simulate

The NIH numbers quoted above didn't use costs over the past 80 years. They instead estimated current costs based on current demographics.

>> To estimate lifetime health care costs, we employ a method based on a current life table, also known as a period life table model.

Thus, these costs are representative of recent costs.

In the next 80 years, both the expected value of insurance and the cost of insurance will change. Health insurance premiums are expected to increase by double-digits in 2019.

https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/05/26/whos-ready-for-a-1...

The NIH estimates that the average person uses $316k ($419k in 2018 dollars) in health care spending over an 80 year life.[1][2]. That puts the value of health insurance at $5,237 per person per year.

The average health insurance deductible is $4,358 and the average premium is $321 per month.[3] That means that on average US citizens pay $321 per month for (5237-4358) / 12 = $73.25 of expected value. That's a 4X markup over the expected value of insurance.

Health insurance companies might be reporting single digit overheads but they are providing $1 of value for $4 and are inefficient.

[1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1361028/

[2] https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2017/11/05/when-your-shitty-...

[3] https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2017/06/23/heres-how-much-the-avera...

Radio Shack's TRS-80 had a voice synthesis box available for $399 way back in 1979:

http://www.trs-80.org/trs-80-voice-synthesizer/

Here's a YouTube demo: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WeIJxXCh8P8

($399 in 1979 is equal to about $1399 in 2018)

Petty crimes like stealing phones and wallets are relatively rare in US cities like San Francisco.[1]

Pickpocketing is a major issue in Paris and in other major European cities[2], yet children are trusted to do activities alone and independently.

The issue of child independence is is unrelated to actual crime and culturally based.

[1] http://www.slate.com/articles/arts/culturebox/2011/02/the_lo...

[2] http://www.traveller.com.au/worlds-top-10-worst-cities-for-p...

Adam Gopnik wrote about Romain Gary in the New Yorker six months ago. Gopnik's article is a nice companion piece to this one:

The Made-Up Man https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/01/01/the-made-up-ma... The writer Romain Gary was an inveterate fabulist. But his work is sustained by an authentic moral vision.

There was a popular discussion about Voronoi Airports on the front-page of HN yesterday referencing a different project: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17337600

O' Brother Where Art Thou? is also loosely based on The Odyssey: https://www.menofthewest.net/odyssey-o-brother-art-thou/

That's terrific! Do you have photos or videos of your structures that you can share?

The FIT kits I've received have tissue that you use to keep the stool out of the toilet and you can urinate around the tissue. Here's a somewhat graphic video that explains how to use it (this may be NSFW): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOhjxfkf4tw

Annual home stool tests (FIT) mentioned in this article can be as effective as colonoscopies. My provider, Kaiser-Permanente mails a kit once a year and I mail it back so no appointment is necessary and it's a lot less invasive.

538 wrote a good piece about the advantages of FIT vs. colonoscopy: "You Could Skip Your Colonoscopy If You’re Willing To Collect Your Poop" https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/you-could-skip-your-col...

Discussion on HN last week referencing a New York Times article on the same topic: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17072712

Thanks for this! I loved this explanation and I had never heard that divisibility is the reason we have 24 hours in a day and 60 minutes in an hour. After reading your comment, I found this article in Scientific American that gave additional detail: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/experts-time-divi...

The discovery was made by Aubrey de Grey, the same person who believes that humans will eventually live past 1,000. Weird!

> [de Grey] found his way to the chromatic number of the plane problem through a board game. Decades ago, de Grey was a competitive Othello player, and he fell in with some mathematicians who were also enthusiasts of the game. They introduced him to graph theory, and he comes back to it now and then. “Occasionally, when I need a rest from my real job, I’ll think about math,” he said. Over Christmas last year, he had a chance to do that.

Contact lens solution does not contain a borate-type preservative. The active ingredient in contact lens solution is boric acid. There are some contact lens solutions that don't contain boric acid but they won't make slime. You need boric acid to make slime and you can either get it from Borax or contact lens solution.

Borax has been getting negative press recently and I see people recommending contact lens solution as an alternative. But why is contact lens solution safer than Borax, when the active ingredient in both is boric acid?

