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ucaetano

7,928 karma · joined January 13, 2015

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ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
It does, you can download an apk and install it on Android.
ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
We all know how that ended :)
ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
The web didn't disappear, quite the opposite.

Now you have the web AND the in-device app stores. Even more choice.

ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
> App stores are monopolies

That is a huge claim, thrown around by you with no backing. You could get a few economists to discuss that for ages without reaching a conclusion.

Unless you're talking about the layman's definition of monopoly, which means "whatever I want it to mean".

This is particularly relevant when there's the Amazon app store, and app preloads, and the Korean app store, and Fortnite isn't available on the Play store.

And that's before we get into the fact that iOS competes with Android, and that includes the app stores. This would be like complaining that to get a product to be sold by Walmart, you need to get Walmart to sell it.

No matter how you look at it, consumers never had so many choices, prices have never been this low, and app distribution has never been so easy.

ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
> We need similar laws to protect startups, small businesses, and sole proprietors

Yeah, because laws protecting inefficient business are great for society and consumers.

No business "deserves" protection. Consumers do, but not business.

ucaetano··on Google removed my ads-free app for “deceptive ads”
OP doesn't like single entities having so much power, so OP increases the power of a single entity.
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Loaning out a gold-backed currency isn't loaning out gold.

You seem to be confusing "1 pound of gold" with "a piece of paper saying that bank X will trade this for 1 pound of gold".

The two are not the same.

ucaetano··on Car campers in beach parking lots
> I think you're much too generous.

Oh, definitely! Those in power don't understand that much of economics, and those voting don't really understand that much of technology.

ucaetano··on Car campers in beach parking lots
Yep, there is a divide between the old people in power who know economics, markets and regulation but have no idea how "technology" works, and the young voters who understand the technology, but without an understanding of how the economics work.
ucaetano··on Car campers in beach parking lots
How could those possibly solve the problem? They won't remove the cost of complying with GDPR.

[Edit: sorry, I didn't get the sarcasm :) ]

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Sight...seriously?

Gold wasn't a deflationary currency, not only that, the supply of gold increases over time, and some times suddenly such as when the Spanish empire started extracting gold and silver from the new world resulting in the Spanish Price Revolution.

Seriously, please go take some economics classes...

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Because you literally can't loan $5M in physical gold if you only have $1M in physical gold in your vaults.

You can't just make gold out of thin air. Same with a bitcoin.

You can, however, issue gold-denominated notes in $5M even if you only have $1M in the bank. But you're not lending gold, you're lending paper currency.

ucaetano··on Tell HN: Google removing Gmail access from IFTTT
Yep, users made it clear that they can't be trusted to make such decisions, so now the apps have to comply with new requirements, including security audits by 3rd parties.
ucaetano··on Vanishing Violence
Damn millennials, ruining juvenile crime!
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
> Bitcoin is an asset -- "always represent more value" is another way of saying "increase in value". What's the thesis here -- Bitcoin will decrease in value because it will increase in value? I think you'd do well to take a moment to digest what your argument is.

Where am I saying that bitcoin will decrease in value? Bitcoin is a deflationary currency, not an inflationary one.

If bitcoin was the only game in town, it would always (disregarding short-term cycles) increase in value, because the economy is growing.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
It isn't returns. It is deflation.

You're literally creating a broken system by design. Don't complain when it doesn't work.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Sure there is a balance.

Just like in emerging markets with high interest rates: if your government pays 10% per year (real terms) interest on its bonds, would you invest in a business that would only return 9%?

No, nobody would ever invest in it. But there's a reason the government is paying 10%: to reward the risk of lending money to it.

In the case of bitcoin, the only reason there is this deflationary "tax" is because someone arbitrarily decided that the supply of bitcoins should remain constant.

So you're voluntarily fucking up your economy.

Sure, "we could relax that and make the supply increase over time", but that doesn't address fluctuations on the demand for money, resulting in harder oscillations.

And then "but then we could have the supply adjust dynamically based on some guidance from economists plus the balance of supply and demand for money".

Well, congrats, you just recreated the modern monetary system.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
> Why do we have to jump to infinity? Why can't the velocity of money vary based on market forces, including economic growth?

Because the velocity of money isn't determined by market forces, it is determined by how easy it is for money to flow.

If bitcoin was the dream it aspires to be (instant, easy, transparent money transfers anywhere in the world), velocity of money tends to infinity, and the value of bitcoin goes to zero.

> The idea of an asset that always increases in value (or a "free lunch", let's call it) is explicitly disowned by every theory of economics, from the Austrians & monetarists to the Keynsians & the Marxists.

I'm not talking about an asset that always increases in value. I'm talking about a fixed supply of money, which would on average always represent more value (since the economy is growing on average) year after year.

As the supply of bitcoin will never increase, but there demand will (on average) always increase, a single bitcoin will represent a larger amount of value each year after year.

Therefore, it is a deflationary currency.

ucaetano··on Google may rank sites for queries that don't appear on the page at all
Isn't this the core concept of PageRank?

If there are 10 million websites out there linking to a single article when referencing X, even if such article doesn't include X verbatim, that article will rank high in queries for X.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Deflation and deflationary episodes aren't the same as a deflationary currency.
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Exactly.

FRB is essentially a form of "double spending", but under certain conditions to maintain stability.

Bitcoin doesn't allow double spending. Neither does gold.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
> Doesn't it depend on whether you deposit your bitcoin into a bank?

Why would you? You can get better returns by simply holding it (since it is deflationary) than by lending it out or investing in productive assets.

And even if you deposited, you can't "double spend" the bitcoin, so you can't do FRB with it.

> So basically this debate is not whether fractional reserve banking is possible with bitcoin, but whether banking with bitcoin would continue to resemble banking now.

It is both. You need FRB to dynamically adjust the supply of money and keep a balance with demand.

And the fact that nobody will invest, which kills economic growth.

No new startups, no new factories, no new bridges, no new houses, etc...

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Don't copy-paste your reply :)

But again, you are confusing deflation with deflationary currency.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Oh, since you want to bring velocity into the game: a currency with infinite velocity has 0 value, and is therefore irrelevant.

That's why it is trivial, the velocity of money doesn't change the deal, unless it is varying wildly, and in that case, you're screwed anyway...

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Driving deflation isn't providing value.

The claim isn't even wrong, it doesn't make sense.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Money is a proxy for capital when used for productive ends. So, yes, savings generate stock of capital.
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Loaning gold isn't performing FRB on gold.
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Exactly, and the difference of trying to do FRB with bitcoin or gold is that the new currency being created isn't the original currency.

In the case of USD, for example, a USD created by a bank is indistinguishable from one you deposited on the bank.

You could say that being able to double spend in certain conditions is a feature of modern currencies, and largely necessary for a stable economy, which is impossible under bitcoin.

ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
You're confusing deflation with deflationary currency.
ucaetano··on Bitcoin Spreads Like a Virus
Nope, the problem isn't people hoarding money, the problem is doing so outside of a banking system, where such money is put to work in investments.

If the economy is growing in the long term and the supply of money is constant, the value of money (vs. goods) will always increase, and everyone has an incentive to hold currency instead of investing in the economy.

The result is that you can't raise capital for a startup or for an infrastructure project.

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