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serioussecurity

488 karma · joined November 15, 2014

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serioussecurity··on High Diesel Prices Bankrupted 16 Trucking Companies in Just 30 Days
Demand may not be elastic however.
serioussecurity··on High Diesel Prices Bankrupted 16 Trucking Companies in Just 30 Days
I don't think this is quite accurate.

If trucks were forced to bear their share of the burden we might see a significant shift in how we transported goods, including more rail.

(Yes, I know rail doesn't work for last mile.)

serioussecurity··on 2026 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine: Deisseroth, Hegemann, Nagel
He kinda disappeared after the Epstein stuff as far as I can tell?
serioussecurity··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
pragh@ (Prabhakar) (yes his ldap is an anagram of graph) absolutely gutted the fire wall between search and ads.

To pick a specific piece of public information to support my claim: the previous SVP of ads quit immediately before the coup to start a subscription based search engine.

One nonpublic piece of information: basically every member of search leadership was pushed out within two years of his ascension.

serioussecurity··on Why the US Navy won't blast the Iranians and 'open' Strait of Hormuz
We win battles and lose wars. Haven't won a war since WW2 and arguably Russia would have won without us.
serioussecurity··on OpenAI closes funding round at an $852B valuation
0. These things take an enormous amount of time and coordinating to release.
serioussecurity··on Elon Musk pushes out more xAI founders as AI coding effort falters
Only from disingenuous folks trying to control them.
serioussecurity··on Ask HN: How to be alone?
Exercise, therapy, meditation, writing. I've valued my time alone, in retrospect, tho it was scary and challenging.
serioussecurity··on Global warming has accelerated significantly
They're a user hostile attempt to extract money from people. They make their website hard to use.
serioussecurity··on Where things stand with the Department of War
I've worked as a contractor for a safety system that turned out to be for a foreign military. I was given a signal, and told to write software to fit it. The signal could plausibly be collected for a wide variety of civilian purposes.

What I realized later was that none of the civilian markets could possibly justify the cost of the project.

The particular type of signal fitting I was doing was only achievable by a few thousand expensive domain experts in the world, so, I think that addresses your other point.

serioussecurity··on Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 2025
Highs had a delay of 49 years from paper to prize, though he got the prize the year after his theory was experimentally confirmed.
serioussecurity··on The worrying kink in this job openings, unemployment curve
I'm sorry you're blaming the Biden admin for a bush era policy why?
serioussecurity··on Fire destroys S. Korean government's cloud storage system, no backups available
Anti authoritarian patriots?
serioussecurity··on 'Western Qwen': IBM Wows with Granite 4 LLM Launch and Hybrid Mamba/Transformer
Every technical paper I've read that IBM publish at an ML conference has been P-hacked to hell. Stay away.
serioussecurity··on People can read their manager's mind (2015)
I've spent much of my last four years systematically turning down every project a specific director has launched.

The turn downs save enormous amounts of our hardware budget, and each time are measured as not happening users.

No one has yet noticed that basically none of that directors projects are still running and put together that the things he builds stop working after two years.

I keep getting paid good senior engineer money, and don't have to think too hard about what my next project should be. But it's really demoralizing to realize that he will continue to be promoted.

serioussecurity··on Coinbase cuts staff by a further 20%
Your surprise over a £3 fee strikes me as a perfect illustration of crypto: profoundly naive, inexperienced investors getting a hard lesson in how unregulated markets work.

I hope, some years down the line, you take the broader life lesson that anyone promising you money for nothing does not have your best interests at heart.

serioussecurity··on I went through a period where I loaned money to anyone that asked me
Heavy drinking.

Usually they're choosing between a set of bad options.

serioussecurity··on Ask HN: Given AI advancements, is a master’s degree in CS worthless?
The masters might help you better explore why this is not a realistic concern :) I got a lot of value from mine.

The risk in CS that I worry about right now is suppressed wages as more folks enter the field and the large companies get better at paying us less.

serioussecurity··on Nuclear physicist explains why fusion ignition is hailed as a major breakthrough
Not to diminish the achievement, but not making that graph log scale was deeply dishonest.
serioussecurity··on Yerba Mate – A Long but Current History (2021)
Yerba Mate is brewed, like tea. You can buy the herb and brew it yourself, like loose tea. Yerba Mate is not a company, it's a drink with three thousand of years of history. The reason many energy drink companies add so much sugar is that it's extremely bitter. I like mine bitter, and many drink it straight.
serioussecurity··on Amazon confirms corporate staff cuts that could hit 10k employees
Done much crying at your desk recently?

My boss at Amazon told me he was happy that his baby was born prematurely, because it meant he could be back at work in time for a launch.

serioussecurity··on Amazon confirms corporate staff cuts that could hit 10k employees
Ruthless environments where low performers are stack ranked out of the company creates a psychologically unsafe working environment that encourages toxic competition and makes it hard to retain your best people. I got out a long time ago, but Amazon struggled to retain their best employees because they'd go somewhere else. Amazon had such absurd turn over that they are running out of people to interview. It's a wood chipper, designed to burn out young, insecure engineers while extracting two years of boilerplate from them.
serioussecurity··on Telling people you're a self taught developer in YouTube is a big business now
Yes, it's how people used to do it. I spent my first decade without mentorship. A month isn't enough time; I consider what I do a craft that I'm honing over the course of a life time.
serioussecurity··on Alex Jones told to pay $965M damages to Sandy Hook victims' families
Punitive damages were a large fraction of the award.
serioussecurity··on How New Are Yann LeCun's “New” Ideas?
Gary Marcus' contribution to the field is to post the same rant about how it's not real intelligence, every 6 months. Why does he keep getting up voted?
serioussecurity··on Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade
https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJ...
serioussecurity··on Stanley Druckenmiller warns the stock market will be ‘flat’ for an entire decade
This is incorrect.

https://static.twentyoverten.com/5980d16bbfb1c93238ad9c24/rJ...

serioussecurity··on Understanding Jane Street
Hawkins is a notorious con artist with nothing to show for almost two decades of work.
serioussecurity··on Signal: You were the chosen one [video]
HN is mostly people trying to get rich selling themselves to VCs, so I'm not convinced that this is where the spirit of "hacker" is kept alive.
serioussecurity··on Ask HN: How do I Stop Living Paycheck to Paycheck?
In NYC? They're living without health insurance, 8 people in a 3 bedroom, with less than $500 in savings, and credit card debt, yes.

Or they commute two hours each way from Philly.

America does not treat it's people well.

https://fortunly.com/statistics/american-savings-statistics/...

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