How does this current projected lead compare to the projected lead in 2016?
It’s generally larger and a lot more stable. Check out the realclearpolitics polling averages for 2016 and 2020. Clinton and trump constantly went back and forth from Clinton leading to being essentially tied. Biden has never led Trump by less than 4 points.
The experts have such a great track record this year... lol.
And to think, 4 years ago the headline was “Economist forecasts Clinton likely to beat Trump in US 2016 presidential election”. But as they say all models are wrong but some are useful.
The simple logic is: will Biden beat Clinton in votes? I don't see how. This is going to be an interesting election regardless.