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Just out of curiosity - has anyone tried logging and analyzing Facebook traffic from their phone to see what kind of voice traffic it picks up?

Controversial and tangential, I know.

Consider this: Any organization is a system of people in roles, let's call them members. The members are expected to make decisions in accordance with their responsibilities. All decisions rest on the available information. The human mind is imperfect, including limitations in memory, and an emotional context for the information.

So, an organization is typically a tree of people making decisions, which together form a system.

A number of these systems are operating on and near Syrian territory. The dynamics may best be described as utter chaos.

Furthermore, I don't believe there has been any instance in the history of mankind where a rocket has performed a successful investigation of crimes.

It's well worth the karma hit if this may trigger someone to come up with better ideas than more rockets.

What is easy to understand, but hard to illustrate is cyclic patterns of impulse - response.

Without the impulse, no response. However, it is the response that drives the nature of the dynamics.

I've recently paid attention to this phenomenon, and believe the concept can be adapted also to human phenomena.

As heads-of-state Trump and Putin have misunderstood each other's communications for some time, it is only natural that they are distrustful.

Each one expects the words of the other to lead to a response they can understand.

I decided that I am certain enough to model a solution to the armed conflict in Syria on my blog. The analysis is based on my understanding of graph theory and studies of the nation state stakeholders in the conflict.

https://blog.henrikscorner.net/2018/04/10/a-suggestion-for-r...

https://blog.henrikscorner.net/2018/04/11/syria-analysis-bor...

Sorry to answer to my own post. I joined Facebook last week. After eleven years of refusing to play Facebook's game.

Here's the information I gathered from 20 minutes on Facebook - a powerful platform indeed.

The author (Sarah Frier) seems to be on good terms with the CXOs of Facebook:

CPO Chris Cox https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-facebook-reactions-c...

COO Sheryl Sandberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-04-27/how-shery...

CEO Mark Zuckerberg https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-facebook-virtual-rea...

To drive it all home: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-22/how-fake-... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-09-21/mark-zuck... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-11/facebook-s...

The article quotes "people familiar with the matter". For all we know, this could be a controlled leak, and the "people familiar with the matter" could be CXOs and Facebook's core management team. :)

Funny to see the alleged data abuse giant unravelling with all the hustle and bustle of upper management panic.

Submitter here. It seems some types of surveys in psychology may be more affected by the words chosen than previously accounted for.

Based on my own analyses, I can't see how Bitcoin will survive. Other "bitcoins" (cryptocurrencies) will surely arise to fill the gap.

Time to call it for me: The fundamental value of Bitcoin is naught point nothing. USD 0.00 EUR 0.00 etc.

Tax evasion pressures, money laundering pressures, commercial pressures, exchanges "losing" bitcoins all the time - and now child pornography hidden within the blockchain itself?

Whatever the current status of the open source project(s) and whether they can play nice - can anyone explain how this can turn out well for Bitcoin?

Strictly speaking, one may end up with a separate set projections for e.g. dividends. These may in a standardized way present ranges for each KPI with confidence intervals associated.

I'd rather invest if that type of data were included. :)

As this is a somewhat large topic, I'll elaborate further throughout the series of blog posts.

I forgot to answer your question: "I want to know if any orgs actually use probabilistic decision making in their day to day operations."

The short answer is "yes!" The long answer is, well, rather lengthy.

Check out the fields of advanced analytics and BI.

That is an excellent point!

That is the very reason I believe the current system should be augmented with a new first class financial statement, rather than replaced. This will give investors better information, and managers will gain better decision support.

Those who prefer the old way of doing things remain free to carry on as before. Those who embrace it may compete better.

Of course, the same mechanism may prove useful for governmental organizations.

Thinking is hard. That's why we must strive to avoid it at all costs. :)

Probabilistic thinking is useful to wrap one's head around.

Having worked with decision support for a decade, I've come to realize that probabilistic thinking may or may not be useful to work into organizational decision making regarding change.

