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rexreed

6,552 karma · joined September 24, 2010

A little bit of this, a little bit of that
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rexreed··on Riffusion – Stable Diffusion fine-tuned to generate music
"fine-tuned on images of spectrograms paired with text"

How many paired training images / text and what was the source of your training data? Just curious to know how much fine tuning was needed to get the results and what the breadth / scope of the images were in terms of original sources to train on to get sufficient musical diversity.

rexreed··on Riffusion – Stable Diffusion fine-tuned to generate music
What sort of setup do you need to be able to fine tune Stable Diffusion models? Are there good tutorials out there for fine tuning with cloud or non-cloud GPUs?
rexreed··on Turn the radio volume down for adverts and DJs talking
I think the intent is to reduce the volume to near 0 during ad and DJ breaks, not normalize the volume against the music volume
rexreed··on Min: A fast, minimal browser that protects your privacy
Fortunately you can easily override the UA string in Lynx: https://electrictoolbox.com/lynx-user-agent/

lynx -useragent="Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; Googlebot/2.1; +http://www.google.com/bot.html)" -head -dump http://www.example.com/

rexreed··on Min: A fast, minimal browser that protects your privacy
If you want fast and minimal, give Lynx a try. The original fast, minimal, privacy protected browser: https://lynx.invisible-island.net/current/
rexreed··on After 20 years the Dwarf Fortress devs have to get used to being millionaires
Here's what I learned in life that's applicable to many areas, this being one:

Not sucking isn't enough. Even being "Great" isn't enough. And even being "amazing" just isn't good enough to be successful. You need people to notice and care and help you and carry you to success. Mediocrity with a lot of public and positive reinforcement beats quiet greatness. Truly great things die every day from lack of attention and the willingness / motivation of others to help you carry that greatness forward. No greatness succeeds on its own, despite how great it might truly be.

rexreed··on I built a wildlife pond [video]
Do you find any wild animals (raccoons) eat the fish? Also any opinions on floating plants (water hyacinth, water lettuce, frogbit) instead of Taro? I built a pond and put in a soft PVC liner instead of one of those preformed ones. I had it out for a summer expecting frogs but they didn't show. Mosquitos did tho.
rexreed··on OKRs Are Hard
"They’re hard, but sold as something that everyone should do, so everyone does them poorly, and most people don’t see any value as a result."

OKRs are inane management fad. OKRs are "hard" because Objectives are vague and Key Results are vague leading to vague definitions of success and arbitrary flag planting.

Any management concept that is simultaneously so hard that no one does it right, but yet everyone is doing it is proof in point how valueless it truly is. Of course, when compensation, bonuses, and kudos are tied to OKR, people will keep doing them, as hard or as vague as they might be.

"Good OKRs tell a story about what is important, they help you inspire people to think about why they are working on what they’re working on, and I think they carry a bit of energy that comes from seeing how it all fits together in a succinct form."

That sounds more like a mission statement to me.

rexreed··on On Twitch, you can never log off
I remember in another thread you mentioned that you're doing YouTube pretty much full time but you also said ad revenue isn't that much, so I'm still curious if it really is worth it financially and if so, what the best monetization is, especially for another techie looking to produce YouTube content. Is it worth it these days?
rexreed··on Ask HN: Someone is proxy-mirroring my website, can I do anything?
For 2) you mean you loaded it from the adversary's proxy site, just to clarify?
rexreed··on Sharrow MX-1: Tipless propeller (2020)
When I saw the word "cavitation", submarines was the first thing I thought about. Blame the Hunt for Red October for that word association. You'd think that this approach to propeller design would be adopted due to quieter running, but sounds like not.
rexreed··on ChatGPT, Rot13, and Daniel Kahneman
Give ParROT13 a try
rexreed··on ChatGPT, Rot13, and Daniel Kahneman
What exactly are people expecting? All transformer models, of which ChatGPT is just one big fancy example, are just pattern matchers based on a large corpus of text trying to find the next string that completes the pattern. There's no reasoning, no understanding. It's just a big fancy parrot. Now ask your parrot to do some math. Polly want an AI cracker? We clearly haven't cracked the code on AGI yet, and transformer models probably won't get us there.
rexreed··on FTX Contagion
This video probably sums it up best: https://piped.video/watch?v=N6Zz-Nkkaxc
rexreed··on Plaid Layoffs
"You're one of us until you aren't."
rexreed··on FTX Contagion
The update in that article said:

"Update: CNET's Caroline McCarthy tweets at us: "Sounds like a good theory, except that a Color exec told me Sequoia's $$ was nearly triple Bain's." So we're back to: HOW DID THIS HAPPEN?"

