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throwaway2245

1,043 karma · joined February 22, 2020

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throwaway2245··on How to increase your luck surface area (2010)
I think this is fine advice for anyone who has money that they don't and won't really need.

Positive expected value is positive expected value. This works great, as long as you have plenty of bankroll and can ride out any losses.

As you say, this advice doesn't apply to people who might need the money.

throwaway2245··on How to increase your luck surface area (2010)
> the financial education to buy-and-hold through thick and thin

I find this somewhat dubious. If you buy-and-hold for a lifetime, you'll face at least a once-in-a-lifetime level of shock at some point.

The possibility that this shock will happen just when you need the funds occurs fairly regularly to generations of retirees: but always seems to be forgotten by gold-standard financial advice.

throwaway2245··on WhatsApp and the Domestication of Users
It makes a difference that there is not an obvious comparable alternative.

The network effect works both ways: if key people in my network are convinced to switch, other people will follow.

throwaway2245··on WhatsApp and the Domestication of Users
When WhatsApp first came out, lots of people (in the West) paid punishingly high costs for sending an SMS at all.

Being able to communicate via [free wifi/a much smaller data cost] was a big selling point.

throwaway2245··on Hedge fund Melvin sustains 53% loss after Reddit onslaught
"Rational", in the strict sense, is really only a useful concept if you are wealthy.

If I have a spare $50, then deciding how to optimally invest it to end up with $51 is not worth the thought or effort put into that.

I'm gonna spend my $50 on entertainment or chicken tenders - here, I have a chance of getting both. It's rational.

throwaway2245··on Rome in 3D
The great horse manure crisis of 1894 happened (primarily in London) when horse manure was no longer valuable enough to pick up for a profit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_horse_manure_crisis_of_1...

It seems highly unlikely to me that this would have been a problem in Ancient Rome.

throwaway2245··on How to increase your luck surface area (2010)
> Your observation about young people... equivalent of those living paycheck-to-paycheck “investing” in the lottery.

You're so close to uncovering something here...! Why do you think so many people play the lottery?

throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
Giving people sufficient basic resources for survival doesn't stop them from working.

Everyone being paid more than a living wage is already choosing to do more work than they have to. Why do you assume that people would stop working, if they have a choice? It's already evident that people choose to work without coercion, if they are paid properly.

My point is that coercion via threat of personal destitution is bad and should be eliminated, not that work is bad.

throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
> What would separate them from the jobs that they're on the same level with today?

I'm imagining jobs with (for example) a high emotional toll, disgust factor, risk factor.

I believe those aspects are presently undervalued (described above as jobs which "anyone can do"), so I imagine there would be a reassessment of how those tasks are valued. They would likely require relatively higher pay before people were willing to do them.

Jobs with generally poor working conditions, or a high degree of managerial control and low autonomy, could be re-factored into jobs with better working conditions, as people are more able to be selective on that basis.

throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
> everybody can guarantee themselves shelter, food, warmth without any other human involved.

I was also going to mention that this is actively prevented by modern society. In practice, you cannot forge these things by yourself, as you will soon be stopped by private landownership.

throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
This assumes that large landowners and food conglomerates are 100% rentiers.

That the money they make is based on the amount they can extract, and not on the value they provide. You're describing a system which is not democratic capitalism, it is serfdom.

If that were the case, why would we continue to allow that?

throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
In other words: [you believe] you benefit from this exploitation and you're quite satisfied with it.
throwaway2245··on Facebook Moderators Speak Out About Poor Working Conditions in Ireland
This is purely because of exploitation - people work those jobs to guarantee themselves shelter, food and warmth.

If we (as a society) guaranteed everybody enough resources to live, those types of jobs would need to be paid a more appropriate rate, including hazard pay.

throwaway2245··on A Corner in Piggly Wiggly (1959)
> Pigp]y [sic] Wiggly

This error is presumably due to failed OCR character recognition.

I can't access the original article (which is linked for subscribers) but it seems to be because the word is in italics? Or might the brand have had it's own stylistic ligature/logotype at the New Yorker?

throwaway2245··on A Corner in Piggly Wiggly (1959)
"oh, now that you're winning, there's this extra unwritten rule that I forgot to tell you about..."
throwaway2245··on Johnson and Johnson single-shot vaccine appears 66% effective in global trial
If we could (globally) build emergency public hospitals, why can't we build emergency public production facilities?
throwaway2245··on Hobbyists beat professional designers in creating novel board games
This matches my expectation, it's just that I'd expect the household-invented games to be novel/creative and bad on average.
throwaway2245··on Habitat 67, Montreal's 'failed dream'
That's exactly how it has failed. One purpose was to illustrate that you could build affordable and liveable urban apartment buildings in high number and high quality.

