Elon Musk makes $43B unsolicited bid to take Twitter private
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...and so on. Sorry everyone! (Yes, fixes are coming, yes it's all very slow.)
Edit: also, if some of you would log out for the day, that would ease the load considerably. (I hate to ask that, but it's true. Make sure you haven't lost your password!)
But, despite an absolutely incredible roller-coaster news cycle, things have been definitely trending down at Twitter ($33/share last month), which was reflected in its share price. The current executive team (and Dorsey) had wasted time focusing on things that didn't matter instead of things that did matter.
Boards have several fiduciary duties to the shareholders. As an all-cash offer, this generates for the shareholders a substantial return with NO RISK, and so the board has a serious legal obligation to carefully review this offer and make a decision.
If the board elects to reject this offer, then their reasons for doing so need to be very clearly elucidated, because, as Twitter is a public company, they would have to see something in their crystal ball that the rest of the market does not.
To make a successful hostile bid, you need to pay not just "more than the current price", but "more than the holders of 50% of current shares believe the company to be worth". Usually bidders use analyst price targets to guess at the distribution of holders' internal price targets.
This is what makes it so difficult, and why this bid is very likely to be rejected.
(This is easier to explain with a white board, tbh.)
Shareholder interest =/= money. Shareholder votes allow other considerations can be taken into account.
I agree with your comment, but it's not that hard to reject IMO.
Edit: I also wonder how leveraged positions, especially shorts, get resolved.
Maybe it's different with a poison pill in place as the onus is on the board, but I don't think its obvious what the board should/will do
A coincidence? A week out from 4/20?
There is a very clear risk of transformating the social media titan that is Twitter into Truth Social, a sideshow of a forum that is dedicated to the worship of one man. That would plummet the stock price.
https://nypost.com/2022/04/27/conservatives-see-spike-in-fol...
They should sell to him because all he is doing is either buying Twitter at fair value or doing pre-launch hype for a competitor which will include the accumulation of other platforms including Trump’s Truth social, shit like substack, which he can easily get for less than 10 billion, Mastadon, etc.
Here is what would be looking after their fiduciary duties:
The company had a loss of 200 million dollars this year. Was only profitable 2 years out of its 16 years of existence. The board should state that Twitter in the hands of Elon Musk, could jeopardize its current unique and somewhat also precarious, place in social media.
The company should ask Elon Musk, to first explain to shareholders what he plans to do with the company, and how it would benefit them. Provide details on shape and form of how his plan would be implemented. Until then, rejecting the offer is looking after their fiduciary duties.
The fact that their primary concern has to be for their shareholders and not whether the sale will be good at all for the rest of humanity is a huge problem in my eyes.
[citation needed] on that "legal obligation" myth that is continually propagated. As a real-life example, there's Microsoft's offer to Yahoo.
Just over year ago, Twitter shares traded at about $70 per share. Musk's offer is about 25% lower than last years peak. There's no reason to assume Twitter shares can't reach the same levels ever again, nothing much has changed fundamentally over a year.
Musk's offer is a cash only offer. $43 billion is a lot of cash. That's a lot of Tesla shares to sell, or massive loan. If Musk thinks Twitter is that valuable to take such risks, current major investors will probably want to unlock that value themselves.
I think the takeover offer is just as believable as last week's announcement that Musk was joining the Twitter board.
but it depends on how far that "again" is.
If you bought at $33 a month ago, you'll be now getting a 60% return. You can put that in another less risky investment and still have a very healthy return over the next 5 years, say 5% , less than the historical sp500 rate, you'd get to ~$69.
So if Twitter gets back to $70 in five years Musk's offer is still an ok investment, but its growth has been almost zero for the last 8 years, it's not trivial that it would become a powerhouse in the next 5.
Yes Twitter was $70 a share in the past but it was also sub $30 in the past and it's not clear which is the "right" price.
The Fed's covid policies in terms of interest rates and money printing had a very high impact on the stock market and stocks. Why else would the market have increased to the degree it did during covid?
That is a fundamental reason why it may not see $70 again any time soon.
You’re worth your share price today. Not what your share price was last year. Not what you think your price should be.