So Sequoia put in nearly triple what Bain put in. The article was just guessing before the update.

rexreed··on OpenAI quietly launched Whisper V2 in a GitHub commit
What processing / server / backend are you using to run the whisper model?
rexreed··on FTX Contagion
Oh Sequoia. The company that put $41M in a single seed round into a company that did... nothing: https://www.businessinsider.com/how-the--did-color-raise-a-c...
rexreed··on Taiga: A free and open-source project management tool
These are the words to the "technology debt" song
rexreed··on FTX Contagion
Acquisition due diligence is not the same as funding due diligence. There are definitely differences in the two and different reasons for doing it. For acquisition, due diligence is part of the legal and compliance requirements. For VC, due diligence is supposed to be part of the deal vetting process, but it's usually a headache for everyone, and goes out the window when they want to move fast.
rexreed··on FTX Contagion
Due diligence is for the founders and startups that the VCs aren't that excited about. When the VCs really want something, due diligence, especially the sort you mention, and any sort of business plan / model / etc goes out the window. They'll fall over themselves to get a piece of the action in some hot company in some hot market, even if the founders are total jerks, the company has no real business plan or model, and the long term plans are vague. The startup funding game is all about investing in startups as a financial asset, not in startups as a sustainable business. VCs will put you through the "you need traction" "you need a business plan" "we need lots of due diligence" if they aren't that into you or you're an option vs. an opportunity. Venture capital is a hustle, and you have to know how to play the game. Most startup founders play VC as if they're going to a bank and getting a loan and have to justify everything, when VC investing is really about pattern matching and lots of gut reactions, and VCs are investing in what they believe is a chunk of something that will be worth more in the future. The actual business and startup founders are only the side part of that hustle.
rexreed··on One of France's oldest butter producers makes 380 tons per year [video]
Even worse - dairy farms here had to dump milk due to overproduction because there wasn't enough capacity for milk processing to turn into cream and other products. Something is really broken in dairy supply chain and the production lines here. Cream is still not available in our region and hasn't been for months.

Some crazy stuff in this article by an Ag producer: https://agmoos.com/2021/12/10/supply-and-demand-are-the-real...

And competition between cheese, cream, ice cream makers for tight milk availability: https://nypost.com/2022/10/03/heres-why-the-us-is-facing-a-b...

rexreed··on One of France's oldest butter producers makes 380 tons per year [video]
Meanwhile there's a cream shortage here on the east coast US! The price of cream has gone up substantially and was entirely unavailable during Thanksgiving weekend in my local area. No heavy or light cream whatsoever at any store. And now it's 2.5x the price it usually is.
rexreed··on Startup Restructuring 101
I completely agree with your sentiment. I'm a bootstrapper at heart. However, I've dearly learned in the past few years that as a bootstrapper, one of the biggest dangers is believing that markets seem real, when in fact, they are only being buoyed by investor money and hype. This causes a mistaken belief that there are real, paying customers and the market is indeed growing and significant for new entrants when what's actually happening is the rapidly growing startups and even supposed customer-growth are supported by investor money, not by paying customers.

When a bootstrapper tries to come into the market and isn't playing the investor-led startup game, by trying to build a company through customer money vs. investor money, they see that there aren't nearly as many customers as they would need or expect, and when customers are paying, the hype-driven, investor-backed startups are eating up a significant portion of the customer base.

This is because customers, far and few between in those rapidly growing, hypey markets, tend to be "lazy" buyers and will not spend the time to do any sort of real evaluation or analysis of competition and markets. Rather, if they have a real need for the product, they will buy either from who they are already buying from, or if they will select a new vendor, it will be someone they can get support internally to purchase (if it's an enterprise), with such support being a combination of a who their existing suppliers or consulting firms recommend, influence from content marketing or shilled analyst reports (buying influence), whatever companies are gaining the most attention and marketing at that moment, and/or who their colleagues and peers are recommending, all of which is subject again to startup influence, and besides a bit of a self-perpetuating cycle since the more they get recommended, the more they get recommended. In any case, it’s never about who has the better product or service or who offers the most value for the money.

