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alexpotato

7,040 karma · joined August 29, 2014

blog (http://alexpotato.com/blog)
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alexpotato··on Device detection and occupancy monitoring for Airbnb hosts
Wouldn't this be possible with a NUC/RaspberryPi and a bluetooth adapter?

e.g. if you suddenly start seeing tons of beacons above the historical maximum, that's a good indicator.

(Not trying to be "dropbox is just rsync", just commenting on the iOS only limitation)

alexpotato··on Forever Junior: The Skills AI Can't Develop for You
> The catch is that I'm starting to do things where I haven't experienced those struggles in prior times, for example, web app development for my data work. I don't feel confident that I'm doing a good work, I'm just vibing, don't know the implications of some decisions

The great part about LLMs is that you can chat with them about the design, ask them to compare it best practices, come up with a different approach etc.

> We are on strange times.

Agreed!

alexpotato··on Write Like It's 1866: LLMs Relearn Telegraphese
Actor to Winston Churchill:

"Show premiere Oct 10th STOP Bring a friend STOP If you have one STOP"

Winston Churchill to actor:

"Can't make premiere STOP Will come to second showing STOP If there is one STOP"

alexpotato··on Forever Junior: The Skills AI Can't Develop for You
Many years ago I was working at a firm that investigated stock pump and dump schemes on Yahoo Finance message boards.

We had to scrape the boards and then analyze messages to see if we could identify the identity of the people running the schemes.

This was 2002 and I wasn't aware that the LWP::Simple existed in Perl (aka the requests library in Python).

I ended up using basic TCP socket libraries to connect to port 80 and do http requests. It was, to put it mildly, a major pain in the ass.

That being said, I learned a TON about how http, tcp, html, etc all work together. 20+ years later, I still use some of that knowledge when analyzing network protocols at work.

I mention this b/c nothing is stopping people from doing similar projects now. e.g. Linux from scratch [0] is one great example of learning fundamentals even though we now have 1 click "launch me a Linux VPS" options.

Joel Spolsky make this point too. Even if you are using Java, it's still helpful to understand how CPUs interact with cache because the highest performance comes from optimizing the whole stack.

0 - https://www.linuxfromscratch.org/

alexpotato··on Mathematics of Geothermal Energy
In Michael Lewis book Boomerang [0], there is a chapter about Iceland and he mentions geothermal.

My understanding:

- b/c of geothermal, huge amounts of electricity are available for low cost

- Iceland being an island makes it VERY expensive to build/transport goods back and forth

- The above combo means that aluminum smelting is the only industry where the electricity availability outweighed the costs of transport and being on an island.

0 - https://amzn.to/4j8r3bO

alexpotato··on Mathematics of Geothermal Energy
The "airships riding on clouds of Venus" is a scifi genre that we need way more of.
alexpotato··on How to save a life without knowing CPR
A co-worker once went into cardiac arrest and, thankfully, survived due to another co-worker performing CPR. I held the affected co-worker's head while the CPR was being performed.

I write more about the whole process here: https://x.com/alexpotato/status/2094412327785316661

Some key takeaways:

- I had taken CPR many times before

- I watched the entire even unfold from watching co-worker walk in to seizure like symptoms to not breathing to urinating on themselves

- I essentially "froze"

- This was despite having years of working in high stress environments (sports tournaments/SRE on a trading floor)

- I was literally overcome by events and could not process what was happening (despite the prior training and dealing with outages etc etc)

I HIGHLY recommend that everyone, at a minimum, watch a video on how to perform CPR. Even better, take a class.

And even if you take a class, practice on a couch cushion every once in a while.

It's just like with 911:

there are stories of people in an emergency dialing 411 b/c they were overwhelmed.

In other words, fire drills exist for a reason and the same concept can be used for CPR.

alexpotato··on One person can now be a quorum at the SEC
I believe it was CFTC that had a rule that no two members of its governing body could ever be in the same private space at the same time.

The idea being that they could not discuss important matters privately but only when in the official committee discussions.

