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tobias3

988 karma · joined January 18, 2011

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tobias3··on Tesla's Global Vehicle Deliveries Plunged in Second Quarter
In Chinas case the term would be overcapacity since it applies to the whole sector not just BYD.
tobias3··on No One Is in Charge at the US Copyright Office
Coming to about the same conclusion here. Companies are using my AGPLv3 project without following the license already and enforcing the license seems bleak with not much gain for me.

Now they can just copyright-wash it through AI models.

tobias3··on No One Is in Charge at the US Copyright Office
Why would someone that is somewhat constrained w.r.t. spending pay for something they would get for free?
tobias3··on I fought in Ukraine and here's why FPV drones kind of suck
RCH 155 which Ukraine has now can shoot while moving. That should make it harder to counter.
tobias3··on Tesla Robotaxi launch is a dangerous game of smoke and mirrors
> But just to be honest here, the people who have full on bought into the hype have made incredible amounts of money.

They'll only have made incredible amounts of money once they sell the stock for an incredible amount of money to a buyer that gives them incredible amounts of money. Before that they just have a share of the above empty promises.

tobias3··on WhatsApp introduces ads in its app
This illustrates a bit the price discrimination "problem" that is solved via ads. With ads, higher-income people probably earn you more money automatically.

With the fee to remove advertising, you'd need to use all the price discrimination tricks to maximize revenue. E.g., have sales, have discount codes, etc., and it would still not be close to the price discrimination possible via ads.

I also wonder what the income of OP's bubble was when they were not paying for WhatsApp.

tobias3··on macOS Tahoe brings a new disk image format
VHDX https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/openspecs/windows_protocol...
tobias3··on Microsoft is starting to open Windows Update up to any third-party app
And since the Chrome fork Edge is part of Windows now, this updater already runs on all Windows machines (e.g. the MicrosoftEdgeUpdateTaskMachineUA scheduled task).

They did not even use Windows update for that one.

tobias3··on US vs. Google amicus curiae brief of Y Combinator in support of plaintiffs [pdf]
Kagi is just a meta search engine. They are already using Googles search index. They just find it too expensive. Guess they need to show ads to pay for the searches.
tobias3··on NSF director to resign amid grant terminations, job cuts, and controversy
Don't do it. Perhaps obfuscate and delay as much as possible that you are not actually doing it. Perhaps get fired. Then go to court for wrongful termination (this would depend on the order being unlawful)?
tobias3··on Trump exempts phones, computers, chips from ‘reciprocal’ tariffs
The factories will be disassembling the laptops, taking out the batteries. Then the empty laptops will be sent back to China. That will increase exports to China as well.
tobias3··on I don't think I can trust Google as my search engine anymore
As far as I understand Kagi displays results based on calls to Google and/or Bing. How can it be better than those then?
tobias3··on 2025 Tariff Impacts at Puget Systems
More scams means more supply of meme stocks which is good for the economy
tobias3··on Germany is unlocking billions to supercharge its military at a seismic moment
Previously we were spending on US weapons. E.g. F-35 or Patriots. We might phase that out. Your allies might not help you with the next Afghanistan.

Germanies foreign reserves are nearly all treasuries. We might (naturally) diversify away. By taking on a large amount of debt we will simultaneously create an alternative safe asset (bunds).

tobias3··on Germany is unlocking billions to supercharge its military at a seismic moment
We only have to defend Germany/Europe + shipping routes with our military. Idk what the plan is with the US military. Occupy Canada and Panama?
tobias3··on Elon tells Tesla employees not to sell TSLA stock as board and execs are dumping
Social security for Tesla!
tobias3··on Mercedes takes biggest swing yet at Tesla as it unveils CLA with 492-mile range
From a bit of research I think this one is also used for the Level 3 autonomous driving on highways.

Compared to Tesla it is actually usefull and you can do other stuff (e.g. read) and it doesn't just hand over to you one second before collision.

tobias3··on Tesla Hate Is Making Insurance More Expensive for Owners
With rational investors I doubt it. Space launch market size is like 20 billion. One launch is 70 million and they had 133 of them in 2024. Times two (currently at half market share) this would be 18 billion.

