2,125 karma · joined May 12, 2015
Figure out what you want to do in life and go after it. Not just career, but the other stuff (travel, companionship, hobbies leaving a legacy, etc)
You still got a couple grand slams left in ya but you have to be intentional about it
There’s a ton more python code out there so the LLM reliability in python code just makes my life easier. R was great and still is, but my world is now more than just data eng, model fitting, and viz. I have to deal with operationalizing and working with people who aren’t just data science and most org don’t have the luxury of having an easy production R system so I can get my python code over the line and trust a good engineer will be okay smeshing that into the production stack which is likely heavy Python. (Instead of saying oh we don’t work with R we do Python Java so it will take 3-5x longer).
Another sad truth is the cool ml kids all want to do pytorch deep ML training / post training / rlhf / ppo / gdpr gtfo so you are not real hardcore ml if you only do R. I know it’s stupid but the world is kind of like that.
You want to hire people who want to build their careers on the cool stack. I know it’s not all the cool talk the hackers here play with but for real world application I have a lot of other considerations.
It is a combination of post WW2 Britain (China is the US in that analogy) - this helps to explain the Canada and Greenland issue; and Volcker era stagflation economics. It will not get any better in the short term, but there is likely to be substantial growth in the long term as a result.
What that means is the fed likely won’t reduce rates, and it may reduce its rate decrease to 1 this year, if even that. It is entirely possible the rate doesn’t come down at all.
Expect Layoffs to come, as the fed doesn’t seem to care about unemployment as its target is on inflation. Many zirp era businesses and funds will fail. Less cereal and eggs for the same dollar.
I am really hoping we don’t start to de-anchor from 2% inflation as a result of all this. I wonder how various US infrastructure projects can and will be financed. Reduction in entitlements. Possibly some type of mandate to hold treasuries.