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shoubidouwah

180 karma · joined January 7, 2023

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shoubidouwah··on At least 10 people tied to sensitive US research have died or disappeared
Nice writeup on the whole thing basically being hyped politically with actual nothing behind it https://unherd.com/2026/04/behind-the-disappearing-scientist...

Also ~10 in a year, modal age of established scientists + collaboration with us gov, the background rate is basically that... Basically a conspiracy theory at that point, and not even a good one.

shoubidouwah··on The universal weight subspace hypothesis
and hope for a president that can do both
shoubidouwah··on Eating stinging nettles
I eat them fairly often, but tend to get "nettle fatigue" quite early on due to their strong fishy smell - ammonia-like. Anyone got a recipe / way of getting past it, or masking it efficiently?
shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
I am actually advacating for something different: I am not taking your money, I am saying after some level, what you accumulate is not - your kids - money. It realigns incentives (do something with it before you die), helps your kids (unearned weath corrupts, enormous unearned wealth corrupts enormously), and actually enables opportunities through investment and redistribution at a time when most people need something like a downpayment or school debt clearing.
shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
I am talking inheritance, not weatlth tax, and have actually written I'm for reducing said taxes. you truly do not need the extra million when you're dead. Maybe read my comment again with more charity and re-engage?
shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
it is already more or less the case, but I argue that it's for the benefit of the living holder, not the heirs. A lot of the incentives to have huge, untouched inheritances revolve around dynasty effects, exactly the kind of behaviour we want to curb.

I'd go further and say that "unearned wealth corrupts" is a well known effect, and (apart from the small subset of rich people who do not care about their kids corruption and intrinsic worth apart from them being the vehicle of their dinasty) we see that divestment into charity / foundations are the modern preferred way for inheritance management, both sparing the kids somewhat (being downgraded to a multimillionaire is not a hellish situation) and gifting them cultural influence. A sovereign fund could scratch that itch somewhat.

shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
incentives. It's okay to be successful and enjoy the fruits of your wealth, and you want people to strive towards wealth. but transmission across generations is a true societal poison.
shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
> I would also not trust the government or any political body to handle income from the inheritance taxes

thus the importance of the sovereign fund.

shoubidouwah··on Over $70T of inherited wealth over next decade will widen inequality, economists
1) set a generous threshold over which your inheritance gets taxed, inflation adjusted (e.g, 2M not including the principal residence) 2) tax 100% above it. (should only concern a fraction of a fraction of cases) 3) put all this tax's proceeds in a sovereign wealth fund 4) at 21, a citizen gets access to her redistributed generational wealth 5) profit
shoubidouwah··on German government comes out against Chat Control
This is actually one of my own fears for efficient organization at state level and above: - any new technology, any new opportunity either has checks and balances or gets exploited by smart optimizers with no regards for the commons or human flourishing - checks and balances are as you say a constant drain on public attention and resources: you need smart people doing the checking (finite resource), and receptive eyeballs (finite also) - it is thus an optimization problem. attack_surface - check_capacity = societal_explots I worry that the check_capacity term is constrained, but that the attack_surface keeps aexpanding with new technologies. At some point, we started playing whack a mole, frantically jumping from one check to another, and we're holding the fray stochastically. but at some point it's going to become extremely adversarial.
shoubidouwah··on David Lynch LA House
> Too much land to manually manicure a lawn on top of > too little land for john deere to be of any practical help I feel you.
shoubidouwah··on Gene drive modified mosquitoes offer new tool for malaria elimination efforts
Mosquito nets are best: put some as canopies above beds and enjoy sleeping without the dreaded ear buzz. If you live in a badly infested area, put them around doors / windows (there's retractable ones, you can fit them yourself). And finally, the superpower of just doing things: do some door to door / enlist your neighbors and hunt down the neighborhood stagnant waters.
shoubidouwah··on Ogres Are Cool
The Sad Tale of the Brothers Grossbart is definitely one, as well as a bunch of the "big epics" like the Malazan empire / The annals of the Black Company?

It may be less common than "high castles", but that is either because of opportunity cost (non-special characters do not survive well this kind of world, so their stories are either short or picaresque) or feature creep if they start from the bottom: if you want an uplifting tale, upwards mobility is needed and at some point only the king is up...

shoubidouwah··on Discworld Rules
A good refresher on deterrence seems necessary here. https://www.ndc.nato.int/news/news.php?icode=1570 There's a very real, game theoretic reason why nuclear riposte is fully automated with no way for even commanders to cancel. A rogue actor _menacing_ nuclear attack as a tool of invasion and war of aggression is an obvious case study for this.

