggestive settings", maybe with the lip service of calling them 18 in text, maybe not.

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That content is in a legally risky area of it's own AFAIK and is a massive political/PR risk in a way that other content is not.

volkl48··on Another crackdown on Boston-area pirate radio stations
I don't know that the origin of the name is fully known, but:

Pirate radio in the UK in the 1960s was often from actual ships floating just offshore in international waters (or disused forts/installations located in them).

There was more of a "evading the authorities at sea" aspect than I think you're giving it credit for.

volkl48··on 280M e-bikes and mopeds are cutting demand for oil far more than electric cars
I will point out that getting around by cab is only really "solving" the problem of urban car storage and not....any other issues with cars in urban environments, like traffic or the portion of public space devoted to car travel lanes.

And in some cases they may actually make traffic worse with increased circling behaviors in the highest-demand (and often, most congested) parts of the city.

volkl48··on Pistachio billionaires accused of artwashing California's water crisis
Bakersfield, CA averages 6.36" of precipitation per year, Los Banos is 9.48". The Central Valley where much of this is grown is very dry. (Merced + Fresno do a little better being closer to the mountains, but still under 12").

Anyway, the problem isn't so much in an average or good water year but in a bad one. CA is prone to lengthy droughts.

(Interactive map of these crops, not recommended for mobile: https://databasin.org/datasets/57a5c9c0ddf54e75861b0621a7e41...)

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This is in some senses, not that big a problem for growing annual crops - just plant less/don't plant, and if you have to give up on the crop, you at least are only losing that year's crop.

However, this doesn't work for tree nuts.

If the tree isn't watered in the year(s) of drought - and watered significantly more heavily than usual, (because of the drought), the tree dies, and it will take a decade or more for a replacement to start yielding significant amounts of that crop again. That's a much larger loss than a single year's crop.

This makes the almond and pistachio farming a much less flexible form of agriculture in an environment where water availability varies drastically.

volkl48··on Office space vacancies in US and London reach at least 20-year highs
NYC's primary problem is having the worst housing production rates of any major US city (aside from a handful that are economically struggling and have low production from outright lack of demand), and the downstate/LI suburbs being exceptionally bad as well.

The rest is basically irrelevant. Every one of those few "billionaire" buildings could be 1-bedroom market rate units at 100% occupancy instead and it wouldn't do anything significant for the overall problem.

For one example of how broken NYC policies are: 60% of residential lots aren't zoned for anything over 2 stories. The city needs to have much of it moderately upzoned to get decent (and decently distributed) housing development, not to somehow start building affordable skyscrapers in Midtown.

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There's a fantastic non-partisan report here that lays out the scale of the failure and various ways to improve the issue very clearly: https://cbcny.org/research/strategies-boost-housing-producti...

If you want to just skim, the various charts show it clearly enough without actually reading every paragraph.

volkl48··on Impacts of lack of sleep
Night owl here.

I've had points in life where school or work demanded I wake up early. After a few weeks I could go to bed and sleep at something approximating the time required for an appropriate night of rest and would automatically wake up at the time required - true.

This sounds like success, but is significantly less so than it sounds:

- It didn't change the time my body wants to do those things.

- Waking up: I'd wake up because it's the time I currently wake up daily and know I need to, but the feeling of wanting to go back to bed for hours was still there - not even feeling like I'm not rested, just a vague sense of "this is a time for sleep". Performance for the first 3-5 hours of my day was noticeably poor.

- Going to bed: With enough practice I could usually sleep early enough. I never once wanted to sleep early enough or actually felt tired when I had to go to bed. I had to have multiple alarms set to go to bed, because even though that was the time I'd been going to bed for months - my body still does not give off a single signal to sleep at that time.

- One single night off-schedule would completely blow up the whole thing and take a week or more to feel back on the schedule fully. Months of being on the "early" schedule could be instantly thrown away and I'd be back on the "late" - adaptation is only required in the unnatural direction, the natural one is instant.

- I have actually spent weeks off-grid hiking and away from screens/artificial light before and the behavior still persists. It's not until hours after dark that I feel tired and I don't naturally want to wake up until far past sunrise. (I am also perfectly happy sleeping in full daylight, room light/darkness has no impact on my sleep).

volkl48··on A journey into the shaken baby syndrome/abusive head trauma controversy
While I certainly don't agree with delaying your treatment....your size/weight vs your mother's is irrelevant - just because she's who brought you in doesn't mean that she's the only person who could have abused you.

For all they know you've got a father or uncle or whoever that's huge and has anger problems who broke it.

One abusive family member and a partner who's covering for/trying to make up for their behavior (and may be being abused themselves) is a pretty common type of abusive situation.

volkl48··on The elderly are becoming homeless at a rate not seen since the Great Depression
> we're building like crazy all over North America.

No, we really haven't been. It doesn't seem to be well appreciated just how deeply housing construction collapsed at the end of the 2000's and has only recently returned to something approximating the long-term averages. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST

However, there's a still a whole lot of deficit from the decade of underproduction to make up for in that sense.

As you sort of get at - housing production "where the jobs are" has been far shakier. Many of the metro areas that did the best with job creation in the previous decade were among the worst with housing creation. SV, Boston, NYC, etc.

volkl48··on The elderly are becoming homeless at a rate not seen since the Great Depression
I will point out that this example of inflation seems to be mostly just price gouging by the big brands.

I've seen a similar price increase in the branded cereals, so I am not disagreeing with you in that sense.

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However, the store brand cereals, which are cheaper, haven't really gone up at all. At this point the branded product is more than double the unit cost of the store/no-name brand version in my local stores.

This suggests to me that it's not an actual increase in the cost of producing the product. If it was driven by commodity/input/manufacturing cost prices we should be seeing price pressures coming through in the cheapest cereals.

volkl48··on Japan's Hometown Tax (2018)
While not a perfect program, it seems to me that NY State's "Excelsior scholarship" (for those who's family has a household income of <$125k) is one possible answer to that.

College tuition is free, you're required to live and work in NY State for the same number of years that you accepted the state funding for after graduation. If you don't do that, the scholarship/grant becomes a loan.

volkl48··on An unexpected uptick in cigarette smoking in Germany
I will point out that it's not as in the Niemoller poem....that's about people you're indifferent to/things that didn't affect your life directly.

Banning smokers actively made your life better - removing the behavior increased your enjoyment of the setting.

volkl48··on Changing its name tanked X's downloads in App Store and Play Store
On that note, it's somewhat remarkable that The Band managed to find success under that moniker.
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