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rpiguy

1,358 karma · joined March 26, 2013

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rpiguy··on Teachers are ready to quit rather than put their lives at risk
This is ridiculous fear mongering.

There are 5.1 million people working in hospitals.

https://datausa.io/profile/naics/hospitals

800/5100000 = .00016

They are therefore three times less likely to die from Covid than the general population.

Schools across Europe have opened. Children rarely spread the disease. Doctors recommend schools open.

Twenty times as many children died of the flu last year than from COVID.

Death rates are not surging in proportion to cases.

The CFR of this disease does not meet the threshold for a pandemic, nor does it merit the level of fear engendered by the press.

It is utterly ridiculous.

rpiguy··on US homebuilding surges as coronavirus sparks flight to suburbs, rural areas
A lot of people simply aren't afraid. There is very little you can do bridge the gap between people who live in fear and those that do not.

To put it starkly, most of the death has been confined to nursing homes and most people don't see it. Most people don't know anyone who has died of COVID. It is not that deadly of a pandemic yet.

Surging cases isn't surging death. There has been a very small uptick in deaths as the virus spreads through the South, but not nearly as big as the surge in cases. Meaning more people are living through it.

It is easy to pretend things are normal and the only thing standing in the way of the unafraid people living normally are the scared people.

The scared people like to talk about all the unknowns. Who knows how many will have lasting damage? Who knows if you can get reinfected?

The not scared people are okay with the uncertainty. Every day you get into your car you could die in a car accident, you don't get torn up about the unknowns.

I've said this from the beginning, if this disease killed more people of prime age, the response would be very different.

But it is very hard to scare the confident, unafraid people into submission the way the virus spreads and kills right now.

rpiguy··on US homebuilding surges as coronavirus sparks flight to suburbs, rural areas
Anti-mask people are non-violent in comparison to BLM and Antifa. There were six murders inside of Seattle'a "autonomous zone" including two minors. Anti-maskers aren't burning city halls, throwing Molotov cocktails into police cars, destroying public and private property, etc. There is no equating the two.
rpiguy··on Capitalism Drives Cancel Culture
Agree that is exactly my point, but the article claims that capitalism drives cancel culture and that is what I was responding to.
rpiguy··on Capitalism Drives Cancel Culture
Righteousness drives cancel culture. Power structures and capitalism have nothing to do with it.

Historically communists literally cancel people by imprisoning them and sending them to re-education camps or worse.

Today's virtue signaling by corporations is no different than it was twenty years ago when Janet Jackson slipped a nip at the Super Bowl. Advertisers threatened to leave NFL. FCC opened an investigation. All of this to please what these corporations perceived as the majority mob.

rpiguy··on [dead]
Tom was always in my top 8 spaces, I can't believe he would say such a thing.
rpiguy··on [dead]
The experts have such a great track record this year... lol.
rpiguy··on Covid-19 Delirium (Distorted Reality): Its Roots and Aftermaths
The flu also also causes significant delirium in hospitalized patients:

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/irv.12177

Brain swelling caused by the flu is more dangerous than swelling caused by SARS, this research was done in 2013. We don't know if applies to SARV COV2, but it is a positive sign.

At this time the "discovery" that COVID-19 causes delirium in hospitalized patients should not cause anyone to panic, as it is a well known side effect of SARS like viruses.

Why it is being presented so sensationally I cannot say, it has been known for three months that patients with severe symptoms that originate in the nose (not chest) are in danger of a mild encephalopathy.

rpiguy··on The saddest “Just Ship It” story
I thought this was going to be about the Boeing 737 MAX.
rpiguy··on N. K. Jemisin’s Dream Worlds
Wow I can't believe your well-meaning original comment was flagged into oblivion.

I am not a fan of any sex in Sci-Fi or Fantasy (straight or not) so it was a valuable warning.

Do not be deterred by the intolerant mob.

rpiguy··on Ariane RISC-V CPU – An open source CPU capable of booting Linux
That one that blew up (Arriane V). lol.
rpiguy··on A graphical analysis of women's tops sold on Goodwill's website
Titled like clickbait. "You won't believe what analysis of Goodwill women's tops sales reveals"
rpiguy··on H-1B: Government issues first-ever official estimate of visa population in U.S.
This is good information, thank you. I had team members who had put down roots here and they would be terrified every time they had to renew. They were Indian so it was likely because of the queue you mentioned their green card application seemed to never end.

