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canoebuilder

345 karma · joined April 12, 2008

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canoebuilder··on Why We're Updating the Minimum BitPay Payment Amount to $100
If I pay for something using LN am I going to find it a superior experience to paying with cash or card, or am I going to find it a cumbersome experience for which I am charged an exorbitant fee?
canoebuilder··on Cannabis reverses aging processes in the brain
Ha! Top notch work on the photo choice there!
canoebuilder··on Why We're Updating the Minimum BitPay Payment Amount to $100
Are there any real world implementations of LN?

Can it operate on it's own, or does it need to be a layer on top of a cryptocoin network?

What incentive do LN node operators have to operate?

canoebuilder··on Why We're Updating the Minimum BitPay Payment Amount to $100
If you externalize the costs of verifying that to third parties, you lose properties that make Bitcoin

Isn't that what "off-chain transactions" and the "Lightning Network" are?

canoebuilder··on The Can’t-Lose Way for Your Business to Pop: Add Bitcoin to Its Name
However, in '99/'00, even in '94-'96 there were many sorts of things one could say to a friend, "Hey look at this cool thing you can do on the web!" and your friend would say "Wow! Yeah that is cool!"

What are the equivalents with cryptocurrencies/blockchains? I ask this all the time, no one seems to have an answer.

The extent of the discussion around cryptocurrencies seems to be rambling on about things that either, no one understands, few people care about, or as a solution to a "problem" that few people if any, actually have. But people are "really excited" about these obscure curiosities, because if they can get other people about excited too they can sell their holdings for more than they paid for them.

The comparison between the web and cryptocoins seems really strained because not only can you not show the average Joe anything that would really impress him done with a cryptocurrency, beyond an irrational exuberance, but also because the two are so vastly different in scope.

The impetus of bitcoin was about an experiment of enacting a certain type of monetary system related to a certain political philosophy. In comparison the web is basically infinite. You can read about, write about, or discuss that political philosophy, or any of a hundred others, or you can do any of millions of other things having nothing to do with a political philosophy.

One of the great legacies of the web is the dematerialization and demonetization it wrought due to zeroing out reproduction and distribution costs.

Now we have people pretending that code that can be literally copy and pasted to start a new network of ____coin is somehow super wow! valuable!

canoebuilder··on Google Maps' Moat
If it's the type of autonomous cars that are prototyped today, they are definitely going to be dependent on invasive data collection.

Does it get sent back to the mothership? How is it processed? Is it discarded? Who has access?

When data is the new oil, these questions answer themselves if there is not legislation to prevent it.

Such data would be hugely attractive for commercial interests.

Hedge-funds and the like, use aerial imagery to get data like the amount of cars in parking lots at shopping areas.

With a fleet of cars with 360 degree cameras driving around, not only could the number of people on the sidewalks be counted, but it would be technically possible to identify most of them.

canoebuilder··on Google Maps' Moat
The vehicle should be using its maps as a general guide, not as some kind of ground truth.

Not to sound like a jerk, but I would be shocked if there were anyone working on this that was not pursuing things in this way. It just seems kind of obvious that you can't have some big hunk of metal rolling around, following some abstracted track from a map, without "looking" where it is going.

canoebuilder··on Google Maps' Moat
Good point, the map is not the territory and the cars are engaging with the territory.

Another interesting thing to consider, should there be widespread use of autonomous vehicles is the absolutely massive deployment of digital sensors that would entail, and who would use this data and to what ends? It would basically be realtime Streetview.

canoebuilder··on There are now more than 200k pending Bitcoin transactions
a state sanctioned E-Coin system

We have these, they're called debit cards, credit cards, paypal, etc.

For anything "state-sanctioned," centralized and "trustful" systems are always going to be more efficient, and chosen over less efficient and inferior options.

This is why it's hard to see where something like bitcoin would ever find widespread use, it's only good for non-"state-sanctioned" things.

If large numbers of people were to start doing non-"state-sanctioned" things, they wouldn't start using bitcoin, they would change the laws of the state.

canoebuilder··on There are now more than 200k pending Bitcoin transactions
If you're in good standing with the various governmental authorities, what are the scenarios that make it worthwhile to convert to some cryptocoin, "send a transaction," then convert back on the other end? There are traditional channels for sending money to various places, what do these extra steps get me?

You may feel a $20 fee is negligible, how about a 1% price move? 10%?

It's funny how often one sees these sort of high-dollar scenarios described for this "decentralized"! "currency of the people"!

Like, sending million dollar wires is a fairly niche market, and to my knowledge people regularly engaging in such things seem to be getting along just fine, there not crying out desperately for a better solution. And how exactly is bitcoin better for doing this if your million dollar transactions don't consist of the spoils from an exchange hack, exit scam or the like?