> current major investors will probably want to unlock that value themselves.
This isn’t how risk or portfolio allocation works. Musk has offered current investors $43 billion as risk-free guaranteed cold hard cash. Depending on their portfolio and risk allocations they may prefer the $43 billion today instead of an uncertain chance at the future. And to take that cash and diversify in alternative endeavors.
Twitter is a dying company. They would be dumb not to take that money.
Doesn't this depend on if you actually agree with Musk's thinking and valuation of Twitter in the first place? Given the share price has been all over the place, clearly the market is not on the same page.
If there was a strong reason to think that Twitter shares would soon be worth $70 again, wouldn't they already be trading at that price?
Does he have perhaps more of a vision for twitter than current mgmt?
Did his involvement increase / decrease the stock price?
If they turn him down could he build something for lets say $20B in spending?
Going to be some interesting times.
And by the way, twitter DID invite him to be on the board with the requirement he not get more stock.
Frankly the board doesn’t seem capable of ‘unlocking Twitter’s value’ based on their recent performance.
Elon is known for doing the impossible once he puts his head to it. Maybe he can promote the conviction that only he can turn the company around.
If the CEO of a company leaving doesn't count as a fundamental change, then I don't know what does.
There's no evidence they're capable of unlocking that value. If they can, why haven't they?
made my day
Unprecedent QE and pandemic induced highs.
Picking last year as an anchor.
Twitter's last true price was $36 (Feb 202)
I think you guys are high
I think Vanguard and BlackRock would happily take that premium. Cathie Wood wouldn't.
I mean, with tech titan (and second wealthiest man on the planet) Bezos owning the WaPo, the moment the tech titan (and the wealthiest man on the planet) Musk will put his hands on Twitter hopefully will also be the moment of some "enlightenment" for the educated masses. Or maybe I'm just day-dreaming.
“Having a public platform that is maximally trusted and broadly inclusive is extremely important to the future of civilization”
To that end, he committed to transparency. For example, changes to tweets or users would be made visible and apparent so there's no more behind the scenes manipulation. The algorithm itself would be open sourced. Anyone could view it on Github and suggest changes or point out issues.
Thats an immense amount of selling pressure on the stock... This is a threat. He's negotiating with a gun to their head.
The actual offer states [0]:
>As a result, I am offering to buy 100% of Twitter for $54.20 per share in cash, a 54% premium over the day before I began investing in Twitter and a 38% premium over the day before my investment was publicly announced. My offer is my best and final offer and if it is not accepted, I would need to reconsider my position as a shareholder.
Which means he is asking for approval, which seems to contradict the headline and the quote from Mirabaud Equity Research which was used to make the headline more sensational as they were quoted saying “This becomes a hostile takeover offer which is going to cost a serious amount of cash”.
If the board disapproves of the offer and he acquires a larger stake of ownership, that would be more inline with what a hostile takeover is.
[0] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465...
If Twitter poofed out of existence today, it would be a major win for this planet. People talk about a frightening future with a human hostile AI that wants to destroy humanity. That exists, it’s twitter.
Elon buying it, even if he runs it into the ground is a good thing. Getting rid of some of the hostile AI is a good thing.
Is he holding his own existing shares as hostage?
I don’t think public companies can reform social media because it’s too profitable. As a private company it may be possible to reform it to still be profitable, but not in a way that harms people.
What a gut check. I'm sure this is an obvious comment by now, but seeing the board's response to turning down something like this is going to be an olympic level display of mental gymnastics. Exciting times.
> "There will be distractions ahead ... let's tune out the noise and stay focused on the work and what we're building"
from the other day (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30984215) meant...
Its true that the public had little say in that regard till now but at least this buyout threat shows that it is "possible" to stand up to whatever decisions their board makes.
As an aside, I doubt people and governments would have the same confidence in Twitter were it a private company, which leaves me to believe that this whole buyoff thingy is just a power play by Musk to gain some power over the board without actually joining the board.
His offer is also on the high side, this might make people bullish about twitter. On the other hand, I do think he is genuinely interested in buying twitter.