I'd still rather spare people that terror.

I am a conservative strongly against illegal immigration, but conversely I think we need to open up legal immigration a lot more, especially to those who've worked here and contributed to our economic success, like H-1B workers.

rpiguy··on Why do some intelligent people lose all interest in academia?
Money.

Culture.

While there is certainly an "academic ideal culture" that people imagine. Being able to research interesting things, share your knowledge, take sabbaticals, etc.

It is a grueling path to get there, and when you do get there you realize that because of the mostly small close-knit departments, everything becomes extremely political.

This happens in private business, but in business your avenues to power and influence are usually a myriad greater than in academia.

Struggles within your department feel like family fights, not work just bullshit.

The overwhelming progressive, leftist bias in academia is attractive to some. If it isn't you thing you really have to be well prepared for cancel culture.

I once had a professor tell me she had to register as an independent because you couldn't be a registered Republican in her department. And this was 20 years ago. From all accounts it is 10x worse today.

rpiguy··on H-1B: Government issues first-ever official estimate of visa population in U.S.
The H-1B program is terrible and needs to be reformed. It is supposed to temporarily shore up the supply of critically skilled workers that are in demand.

While it does this, when the program was envisioned no one imagined H-1B visa holders working here for 10+ years.

If only there were a word for the importation of minority labor and locking them into employment with their sponsor, effectively reducing their negotiating power for salary to zero...

Not to mention by artificially suppressing H-1B salaries over time, it puts negative wage pressure on US workers in similar positions.

I believe H-1B workers should be offered green cards if they are here for more than 2-3 years, so they can negotiate on equal footing with US citizens.

rpiguy··on Georgia Tech professors revolt over reopening, say current plan threatens lives
No the risk takers are taking all of that into account and dismissing it as acceptable.

It is a difference in values. You are arguing as if presented with same data that you have there is only one obvious and rational conclusion, but that is simply not the case. If someone has different values they can come to a very different conclusion.

Take Sweden for example, many people view it as a success and the higher than the rest of the EU death rate perfectly acceptable.

Life isn’t life to some if you can’t live it.

The data isn’t black and white. Of course you are comfortable forcing people to behave, Canada is fairly totalitarian in policing of speech, etc. Would never fly in the US.

rpiguy··on Georgia Tech professors revolt over reopening, say current plan threatens lives
No the risk takers are taking all of that into account and dismissing it as acceptable.

It is a difference in values. You are arguing as if presented with same data that you have there is only one obvious and rational conclusion, but that is simply not the case. If someone has different values they can come to a very different conclusion.

rpiguy··on Georgia Tech professors revolt over reopening, say current plan threatens lives
Look there are two groups in the US. A risk taking group that sees the COVID-19 death rate as acceptable and not nearly bad enough to stay locked down. They believe that the purpose of the lock down was to "flatten the curve," particularly the death rate, and not to "stop the virus."

The other group wants to "stop the virus" and does not accept the risk of death of others.

There is no bridging the gap with data, it is a value judgement. You can't argue someone out of their values.

You especially will not be able to convince the risk takers, because they are risk takers, and the mortality of this virus is so low that a huge number of people don't personally know a single person who has died from it. Perception matters a lot.

If COVID-19 had a 10% death rate, or killed children like Tuberculosis, you could more easily argue down the risk takers.

According to CDC data, 81% of deaths from COVID-19 in the United States are people over 65 years old, most with preexisting conditions. If you add in 55-64-year-olds that number jumps to 93%. For those below age 55, preexisting conditions play a significant role, but the death rate is currently around 0.0022%, or one death per 45,000 people in this age range. Below 25 years old the fatality rate of COVID-19 is 0.00008%, or roughly one in 1.25 million.

These are odds any risk taker would take.

rpiguy··on The Assessment Gap: Racial Inequalities in Property Taxation
The thesis of the paper is that house values are assessed higher relative to their market price in poor minority neighborhoods.

This is logical because poor neighborhoods are the most cash strapped and so the government does everything it can to generate cash without raising taxes. The easiest way to raise property tax revenue without raising taxes is to value everyone's home higher.

The difference is that in the suburbs, the home owners are more likely to fight these revaluations and win.

