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tguedes

343 karma · joined October 10, 2018

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tguedes··on Study mode
It really depends on the query. I'm not a Google query expert, but I'm above average. I've noticed that phrasing a query in a certain way to get better results just no longer works. Especially in the last year, I have found it returns results that aren't even relevant at all.

The problem is people have learned to fill their articles/blogs with as many word combinations as possible so that it will show up in as many Google searches as possible, even if it's not relevant to the main question. The article has just 1 subheading that is somewhat relevant to the search query, even though the information under that subheading is completely irrelevant.

LLMs have ironically made this even worse because now it's so easy to generate slop and have it be recommended by Google's SEO. I used to be very good at phrasing a search query in the right way, or quoting the right words/phrases, or having it filter by sites. Those techniques no longer work.

So I have turned to ChatGPT for most of the queries I would have typically used Google for. Especially with the introduction of annotations. Now I can verify the source from where it determined the answer. It's a far better experience in most circumstances compared to Google.

I have also found ChatGPT to be much better than other LLMs at understanding nuance. There have been numerous occasions where I have pushed back against ChatGPT's answer and it has responded with something like "You would be correct if your input/criteria is X. But in this case, since your input/criteria is Y, this is the better solution for Z reasons".

tguedes··on CarPlay Ultra, the next generation of CarPlay, begins rolling out today
It looks like this will support physical buttons. From the article: "Drivers can also use onscreen controls, physical buttons, or Siri to manage both standard vehicle functions like the car’s radio and climate, as well as advanced, vehicle-specific features and controls like audio system configurations or performance settings, right from CarPlay, giving them a more fluid and seamless experience."

And if you look at the picture from the article, all the physical buttons are there.

tguedes··on A university president makes a case against cowardice
I don't think the first amendment protects this. The first amendment protects against prosecution from speech. In this case, they are not being prosecuted, they are just being denied funding. Where are you getting that the "First amendment is supposed to prevent the government from conditionalizing access to government services based on the speech of the recipient." It does not state that at all
tguedes··on A university president makes a case against cowardice
I suppose that means you don't know about the rich history of college protests that were instrumental in progressing human rights over the last 100 years?
tguedes··on The curious surge of productivity in U.S. restaurants
My understanding is that it's basically a cost benefit calculation where it would cost nearly as much or even more than a worker because of the mechanical repair cost over time and a restaurant still wouldn't be able to automate the entire production flow from take burger out of freezer -> package it up, so there isn't much benefit. Also, having all the burger variants McDonalds sells also doesn't make this easy.
tguedes··on Firing programmers for AI is a mistake
I completely agree with Jevron's paradox being the right way to think about this. Much like ERP and HR software made it so you needed less back of office staff to accomplish the same task, but it allows these huge, multi-national companies to exist. I don't think these tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands employee companies would be possible without ERP and HR software.

I think another way of thinking about this is with low-code/no code tools. Another comment in this post said they never really took off and they didn't in the way some people expected. But a lot of large companies use them quite a bit for automating internal processes such as document/data aggregation and manipulation. JP Morgan has multiple job listings right now for RPA developers. Before this would needed to be done by actual developers.

I suspect (and hope) AI will follow a similar trajectory. I hope the future is exciting and we build new, more complex systems we can build that wasn't possible before due to lack of

tguedes··on Sora is here
My hope is that it will be the death of the aggregators and there will be more value in high quality and authentic content. The past 10-15 years has rewarded people who appeal to the aggregation algorithms and get the most views. Hopefully going forward theres going to be more organic, word of mouth recommendations of high quality content.
tguedes··on Apple's new AI is magically mediocre
The headline is rather click-baity. As noted in the article, most of the exciting and powerful AI features are not yet available in the beta. So I'm not sure you can review "Apple's new AI" without testing those features.
tguedes··on Apple Vision Pro available in the U.S. on February 2
Because that has additional hardware instead of using your hands and does not allow seamless transition between the real world and virtual.
tguedes··on Apple Vision Pro available in the U.S. on February 2
Cause the features in this are the features that are needed to make this widely adoptable. Using the finger gestures instead of needing additional control hardware is key but expensive. Being able to switch between the virtual world and the real world seamlessly is key but expensive. The hope is that enough people hear about it and think it's cool that is forces the R&D to push down the price on this tech to be able to make it more widely accessible. Because without those kinds of features, AR/VR will always be niche.
tguedes··on Ford hits the brakes on $12B in EV spending
It's important to recognize the bubble you're in. Go to the American south and the Ford vs Chevy vs Dodge is a major identity for a lot of people. You'll see ridiculous bumper stickers like "I'd rather push a Ford than drive a Chevy." or "Ford. Like Chevy but for men."

And the more you customize your truck, the "higher" your status. To the point where you get ridiculous monstrosities like this https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTCPjEi.... There is no point to this besides to declare ones status.

Hell even closer to your bubble of private jets and yachts, plenty of high net worth people collect expensive and rare cars. It is a major status symbol to say they have 1 of 500 La Ferraris made or 1 of 375 McLaren P1's.

tguedes··on OpenAI predicted to generate over $1B
Because there are less opportunities to show ads with a chatbot, especially if its voice based. From a user perspective it’s an enhancement. From a revenue perspective, it’s harmful
tguedes··on Apple reports third quarter results
Services also includes the amount that Google pays Apple each year to be the default search engine on iOS. It’s estimated to be $15+ billion a year https://www.makeuseof.com/why-google-pays-apple-billions-of-...

