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veganhouseDJ

50 karma · joined March 3, 2022

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veganhouseDJ··on Understand Entropy in One Chart
There are so many types of entropy. Why not understand it in your domain and then backtrack the more general definition?
veganhouseDJ··on Is the U.S. Descending into Recession?
The higher order effects of a 100% increase in 1 day of nickel is Knightian uncertain.

It paused? lol https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/nickel

veganhouseDJ··on Understand Entropy in One Chart
Wonderful. Cool to see it on observable as well.
veganhouseDJ··on China's state media buys Meta ads pushing Russia's line on war
I think they will play the hand as dealt but I don't think the conflict is worth it to them overall. There has already been a record sell-off in Chinese government debt the past few weeks.

This is such a fragile time after 2 years of COVID for the global economy. Even the Belt and Road countries being dragged down with Russia can't be worth it to them.

Not to mention they have their own economic/banking issues that they were probably hoping for a strong global recovery to help out with.

veganhouseDJ··on So you want to study mathematics
I think it is because we have gutted the idea of a liberal arts education. Shakespeare is supposed to be read along with a massive amount of other literature going back to the Greeks. We have ditched most of that though besides Shakespeare for some reason so it doesn't make sense and makes him stick out more than he should.
veganhouseDJ··on The Coca-Cola Company Suspends Its Business in Russia
I am pretty sure these companies wouldn't get paid with the ban on SWIFT or the money would be stuck in Russia so it is basically free PR.

"Coke can't get paid so suspending business in Russia"

veganhouseDJ··on The new silent majority: People who don't tweet
Not to mention, you can't even express this thought on twitter. Way too many characters.

I think the character limit creates a blunt form of communication that leads to this toxic environment. It is practically designed to create misunderstandings and dismissive short responses to those misunderstandings.

veganhouseDJ··on Is the U.S. Descending into Recession?
Nickel last night? https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/nickel

I have never seen anything like that.

veganhouseDJ··on Tinder “Feedback Loop” Forces Men and Women into Extreme Strategies
Because women can't tell confidence on a dating app they have a height filter and then it is 99% based on how photogenic the person is.

I have been on internet dates for almost 25 years now and I could even tell how interest in me would go down when I gained weight and then interest would come back massively after a diet.

Age though has caught up with me that I don't bother with apps much anymore. Just talking to people randomly in person is just so much better. It has really never been easier to show confidence. Just talking does the job now.

veganhouseDJ··on Thank you Wise for blocking our business account
We have basically just broke the petrodollar system and done more for petroyuan than China could have thought up in their wildest dreams.

Who cares about the long term though? All that matters is what we can tweet about this afternoon.

veganhouseDJ··on Thank you Wise for blocking our business account
It is also a gift to China https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-08/china-con...

Least surprising thing ever.

The future dictionary definition of cutting off our nose to spite our face but banning Russian oil will make Twitter happy for the next 8-12 hours until the next move with zero thought given to the long term consequences.

China might be our only hope to avoid WW3. It was just a few days ago that banning Russian oil was not going to happen but Twitter gets what it wants in 2022. Twitter wants a no fly zone and WW3.

veganhouseDJ··on Foreign funds now own 81% of all shares listed on Moscow Exchange
I am pretty sure it means if they open the exchange, it will be the most lopsided market of sell orders ever.

Doesn't seem to be any indication that the markets will open tomorrow.

Nickel market is completely dislocated now https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/nickel

Who knows how that will reverberate.

veganhouseDJ··on Regrets of the Dying (2010)
I have been listening to the ancients and have become suspect of ambition.

It is not like if you see ambition as something less than a moral good you will no longer get anything done. You will just turn off this useless modeling of future events in your head.

I suspect in our culture, ambition causes nothing but useless pain and is counter productive at the average as people model their future life up to these highly improbable lottery winning situations.

Climbing Mount Everest is really the best metaphor. Massive risk for basically no reward. The whole idea is objectively stupid but seen as some great accomplishment in our culture.

veganhouseDJ··on Pope Francis says Ukraine conflict is not a 'military operation but a war'
As an atheist and student of history, it is hard to not smile knowing the Pope's opinion on this means absolutely nothing.
veganhouseDJ··on Hate to say it, but we need to increase oil and gas output immediately
That is not the point. Energy prices are a massive input to systemic inflation. We are setting ourselves up for a 70s style stagflation environment. The 70s environment was practically defined by energy price shocks.

Even if you own an EV yourself these gas prices could hurt you. Converting from hydrocarbons is going to take decades.