It's just a very reliable network for sending very big transactions.

Do you think the traditional channels for sending million dollar wires are unreliable? This seems like an area where the market is likely to converge on the very most reliable options and any service provider in this area with even a hint of unreliability would rapidly fade away.

canoebuilder··on Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional
Can we all take a moment to appreciate the irony here?

You're enthused about dealing with cryptocurrencies for reasons of being insured by a centralized, third-party, who you've placed your trust in.

canoebuilder··on Coinbase: The Heart of the Bitcoin Frenzy
for which there is some hard evidence of it's existence

Who is transacting monetarily in bitcoin? Why do they find it superior to other options? Is this a growing cohort?

canoebuilder··on Coinbase: The Heart of the Bitcoin Frenzy
This is what I've always thought, to find a real footing there has to be some economy to which bitcoin/some cryptocurrency is the lingua franca, the closest we've seen in that regard is silk road, et al. and ransomware, if you want to call those economies.

But here's the problem with this idea as being some buoy for bitcoin/cryptocurrencies, once an economy of this sort develops with some semblance of structure, that market is going to seek out inefficiencies. First on the chopping block? A massively inefficient distributed currency system.

For this reason I think any sustainable use case of a bitcoin like system is necessarily rather niche, and rather 'seedy' or worse, ransomware, etc. But if all the bitcoin dreamers fade away, it becomes much easier to counteract the use of btc-like systems for ransomware extortions and the like.

canoebuilder··on Regarding the NiceHash security breach
I would like to see banks operate Bitcoin accounts.

This is completely antithetical to bitcoin. Upon reading that sentence, I thought surely this is a joke.

Not only is a bank account for bitcoins completely antithetical to the very notion of bitcoin, but it eliminates any need for bitcoin's central innovation, a distributed, unified verification system in the form of a 'blockchain,' generated by a clever utilization of P and NP.

Money is fungible, it doesn't really matter if I have dollars, or pesos, or yen in my bank account. The only reason you want a bank account for bitcoin is because you want a bank account with magic internet money that magically, irrationally increases in value until it doesn't. And you don't want the headache of worrying about all the potential missteps when messing about with your magic internet money.

canoebuilder··on Coinbase: The Heart of the Bitcoin Frenzy
that crypto currencies are really just starting and there is a very high ceiling

Starting at what?

What is the value proposition that is actually in play here, for which there is some hard evidence of it's existence, other than a speculative frenzy?

It's a bit galling how many people this go 'round are just outright saying "yeah, it's a ponzi, come on guys hop on! there's a high ceiling! hope you get your chair when the music stops!"

canoebuilder··on My unusual hobby
Given your moderation style of politely asking people not to contribute certain manner of things, I now understand that was probably your intent here.

But my first reading of this comment was as a wry response to the content of the parent comment.

And that is why natural language is not a formal system!

canoebuilder··on Free online courses from top universities
>How do you measure intelligence for school admissions?

The same way psychologists and the military measure intelligence.

>Wouldn't that introduce biases?

Like what?

>What makes you think this is what college is for nowadays?

Colleges and Universities have historically been and should always be about the preservation and pursuit of knowledge. If that is what is being optimized for, then you should also optimize for intelligence because the two are inextricably linked.

canoebuilder··on Free online courses from top universities
What about making admission simply based on intelligence plus the interest/initiative to apply, instead of jumping through various hoops?

That wouldn't dilute status because only 1 percent of the population is in the top percentile of intelligence.

canoebuilder··on Impact of Depression and Its Treatment on Productivity
In a sense, being productive is the meaning and purpose of life.

First one must determine what goals, tasks, and activities are the most worthwhile and broadly beneficial to pursue. Then pursuing and being productive in moving towards those things brings happiness, contentment, meaning, and fulfillment.

Easy to type, harder to do, but worth pursuing.

canoebuilder··on Due to Bitcoin network fees, customer loses $10 trying to buy $25 game on Steam
Out of curiosity, with your less than stellar experience actually using it, what makes you view it as an attractive investment?
canoebuilder··on Bitcoin Is More Expensive to Keep Safe Than Gold
>deterministically (and reproducibly) produces one U.S. dollar of value.

Can that really be said of anything, with the nature of markets, and supply and demand?

If I invest in solar panels, or oil wells, then the expected value per unit sold of the product I produce will be dependent on a massive number of predictable and unpredictable inter-playing forces in a global complex system.

While I can make forecasts of an average expected unit price by studying historical prices, factors affecting them, probabilities of various events, etc. there is also the case that my very selling of the product has an effect on the price I can expect.

As a supplier at a certain scale I can expect revenues to follow a downward curve, with each unit supplied a certain amount of demand is satisfied and thus lowering the overall market price and my expected revenue.