That’s pure profit

tguedes··on Microsoft wins FTC fight to buy Activision Blizzard
It’s funny that you mention Sony considering almost all of their first titles are from studios they’ve bought over the last 15 years. I guess it’s fine when Sony did it in the past to get ahead of the competition but now when Microsoft is doing it, it’s anticompetitive.

The fact is the only way Microsoft becomes competitive again is for the industry to switch to streaming games. Thats why they’re buying all these studios. If Microsoft isn’t successful in the switch to streaming games, they are out of the gaming business cause they’ve lost the console wars and there’s no recovering at this point unless Sony significantly fucks up.

tguedes··on Reddit subs with millions of followers plan to extend the blackout indefinitely
Agreed. To me the most interesting part is what is going to happen to the large community specific subreddits, i.e the sports subreddits like r/soccer, r/music, r/movies, r/anime, etc. Those mod teams are generally very good and dedicate a lot of time to make the subreddit feel like a home for people who are interested in that community. Those will be the hardest mod teams to replace as opposed to large front page subreddits like r/pics or the smaller subreddits. Those subreddits are the middle ground of large enough to have constant abuse/spam but require domain specific knowledge so not anyone can be a good mod.
tguedes··on Apple Vision Pro: Apple’s first spatial computer
Id never thought I would see a comment about 100 gecs in hacker news
tguedes··on Apple’s new headset meets reality
Absolutely. Between Apple Silicon, Apple Watch, AirPods, and scaling operations to be able to sell the amount of products they do in a year, that is hard to argue against being an overwhelming success for Tim Cook as CEO.

Is it equal to the legacy of Apple under Jobs? Definitely not. But how many other companies/people released 3 revolutionary products?

tguedes··on For Tesla, Facebook and Others, AI’s Flaws Are Getting Harder to Ignore
The problem is that's 1 person. For Tesla's autopilot, that's the hundreds of thousands of cars running that broken model. The scale of the problem is much larger.
tguedes··on Amazon acquires MGM for $8.5B
For years McDonalds and other fast foods in America bundled toys with Happy Meals. Building cheap little toys is way less expensive than big budget media.
tguedes··on Amazon acquires MGM for $8.5B
1. It's Brad Stone, probably the person who has the most connections to people inside Amazon than anyone else, not just a random blogger.

2. You would blindly trust the words of someone who has to justify spending billions of dollars to shareholders?

tguedes··on Amazon acquires MGM for $8.5B
Are you sure about that? Amazon is one of the most loved brands in the country https://www.zdnet.com/article/theres-a-new-list-of-americas-... and has been for quite awhile
tguedes··on Amazon acquires MGM for $8.5B
From https://stratechery.com/2021/distribution-and-demand/:

`I do get the argument that Prime Video is a waste of money for Amazon; Brad Stone notes in his new book Amazon Unbound that “there was little evidence of a connection between viewing and purchasing behavior” and that “any correlation was also obfuscated by the fact that Prime was growing rapidly on its own.”`

Is that nugget actually true or is Bezos just obsessed with the glamor of Hollywood?

tguedes··on Companies excluding Coloradans from remote jobs to avoid sharing salary ranges
Except in America our neighborhoods are heavily influenced by race so I doubt you could legally ban against hiring from a neighborhood made up 90%+ African Americans.
tguedes··on US owners find greed doesn't play well in European soccer
I think his point is that a lot of people are blaming the Americans for this when the 2 largest and greediest clubs in the world are "run" by fans. So it has nothing to do with the Americans, it's that European football has become so greedy at the top.
tguedes··on Amazon workers vote against unionizing in Alabama
This used to be a debate and it’s really not anymore. It was primarily the right that used to argue that the reason people committed crime was because of their attitudes and social norms. But with over the last few decades, large parts of white Midwest and Appalachia are facing the exact same circumstances that inner cities faced for decades. So even some conservatives have started to agree with the side of crime follows economics rather than economics follows crime.
tguedes··on The Web’s Missing Interoperability
He means Shopify. Shopify merchants (and other DTC companies) heavily use Facebook/Instagram to target the specific audience they are targeting. Shopify has since announced that there will be a tighter integration with Facebook Shops
tguedes··on Salesforce Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire Slack
Slack has actual administrator tools unlike Discord. Discord very clearly has no interest in the capturing any significant market share in the business space.
tguedes··on Netflix is creating a problem by cancelling TV shows too soon
When Netflix first came out with streaming, there was certainly the Netflix effect. You mention Breaking Bad, they didn't take off until they were added to Netflix, so people could catch up on the past seasons. Same thing happened with Shameless from Showtime.
tguedes··on TikTok’s Chinese owner offers to forego stake to clinch U.S. deal – sources
This is geopolitics, not grade school.
tguedes··on Spotify CEO: musicians can no longer release music only “once every 3-4 years”
They've created new revenue streams by allowing the music labels to purchase advertising on spotify to promote new singles/albums. More singles/albums coming out -> More competition for listeners -> Drives up advertising prices. I imagine that's part of the reason.
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