This included elevators so if one of them was about to get on and the other one was already there, the first person had to let the elevator go without them.

alexpotato··on The Tao of Backup
Obligatory link to the story about how Toy Story 2 got deleted.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dhp_20j0Ys

PS If you work in DevOps, SRE or Storage, this video may give you a panic attack

alexpotato··on So you think you could be an electrician?
> If you showed up regularly, well, the world was your oyster.

There was a great tweet recently:

"There is a reason the babysitter that shows up 100% of time makes more than double the babysitter who only shows up 80% of time"

alexpotato··on So you think you could be an electrician?
> But as the company was growing, the technical and managerial skills were harder to come by and they wanted me to give it a shot

This is another good point:

being good at solving problems is different than being good at a specific technical skill.

e.g. there is a reason patio11 has his "don't call yourself a programmer" [0] post.

0 - https://www.kalzumeus.com/2011/10/28/dont-call-yourself-a-pr...

alexpotato··on A 12-year sequence of telescope images of a star and four planets orbiting
> I've always hated speculation based on this equation because most of the variables are complete shots in the dark.

The "stars with planets" fell into the "shots in the dark" when the equation was first created but then technology advanced and now we know for sure.

Also, even if just one parameter goes from not zero but near zero to near one, that is a HUGE increase in probability that life exists somewhere else in the universe.

alexpotato··on A 12-year sequence of telescope images of a star and four planets orbiting
Yes, this exactly!

The benefit of the "pez dispenser" is that you can very efficiently send up lots of the parts and then deploy them into gigantic arrays.

alexpotato··on Your body of work thinks back at you
I've heard the benefits of a diary going two ways (sometimes both simultaneously):

- You realize that your life was following an arc that you didn't realize at the time. e.g. you worked on similar projects, dated the same type of person etc but you can only see that when you look back in retrospection.

- Your perceived arc was really a series of random events in your life that you made the best of.

Both of these can be true because lives are complex and multifaceted. e.g. your dating life can be on an actual arc but your career can seem like an arc in hindsight but your diary shows that you just took whatever job seemed to be most interesting at the time.

alexpotato··on So you think you could be an electrician?
I've done manual labor in both construction and at a lumber mill.

Invariably, the following happened:

- I was given grunt work as a I was the new/junior guy

- Did this for about 1.5 weeks

- After the above, someone (usually the owner's wife) would say something like: "Instead of Alex doing grunt work, why doesn't he helps us <fix technology thing>"

And that ranged from "order us a new computer" to "fix the North American Controls lumber sorter machine".

My point is: Being able to solve complex problems is a surprisingly transferable skill. It's so transferable that even in the trades, if you can solve those problems, people will identify it and rapidly move you to the most complex problems they have.

alexpotato··on Venice’s failed war against Constantinople led to the first bond market
Arms dealers make money on both sides of the war.
alexpotato··on A 12-year sequence of telescope images of a star and four planets orbiting
A. I watched a documentary on the plane about SpaceX where they showed the Pez dispenser working and it was amazing.

B. You could have multiple panels operate as a swarm. There could be many "mirrors" that focus images on one central "collector". That would be larger than any telescope that needs to be shipped as one unit e.g. James-Webb.

alexpotato··on A 12-year sequence of telescope images of a star and four planets orbiting
For those that don't know, the Drake equation [0] included a term for "percentage of stars with at least one orbiting planet".

That was originally assumed to be non-zero but very low. Modern planet hunting techniques have revised that number to be close to 100%. [1]

0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation

1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation#:~:text=Fractio...

alexpotato··on Mike Tomlin spent 12 years building a Minecraft city
Immediately made me think of this exchange:

Ryan Bingham: [after informing Bob that he has been let go] Your resume says you minored in French Culinary Arts. Most students work the frier at KFC. You bussed tables at Il Picatorre to support yourself. Then you got out of college and started working here. How much did they pay you to give up on your dreams?

Bob: Twenty seven thousand a year.

Ryan Bingham: At what point were you going to stop and go back to what made you happy?

Bob: that's a good question.