Local voters, elect local officials, who set local tax rates. Not to look at outcomes and put some scheme in place, per the authors' suggestion.

The fix for the problem is to elect a different set of local officials.

rpiguy··on California accuses Cisco of job discrimination based on Indian employee's caste
I thought about it, but I am not sure what I would report them for.

For example, in the US you can legally bring your unpaid servants to the US on a B-1 visa.

Conversely, if he is a paid employee and legally migrated with the family then there is nothing to be done about it.

rpiguy··on California accuses Cisco of job discrimination based on Indian employee's caste
As an American I never really understood how bad the caste system was until I went to an Indian restaurant and arrived a few minutes before it opened for dinner.

The owner, an Indian gentlemen, invited me into the restaurant rather than making me wait until it opened. He was exceedingly polite and even offered me a complimentary cup of tea while I waited for the restaurant to open.

Then he barked something in an Indian language (I would presume Hindi but I don't know there are a lot of languages spoken in India) and a small man who looked older than he probably is came out of the kitchen with the tea for us.

He would not look us in the eye. He had only a few teeth.

I didn't realize until after I left the restaurant that the Indian family who owned the restaurant probably brought their lower caste servants from India with them to labor at the restaurant.

The whole thing made me feel terrible and I haven't been back to the restaurant since.

rpiguy··on WHO to send team to China to investigate Covid-19 origins
WHO sends team to China to take dictation of China's vetted and official narrative.

Sort of like how the handled the first several months of the pandemic.

rpiguy··on Gilead's coronavirus treatment to cost $3,120 for U.S. insured patients
Trump should use the defense production act to force them to make the drug for cost, similar to how companies were ordered to make ventilators.
rpiguy··on [dead]
They were reporting the opinion of many contrarian scientists and doctors. If they are liable for that then they could also be held liable for reporting on, for example, science that denies climate change.

Not to mention the fact that the press as a whole spent two months telling us it was nothing before it became they decided it wasn’t.

No Fox isn’t liable and if you think spreading what you deem is misinformation is a crime you are a Facist.

rpiguy··on [dead]
News flash, opposing opinion may have caused doubt in The One Truth, lol.

Writing stories like this is a great way to kill the free press. Just better hope whatever party or ideology you prefer is in power when the censorship comes.

rpiguy··on Commodore Basic as a Scripting Language
Interestingly enough, Microsoft's BASIC was the fastest of all the early home computer BASICs sold in the US. Much faster than Timex Sinclair, Atari, and TI/99 BASIC. And it achieved those speeds with decent precision in FP.

Apple, Commodore, and the IBM PC all used Microsoft BASIC and were the fastest standard BASICs.

Across the pond the BBC Micro had a faster BASIC, and by the mid-80s there were lots of faster BASICs you could buy from 3rd parties.

rpiguy··on Commodore Basic as a Scripting Language
BBC BASIC was also fast. A lot of the "Better" BASICs were also quite a bit slower at the time.

Microsoft BASIC was relatively swift compared to most early peers, had decent precision FP, and had limited interoperability between platforms. This made it ideal for small business, education, and magazine listings.

So once again Microsoft won with an inferior product by turning it into a de facto standard :-)

I did like the simplicity of it.

rpiguy··on Olympus quits camera business after 84 years
If they weren't a Japanese company I'd say just wait a year and they will sell the name to a Chinese company and you'll have Olympus cameras again in 12 months time at a fourth of the cost.
rpiguy··on The Inheritance Tax Is Far Too Low
Large accumulators of wealth simply dodge estate taxes all together. They put the money in a foundation and their heirs get a draw on the foundation for the rest of their lives.

Whatever reforms are put in place should focus on minimizing that ability to dodge the taxes.

Estate taxes are strange things in that they don't affect the poor and middle class because few people inherit more than 1 million dollars and we have exemptions for family farms and inherited small businesses.

It also doesn't hurt the ultra-rich, who easily evade inheritance taxes.

It hits a very narrow band of wealthy between the middle class and the ultra-rich.

rpiguy··on Covid-19 antibodies may fade in as little as 2 months, study says
Antibodies don't determine your immunity to future infection. Memory B cells determine whether or not your body knows how to respond.

This has come up every time an article on antibodies has been posted. If antibodies stay in your system for more than a few months there is something wrong with you.

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