It's not exactly a one-way curve, at higher supplies and lower prices, new avenues of demand can be opened and prices can follow a curve upward.

I like the idea and thinking you've proposed here, but it seems like the complexity of markets is more complicated than Kolmogorov complexity.

It seems the like what produces value in terms of the most optimal ratio between input and output is always in flux. And when a maxima of optimal value is found all the mechanisms of market forces work against it being deterministic and precisely reproducible.

I think to deduce a measure like you proposed in an economic context you would have to have a product that is absolutely finite in potential supply and all potential uses for the product strictly defined, enumerable, and un-extendable. And therefore lowering JumpCrisscross complexity would simply be a matter of optimizing production costs.

But I'm not sure any such scenario exists, it would require a deterministic understanding of the universe and it's constituent parts that we don't have and it would have to preclude the ingenuity and creativity that seem to be key human qualities that drive the flux and change we see in the world.

canoebuilder··on Bitcoin Is More Expensive to Keep Safe Than Gold
In most cases the unwieldiness of a ton of gold compared to X number of crypto-coins serves as a superior security mechanism for a 'store of value.'

A ton of gold exists in a single time and space, meaning security measures are highly localized and conveyance to another location requires a non-trivial energy expenditure.

The more or less "pure information" basis of crypto-currencies mean the security mechanisms surrounding them must be "global," they can be potentially accessed unauthorized by someone anywhere on the planet through means of social engineering, exploiting faulty code, or similar. And once accessed the "pure information" can vanish from the reach of the ostensible owner with just a few electrons cycling through a few circuits.

In fact what percentage of the total supply of bitcoin were acquired in just such a manner?

canoebuilder··on Bitcoin Is More Expensive to Keep Safe Than Gold
That's a very good point, people like to paint the hyper-mobility of transference of crypto-currencies as superior to precious metals. But for most people seeking a "store of value" they are more interested in having that value sit somewhere safe and undisturbed.

And from this point of view the propensity for a crypto-currency to suddenly vanish if every 'i' is not dotted and every 't' not carefully crossed, is rightly seen as a liability for the 'store of value' game.

Also interesting to consider is the kind of security precaution spread that exists between between various value levels in precious metals, vs. crypto-currencies.

For example, consider the difference in security mechanisms employed by someone storing a couple gold coins in a box in their house, vs. Fort Knox.

Whereas your security precautions for storing $10, or $1,000,000 in crypto-currency are not a whole lot different.

canoebuilder··on Reddit is reportedly considering an IPO
There is no such thing as hate speech, as something that can be objectively identified and reasoned about.

You can have free speech or you can have "hate speech."

Hate is an emotion, a label people apply to the way they feel. The way you feel is your choice. Emotions and feelings are variable and subjective.

Freedom is absolute and objective, something is free or it isn't.

__

it's exciting to imagine

What exactly excites you about such a scenario, from an open discourse and marketplace of ideas perspective?

canoebuilder··on Does anyone remember websites?
http://fusionanomaly.net/nodebase.html
canoebuilder··on The great thaw of America’s north is coming
I'd guess that the amount of energy harvestable in the form of sunlight from otherwise unused land far exceeds the amount of energy in the form of coal resources in Australia.

But how to ship it to China and India? Set up some high voltage lines? Convert the locally generated electricity to some form of transportable, easily re-convertible embodied energy?

canoebuilder··on The great thaw of America’s north is coming
If you just want a copy of a paper

If you search the title or visit the author's homepage you can sometimes find a copy hosted, and these days there is of course sci-hub.

canoebuilder··on The great thaw of America’s north is coming
I wonder how much these sorts of accounts are attributable to the beat of the Climate Doom drum combined with human recollection which is notoriously unreliable, malleable, and open to suggestion.

The US has just exited a period of a record setting "hurricane drought," so maybe the hurricane remnant weather seems unusual because no such storms have made landfall in the US for the past decade plus.

That this year had a cluster of large storms isn't really indicative of anything in and of itself. Most things appear to happen in clusters. Things aren't perfectly evenly distributed.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/major-hurricane-us...!

canoebuilder··on The Bitcoin Apocalypse Is Coming in Mid-November
Call me old-fashioned, but I think that type of institutional money going into inflated tech stocks is a completely different ball game than that kind of money going into something like bitcoin, that weird "internet money" thing most people don't really grok, or understand how to use or indeed what exactly the use is.

dot com stocks themselves may have been a lot of hype but at least they had the precedence of several hundred years of capital market infrastructure around them to lend some credence.

canoebuilder··on “The Domestic Dog”, featuring two decades of new evidence
>* I'm not sure there's any evidence that there's a problem with vegetable oils either.*

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=pufa+cancer&t=h_&ia=web

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