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ANarrativeApe

114 karma · joined December 12, 2020

founder CitizenShareholders Ltd. & CitizenShared CIC
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ANarrativeApe··on More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding
And even the headline gets it wrong. They asked 1,000 people, over half of whom say they lacked basic statistical understanding.

The first question was: “How much do you understand about statistics and p-values?”

not probability, p-values.

I had to look up p-values to check it meant what I thought it did to avoid making a fool of myself in this comment. I knew I was probably right, but possibly wrong.

The same goes for my assumption that this survey was engineered to deliver a bad result. Why? because it makes it easier to get funding for a the author's solution to the problem. Again, probably right, possibly wrong.

Statistics, like math, is a language, first learn the vocabulary, then you can judge the meaning

ANarrativeApe··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
So what is the mechanism that the administratuon would use to block access? I get how China could block access to Chinese LLMs, but any startup that can't or won't bypass a US imposed block on a Chinese offering was going to fail anyway.
ANarrativeApe··on Hey, n00b, we didn't hire you to complete tasks
This makes complete sense in an environment where people transition from noob to senior engineer within the same company.

It makes less sense in an era when tenure is better measured in months than years.

It makes even less sense in an era of LLMs.

One area where it might be relevant is the military. People are more likely to stay for longer (unvalidated assumption) and the same personnel jacket follows them if they are transferred.

It might also be thought of as a guide as to when to jump ship. If you have managed to get yourself categorized as a C, then leave. Start fresh somewhere else, take the learning with you, and discover if you have what it takes to make it as an A or B.

ANarrativeApe··on If your product is Great, it doesn't need to be Good (2010)
So firstly:

The guy who created Gmail is now 49 years old.

Why does that blow me away?

Secondly, where else does this apply beyond hardware, beyond the world of tech even?

ANarrativeApe··on Habitual coffee intake shapes the microbiome, modifies physiology and cognition
It would have been interesting to see if there was any difference relating to CYP1A2 (Cytochrome P450 1A2), the fast metabolizers and the slow metabolizers.
ANarrativeApe··on GabeN Is Shitting Yacht Money into Flatpak and You're Still Arguing Init Systems
This is why I never go on vacation to South Beach Miami.
ANarrativeApe··on A dot a day keeps the clutter away
This also works for kitchens. What is most interesting is that it begins to impact what one buys. It turns out that, after a decade or so, one can predict which 'must have' gadget or appliance is actually just a very seductive dotless wonder.
ANarrativeApe··on False claims in a widely-cited paper
Stop buying from/submitting to discredited publishers.
ANarrativeApe··on Data has weight but only on SSDs
This also applies, on a larger scale, when one adds data to a medium like a sheet of paper, the graphite or ink adds to the mass of the storage medium. But does this constitute data? The maximum mass would be achieved by covering the entire sheet with graphite/ink which, it could be argued is not data (unless you consider it to be a binary cell in a larger byte of data). I don't know the physics of thermal paper, but I suspect that it might be the opposite. My point? This is not evidence that data has mass, it is evidence that transcribing data onto a storage medium may change the mass of the storage medium, and that change maybe positive or negative.

Perhaps I should have this carved on my tomb stone...

ANarrativeApe··on Fix the iOS keyboard before the timer hits zero or I'm switching back to Android
Feeling smug as I type this on my 'boring' pixel 10
ANarrativeApe··on cURL removes bug bounties
Pay to enter would increase the risk of submitting a bug report. However, if the submission fees were added to the bounty payable, then the risk reward changes in favour of the submitter of genuine bugs. You could even have refund the submission fee in the case of a good faith non bug submission. A little game theory can go a long way in improving the bug bounty system...
ANarrativeApe··on Eat Real Food
if everybody eats the whole foods they can afford, they will be healthier than if they eat an ultra high processed food diet.

The cost of living issue could actually work in favor of those with less money as they can afford less of the unprocessed meat and cheese, and would have to 'settle' for more lentils, frozen vegetables and other incredibly healthy and inexpensive food.

yes, I know the cultural reasons that will make this switch highly unlikely, but that is disconnected from the pyramid.

