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Lambent_Cactus

327 karma · joined April 4, 2011

LC lives and works in Chicago
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Lambent_Cactus··on Ask HN: Why does Cloudflare/hCaptcha care so much about buses, boats and trains?
Yeah, I liked the idea that it's asymmetrical. You use the VK to find replicants trying to pass as human, but to try to make sure they're sufficiently robotic you need something else. Which makes sense: the original VK would be easy to tank if you were _trying_ to act like a replicant.

And narratively I think it works amazingly. The idea of forcing someone to prove that they're sufficiently inhuman ... shudder.

Lambent_Cactus··on Ask HN: Why does Cloudflare/hCaptcha care so much about buses, boats and trains?
There's a haunting version of this in Blade Runner 2049 that they call a "baseline test." Replicants have to prove they're sufficiently robotic by reciting extremely alienating things about themselves in rapid succession:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1h-seEowtDw

Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
Orders of the political police are backstopped by violence. I'm not sure what distinction you're drawing?

Either way, the head-shooting and the stake-burning are Scott Alexander's metaphors here, from the linked SSC post. As the severity, suddenness, and violence of the sanctions heretics actually face go down my intuitions about his Parable of Lightning start to change. Dial them all the way down to Damore's situation (private business terminating at-will employment, for repeated on-the-job behavior that creates HR problems, totally non-violent) and my intuitions flip entirely.

All the rhetorical work of the Parable is done by this false equivalence. That it falls apart when stated so plainly causes me at least to worry about the reliability of SSC's digressive style. What other unfounded assumptions slip through on mood affiliation when you're not disciplined enough to write straightforwardly?

Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
The Eastern Bloc did ... kind of a lot of violent coercion? The penalty for jumping the Berlin Wall was not losing your job.
Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
I did actually check out his twitter feed before writing this, where I saw that his bio, pinned tweet, and several of his most recent tweets (https://twitter.com/JamesADamore/status/1456653034671517703, https://twitter.com/JamesADamore/status/1453034087036424194, https://twitter.com/JamesADamore/status/1448325924756332546), are all about either the memo controversy or other culture war grist. It's who he has decided to be.

Some of the AI-generated art is nice though, so more power to him on that.

Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
Most of his articles could be about a third as long with no loss in clarity. The meandering windups can be _rhetorically_ effective, especially when they appeal to the biases of the reader, as they appeal to mine. But they're not truth-directed, and often obscure weak or blindered reasoinng, as I think they do here.
Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
I'm sure you could come up with a hypothetical prosocial falsehood, like "aliens assassinated JFK for petty reasons, but they're very vain and will destroy the Earth if word gets out." If you become President and learn the real story, you damn sure better stick to the script about the grassy knoll!

But I think it's also possible to have pro-social taboos, particularly if they're attempts to correct for some indefensible (but maybe cognitively appealing or historically convenient) past error.

So for example, imagine a society that long practiced infanticide against the neurodivergent, and state-backed violence, disenfranchisement, and murder against the merely socially awkward. After intense and often violent social struggle, this society now affords them (us) formal equality, but big gaps in wealth and power remain, and a revanchist minority (with a terrorist fringe) openly wishes for a return of the old ways.

That society might develop strong taboos against "just asking questions" about whether shy people really had it so bad, or whether society should worry about whether they're treated fairly, or whether there isn't some innate biological difference that accounts for their relative lack of success. That would probably be a good thing!

There's some amount of epistemic deadweight loss you would happily accept to be extra guarded against backsliding on the core ethical commitments. You might even come out ahead epistemically, where there would otherwise be strong but subtle cultural biases, pressures of ideological convenience, and cognitive-scientific artifacts around in-groups and out-groups that make _false_ claims about the shy, awkward, or neurodivergent more appealing than the objective facts merit.

