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kingsuper20

928 karma · joined March 28, 2021

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kingsuper20··on Four years after a man was executed, someone else’s DNA found on murder weapon
Or it could be as simple as improving physical security for police.

Put an Ironman suit on a cop and he isn't going to much care if the potential perp is carrying a knife.

It's a weird gig (street patrol) and it's hard to have a strong opinion on it without actually being a cop or going out on numerous ride-alongs. Naturally, it's easy to come up with 'solutions' behind the safety of a screen.

One thing that brought that home to me is having several friends who are retired COs (Correctional Officers) from the California state system and several friends who are released felons. One thing their stories taught me is that people who are uninvolved in those systems don't know a thing about it and have nearly useless theories on the way things-oughta-be.

kingsuper20··on Rich people do have trouble understanding what it's like to be poor
> 1) the minimum wage doesn't get increased with inflation

Sure it does. It's pretty much unchanged since 1980 (in a sawtooth, they build up some pressure due to inflation and then it jumps up due to legislation).

1960-1980 looks to average around 20% higher.

It's funny how these charts differ.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/01/04/5-facts-abo...

https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/103807392-min-wage-inf...

A strong argument can be made that minimum wage should track GDP, not inflation.

kingsuper20··on Working at a startup is overrated, both financially and emotionally
Looking around, I've been really blessed by putting together a full career of that very sort of thing.

Some things you have to watch, especially if you are selling domain knowledge as an employee, is that products in a given subindustry will tend to become cheaper/higher volume/lower margin over time, the push for Asian manufacture always becomes a reality, and as companies age they acquire the anchor of supporting and repeating old products.

kingsuper20··on A new replication crisis: Research that is less likely to be true is cited more
It would be super interesting to compare the quality of equivalent types of papers coming from academia vs. corporate sources.
kingsuper20··on Rich people do have trouble understanding what it's like to be poor
>Yes, if I want to move to another house in my area I'll pay similarly astronomical prices, but that just means it's about a wash for me,

In California you may well have doubled your annual property tax bill.

kingsuper20··on Four years after a man was executed, someone else’s DNA found on murder weapon
> I wonder how this argument would be applied to police murders of innocents. How do we deal with that?

Realistically I think you'd have to drastically lower the perceived risk of a public interaction to the police. As long as they think they are going to get hurt, they'll feel the need to get in front of the problem.

kingsuper20··on Four years after a man was executed, someone else’s DNA found on murder weapon
The state is sure good at killing innocent people in other countries.

I'm going to have to vote for the death penalty, of course with high standards of proof. If anything, the whole idea of bolting people into a small box for 50-60 years is a much more perverse idea. Only the US could invent something like a Supermax prison (although the Black Dolphin looks like no picnic, the Russian answer to abolishing the death penalty).

edit: I'll add that the US justice system (and probably any other) appears quite arbitrary in it's punishment. The sentences people receive and actually serve can be all over the map.

kingsuper20··on Working at a startup is overrated, both financially and emotionally
It's a thing that engineers (particularly software, hardware guys aren't as rude) really have to watch.

Given the tendency for programmers to be that edgy libertarian atheist guy, it's easy to be unthinkingly rude to a coworker who is of a churchly persuasion.

kingsuper20··on Working at a startup is overrated, both financially and emotionally
I was just musing about how the definition of 'startup' has changed. I've worked in a couple plus a few post-startup small companies, but they always involved a fairly expensive piece of boutique hardware. At best, stock options might mean a decent bonus after a few years and you work as long as they pay you. You take the job because it's interesting and because it's more fun to lay track than to fix it. Using folding tables is always better than dealing with some middle managers three ring binder of yearly performance review.

Seriously, just how many startups in the last ten+ years involve anything but some sort of internet service/social media/advertising software construct with (usually) the hope of selling the company? It all sounds kind of depressing.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
. People do this all the time.

. The police never check.

You'd be surprised how expensive an old pickup's registration can be in CA.

The main problem isn't the cheating by low-end tradesmen but that the average schlub's truck is considered a 'commercial' vehicle including registration cost by gross vehicle weight. (at least that's how I understand all of this).

They never make it easy here to do anything, but people will put up with a lot of rules and taxes if it mostly happens to others.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/handbook/vehicle-industry-regi...

Registration is much cheaper if you have a camper shell because the vehicle ceases being 'commercial'.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
You'll probably continue to see camper shells in California due to the absolutely insane registration rules.
kingsuper20··on The Carrington Event: not something to worry about (2020)
With PG&E, who needs Carrington Events?
kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
I liked this line in that article:

"For example, Ford sells both the Focus, a mid-size car that gets 31 mpg on highways, and the F-150, a midsize truck that gets 25 mpg on highways."