The popular takeaway from the pyramid will not result in a decrease in the popularity of takeaways, ready meals and other UHP foods.

The polarization of the debate is as unhealthy as the eating habits that desperately need changing.

ANarrativeApe··on Eat Real Food
"The first food group listed is literally meat and dairy."

that's because the pyramid is presented pointy end down.

ANarrativeApe··on Always bet on text (2014)
This is one of those irritating articles where one agrees with the gist, but there are serious flaws in the support. There are societies, even now, that don't have text. Yes, they represent a tiny fraction of 1% of the global population, but they do exist. And the beauty of text is that this level of nuance can be conveyed, a simplistic, inaccurate, broad brush approach is not needed. Nor is it the oldest form of communication. Having recently started exploring the cave art record, the text informs me that this is at least an upper middle single digit multiple of the age of text. Yes, a picture paints a thousand words, which can then be interpreted a thousand ways. Text has the ability to convey precise, accurate, objective information, it does not, as this article demonstrates, necessarily do so.
ANarrativeApe··on A competitor crippled a $23.5M bootcamp by becoming a Reddit moderator
That's some deep dark shit, if it's true...

And that's the problem with this interweb lark, made worse by aggregators who's algorithms can be gamed, and now we have stochastic LLMs adding to the remix, how do we know what is true?

The narrative related here is frighteningly believable, and, no doubt, so were all the reddit posts.

The difference between the narrative described by this narrative, and the narrative related in the narrative, is that one is death by a thousand cuts, the other either a well deserved take-down or an undeserved attempt at one.

I can't tell the difference, but reddit should be able to.

So this is really about whether reddit sees it's reputation as an asset to be monetized in the short-term, or invested in for the long-term. This is the classic tension between the brand manager and the brand guardian, maximize the cashflow or maximize the balance sheet value, and tells you almost everything important about a company's core culture.

How reddit handles this, it could be argued, will define reddit going forwards.

I watch with baited breath...

ANarrativeApe··on What Is "Induced Atmospheric Vibration"?
Excellent accessible explanation.
ANarrativeApe··on I Tried to Buy an Actual Barrel of Crude Oil (2015)
I wonder what the bitcoin is worth now...
ANarrativeApe··on Deafening Silence from the Cybersecurity Industry
"The Constitution explicitly forbids Congress from issuing bills of attainder—laws that single out individuals for punishment without trial. While that restriction technically applies to the Legislative branch, the spirit of it clearly applies here. A president cannot simply declare someone an enemy of the state for contradicting a political narrative. That’s not national security—it’s authoritarianism, dressed up in executive language."

So the Constitution does not forbid it. All executive orders, it could be argued, are authoritarian, not just the ones that you happen to dislike. The moral? Be damned careful to whom you give this authority.

ANarrativeApe··on Deafening Silence from the Cybersecurity Industry
Is that a fact?
ANarrativeApe··on MS-DOS and Windows 3.11 still run train dashboards at German railway (Jan'24)
Were I hacker, I would say thank you for the invitation...
ANarrativeApe··on Devs say AI crawlers dominate traffic, forcing blocks on entire countries
Excuse my ignorance, but is it time to update the open source licenses in the light of this behavior? If so, what should the evolved license wording be?

I appreciate that this could be easily circumvented by a 'bad actor', but it would make this abuse overt...

ANarrativeApe··on I won't connect my dishwasher to your cloud
Once bitten, twice shy. It's a shame, I used to like Bosch.

(sighs, thinks back to simpler times, remembers all the other shit that's going on at the moment, and wonders 'just how big a tarriff PDT will slap on the Huns')

ANarrativeApe··on The Einstein AI Model
That this accurate article is considered noteworthy is scary.

ChatGPT will tell you the same - if you ask it.

ANarrativeApe··on Magnesium Self-Experiments
My understanding is that the human body stores magnesium, said stores sufficient for approximately 30 days. As such, daily magnesium is far less important that the 30 day moving average.
ANarrativeApe··on The Generative AI Con
"To say an LLM is intelligent is like saying a scanner has an eye for detail"* paulacannon

I have a 6 million+ word archive with ChatGPT.