Lambent_Cactus··on Kolmogorov Complicity and the Parable of Lightning (2017)
The problem with signing up with an underground Straussian heretic network is that if you're not actually beset by the Inquisition or by Stalinism, you're likelier to trap yourself in an epistemic filter bubble than to discover some secret truth.

Damore wasn't burned at the stake or shot in the head; he was fired from one especially cushy software job at a giant, publicly-traded company. And rather than grappling with the effects his memo might have had on such a complex environment, or even sticking to pursuing the empirical facts about his claims, he decided to pursue a career as a right-wing micro-celebrity, only engaging with conservative activists and alt-right trolls. And he's been stuck there ever since, with his fellow culture warriors clapping each other on their backs about what brave heretics they are, instead of getting back to building anything interesting.

Lambent_Cactus··on President Daniels responds to Chinese student's harassment
I seems like a lot hinges on "The identities of the bullies is well known."

The President's letter says "If those students who issues the threats can be identified, they will be subject to appropriate disciplinary sanction." Have the threateners been reliably identified in, for example, press accounts? It seems very possible that in some communities on campus "everyone knows who it is" without the administration actually knowing, or being able to reliably prove, who it was.

Lambent_Cactus··on Tiger Global: How to Win
Ugh, just read the original that this post rips off, which has all the analysis and none of the egregious over-writing.

https://randle.substack.com/p/playing-different-games

Lambent_Cactus··on Algorand – Fast, low fees and sustainable blockchain
The tooling system was ok even then, but core development seemed listless. Vitalik gave a keynote at a conference I went to and talked about why it was actually good for the ecosystem that he and all the core contributors spent all their time traveling to conferences.

Since then, transactions per day on the network have doubled, but gas costs are up 10X in gwei and some truly ludicrous multiplier in dollars. I suspected then that the switch to Proof of Stake and other scaling fixes was the fusion power of ETH, always six months away, and that concern looks really vindicated.

Lambent_Cactus··on Algorand – Fast, low fees and sustainable blockchain
Oh yeah, a proper great power could snuff out Bitcoin, to say nothing of the smaller coins, if they put their mind to it.

If there's a real non-bubble use case, it will have to be around making a bad but much less expensive version of something that's already possible offline, but that requires lots of lawyers to set up.

Lambent_Cactus··on OnlyFans drops planned porn ban
OnlyFans is a classic two-sided marketplace with strong network effects. The more paying customers are already on the site the more attractive it is for new performers to choose OnlyFans as their platform, and the more performers there are on OnlyFans, the stronger the value proposition is for customers. That tends to give you a winner-take-all (or at least winner-take-most) market, where if you can establish a dominant market position is becomes self-reinforcing, you become very hard to displace, and can command very large profit margins. It's exactly the dynamic that has kept eBay the primary way of doing auctions online for over two decades.

When you have a market like that, it often makes sense to pursue growth as an end in itself, well past the point of profitability, because the reward for coming in first place (a durable monopoly) is way higher than a linear projection would suggest. Reid Hoffman (founder of LinkedIn) gives an especially clear explanation of this logic in Blitzscaling: https://www.blitzscaling.com/

Lambent_Cactus··on Soylent’s Next Chapter
Picture of new CEO Bryan Crowley looks like a parody. And this line!

> First of all, I want to take a moment to say hello and thank you to all of our Soylent friends out there who have helped turn Rob’s vision into one of the most talked about and fastest growing brands in the food and beverage industry!

Lambent_Cactus··on A Plan for a Long-Term Stock Exchange
I like where this is going - you want to apply some pressure to organizations to set up internal incentives that push for longer-term thinking. But if the value of being on the LTSE is that it sends a signal that your org is optimized for the long term, couldn't you accomplish some of that function with a voluntary certification process, instead of a whole new stock exchange?

