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SpaceRaccoon

451 karma · joined December 29, 2013

air of mystery and all that
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SpaceRaccoon··on Baltic airlines reroute flights to avoid Belarus airspace
Morales plane was searched. If Snowden was on it, he would have been detained.

It's not that Belarus' actions are admissable. It's that the West is acting in a hypocritical way.

If Belarus had as much power as the US, they surely would have followed the same route and forced all the surrounding nations to close their airspace. The end result would be the same.

SpaceRaccoon··on Statement: AP 'horrified' by Israeli attack on its office
That would be a fair request, if NATO hadn't engaged in similar actions in the past:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO_bombing_of_the_Radio_Te...

SpaceRaccoon··on Brazil Rejects the Gamaleya Vaccine
A reminder that "U.S. officials pushed Brazil to reject Russia’s coronavirus vaccine" [0] for political reasons.

> Under a section titled “Combating malign influences in the Americas,” the HHS report states that countries including Russia “are working to increase their influence in the region to the detriment of US safety and security.” The global affairs office coordinated with other U.S. government agencies “to dissuade countries in the region from accepting aid from these ill-intentioned states,” it says.

The concerted effort to smear the Russian vaccine is clearly the Western version of the anti-vaccine misinformation Russia has been accused of spreading. Textbook projection.

[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/03/16/hhs-brazil-s...

SpaceRaccoon··on Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed
Thanks for the link.

I read the article, but it only states that the first case from December was not linked to the seafood market ("wet market"), but not that it occurred outside of Wuhan. Did I misread something?

By the way, early on I believed that the virus jumped to humans at the seafood market, which was the prevailing theory at the time, it seemed. But as evidence like the above article came out - noting that many early cases had no link to the seafood market, while still being in Wuhan - it raised suspicions, and lent credence to the lab-leak theory.

> There has been rigorous scholarship done on this question. I recommend reading it given your interest in the subject.

I do, but I'm not convinced. A lot of reporting either relies on appeal to authority ("I'm a PhD, and this couldn't possibly happen, so don't question it"), or is purposely obtuse, confusing lab-leak with lab-synthesized, and by dodging the point, hardly alleviates suspicion.

You must understandably excuse me for being a sceptic. I started wearing masks back in February or March, against the advice of the CDC who was telling me masks increase the rate of spread. At the same time I believed that borders should be closed to limit the rate of spread, while the WHO was telling me that closing borders would do no such thing.

So I am not going to believe something just because an expert tells me to, nor do I find it at all scientific to dismiss politically inconvenient possibilities.

SpaceRaccoon··on Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed
I'm not suggesting that either fluid was the pathway by which the virus jumped to humans, nor do I know how it happened, only that evidence suggests researchers interact closely with the animals.

And I am not ready to dismiss the theory but I am always open to hearing evidence to exclude the theory.

SpaceRaccoon··on Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed
> There are a lot of bats in Wuhan.

Except everything I've read indicates the bats carrying the most closely related virus are not in Wuhan, not even close:

> The SARS-CoV-2 virus is most closely related to coronaviruses found in certain populations of horseshoe bats that live about 1,000 miles (1,600 kilometers) away in Yunnan province, China. [0]

[0] https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-wuhan-lab-complicate...

So why would the virus so strongly appear to originate in Wuhan, and not in another city, closer to the bats' native regions? Appears quite statistically unlikely.

SpaceRaccoon··on Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed
Could you explain why evidence that the virus evolved naturally contradicts the lab-leak theory? I'm all ears and waiting to hear the reasoning. As others have pointed out, lab-leak does not imply artificially developed.

> I’m a bioscientist.

And I'm a Bayesian analyst. Surely your position is that it is a coincidence that:

- the virus appeared to originate in Wuhan

- genome sequences from patients were 96% or 89% identical to the Bat CoV ZC45 coronavirus originally found in Rhinolophus affinis

- The bats carrying CoV ZC45 were originally found in Yunnan or Zhejiang province, both of which are more than 900 kilometers away Wuhan

- According to municipal reports and the testimonies of 31 residents and 28 visitors, the bat was never a food source in the city, and no bat was traded in the market

- Wuhan is home to two laboratories conducting research on bat coronavirus

- Within ~280 meters from the market, there was the Wuhan Center for Disease Control & Prevention (WHCDC). WHCDC hosted animals in laboratories for research purposes. In one of their studies, 155 bats including Rhinolophus affinis were captured in Hubei province, and other 450 bats were captured in Zhejiang province

- one of the researchers described that he was once by attacked by bats and the blood of a bat shot on his skin. In another accident, bats peed on him. He was once thrilled for capturing a bat carrying a live tick

Not conclusive by any means, but I have yet to hear reasoning by which we should exclude the lab-leak theory, besides that the virus evolved naturally, which does not contradict the lab-leak theory whatsoever.