Pretending the economy doesn't run on oil and gas is just counter productive in general. Basically, we will pretend until things have gone too far and then we will do what we would have done anyway.

Morally, I don't think judgement can be passed on drivers until there are EV models that undercut budget unleaded models.

"Just learn to code and buy a Tesla" is not an answer to our problems.

veganhouseDJ··on Moscow police officers stop people, request their phones to read their messages
I only travel with my backup phone with a fresh re-install.

The main thing is it is nice to get away from the main phone on a trip and enjoy the trip. Losing it would not be the end of the world.

All these other aspects you get for free.

veganhouseDJ··on Putin signs law to seize funds of officials that exceed declared income by $100
The ruble has lost about that vs USD since Feb 21/22nd and that is with a crazy 10% emergency rate hike between then and now to defend the ruble.
veganhouseDJ··on MasterCard suspends all services in Russia
You also can't discount how current pro-Western Russians will feel a year from now from economic collapse and total isolation? Probably not so pro-West anymore.
veganhouseDJ··on Building a web app with no framework
This is why I just love Sveltekit. There is just not that much to even learn beyond vanilla JS.
veganhouseDJ··on Reddit blocks posting any .ru links
This is such an insane war on "misinformation".

I would give anything to go back to usenet and that everything would be taken with a grain of salt because it is usenet.

That is never going to happen though. We are society of automatons now who have mostly outsourced their thinking to the mob/group mind of social media.

If you read Le Bon or Freud's work on group psychology it may as well be talking about social media in 2022.

"The feelings of the group are always very simple and very exaggerated. So that the group knows neither doubt nor uncertainty. It goes directly to extremes, if a suspicion is expressed, it is instantly changed into an incontrovertible certainty."

veganhouseDJ··on Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends
Not to mention it literally feeds directly into Putin's delusions.
veganhouseDJ··on Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends
All easy to say as you post this from the comfort of your home.
veganhouseDJ··on Russians are trying to flee – data from Google Trends
I just can't believe any thinking person believes that punishing the Russian people has any chance of getting rid of Putin.

He has had all the time in the world to insulate himself and plan exactly for that situation. I bet he doesn't even come in contact in person with anyone he doesn't know from the Soviet days at this point and the people he does are probably guilty of all kinds of things themselves if Putin was done away with.

veganhouseDJ··on The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War
No one listened to arguably the greatest economist of all time in 1919 when Keynes wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace.

No one is going to listen now.

Not to mention the die has been cast already.

veganhouseDJ··on Last Day of IKEA in Moscow
We have no idea what the higher order effects of this will be.

There is an article in the Atlantic how this could cause a depression in Tajikistan.

This couldn't possibly be at a more fragile global economic time either after 2 years of COVID.

The economic damage of this is not going to be isolated to Russia. We have practically injected the global economy with an unknown economic poison and we have no idea what it is going to do or how far it will spread.

veganhouseDJ··on Twitter Banned in Russia
I think their money becoming basically worthless is probably tipping people off something is up.
veganhouseDJ··on Tim Cook tells employees the return to offices will begin on April 11th
I think that is one variable but I also think senior execs want to walk into buildings with large groups of people that are less than them on the pecking order.

Getting your ass kissed all day can not feel the same remote as in person.

You can't replicate remotely the feeling of taking the elevator to your office with everyone you pass on the way knowing you are a big deal in the company.

This is all about "collaboration", wink wink.

veganhouseDJ··on HN call for help: Thousand of IT specialists flee Russia as job market collapses
The whole Russian economy is going to collapse. Gazprom is down 87% in Europe since the Russian markets were open. That is a giant energy company with oil up huge.

The ruble took another massive hit again last night. Any Russian financial company is probably already wiped out.

I wouldn't be shocked if the market doesn't open next week, it is not reopening and everything is going to have to be nationalized.

We have never seen this before with a modern economy. In the 1929 market crash 25% of the US population were still farmers. Russia is 5% farmers. Most people are directly exposed to the fragility of the modern economy.

veganhouseDJ··on Mathematicians make sense of chaos
IMO it is because we need to retire the word "chaos" in this context.

To me, that James Gleick book had massive negative value. It branded the important fields of dynamics and complex systems as "chaos" and fractals.

We have probably lost a whole generation of research in these fields from not being taken seriously because no one wants a PhD in "chaos".

veganhouseDJ··on It's always been you, Canvas2D
This brings Canvas up to speed with SVG as far as features no one uses.
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