And finally: "We cannot allow a nuclear war to happen, even if it means letting Ukraine win the war" is foremost in russian minds, no?

shoubidouwah··on Cautious Optimizers: Improving Training with One Line of Code
I wonder if there mioght not be an opportunity for a warmup based mask inversion: for the first few epoches, only apply the momentum agreeing with instantaneous - after that, invert it since the momentum would technically have more info?

In any case, good idea - reminds me of the "apply same gradient multiple times" trick from a few years ago. May have weird behaviours at low batch sizes though...

shoubidouwah··on GPT-4.5
TBH, with the safety/alignment paradigm we have, workforce replacement was not my top concern when we hit AGI. A pause / lull in capabilities would be hugely helpful so that we can figure how not to die along with the lightcone...
shoubidouwah··on The internet is already over (2022)
I think you're right on the crux, with a qualification: every argument has already been made in one form or another - the underlying universal concepts are not that complex. the talent of a writer is to present it in a manner congruent with the geography/times. Isn't vacuity when speaking in pure style, but in a style that itself acts as a mirror to the zeitgeist, a valuable tool for thinkers? A frame, a kind of meta-thought?
shoubidouwah··on The internet is already over (2022)
It also was how N. saw his thoughts at times. An evidence, disgraced for being explained. And stylistic flamboyance around a theme is hardly foreign to philosophers, this one in particular (any chapter of Zarathustra can be read as a blog post in the same way).

I still advocate that style - and being drunk with style - can lead the writer to singularly original and contemporaneous ideas. Language is a dynamic object, filled with the spirit of the age, and very high sensitivity to it within a philosophical context can act as a catalyst.

shoubidouwah··on The internet is already over (2022)
temporal commutativity of thought in the media vector space?
shoubidouwah··on The internet is already over (2022)
If Sam Kriss spent two years to write any of his blog posts into a book, he'd be Nietzsche. Still makes for a sparkling bit of thought, easily reread.
shoubidouwah··on Waymo One is now open to everyone in San Francisco
You have ID of who was in the car and when, and a 'report' button in the app for the next passenger. Easy enough, if something is reported you have the choice to wait for the next one while the trashed car goes to be cleaned or ride anyway at a discount if you solve it yourself - e.g: put the trash in a bag in the boot of the car. After N reports attributed to you, you get banned.
shoubidouwah··on America's commute to work is getting longer and longer
epistemic status = lightly tinhat: free time outside work and living close / keeping in touch with coworkers is highly correlated with union activity. I am quite confident in my prediction that time spent commuting is negatively correlated with the same / has a threshold effect. This is an incentive to keep things miserable for some.

Combined with the closing of traditional organizing grounds - in my current employer's case, the company pub and rugby team due to non-parity/inclusivity -, you see a drastic disconnect between white collars+blue collars due to lack of contact during and after work.

shoubidouwah··on Companies with return-to-office mandates face losing their most valuable workers
in other words, "office space provides him with negative utility"
shoubidouwah··on Companies with return-to-office mandates face losing their most valuable workers
The discussion here follows well understood battle lines, but I want to add my grain of salt: working from the office comes bundled with commute. And the crux of arguments tends to be where you fall on the [commute is hell <-> working from home is hard due to circumstances] continuum. Some say that "commute helps clear the mind / switch context", but a simple walk does the same IMO; the mandatory presence in a vehicle along with everybody else at the same time, unpaid and very often for hours everyday feels incredibly invasive, wasteful and unjust. Every person then can talk price based on their circumstances, but that's the nub of it for me.
shoubidouwah··on NSA publishes guidance for strengthening AI system security
Just did! I hope one of the AI applications coming soon is pure post-treatment of old videogames for graphic quality. (e.g: I play an old game, it's upscaled / retextured locally without any interaction with the code on my own GPU). Even the remaster is showing its years in a distracting way, alas.
shoubidouwah··on How to found a company in Germany: 14 "easy" steps and lots of pain
"Austerity is dropout"
shoubidouwah··on French court issues damages award for violation of GPL
Naively, if a model is smart enough to spit / whitewash a bit of code, it is also smart enough to add attribution, isn't it? Wouldn't correct attribution be just a master prompt line away?
shoubidouwah··on How to do things if you're not that smart and don't have any talent
reminds me of the saying that every year, the intelligence threshold needed to end the world drops a bit more - cannot for the life of me find it again...
shoubidouwah··on Chemicals that cure malaria can kill weeds too (2017)
somewhat related xkcd comic https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/cells.png
shoubidouwah··on How much of the world is it possible to model?
All of you would love the "obscure cities" series of comics (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Les_Cit%C3%A9s_obscures), as well as some works by J. Abeille (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacques_Abeille#Les_Jardins_st...)
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