In addition, and ideally, if the product costs nothing or very little to acquire, that makes it even easier for those few customers to gain support for a new vendor and that perpetuates the cycle, or if the customers' existing suppliers include the product or features of that product for no additional cost in their existing or new offerings, that makes it harder for the vendor. In any case, the fact that others are giving away a product for free or low cost makes it near impossible to compete as a bootstrapper, since you can't afford to give a product away, even if the startup can.

If you're selling directly to consumers (or to small businesses, which act like consumers) and not to enterprises, then it's even harder as a bootstrapper, since customer acquisition cost and complexity is very difficult and expensive, and those who have the most marketing dollars combined with products they give away or practically give away will win. Bootstrappers almost always lose in those market conditions. Yes, there are definitely exceptions to all the above, but I am finding the rule generally holds.

All this makes bootstrapping particularly difficult in fast-growth, hypey markets, which is where startups tend to proliferate. Basically, bootstrapping in an investor-led startup's game is not a recipe for success, and probably a road to ruin. You might be able to bootstrap selling ancillary stuff on the sidelines of what's happening in the hype-driven market, mostly marketing content-driven stuff, events, webinars, selling traffic, training or education, but even that stuff will come and go, and we're not talking large exits either. You can also sell consulting or advisory services in those hype-driven markets, but you have to really enjoy the consulting or advisory game and you have to mostly have relationships and connections to sell that sort of thing. Ideally, as a bootstrapper, you can go from hype-cycle to hype-cycle and keep and grow your existing customers. You can also bootstrap real products (not services or marketing content) in more sedate markets, but you'll most definitely face entrenchment of incumbents who protect their customer base, and so making entry into the market as a bootstrapper just as difficult. The key is to know what game you're playing and the best way to win at it, if you want to succeed, especially without exhausting yourself in the process.

I know someone who is actually following a different "third way". Rather than raising a few small rounds with aims of profitability (no investor will be satisfied with that since investors are looking for asset value increase, not profitability), it's about raising some early rounds, growing and getting attention fast, and quick exiting. He has been able to crack this code by building small, fast-growing, investor-led startups, but only up to a certain level (usually up to Series B), and then finding a quick acquisition exit, before the music stops. Somehow he has figured out not only how to do the quick fundraise, growth, and attention building, but also how to develop relationships on the acquisition end of the exit. While these aren't billion-dollar exits, this approach seems to work and he has a stable of investors who know how to play that game for everyone's benefit. I haven't figured that out myself.

rexreed··on Startup Restructuring 101
Case in point: https://news.crunchbase.com/transportation/autonomous-drivin...

Shows all the factors at play here:

* Company founded by kids who know / knew nothing about the space

* Investors who smell money opportunity and see an opportunity for asset value inflation

* Invest in the company, rush to multiple rounds, based on hype

* Company goes "public" using scam/sham SPAC approach (yet more proof of "startup" as financial product)

* Then the company goes bust after it goes to market because the whole thing was just asset inflation, and when the bubble pops, it goes poof

- I also find it curious that Techcrunch calls these obvious startup-as-financial product companies Upstarts and not Startups. A distinction without a difference in many cases.

rexreed··on Smartphones wiped out 97% of the compact camera market
GPS devices, definitely
rexreed··on Lastpass Security Incident
From the KeePassXC FAQ: "Additionally, you can use a key file filled with an arbitrary number of random bytes or a YubiKey to further enhance your master key"

https://keepassxc.org/docs/#faq-keepassx

rexreed··on Lastpass Security Incident
Do you not suggest using Dropbox to sync KeePassXC? Their FAQ on site seems to support (and encourage?) the use of Dropbox for syncing.
rexreed··on Just Say No
So is your revenue all ad revenue? How long did it take to earn? I'm curious because I'm also thinking of putting a lot of tech-oriented content on YouTube, and to make a bit on it (side hustle money), but I'm not sure what to expect. You have a lot of subscribers!
rexreed··on Just Say No
Curious on the shift to YouTube business. Is the ad revenue really that great these days for new YouTube creators? What's the real business on going YouTube semi-full time?
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