But can't help to feel this might also be lucrative for him if the deal doesn't go through.
It seems like Musk has a love hate relationship public companies... That's why SpaceX is still private.
I'm not for obscenely wealthy single individuals i.e. 'oligarchs' sponsoring "open source free speech platforms" but I welcome the mainstream opportunity for stirring up the dead end (social dilemma) in which social platforms find themselves (from out-of-spiral censoring ("moderating") to basically uncontrolled anon image boards) I guess from an engineering perspective sensible new solutions are very much needed.
If they reject the offer, they will be drowning in lawsuits due to not filling their fiduciary duty (getting a good deal for their shareholders [2]).
[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1418091/000110465922...
But I'm not convinced Musk's opinions of what is good for twitter is aligned with other content creators and consumers. Paypal, Tesla, SpaceX, Boring Company have clear goals - twitter is quite different.
They even killed Vine, which is basically the exact same thing as Tiktok and Stories...years before both. Then tried to push their own version of stories, which was just awful. Jack and the current CEO seem(ed)s totally disconnected from any sort of reality going on with their own product.
Even Jack, while he was still in power, seemed confused by Twitter's own censorship/moderation rules at times. How is that possible? Moderation is also totally uneven with some accounts getting away with certain jokes (or outright threats) and others are completely immune to it. I personally love Twitter as a product, but it's so insane to me how the current CEO has his job, or how Jack was able to remain CEO for so long when he had clearly long abandoned it for Square.
For major news, no one talks about Facebook/Tiktok/Instagram...they talk about Twitter. It's so incredibly valuable, and it's shackled by sheer incompetent and complacency. If it's not Elon, someone needs to come in and restructure it and get rid of those holding it back.
All that being said, I don't really see the problem with him trying this, and I don't necessarily see a ton of downside to him succeeding or failing. I'm perfectly willing to grab the popcorn and just watch.
Twitter is not a great social network, and I don't think it's amazingly well managed. If it gets worse and Musk does a bunch of radical changes, maybe more people will start using Mastodon. If he fails, no harm done. If he joins on and does nothing and just monetizes it more aggressively, then :shrug:, Twitter is probably eventually headed in that direction anyway.
Go for it. I've got no confidence that Musk can actually innovate in this space, and little to no confidence that he'll actually even get the control he wants, and he might actually make things worse if he does succeed, but on a certain level who cares?
It really stinks for artists/communities on Twitter that might be hurt by that happening, but again, I don't really have a lot of confidence that Twitter isn't going to start hurting them anyway, so I don't know that this really matters all that much for them.
:shrug: Maybe 2 years from now I'll look back at this comment and think it's naive.
[1]: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465...
Understand this: limits on free speech are far more dangerous to society than allowing fringe extremists to spread their ideas. Coming from a country that had made a transition from a (rather messy) democracy to an authoritarian fascist police state in just 15 years, I tell you this: it all started with limits on the freedom of speech.
I don't think we have evidence to support this. Pursuant to the last major thread on the topic, I was thinking further about it, and realized that the vast majority of progress civilization has made has been under conditions much more regulated in terms of which ideas may propagate. We've never had a situation where fake news can and does spread the way it does today, where authorities are being undermined like this and casually dismissed by people with no knowledge of the respective fields, etc.
The notion that all speech should be allowed actually seems stupid to me on its face, the more that I consider it.
Gab discovered this early on and pivoted accordingly.
There is a lot of evidence that platforms which de-prioritize moderation have trouble attracting revenue and experience significant compliance costs. See: the sad story of Moot, who ran one of the most popular social websites in the world and ended up with absolutely nothing to show for it.
This looks more like a hobby to me than a business decision. Hobbies are fine as long as they don’t distract from the job, like Bezos buying Washington Post (he is a hands-off owner who spends very little time on it). But Musk is in two high-risk positions with Tesla and SpaceX. He worked over last Thanksgiving and sent a rather dramatic email about it. So I would be concerned about his ability to multi-task. He has already tried to run three businesses at once and he had to use Tesla to bail himself out of Solar City’s troubles.