[Edited to remove incorrect, outdated info about apoE4 data]

23andMe offers information on ApoE4 now that they have FDA approval. You can also use Promethease to get additional information on SNiPs if you want. Here's how.

1. Get a DNA analysis from 23andMe or similar.

2. Download your raw genetic data. If you use 23andMe, you can download your raw genetic data here: https://you.23andme.com/tools/data/download/

3. Upload your data to https://promethease.com/

Before you do this, you might want to visit ApoE4.Info and consider what you will do with the information once you have it. https://www.apoe4.info/wp/thinking-about-testing/

What cities will see the kind of growth Austin has experienced in the next twenty years? Perhaps Raleigh, Denver?

> Their software support ends today on March 7th which is less than two years.

If released in September 2015, then two years would be September 2017 and today would be more than two years.

That is not to say that two and a half years is acceptable.

You can get iodine from sources other than iodised salt. Vitamin D is often combined with iodine in supplements, for example.

There are three regions in Saturn's troposphere and the lowest region, about 130 kilometers (80 miles) down, is largely clouds made of water and ice. https://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Cassini-Huy...

The topic of emergent genius was also covered in a short video about a year ago: https://youtu.be/7H6doOmS-eM

When your kids are a bit older you can use an inflatable seat like this: https://www.bubblebum.co/us/ Easy to carry in a backpack.

World on a Wire (Welt am Draht) - German movie from 1972 similar to the Matrix. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_on_a_Wire

Stalker - Andrei Tarkovsky film from 1979 on the indifference of aliens and humans' inability to comprehend alien intelligence. Somewhat like Solaris.

The Incident (El Incidente) - a nightmare time-loop movie and possibly the most disturbing movie I've ever seen written and directed by Mexican director Isaac Ezban. You can watch it on Netflix. http://www.imdb.com/title/tt3528756/

Speaking of Ezban, Cosas Feas / Nasty Stuff is a disturbing sci-fi short he did in 2009 available on Vimeo: https://vimeo.com/65601847

One more: They're Made of Meat is available on YouTube and only 7 minutes long: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IfPdhsP8XjI starring the guy from Cash Cab.

Did they include perchlorates in the simulated Martian soil? It seems unlikely that they did but I might be mistaken.

The big issue with either growing plants on Mars or simply being exposed to Martian dust is perchlorates in the soil: https://www.space.com/21554-mars-toxic-perchlorate-chemicals...

There have been a few proposals for intercepting Oumuamua in the coming years. One approach is to launch a rocket in 2025 for an intercept in 2039: https://www.space.com/38919-interstellar-asteroid-mission-sp...

We had a terminal to a PDP-11 70 in our middle school library in 1977 when I was 12. The terminal printed on green and white striped paper and no one at our school knew how to operate it until a friend and I began to play with it. I hand-typed games from this book: https://www.atariarchives.org/basicgames/showpage.php?page=c...

which eventually led to me writing my own programs.

The actual PDP 11 was located at a local college. After learning a bit more about the architecture, we two twelve-year-olds called the administrator and asked for root privileges. Sadly, he said, "No." :-)

There are several versions of this game online. Here's an explanation of the game that includes a simple, single-player version. https://forio.com/about/blog/bullwhips-and-beer/

This is the one I bought: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B071NPLVZH/

It looks like it might be discontinued, but there are other similar models available: https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=sr_nr_p_36_2?rnid=386442011&key...

If you try this a good helmet mount is important. This one works well for my hardshell helmet: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B008BNEXH4

A couple months ago I mounted an inexpensive (~$140) 360 view camera to my helmet for my bike work commute. Here's some recent footage: https://youtu.be/aTTEEWxJImk

It works well and might one day capture an accident. I just need to remember to charge it. I wear it even when it is not charged because it seems cars are more cautious around me when they see the camera poking off the top of my helmet.

You have to download your raw genetic data from 23andMe and then re-upload it to get the methylation analysis. You can download your raw genetic data from 23andMe here: https://you.23andme.com/tools/data/download/

If you use 23andMe, you can get a methylation analysis here: https://geneticgenie.org/methylation-analysis/

I'm not connected with Genetic Genie, I'm only sharing a way I found to discover if I have the MTHFR mutation.