You reporting 50 years later that you wish you could live there (I would also love to), illustrates that this didn't happen.

throwaway2245··on Class Action Lawsuit Filed Against Robinhood
If you got a bunch of spare money and spare time, enjoy the casino.

If you got a bunch of spare money, enjoy the stock market.

throwaway2245··on Keeping Customers Informed Through Market Volatility
> RH could legitimately be trying to protect their users from what is basically a pump & dump scheme

Considering that RH's business model has benefited from getting people excited about gambling on volatile stocks, I highly doubt they would be motivated to protect their customers from pump & dump.

throwaway2245··on EU citizens’ rights are under threat from anti-encryption proposals
Write to each of the political parties to express your position. At least to the parliamentary parties that you would consider voting for.

The most powerful thing you can do, right now, is make the parties aware that this is important to your vote.

Try to reach a person - contacting individual politicians is best. Although, they should have a staff to deal with your writing and reply directly to your point, especially before the election. You might expect to be added to a spammy mailing list.

Bearing in mind that the national MPs do not have direct power over this within the EU, they should still have a political position.

Vote for a party which supports your position (check also: https://www.kieskompas.nl/nl/tk21/)

throwaway2245··on Robinhood is limiting purchases of stocks: AMC, Blackberry, Nokia, and GameStop
This is identical to my experience of casino gambling.

If you have a system that is beating the house (or appears to be), the house will immediately shut you down.

You can't win. Not only because the bets are stacked against you (here in favour of the wealthy), but also because the system only exists in the first place to benefit the powerful.

throwaway2245··on Grindr to be fined almost €10M over GDPR complaint
Whether Freddy Mercury was gay or bi is a culture war which doesn't need to be fought. He can and does represent both gay people and bi people in transcending heterosexual norms.

Young people sometimes use the word "gay" to express a complex sexuality which doesn't categorise neatly with a label. It's understood that you can be both "gay" and "bi" simultaneously, or indeed you can be a man who has sex with men who is straight.

The only person in this chat who is trying to put strict labels based on behaviour is you (the other commenter only observed some behaviour without labelling), so it seems like you're arguing with yourself?

throwaway2245··on MasterCard to increase fees for UK purchases from EU
As a British customer in the EU... same.
throwaway2245··on Heavy social media use associated with lower mental health in adolescents
I'm not sure why we have gone down this rabbit hole, but you're just mistaken.

Phillip Morris used its propaganda to lie to people about health risks and "benefits" of smoking, sold an addictive product to addicts, and used its resulting people power to subvert democratic decisions.

It didn't do this with transistor technology, sure. But cigarettes have hugely more Daily Active Users than Twitter, still today.

throwaway2245··on Heavy social media use associated with lower mental health in adolescents
> Phillip Morris didn't operate a sophisticated propaganda machine...

What? Yes, it did, that's literally what it did do.

throwaway2245··on IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from being developed
It makes me feel sad that this basic and cheap greenwashing gets more attention than anything environmentally critical.

Here's IKEA's original Press Release which has been worked into this "news" article. The original PR actually has much more clarity: https://www.ikea.com/us/en/this-is-ikea/newsroom/ingka-inves...

IKEA makes it clear that the forest was formerly owned by a conservation group and was seemingly not in danger of being developed, contrary to the headline here.

throwaway2245··on I tried to report scientific misconduct. How did it go?
I understood that this was about scrutinising papers in academic journals - the academic journal's value is quite literally its trustworthiness. (The journal exists and is employed to do the scrutiny)

A comment from any random person (in general) holds a lower level of trustworthiness.

throwaway2245··on I tried to report scientific misconduct. How did it go?
> ...anyone in the world could post...

This would be ultimately filled with trolls, nonexperts, and people with an ulterior motive or grudge: so any such effort would be less trustworthy than the original publication.

If you want to find mistakes, you can find one in every paper. The character of the mistakes is important - is it fraud, is it incompetence, does it negate the results? Or is it good science being done by a human? An open website doesn't seem to me likely to be able to draw that out.

throwaway2245··on Mother's blood test predicts a sub-type of autism
> completely within the bounds of what society considers normal (being gay)

Feedback at your request -

This rubbed me the wrong way because homosexuality was classed as a disorder in my lifetime. (And that has an impact on me, still today - and it is still used as justification for criminalisation in 72 countries). So, there is fair reason to equate them.

If we were having this discussion in 1973, would you be saying "it does nobody a service to see homosexuality as normal"? Because a large proportion of psychiatrists and people were saying that.

What makes those people (in the past) wrong to say that, while you (in the present) are right to say this?

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