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lebed2045

164 karma · joined June 19, 2018

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/lebed2045; my proof: https://keybase.io/lebed2045/sigs/Ihi3LHgxeejyWzQcbiaMeTCMG-zOOA3NBEBAA2A91k8 ]
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lebed2045··on A clip from Stray got me banned from Twitter
Could you please elaborate? Twitter stopped working with particular ISP because of cost related problems?
lebed2045··on Former Coinbase PM charged in cryptocurrency insider trading tipping scheme
there's billion dollar telephone scam industry. How many of these criminals were ever prosecuted or get extradited to US?
lebed2045··on Tell HN: Coinbase now requires physical address of recipient in crypto transfers
DAI track record for the last 4.5 years had proven you wrong. It’s either

1)centralized and has all these centralization risks (USDT had frozen 360M on ether alone),

2) crypto-overcallaterized that has less centralization risks but limits in stability.

3) or something else, that usually doesn’t work (terraUSD)

I keep 99% on my money in crypto (plus I recently got pretty much excluded from banking system) so i have my money where my mouth is: DAI. I don’t like everything about it, like lots of USDC is collateral, or ineffective liquidation system, and for that reason I’m participating in StableUnitDAO to build far-better alternative (feel free to join us, i bet all my lifesavings on this project) but for sake of this argument it’s not good fiat vs bad crypto stablecoins. For lots of people it’s strictly opposite.

lebed2045··on Tell HN: Coinbase now requires physical address of recipient in crypto transfers
I’m myself traded over 1M regularly the last year. We even developed a decentralized exchange for Chinese customer (although with nasdaq traded parent) that made over billion dollars in stabelcoins in just about 12 weeks. DEXs usage is big. Perhaps you mixed two different thighs: fiat on ramp, and exchange ? If so, as far as I concerned even at the beginning of defi summer 2020 bestchange ramps in Moscow city alone had around $30m a day against fiat. I can’t verify this numbers but given the level of crypto adoption in eastern Europe these numbers don’t seem very off really.
lebed2045··on Tell HN: Coinbase now requires physical address of recipient in crypto transfers
I think you forgot there’s whole planet with billions of people beyond the USA borders. Something what doesn’t follow every single us regulation != black market.
lebed2045··on Tell HN: Coinbase now requires physical address of recipient in crypto transfers
Aside of evil nature of such regulations, it’s annoying af for me as a digital nomad. I DO NOT HAVE a physical address. Just don’t. No, no electricity bills. No, I don’t receive correspondence. There are more a more people like myself who got essentially a excluded from important services because of archaic regulations written by old people.
lebed2045··on I got hacked and Facebook banned me
I used to work in facebook HQ in 2013/2014, and even had selfies with Zuckerberg as a profiled picture. My account got banned in 2020 without any reason. Because my story didn't reach top at hackernews, nobody was able to help, including my friends who still worked at facebook (although only lvl5-6 engineers). Should I mention that my ads money and Oculus games also lost? All my old pictures which I stupidly didn't backup, all my business contracts as well. But yea, bravo Meta. Happy to share any profs if hn needed.
lebed2045··on Show HN: HN Avatars in 357 bytes
Trying mine.
lebed2045··on Firefox removed Yandex search option
Cancel culture at its finest. Next logical step would be add mandatory KYC login and ban based of nationality/race.
lebed2045··on Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends
I hope you found the way to use your money abroad. By many requests I recorded to my friends a tutorial (on Russian language) how to transfer money abroad and minimising risk https://youtu.be/9ZcOfrjseFw

(using stablecoins and p2p on/off ramps)

lebed2045··on Russia to legalize software piracy
+1 to this. I really hate when small/non-essential software had not just high cost but freaking subscription. Not speaking about OP but https://www.noisli.com/ for example that was useful, no question, but now asking $120 to listen white-noise that I can download for free? I'm okay to pay $20 for offline app and sent $100 to charity. I'm also sure they would have times more profit from this.

Instead of this, pay fix price for software and 1 year of updates seems time more fair.

lebed2045··on Namecheap: Russia Service Termination
you didn't get the problem. Namecheap made two unethical things, one annoying and small and the other that cost lives.

1) The fact that they ask to move Russians to other registrators, is just barely an inconvenience. It cost me 30 seconds to create a ticket in scrum and developers will move everything. But misjudgment by nationality is bad. Imagine if all Jewish customers will get such letters because Isreal/Palestinian war?

2) Catastrophic is this: instead of using millions of dollars from Russian customers to help to save Ukraine and lives - they steer away from this money to governmental control Russian registrators. In other words, their CEO Richard just send this million dollars to Putin instead of Ukraine. That will cost lives.

lebed2045··on Namecheap: Russia Service Termination
sorry, but Namecheap just redirected millions of dollars of potential help to Ukraine to Putin's regime. Here's my open letter to you, Richard https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/namecheap-just-redirected-mil...

Please help to stop the war, not to fuel it!

lebed2045··on ML training compute has been doubling every 6 months since 2010
+1 to this. I only recently learned that concrete/cement production is major factor of co2 emission that significantly bigger than a meat production for example. Sounds like modifying this production method is more effective way to fight global warming than me start to be vegetarian.
lebed2045··on Instead of cheques to fight climate change, billionaires should just pay taxes
If I remember correctly, US taxpayers (and implicitly everyone who uses USD even via reserve currency basket) paid 2.3 trillion dollars for the war in Afghanistan.