It truly is like having an army of interns, each a confident undergrad in a different subject, who have paid attention to every lecture they ever went to, event the one they'd popped acid just before going in.

It's right more often than it is wrong, but some of its clangers are almost unbelievable.

Yet, having never written a line of code, to build a python application that analyzed election data and applied the results to an interactive map, that gave constituency specific data on hover.

It invariable uses the word clarify instead of correct when challenged. Yet it knows that a clarification is refining an answer within the set of the previously proffered answer, and a correction is a revision on an answer outside of the set previously provided.

It believes that this is so consistent that, on the balance of probabilities this is coded and not purely as a result of training data.

When asked to write an article on this, and include the instances from that conversation where it had incorrectly used the word clarify, it edited the quotes to remove the evidence (probably the most egregious act I've witnessed it perform).

I still use ChatGPT, even more so now since DeepSeek got slow, but I watch it like a hawk.

I still call it out every time it prevaricates or flat out lies, it still promises to do better, it still, on being challenged, acknowledges that these assurances are dangerous lies to anyone who doesn't know it's lying.

But, for me, it is still a highly useful tool.

It frequently makes assumptions that would be made by those in a field I am unfamiliar with in a way that allows me to refine arguments.

Sharing ChatGPT chats can be a very helpful means of sharing one's thought process.

I have it on strict instructions not to create unless specifically told to, to not regurgitate what it already has, to focus on critiquing instead of echoing or praising.

Yet it still reckons 70% of its output violates these instructions.

But the remaining 30% justifies the time I spend using this remarkable, next generation, automation machine.

Because that is what it is.

*To say it is intelligent is like saying a scanner has an eye for detail. Yes, a scanner identifies every pixel but and LLM is no more a brain that a scanner is an eye. (And, yes, I know, but this is a line for people who don't know the neurological processing behind sight, which to be fair, is frequently not very logical.)

So it is a threat to people who earn money on fiverr writing bits of code or designing logos - hell yes.

It is a threat to those who code complex systems or who's designs can add actual digits to market share? hell no. Or at least not for the foreseeable future.

Just as the dotcom bubble funded the internet infrastructure that we still use today (just very inefficiently), it is unlikely these trillions will be completely wasted

ANarrativeApe··on Why blog if nobody reads it?
This is a great counter argument to 'shouting into the void', as a friend of mine calls it. I do the writing, to refine my thinking and identify my cognitive dissonance, but I almost never share, and certainly not in the public domain - why shout into the void? But then again, why not? If your not compromising a patent or other monetization path, what's the problem? Ideas are worthless until executed, iterated and (in)validated. I should share more. Thank you @andysblog
ANarrativeApe··on A Life-Saving Checklist (2007)
So, a check list for check lists is the most important check list? Check :)
ANarrativeApe··on Physicists find particle that only has mass when moving in one direction
moving in one direction relative to what?
ANarrativeApe··on MomBoard: E-ink display for a parent with amnesia
Dementia is a progressive multi-system failure (CPU, RAM, SSD, Motherboard)

Anterograde Amnesia, on its own, is a failure to write to the SSD.

Medical amateurs, like tech amateurs, might struggle to differentiate between the two.

Medical professionals, like tech professionals, should not.

When it is not possible to upgrade the SSD, using the CPU and the RAM to compensate for the faulty SSD is an excellent hack.

There is a reason I check out Hacker News on an almost daily basis, this is it.

ANarrativeApe··on MomBoard: E-ink display for a parent with amnesia
"To medical professionals her condition looks a lot like dementia — amnesia is a common symptom of dementia — but she doesn’t have dementia. One difference is that (as I understand it) dementia is a progressive disease, while this amnesia is stable."

Dementia is a multi-system failure, memory + CPU. Amnesia, on its own, is a failure of memory, the CPU is working fine. Medical amateurs, like tech amateurs, may be confused by the difference. Tech professionals, like medical professionals, ought not to be.

Since we do not yet have the capability to switch out human memory 'cards', making use of the CPU to compensate for the faulty memory card is a great hack.

There is a reason I check out Hacker News on an almost daily basis. This is it.

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