What I would actually like is seriously shooting down these idiotic bots. Like seriously, they have the exact same name and picture as the main account. How the fuck do we not have machine learning, fuck a bunch of bash-scripts to figure this out?
It makes the platform borderline unusable how much crypto spam bots exist on it.
That said, not a fan of Musk waste his time with Twitter. SpaceX, Tesla are plenty.
I think Twitter often brings out the worst of his character (or perhaps "reveals"?)
I wonder if he might be too emotionally invested in how Twitter operates for this to be a good move, given his numerous Twitter-led controversies. I worry about the motivations behind him trying to do this.
But I could be wrong. And to be fair, I can think of worse owners...
Musk is gonna be left with a pile of worthless, shit stock. Of course once one of the streaming services releases a docu-drama about Twitter's rise and fall (like they did for Theranos, Uber, and WeWork), Musk can charge decent money to play himself.
I'm starting to become a fan of Musk. Guy is sitting on $256B in net worth. That's so rich it's like trying to picture the distance from the earth to the sun, your brain struggles.
I get the sense he's going to be the Howard Hughes of our time. Weird ideas and a ton of money make for some interesting moves. Not everything he does will be positive, but his imprint will be one for the history books.
Also, I think that this business of shutting down opinions of people we dislike or disagree with is really bad for society long term. I think Musk might stop that.
Often I think it is just "I get to say what I want." but beyond that they've no idea.
Taking on Twitter will not only be a huge amount of work, it is likely consume a ridiculous amount of talent -- which could be focused instead on building next-generation humanoid robots, electric vehicles, energy solutions, reusable spaceships, and space stations.
Musk has a long history of taking on more than it's humanly possible, but so far he has been narrowly avoided failure. Recall that Tesla was ready to file for bankruptcy at one point in 2019.[a]
He hasn't sold any shares, so he's likely borrowing against his Tesla stock to finance this hostile takeover, exposing himself to all sorts of potentially ugly debt squeezes.
I really, really, really hope Twitter doesn't become a black hole that sucks talent and energy away from more important things. More than that, I hope this latest battle doesn't become Musk's Waterloo.
--
[a] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/03/musk-tesla-was-about-a-month...
He is absolutely right over its enormous potential, all the problems it has - as a business or ones it creates for the society - can be solved.
Free speech absolutism is possible and is beneficial once you ensure that someone is not gaming the system, i.e. someone pretending to be more than one person. Add some other social mechanisms that we organically use in our daily lives to combat bad actors, for example if someone is caught BS'ing degrade their reputation and amplify the defence of the victims(thus, solve the problem of sensational lie being viewed a million times and no one seeing the correction).
Filter bubbles? Doesn't have to be a thing, you have all the data to detect bubbles and pop them by introducing them to each other. "More from the same" algos are a choice, TikTok successfully serves you new content - doesn't think that just because you liked a cat you want cats and cats only.
Very simple things that we had with usenet like killfiles and threaded conversations are foreign things to the younger generations. Things like shadowbans and a central authority that just decides to disable your account would be non-existent. Heck, we even had a form of "blue checkmark" with finger daemons.
I have no idea what musk is thinking.
b) He's trying to sell all of his stocks without people saying he's manipulating the market.
Elon’s bid was non-binding, and unless I’m unaware - he isn’t trying to actively change the board or management.
So what makes this “hostile”?
This really changes the equation for stakeholder value. The offer isn't Twitter-owned Twitter or $54.20/share, it's Twitter-owned Twitter or Elon-owned twitter.
democracy doesn't matter when the rich seek to bend the world to their will.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/14/elon-musk-not-sure-hell-be-a...
However unlike a traditional purchase this will be n investment and depending on how it goes, he can get even more money.
If an average person had a max net worth of 3 million this would be like them deciding to buy a 400K investment property, or a laundry mat.
That aside, this is also a great example of how easy it is to become richer if you’re rich.
Musk buys at $39 pumps all month to $54. He can either sell and easily make billions profit or take over the entire company at what can only be described as a discount compared to potential.
Not to mention twitters stock hardly does well. He can just try again on the next dip if he likes.
With this play, "funding secured" for his Twitter killer.