Like, why not just publish a version of the famous Joel Test (http://www.joelonsoftware.com/articles/fog0000000043.html), but for management incentives compatible with long-term thinking? Then companies can submit to voluntary review (maybe with a nominal fee) by your Long-Term Business Bureau, and you can issue certifications for ones that meet certain standards. Your go-to-market strategy is the same - you can target mid-sized startups that are looking to differentiate themselves and hoping one or two of them grow into norm-setting behemoths, but you don't have to ask those companies to jeopardize their (and their investors') liquidation strategies.

Lambent_Cactus··on Atlanta, Seattle, Chicago Desperate for Software Engineers, Says Job Search Firm
I'd love to talk to you about our devops team. What's the best way to get in contact?
Lambent_Cactus··on Glot.io: Open Source pastebin with runnable snippets and API
We built something like this for our our data science platform (https://civisanalytics.com/products/end-to-end-data-science/), but the containers run on a group of workers that are isolated in one VPC per customer. And even that is for enterprise customers where you have some layer of accountability - I can't imagine opening it up to the wild internet.
Lambent_Cactus··on Docker for Mac and Windows Beta
Tried to sign up, but the enroll form at https://beta.docker.com/form is blank for me - it just says "Great! We just need a little more info:" but has no forms.
Lambent_Cactus··on Google Posts
This is the Google version of Twitter's little 'verified' checkmarks, just for whole web pages instead of tweets. The presidential election is actually a great place to roll out that kind of service given him much domain squatting goes on (e.g. http://www.tedcruz.com), but it's clearly of general applicability. If it takes off, it makes Google the place to go to for establishing a page as the 'official' version.
Lambent_Cactus··on Hacker Publishes Personal Info of 20,000 FBI Agents
Yes. I got a letter from OPM detailing what may have been compromised an offering me some identity theft protection/monitoring service. They got my SF-86 (https://www.opm.gov/forms/pdf_fill/sf86.pdf) and my fingerprints, so pretty much everything.
Lambent_Cactus··on Happy people don’t leave jobs they love
Serious question: when did your shields go down at Palantir?
Lambent_Cactus··on The Commercial Zen of Muji
The Muji store locator amusingly lists the two Toronto locations as being in the US: http://www.muji.com/storelocator/?c=us&lang=EN&header=gl
Lambent_Cactus··on What Really Happened With the DNC’s “Datagate”?
Really disappointed they went with the bloodless "Datagate" when "VANghazi" was available.
Lambent_Cactus··on Why root for Groupon?
My Chicago company is not Lightbank-funded, but all I see in print is relentless small-town boosterism - what's a more reliable source for sounding out a firm's reputation?
Lambent_Cactus··on Ask HN: New attempt at mobile markup – keep or bail?
Much nicer - keep at it!
Lambent_Cactus··on 42Floors Lays Off Half of Staff as It Cuts Brokerage Team, Refocuses on Search
Is there a standard synecdoche for the type of tech company that's better at 'thought leadership' than at its actual business?
Lambent_Cactus··on What I learned from reading 8,000 recruiting messages
"Despite the title of this post, reading almost 8,000 messages and scoring them for how personal they were was clearly intractable."

Big data!

Lambent_Cactus··on Hello, Stranger
"One group was asked to talk to the stranger who sat down next to them on the train that morning. Other people were told to follow standard commuter norms, keeping to themselves. By the end of the train ride, commuters who talked to a stranger reported having a more positive experience than those who had sat in solitude."

What about the passengers they accosted? The no talking norm on public transit isn't meant to protect the shy from having to initiate conversations, since that's easy not to do. It's to protect people from strangers who want to but in. I'm sure every loudmouth who tried to strike up a conversation seated next to me on an airplane thought it was a fine idea, but I would have been happier to be left alone.

Lambent_Cactus··on Dead Man's Switch
This is a scary thing to be the person running, no? Could be the hook for a great thriller.
Lambent_Cactus··on Google Counsel to Arrington Allegation: We Don’t Snoop on Gmail to Find Leakers
When did we decide that Michael Arrington, of all people, was a credible source for allegations like this in the first place?
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