I mean, just think about how similar those numbers are given the vehicles. Pretty wild.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
We probably just need fewer people.
kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
Oh well, there's a lot of people doing illogical things out there.

Folks who sit in their Civic every day for a couple of hours because they need to live here and work there.

Folks who own Subarus who rarely, if ever, make use of the AWD.

Folks who never ever use the back seat of their cars and might as well have a car that's 3 feet shorter.

Folks who own cars that can go over 70 mph.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
In the age of purposeful blackouts for fire prevention or due to an undersized grid it makes all the sense in the world.

There's a lot of $10k-$15k natgas whole house generators going in around my neighborhood.

Your view of electricity reliability depends on where you live.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
Pretty cool. I'd buy one if they made a regular cab, short bed, base model version. Not gonna happen. Probably never will since it isn't a matter of simply producing a shorter frame and altering the body shell. Not enough call for it.

In my case (not that anyone cares), lower end trucks are fairly optimal. Low repair costs, don't care about gas mileage (not enough miles/year), good visibility, don't ever need a back seat, ease of repair and accessibility, need space for transporting big and tall stuff often enough. Kind of a no-brainer.

The emergency house power angle is the killer app for me. Plus never going to a gas station, changing oil, etc.

You do have to wonder how much longer any EV subsidy can last. It highly favors wealthier people (due to the tie to income tax in many cases) and won't hold up to widespread adoption of EVs

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
I expect that after the first month the truck-driving Americans will turn cannibal and eat the Subaru-driving Americans.

I give them six months of survival.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
It's odd that talking on a cell phone while driving is illegal, but messing with those user interfaces is perfectly safe.
kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
>Apparently the Nissan Leaf for example was strictly manufactured to generate credits/offset the environmental impact of the Nissan truck and van line that could not be adjusted to meet the CAFE standards.

Which seems pretty crazy if the net effect is that any car manufacturer has to produce a full line if they want to build any inefficient cars.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
...or simply how fast a modern pickup truck is generally.

It's worth checking out the 1/4 mile times from guys with RCSB F150s, whether it's an Ecoboost or a Coyote.

At this point, I'd say that the main limitation tends to be traction issues.

kingsuper20··on 2022 Ford F-150 Lightning
I expect that a real advantage to an EV F150 over any Tesla truck (or car) will be repair costs, most particularly collision repairs.

Of course, they'll always cost more than the estimates, plus you get to throw in sales tax and the annual registration tithe to the state.

I'm always surprised that people are willing to spend so much on new vehicles but I guess it keeps the money moving through the economy. The spice must flow.

kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
In addition there's urban and there's urban.

Remove the imperial capitals (DC or London) or financial capitals (London or New York) and the next tier down ain't so much.

kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
The natural endgame for that is to place all governmental function at the federal level.
kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
I do have to wonder if it wouldn't be simpler to just move state functions, as many as are practical, to the county level.

Counties are perfectly capable of being 100% in charge of their own schools, roads, police. They largely are, but subject to a great deal of probably unnecessary state control.

kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
>Given the article's mention of Rural vs Urban I lean towards the belief that this is driven by a sense of both conservative values in government and probably a lack of understanding in how the government of the people serves the people. More precisely how taxes and math work.

Given the metastasizing of the FIRE (finance, insurance, real estate) sections of the economy, and their typical concentration in urban areas, I'd say that rural areas are basically in the same position as a colony to a colonial power.

Shipping cheap raw materials to the cities, who in turn own the shares, banks, and mortgages, has always been pretty common.

Of course, if you are in favor of colonialism....

kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
>I'm not sure what you're referring to.

In the sense that any modern trend (let's say 1920-2020) isn't old enough to really compare to something that's truly long term. It's to early to say. That, and we all have to deal with Historian's Fallacy.

I also have to say that I think that most of the Earth's land surface has more value as real estate (above and below ground) than it has as some sort of tech/people stack.

I freely admit that German is less likely to invade France (or France to invade Germany or Russia or Russia or Italy for that matter) in the modern era...assuming that wars are fought for purely profit-seeking motives.

kingsuper20··on Five Oregon counties vote to leave state, create 'Greater Idaho'
It might be worth rethinking your notions of 'long term'.

Typically, there's a kind of time dilation where things that have happened recently seem both historically normal and of a longer duration than they really are.

kingsuper20··on The End of Retirement (2014)
What exactly do you think 'culture' means?
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