Well done to Musk for doubling down.
[0] https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2021/11/15/2-comparing-...
So if Musk wants to take over Twitter, sure, no one's going to stop him. But let's not expect it means that free speech principles will be upheld. It's probable that under Elon's regime, Twitter might suppress anti-Tesla topics.
Twitter definitely has potential but at the moment it is a cespool of triggered personalities where the voice of the sane and interesting people is drowned in an endless screaming.
Are those actions evil or wrong? Not really, but I also don’t think they’re the actions of an ardent believer in free speech which this thread is making him out to be.
Saying you believe in free speech and acting out a belief that everyone should have an equal right to say their piece without fear of being silenced are two different things.
1 https://www.techtimes.com/articles/271211/20220130/elon-musk...
Can't wait for today's installment!!!
Or I do not see how refusing to follow SEC rules will get Elon any closer to buying twitter as I do not think SEC would ever allow it without doing a massive lawsuit to block it. Which means Leon is motivated by his beef with SEC not saving civilization.
I worry, because Twitter is a very real outlet for many oppressed people. Matrix technology is good, but nowhere near as widespread or easy to use yet. I worry that Twitter will be bought and Musk turns out to be a far-right or far-left extremist that makes Twitter into a much more biased political platform.
If it cannot happen here in this discussion, HN should not be so quick to flag/dupe/dead the other submissions which are from other business or news publications.
Imagine being able to flip a switch (a “green profile check mark”) that would disable banning and muting features for you. And will only allow another green check marks to engage in conversations with you.
Will this help break the echo chambers, or will it create a tyrannical majority? Both?
Is it possible Musk is looking to buy a method to influence a populace for his own ends? I.E. is this a method for him to influence a population to gain power and sway over elections, organizations, etc?
https://www.reuters.com/technology/saudi-prince-alwaleed-bin...
Unfortunately it's not possible to know if Elon has a major stake in any privately held social companies.
After his "final" offer is rejected, Elon will rage quit his position in Twitter.
The motivations of Elon are unclear. What is clear is that he hates feeling like his behavior is being controlled or monitored. He loves attention. He's petty. For someone who wants to advance the world and get to Mars, he obsesses over small slights and squabbles far too much. Twitter is far from being some technological marvel. They have a decent application with lots of reach. Doesn't really match the rest of Elon's assets. Doesn't seem to align with his goals.
But let's imagine Elon's Twitter. Let's say he isn't bound by laws and contracts preventing it and he says "anything goes" on the platform. What happens to advertisers? I assume they leave. What happens to staff? I assume they get fired when the revenue dries up. We know what "free speech twitter" looks like; an uber-conservative site devoid of real life and full of misinformation.
Does allowing medical (and other) misinformation and promotion of violence to spread on Twitter serve Elon's ends? Perhaps, if he wishes to make an attempt to become an autocrat (which wouldn't be surprising; it's every geek and billionaire's dream) or support one. It doesn't seem like he'd fight the spread of that misinformation with corrective speech, as he has what's (at best) a loose relationship with the truth.
I remember Musk offered to solve world hunger but the NGO people who said they could do it flaked when (pen in hand) he offered to cut them a cheque. The next best thing is to provide a platform for discourse so that smart people indexed on truth and reality can thrive and wield influence.
The opportunity is that Twitter just isn't funny, and as a signal of alignment to truth, that's a pretty honest sign it has become oppressive and that it has become a thing that most people just do not want. The controversial censorship on Twitter has been against humour, which makes Musk's play such an obvious win. As an activist target, Twitter has spent almost a decade contorting itself and spending a lot of effort to make itself suck, and it just needs to suck slightly less to be a benefit to humanity. Value for money, it's probably the most effective $43B anyone has spent in the US.
Would be a great way to make a few extra billion and of course the SEC won't do mcuh
It goes from a company fighting to survive, who probably has little agenda (or time and power to really fight for it), to a company that exists simply to serve the whims of one man's agenda and every change and action will be for that purpose, albeit not advertised as such. How else better to amplify one's voice and discredit anyone else's? Sow chaos, fuel rumours, surface chatter that will affect markets to his favour and to dick around with politicians and countries that aren't doing him any favours. It definitely doesn't sit right.
