245 karma · joined March 8, 2021
With people, you have the added benefit that if people working within your country they spend and consume in your country.
Countries all over the world fight each other for talent, and the US immigration system is doing to itself what other countries spend money to prevent.
Each time a developer works for the US from abroad, the US economy loses up to 50% o salaries in taxes for gov funding, and up to 80% of the reminder in spending within the economy.
An argentine developer making 150k from the US pays 0 taxes and spends 80%+ in argentina. If he moves to the US he pays 60k in taxes and spends 80%+ in the US.
US is shooting itself in the foot so hard. The solution is the easiest - remove H1b caps.
It would give the people a way out today - a few years of bad credit sure, but worth it if you are really underwater with them.
Volume would go down, and whatever is sold will be done at a much lower market price.
Argentina had a RE bubble in 2017, and property prices dropped 40% since. It has happened, it is happening, and it will happen again.
The supply constraint is old but its not why housing is high - housing prices are high even in places where there is a lot of construction. Monetary policy explains it a lot better, and it predicts that at some point the trend will reverse.
It's important to understand the core tribalism around picking up this word and standing by it.
The Malthusian model predicts forever growing extreme poverty as a share of population.
They have only a tenuous correlation at best.
Checking it out!
Paraphrasing Henry George: "Malthus model that food grows arithmetically and population grows geometrically is as arbitrary as saying a dog grows arithmetically and his tail grows geometrically"
> Oh, that kind of "economics". Never mind then.
What is that "kind of economics"?