Also, from your article:

> As a team of researchers from the WHO

This WHO? [0][1] Doesn't instill much confidence in me, to be sure.

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlCYFh8U2xM

[1] https://www.voanews.com/science-health/coronavirus-outbreak/...

SpaceRaccoon··on Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed
You are indeed misunderstanding the point.

Smallpox is also naturally originating virus. That doesn't prohibit it from leaking from a lab.

SpaceRaccoon··on Silicon Valley Runs on Saudi (2019)
Why?
SpaceRaccoon··on 20% of requests for Wikimedia Commons are for one image of a flower
Is adblock a form of theft?
SpaceRaccoon··on An F-117 pilot and the officer who shot him down meet, 15 years later (2013)
All wars are civil wars, for all men are brothers
SpaceRaccoon··on Russian Pipeline Is Germany's Greatest Foreign Policy Embarrassment
When did Russia threaten to invade an EU country?
SpaceRaccoon··on We Are Preparing a Class Action Lawsuit Against Robinhood
That is unfair? If my short position blows up, I pay. Nobody halts buying because I will have to liquidate everything.
SpaceRaccoon··on The Battle of GameStop
Are you speaking for yourself or-?

I threw in 1k with the hope that it will cost some billionaires a lot of money. I'm ready to lose it. Shorts already lost 100+ billion this month.

SpaceRaccoon··on We Are Preparing a Class Action Lawsuit Against Robinhood
Likely that Citadel sold lots of uncovered calls to RH users.
SpaceRaccoon··on We Are Preparing a Class Action Lawsuit Against Robinhood
Strange how only being allowed to sell and not buy may drive a price down.
SpaceRaccoon··on We Are Preparing a Class Action Lawsuit Against Robinhood
Clearly this arrangement only benefits short sellers.
SpaceRaccoon··on The Battle of GameStop
No, I have friends who have put thousands on the line who are happy to lose it if it bankrupts Melvin Capital.
SpaceRaccoon··on New Transistor Structures At 3nm/2nm
The velocity factor of light in glass is also significantly smaller, about 70%.
SpaceRaccoon··on New Transistor Structures At 3nm/2nm
And the "electric signal" is an electromagnetic wave- also known as light. Nowhere did they imply the speed of light in a vacuum, the speed of light in copper is an equally valid interpretation.
SpaceRaccoon··on The Secure Messaging App Conundrum: Signal vs. Telegram [pdf]
All of Telegram's chat clients are open-source and they provide libraries and encourage people to develop new clients if they'd like.
SpaceRaccoon··on The world must not accept the jailing of Alexei Navalny
"I believe that President Trump's Twitter ban is an unacceptable act of censorship." - Alexey Navalny //twitter.com/navalny/status/1347959515946360833?s=19

I have never been silent about Navalny. He is clearly a political prisoner. However it is important to be consistent, and not only be a critic when it's your adversaries commiting a fault.

SpaceRaccoon··on The world must not accept the jailing of Alexei Navalny
I'm not convinced Assange is innocent of that, I don't think it should be a crime. A lot of Navalny's anti-corruption work involved hacking and "stealing" the emails of corrupt politicians. Do you have a problem with that, too? Manning's "theft" of secret files exposed crimes of the US government to the people.
SpaceRaccoon··on Navalny team releases investigation into ′Putin′s Palace′
Not the Russians who built Moscow-on-Thames.
SpaceRaccoon··on The world must not accept the jailing of Alexei Navalny
What astounds me are the liberals who rightfully call for Navalny's freedom but defend prosecuting Assange and Snowden. Hypocrisy seems to be a consistent feature of politics.
SpaceRaccoon··on Navalny team releases investigation into ′Putin′s Palace′
Unfortunately they enjoy all the dirty Russian money flooding into the likes of London, don't they?
SpaceRaccoon··on Navalny team releases investigation into ′Putin′s Palace′
It's not just an issue with Russians. In the West, many liberals have been convinced Snowden and Assange are traitors for airing the government's dirty laundry and crimes - if you can convince them of that, it's not unbelievable to convince Russians Navalny is a traitor, too.
SpaceRaccoon··on Woman may have tried to sell Pelosi computer device to Russians, FBI says
What do you think the NSA and CIA do on a daily basis if not hack computer networks around the world, friends and adversaries alike?
SpaceRaccoon··on Woman may have tried to sell Pelosi computer device to Russians, FBI says
Ignorance is not an excuse.

In mainstream American discourse being Russian is a crime.

SpaceRaccoon··on Woman may have tried to sell Pelosi computer device to Russians, FBI says
Your claim about the prevailing opinion is not what is being discussed here which is how regular Americans are portrayed in Russian media, which is favourably.
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