The real question is why, because I very much doubt he wants to "improve" twitter, it's more like what does he want to accomplish by owning the platform to advance his other goals.
Whats your take on this? Do you feel happy or anxious or do not care?
And to those who would make the argument that Twitter is too big to not be protected under free speech, I would say that Twitter is _excellent_ at making its user base seem more important than it is. Go outside, talk to people. Twitter is just a shitty microcosm.
In the cesspit of a social media website, people accuse Twitter of being a social media cesspit.
I've seen people arguing for absolute freedom of speech, except in malicious circumstances, but seem to think that malicious is easy to define.
I've seen people ask if there really are any other alternatives to individuals owning huge wealth. Or people saying that doing immoral things is ok if it's within the law.
I think I've had enough of this site for a while.
I wonder if there's a name for this sort of behaviour?
This seems like he's mostly trolling them or looking for an excuse to sell. The chances they accept and he can get 100% seem low, this is a one-time offer with something of an ultimatum, and it seems a bit unlikely he wants to share that much Tesla to get the money in the first place.
Without any understanding that the his right-wing narcissistic suppliers who rage in public about being prevented from raging in public are not the sort of people who become good paying customers for a free platform.
This is like the universe seeing Elon Musk and issuing a course correction.
For the avoidance of doubt: this is dreadful for Twitter's longevity. Twitter's only sustainable future while staying true to its roots, is as a market utility co-owned by media companies.
A billionaire pouring money into a money-pit is fine only for as long as it holds his interest as a plaything (which might be a long time, considering his narcissism)
Let's see what The Babylon Bee has to say about this.
Let `cp` be the current stock price; let `op` be the original price, before the offer was made; let `bp` be the bid price, what Musk offered; and let P be the probability that the offer is accepted. Then it must apply that
`cp = op + P*(bp - op)`
Meaning: The current price is the original price plus the probability that the offer is accepted times the stock price premium if the offer is accepted.
=> P = (cp - op) / (bp - op)
Plugging in the current numbers gives us a probability of about 50 %.
Controversial post rarely reach the front page anymore and if they do they are full of reasonable and true comments fading into gray and finally away. Meanwhile the most on the nose, vile and hateful propaganda get's voted to the top with rarely anyone speaking against it.
I understand you do this for a good cause, because you think it will save lives or make society better. It won't.
There is an underlying reality with it's ground truth and that can only ever be glimpsed through the verbal sparring of ideas and ideologies.
To those truly concerned about "harmful misinformation", you should know that the greatest atrocities in human history were committed when one side, faction or ideology could dictated what everyone said and wrote.
This is not an accident.
The most harmful misinformation is that which no one is allowed to correct.
Elon would do a great job firing the staff and right sizing the company.
There was a chap who was involved in their AI department. Despite the initial question of why is there an AI department, the follow up is why is it doing so badly?
The current title given here implies that Musk is likely to take over Twitter, which doesn't seem true after reading the article (which includes a quote about the proposed price being too low to be taken seriously).
How do we know Elon Musk won't just ban criticism of him or his business ventures (Tesla / SpaceX / The Boring Company / Starlink / etc)?
We know that his claims of being a "free speech absolutist" are absolute bullshit, because the moment the speech is about him he turns to every trick in the book to try and censor it[0]. This includes firing internal critics of himself and getting dox on anonymous bloggers so he could threaten to sue their employers.
If Elon buys Twitter and makes any major changes to it's policies, it will be for the worse. I probably will delete my account at that point.
[0] https://www.businessinsider.com/free-speech-absolutist-elon-...
$43B could go some way for more satellites, more ground stations. Investing in businesses already making him money.
This news may be what I needed to delete my account.
Imagine you're Musk. You have a bijjilion and 1 $. You use twitter heavily and see huge issues, you even see the results of your poll. You buy it for $50 billion and you fix those huge issues because they are in fact trivial to solve. The valuation of twitter would only go up, but Musk isn't even looking at it from a value investing point of view. He's looking at it from a societal point of view. He's looking at it from a 'worth more than currency' value.