My point is that no amount of tax money would fix problem of irrational spending of it (if you measure rationally from whole humanity benefit vs few elites).

lebed2045··on DJI Mavic 3 Drone
+1 to that. I started by FPV hobby about a year ago (just regular analog tinywhoop). So it's 30% flying hobby, and 70% tinkering around and learn:

1) how to solder,

2) how how charge and use lipo batteries,

3) how antennas work, polarisation, connectors etc,

4) what all these buzzwords in betaflight means

5) binding, expressLRS setting,

6) 3d printing protection parts,

7) even there are different connectors standards!,

etc so it's whole umbrella of little hobbies that comes with it. At least for me it's lots of fun, because it takes a few hours of learning time and you get working result. But it's not for everyone for sure. Drastic different with PnP experience of DJI drones.

lebed2045··on Google helps map millimeter of human brain tissue that comes in at 1.4 petabytes
from purely storage prespective: right now you can buy 1Tb microSD card (1^12 bytes), which is about 7800x more than first 128Mb microSD card introduced in 2005, so x^15 = 7800 => x = 1.8 i,e 80% improvement a year (I know it's super vogue approximation but helps to get the order of magnitude). Extrapolate that for 17k Petabytes, and we get 1.8^y = 17000 => y = 17, so less than a century for sure. anothing thing, that likely for AI the topology of the brain wiring is more important than raw organic data
lebed2045··on I bought 200 Raspberry Pi Model B’s and I’m going to fix them
> Even the Pi Zero ($5)

may I ask where can I buy Pi Zero for 5 dollars? Even on Aliexpress (perhaps I wrongly assume it's the cheapest place to buy) there options start from $15 and up https://www.aliexpress.com/wholesale?catId=0&initiative_id=S...

I'm not trying to invalidate your argument in any way, just genuinely curious. Also, does anyone know the actual production cost of such device?

lebed2045··on Dickhead of the Week: Instagram CEO Adam Mosseri
then there should a law which makes hardware and software I paid for - mine.
lebed2045··on Factorio 1.0
yes, my bad. Fixed it. I like this video explanation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWtvrPTbQ_c
lebed2045··on Factorio 1.0
isn't the same for lets say an app development?
lebed2045··on Factorio 1.0
would be interesting to learn the nature (or psychological tricks) the game uses to become so addictive
lebed2045··on Factorio 1.0
unpopular opinion.

I've spent several hundred hours playing this game and I think this game should be treated as an addictive drug. I know it's my own psychological problems but there's whole Reddit thread about how it ruined people's plans etc and wasted hundreds of hours of their lives. In contract, real "prohibited" substances like LSD, MDMA didn't make any negative impact on my life nor addiction. How is that?

I feel like all these additive games (especially one which uses psychological tricks like Skinner box) are some equivalent of brain exploits and should be treated with great caution. Maybe labeled somehow and have a reference where all these "exploits" and risk properly explained. Can anyone explain what tricks it uses to become so addictive?

lebed2045··on Uber CEO says its service will probably shut down temporarily in California
no, it's absolutely not. There is obvious incentive misalignment here: rider want to get to the destination as fast as cheap and possible, and the driver wants to earn as much and as little work as possible. Here is taking the longer route
lebed2045··on Satellite images of the Beirut explosion site – before and after
and it seems they actually knew it. from wikipedia "Two months earlier, at Kriewald, then part of Germany, 19 people had died when 30 tonnes of ammonium nitrate detonated under similar circumstances. It is not clear why this warning was not heeded"
lebed2045··on Gold price rises above $2k for first time
very interesting mental model. Coincidentally enough, I got request from janitor (very nice person btw) to help him to buy bitcoin when it cost about $18k. I explained him to do not to, but the fact itself was clearly alarming.
lebed2045··on Gold price rises above $2k for first time
aside of Krugman, $35 worth of goods and services in 1970 worth about $233 according to https://www.officialdata.org/us/inflation/1970?amount=35, so it's not currency problem but the gold itself went up.
lebed2045··on MakerDAO gets stress tested as ETH price plummets
this was my exact thoughts at the end of 2017 when Maker released their first version. Why instead of CDPs just don't use one big liquidy pool which initially funded with sufficient resources? If it is big enough - it would initially overcollateralized the system (when the cap is small) and can be used as a stabilization reserve, i.e. everyone would able to redeem their $1 stablecoin for $1 of ETH at any moment of time. I even try to design such a system https://stableunit.org/StableUnit-whitepaper.pdf

The main assumption that stablecoin with collateral/reserve has two values:

1) "redeemability value", i.e. the token without demand is worth $1 because you can redeem it for $1 of another asset with demand such as ETH.

2) network/native value: more people use the coin, higher the value. In the same manner as Dogecoin worth anything at all, like Metcalfe's law but for cryptocurrency. With an empirical estimation of growth asymptotic higher than NlogN.

The important part here that as the system grows bigger 1) grows linear but 2) grows to faster than linear which means there are some sizes of then system when 2) > 1). This practically means that you can back part of stablecoin with less liquid assets because they won't be used often (if all). It's one way to explain why USDT can function even with partially collateralized.

The problem with all of this, that one thing is to have system design (I'm convinced that there are many different decentralized stablecoin systems that can work) and another to build a working project with user adoption. I've spoken with many people at MakerDAO and they all know about the limitations/imperfection of the system. For oracles, they chose that expensive design because it was an "engineering approach which just works security". And as we see right now at stablecoins market cap, they were right to do so.

lebed2045··on Algebraic Structures: Things I wish someone had explained about FP
I found the code blocks a very interesting looking and authentic, but that's true for me: it was somewhat difficult to read.
lebed2045··on Scott’s Supreme Quantum Supremacy FAQ
I don't think it's true for quantum computers. Folding proteins and stuff is good use-case of the cause but the real drive is the military. Same as for gen-AI. If you don't r&d this but Chine does - you're fucked. So the only way to do not become in the disadvantageous position - is to reason it yourself.
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