It's still a thought experiment, but I'll put in a shameless plug for the first of a series of blog entries: https://blog.henrikscorner.net/2018/02/25/a-modest-proposal/

In case of concerns: The blog itself is unmonetized.

A single blow of a hammer to the head may cause a cracked skull and/or massive hemorrhaging. It could be instantly lethal, or cause death even after medical attention is given. Even with survival, there's a distinct risk of later disabilities - mental or motoric.

In this particular ambush, the only right thing is to shoot the assailant. If some cops could handle this situation without their firearm (and they were confident enough this wouldn't risk their partner's life or health), then that would surely be the exception rather than the rule.

It's not a strange assumption to make, given how the prefix system works for true SI units. The litre/liter is defined as a decimeter cubed, or 0,1 m^3. It is a metric unit, but not SI. Still, it is allowed within the SI system...

Similar idiocy does happen to European tourists/visitors.

Google "John Kristoffer Larsgard" for an AG's narrative that makes no sense, yet made it all the way to court and a conviction. (Astroturfing on both sides - look for the facts.)

For me, the US is indefinitely off my itineraries, both private and business. I've lived there for years, and I liked it, but the risk of becoming a pawn in some elected law enforcement official's scramble for reelection - or pissing off the wrong police officer - carries too much risk.

> This is why IT people have a bad reputation in the world of socially adjusted adults.

Come on! You run around saying things like this about large groups of people. How is that better than using master/slave about machines?

Hint: It's much, much worse.

"Not doing something" as a professional service?

A) Why should I believe you?, and B) Is this some metaphorical or religious uncleanliness you mean when you say filthy?

These issues fixed, you might have presented coherent argument.

With all due respect: No molecule is a mathematical formula. Mathematical formulas - on the other hand - are.

Patents on software are a patent on describing how to use a machine. Almost every single component part of the machine has surely been patented at some point.

How many times do we need to patent the use of a computer and/or networks before we're done with this nonsense?

That you put yourself last is a question of modesty, not grammar :)

"Am I free to go?"

Regarding [1], in the favour of regexps: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regular_language

If you can't use a regexp to recognize the general case of email addresses, no finite automaton can..

The wear is per axle, not per wheel.

It looks like the conclusion was read exactly right. A car with 2000lbs per axle will put sixteen times more wear on the road than one with 1000lbs.

Before Nazi Germany it was just Germany. Unless one is racist against Germans, one must in the interest of humanity seek to understand exactly how that transition happened.

In my observation, the rule that people get promoted to their highest level of incompetence holds true way too often.

I.e. the incompetent new guy just has to fake it long enough that he gets promoted. Now his incompetence has leverage. He can most likely shove responsibility onto others, and eventually gets promoted again. More leverage.

If I were to start an organization, I would make damned sure that every single new hire could do what they were hired to do - and then some. Otherwise, the office dynamics may lead to a stagnant organization over time.

Agreed. It is quite amazing what modern ANSI SQL has built into it. If one picks the right storage engine, an appropriate schema design and is rigorous about data quality, the flexibility and performance is incredible.

Patenting file formats make no sense to me. They are serializations of data, and although it can be convoluted how best to store a given representation of data the component parts must fall within mathematics.

Not to mention the cost in time.

He is obviously concerned to keep his good name.

Assuming he can back up his narrative with facts in court, I cannot imagine Opera has a leg to stand on. If he followed up the conversation with the CEO with a clear email, then there is documentation in place. That the CEO hasn't responded should have no bearing, as an oral agreement is considered as binding as a contract in Norway.

Two problems: 1) I haven't been around for a couple of thousand years, neither have today's women. 2) Overcompensation is the most common of human traits. Ought we not strive for what is fair today?

Shouldn't the airline crew be professional about it?

Flight attendant: "Someone back here has some issues they want to run by you"

Pilot: "What is it?"

Flight attendant: "They think the language is too coarse in the movie."

Pilot: "Tell them to suck bollocks."

Flight attendant -> Passenger: "Sorry, Sir. The captain won't do anything about it."