Peace cannot be kept by force; it can only be achieved by understanding.
-Albert Einstein
This isn't about nation to nation. This is about so many subjects. The peace between the republicans and democrats is only being kept by force right now. Censoring your political opponents eliminates the possibility of understanding.
A non-public Twitter will have less pressure from the outside to "perform" and not taken hostage to follow the current dogmatic norms of the population allowing it to undergo much needed and necessary changes to make it a better platform.
So now Twitter should have part time leadership.
I'm being unfair, right? So let's qualify that: Twitter shouldn't have part time leadership that is distracted by cryptocurrency.
Wait, no...
That's intriguing. Twitter's user facing APIs have been pretty stale in the last decade or so, in fact it could be said that they have regressed. If you regularly use something like Slack then it's easy to see how Twitter have wasted 1000s of integration opportunities. With the right direction it could become an exciting platform again. I don't think Musk intends to do anything like that, though.
Money aside, clearly that's just not enough for him anymore. He got sucked into the fame game and inevitably had to step on faces to keep climbing. And that made him a target, and now he's going to go punish those Twitter trolls like a baby with an enormous wallet.
I mean, I thought he's for the invisible hand of the market yadda yadda yadda.
Axios: "Elon Musk goes into full goblin mode". This outlet pretends to be neutral in quiet times. They usually frame the narrative by omission of inconvenient news.
Reuters: "Elon Musk makes $43 billion cash takeover offer for Twitter". That's plain and factual.
RedState: "Liberals Absolutely Lose It Over Elon Musk's Hostile Takeover Bid of Twitter". But they don't pretend to be neutral: it's in their name.
Elon Musk wants to deliver Trump the Twitter megaphone before the elections.
I've always had a gut feeling that Musk is politically on the far right spectrum farther than most people would believe, but now that he has joined the ranks of these misguided new right-wing "muh freedom of speech"-warriors, who never had any point to begin with, it's a strong indicator rather than just a feeling.
This isn't free speech that's benevolent dictatorship at most.
(1) Twitter is a poorly managed company and has been for a long time. A shake up could be a good thing.
(2) I don't see Musk as the person to do it. Mostly he uses Twitter to shoot himself in the foot and his free-speech fetishism doesn't ring true. Is he going to reinstate Trump's Twitter account? Is he going to encourage Narendra Modi to use Twitter to organize pogroms next?
Don't let him do this to Twitter.
It's the good old trick of 'there is no such thing as bad publicity' that Trump used so effectively too.
I feel like this is a huge publicity stunt and he would probably not follow through with it even if Twitter shareholders wanted it.
This is the best ethical replacement for what Twitter provides, and it gives control back into operators of communities because it is based on a standardized specification for a federated social web.
I feel incredibly healthier mentally.
You should try it.
Note that you’re choosing to spend your time on HN (a relatively strongly moderated forum) instead of a less moderated forum like 8chan’s /b/.
Elon Musk: buys Twitter to run it how he wants to
nO NoT LiKe ThAt
If you believe on principle, the right of private companies to moderate content, then you must support all kinds of absurd outcomes: Twitter deciding to subtly push pro-Russian viewpoints, Facebook deciding to boost antivax content etc.
1) musk buys twitter because it’s difficult to reject the offer
2) musk states “free speech is very important” and reinstates a lot of banned conservatives, namely trump
3) trump’s reelection gets put into high gear with twitter back as his main platform
Actually feels more obvious than wild if 1 happens.
It is Twitter that has normalized and promoted inhumane tactics like context switching, bad faith discussion, talking behind you to others instead of towards you (quote tweeting), screenshotting, obsessively digging through one's history, mob launches, and in some cases cancellations, death threats, etc.
No normal person engages with another person like this. They are tactics to use when at war, but this is business as usual on Twitter. Worse, it's richly rewarded. It's a place where brains and conversations go to die.
I hope the offer gets accepted, it's not like he can make it worse. Or perhaps he should intentionally make it worse and sink it.
Xi and the CCP/Chinese Government make a bid to buy Google, for a 20% premium.