That does not take into account that they are increasing the market size themselves with Starlink.

And with Starlink it remains to be seen if that can be profitable. I doubt it. The Starlink satellites deorbit every 5 years and need to be replaced (CapEx+++).

This is compared to the trillion+ EV market.

tobias3··on Wall Street stocks tumble as investors fret over US economic slowdown
They also want "to keep the U.S. the dominant reserve currency in the world, and we will use stablecoins to do that". They are idiots with conflicting goals and not even a conception of plan.
tobias3··on Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China
Resale value plays into buy decisions
tobias3··on Tesla Sales Fall Off a Cliff Globally, Including Germany, Australia, and China
They probably do it properly now, but there were stories in the past that they were able to ssh into the cars: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17835760 https://www.reddit.com/r/EnoughMuskSpam/comments/99sbwa/form...

Even then you can always install an update that allows remote control.

tobias3··on GDP shock: Venture Capital's government bailout begins
Article started with the GDPNow chart which is broken because of tariff front-running. Stopped reading there.
tobias3··on Apache iceberg the Hadoop of the modern-data-stack?
I guess we need more requirements from OP, such if it should be self-hosted or a cloud service
tobias3··on Tesla sales crash continues in Europe, with Germany down 70%
Those are two startups attached to a destroyed brand and an auto company. Idk why anyone would invest.
tobias3··on Welcome to the Zero Sum Era. Now How Do We Get Out?
It is going horribly wrong at the moment, and I don't think the people in charge have any idea of what's going wrong, why they were elected, or how to fix it.

My guess as to what the problem might be is that the US has essentially become a two-class society. One class has been thriving, while the other has been struggling since the first China shock. The US was open to trade and more neutral, while other countries pursued export-led growth industrial policies. This benefited one class, but the other is increasingly relying on basic income financed by debt.

The thing is, Trump and Musk are clearly benefiting from an overvalued dollar and a trade deficit. Why would they change a system that is working so well for them? They might end up changing it accidentally by eroding trust in US reliability (also w.r.t. US creditworthiness), but that could be catastrophic and ultimately benefit no one.

tobias3··on GPT-4.5
Give the same amount of money to a better team and you'd get a better (finished) game. So the allocation of capital is wrong in this case. People shouldn't pre-order stuff.

The misallocation of capital also applies to GPT-4.5/OpenAI at this point.

tobias3··on DOGE puts $1 spending limit on government employee credit cards
Especially once people stop caring about things actually working and go into CYA mode (stop begging).

"We wrote the memo that we don't have enough peope to check drinking water toxidity, guess leadership is okay with not testing for that anymore"

tobias3··on The European VAT Is Not a Discriminatory Tax Against US Exports
You mean the problem that sales tax is applied on inputs in the US sometimes? How do you know Ford is affected by this and hasn't structured their supply chains in a way to avoid this problem?

As mentioned in the article this is a domestic problem as well in inter-state commerce. I would also be worried that it distorts supply chains.

Tariffs are not a temporary fix for this either, since the USD will just appreciate and perhaps we'll put counter-tariffs on your tariffs. You'll need to fix this problem on your side.

tobias3··on The European VAT Is Not a Discriminatory Tax Against US Exports
Okay so the problem is actually collecting corporate taxes. A solution would be perhaps an international treaty for a global minimum corporate tax rate? Trump left that treaty recently, oh well.

Of course the exported car is not "tax-free". There is a 19.325% corporate tax rate + municipal tax on corporations in Germany. This is already pretty close to the one you mentioned. Then labour is more heavily taxed in Germany. And you have a sales tax in the US as well, you haven't taken that into account.

Maybe use Ireland as an example?

tobias3··on The European VAT Is Not a Discriminatory Tax Against US Exports
You can see that it is already too complicated for the Americans as is. Please don't confuse them with accounting fictions.
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