From Up In The Air: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkX-TPaodoM

alexpotato··on A brief history of the Bloomberg terminal
Teaching my kids to ride bicycles has reminded me how amazing humans are:

A primate that evolved primarily to climb trees first and then run on the savanna somehow learned how to balance on a two wheeled machine.

And you can extend that out into things like neurosurgery and air to air combat.

alexpotato··on The GPU Black Market That Washington Can't Shut Down
> An automated DVD burner is no larger than a mini fridge. Unless they meant to say a DVD press, those are much larger

Sorry, yes, I meant to say press.

alexpotato··on The GPU Black Market That Washington Can't Shut Down
Many years ago I worked for a firm that supported efforts to fight movie piracy for the MPAA.

One of our client reps was at a meeting where a video was shown and he described a raid in Hong Kong:

- it starts in a back alley filled with trash

- then moves through a doorway of an incredibly dirty apartment

- there is a closet with dirty clothes piled in it

- the clothes are moved away and then is a small door in the back of the closet

- the door opens into a tunnel that you have to crawl through

- there is another door

- when you go through that door you enter a state of the art clean room with an industrial DVD burning machine turning out hundreds of DVDs a day.

One of the most notable things about this is that there were parts of the machine that were larger than any entrance to the room. The MPAA folks were genuinely curious as to how the machine even got into that room.

I love to tell this story as it shows the level of ingenuity pirates will go through to produce knock off products.

alexpotato··on Before pixels: Modular industrial dashboards
In the late 1990s or maybe early 2000s, there was a documentary about FedEx and they filmed inside their central operations room.

All of the planes were tracked on giant panels velcro panels that allowed you to move the plane right (aka "it's moving to the next time slot") or up/down (aka " to another route").

The presenter asked why they hadn't switched to computers and the FedEx employee was saying they were considering it but the current system was working very well for them.

This, in turn, reminds me of this article about the Baghdad stock exchange going from chalkboards to computers. I believe they quote the head of the exchange saying something like "chalk is impervious to power outages but computers are faster"

https://www.rferl.org/a/Iraqi_Stock_Exchange_Trades_Chalkboa...

alexpotato··on Cloudflare K2: serverless event streams
LinkTree is a billion dollar business and it's basically a key value store.
alexpotato··on 56k.rip – the 1996 dial-up internet experience
It seems I can click and drag every window EXCEPT for the first window for Dial Up Networking.

Other than that, this is such a blast from the past.

alexpotato··on LinkedIn Larpmaxxing
This old blog [0] post about recruiters and LinkedIn is fascinating as:

- recruiters used to claim they had "proprietary algorithms" for finding candidates

- it really boils down to them just spamming LinkedIn

- the mechanism the author used to determine the above was via "honeypot" profile

Also, I've been VERY active on Twitter and have written many thread (indexed here [1]) and have written extensively about SRE/technology etc. In the grand scheme of things I've gotten 4 jobs from recruiters reaching out on LinkedIn and only 1 from Twitter threads. The funniest part was that the job offer was downstream of a thread about Satellite TV piracy [2]

0 - https://web.archive.org/web/20120709210034/http://www.ewherr...

1 - https://alexpotato.com/threads/?hn=1

2 - https://x.com/alexpotato/status/1270423060097708035

alexpotato··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
Correct.

I'm just not sure exactly where we are on the "Jevons Paradox Adoption Curve"

alexpotato··on The last time my family was replaced by technology
I think we are very much in the below scenario:

"I'm a carpenter and electric power tools were just invented.

In the short term, people are asking if we need all these carpenters.

In the long term, people will want bigger houses and therefore the demand for carpenters will go up"

We are in the "short term" part of the above.

My real question is how long we spend in that period before moving on to the next one.

alexpotato··on Tank Body Problem
> I grew up playing scorched Earth on Windows 3 just over a thousand years ago,

I remember taking a computer science class in high school and, IIRC, we didn't even have Windows, it was just DOS.

This would have been the mid 1990s.

alexpotato··on Walking Men
If people are into this kind of thing, I highly suggest reading about the DOT pictograms:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DOT_pictograms

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