They also bid to buy Twitter, Facebook and Microsoft. All for 20% premium.
Should shareholders do 'the right thing' and sell?
Assuming you're not a Twitter shareholder why do you care about investors interests? Why don't you care about your interests?
Why do plebes constantly argue against their own interests?
As a Twitter user, I pretty much don't want Elon Musk involved, and I don't really care too much otherwise.
Every organization has stakeholders: customers, suppliers, financiers (investors and debtors), execs, employees.
If a Union forms, they can take considerable control away from investors.
If debtors come calling, they can take considerable control, away from investors.
'Externalizations' such as issues in the public good, or environmental issues - matter.
Usually, we like to think of those things, in the context of a 'Charter' that highlights those things i.e. some 'Crown/Gov. Corporations', things like the CBC, US Post etc..
When you say 'things that don't matter vs. things that do' - that could be true, or only even true from a certain perspective.
For example, you might think they should not focus on moderation, but instead, advertising. Well, without appropriate moderation, the ship could sink. Also, issues like moderation can be hard and ultimately satisfy nobody, and frankly, might not even be an operational distraction (although it probably is).
Finally - as property of Elon Musk - Twitter will be literally whatever he wants it to be.
Rich People have, throughout history, bought newspapers etc. for the entire purpose of slandering their opponents. The news wasn't even 'real' until just a few generations ago, it was all tabloid.
Elon Musk could will likely censor those who disagree with him and his colleagues, and boost/amplify those who's interests are aligned with him - maybe not as badly as others, but it could be that.
If you're going to take a 'principled stand' on this issue, it's going to have to be one probably of the externalized common good, not so much shareholders.
BTW why is this called hostile?
Personally, I am seeing this a potential way to limit the freedom even more on Twitter than already happening.
I still don't understand the interest individuals have in proprietary, restrictive, unnecessary, platforms.. but for those who tolerate that sort of thing, I assume Twitter will become more valuable to them.
1) Buy 9 % of shares
2) Announce intention to buy 100%
3) Look share price rise
4) Sell shares
5) Profit!
PS: Note to Musk -> If you are looking to control a company you don't need to buy 100% of shares. Just a majority of shares or special rights shares if they exist. Save your money and help the less lucky ones:
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/02/mackenzie-scott-jeff...
That said, it would be interesting to see how Musk would destroy Twitter, instead of seeing Twitter continue to do it themselves.
I use twitter, I get something out of it, and I probably disagree with Musk politically on several issues. But if he were to take Twitter private, and change it, or whatever... Honestly, that's his prerogative; I'm certainly not in a position to stop him. Whether it's "good" or "bad" is not something that's really under my control. It's just a shame that this wealth isn't used for something more productive.
Because at its core, woke culture isn't righteous; it's petty and it's fueled by have nots fucking with haves because they can.
EVERYTHING Elon does is circled around his belief that we need to be living on Mars. Spaceships to get there. Satellites for communications when we get there. Electrical cars since no oil to drive there. Tunnel boring to make the roads and cities there.
Why would buying Twitter be any different? He currently is meeting serious resistance from USGOV and FAA on launching Starships. Postponed many times and may be postponed yet again due to environmental studies in TX.
Maybe; just maybe; total guess here; He thinks twitter would be a benefit to him during future elections to help either steer the future governments to directions he wants; or at a minimum move away from the one currently in power that's holding him back. I can certainly see it helping with his mantra "Going to Mars soon". Just another cog in the engine.
I just do not think this is about the money. A lot of people are talking about his stock price etc. Elon has never been about the money. It is about his end goals. Either the purchase of twitter is his repairing a social injustice he perceives, not normally on his radar. Or; it is a move to further his goal.
Barring a legal requirement for government to share all information to citizens on other channels at the same pace as they do on Twitter, being banned from Twitter prevents access to information that one is legally entitled to. That is clearly unacceptable.
I think Twitter should be able to moderate content as a private entity. But they’ve knowingly created a situation where outright banning is a powder keg and I feel like they’ve mostly lost the right to do so. They should have a good case for making accounts read only but they are definitely causing huge problems when they ban someone.