s08148692

Tesla is building their own fab

Huge gamble - If they pull it off I wouldn't be surprised if other companies follow

The whole armchair engineer debate online about this is hilarious

I'm just a software engineer, all I need to know is SpaceX is aggressively pursuing this - that's enough for me to believe it's viable

SpaceX operates literally orders of magnitudes more satellites than anyone else. If anybody understands the physics and engineering of space compute, it's SpaceX. Lay people debating this online is just showing their ignorance as far as I'm concerned, and it mostly comes from an emotional place of wanting Musk enterprises to fail

> Right.. and computers were once the size of a large room vs now fit into a pocket.

and yet now we have far bigger rooms with far bigger computers anyway

Hardware may improve exponentially, but demand for compute increases double-exponentially. we'll always need more, bigger computers

the IDE has little value

What they want is the massive user base, the data (Cursor has a lot of high quality coding data for training), the teams expertise in coding models and agents, and the Composer models

60 billion is a large number but these frontier labs are burning billions a month in compute alone, and SpaceX is IPOing soon so they'll have a lot of cash to spend

When LLM skills become the bottleneck, you kind of need to use an LLM to learn how to use LLM workflows effectively

Getting the most out of LLM tooling is a real skill that needs practice just like any other

The fact that the whole thread has basically devolved into debates over if it is or isn't an LLM written article is proving well enough that it doesn't really matter one way or another

Capitalism certainly is hugely flawed and yet it is far less flawed than any other economic system we know of. Experimentation with the foundations of society is about as risky as it gets. You could end up with a utopia or you could end up with another USSR. History tells us which outcome is more likely

For a foundation AI lab with a world famous AI researcher at the helm though, it's not so impressive. Won't even touch the sides of the hardware costs they'd need to be anywhere near competitive

As a counter anecdote, my wife stopped using it because it is quite terrible when you ask it about current events. She almost exclusively uses the Grok app now because it has the "best" internet search and current events results

> Wait what? when did they actually enter mass production?

"mass" is a strong word but the first one came off their production line 5 days ago

ramp to high volume will probably be extremely slow

I don't think they meant literally cameras only can create reliable distance measures. At the risk of putting words in their mouth, I would guess they meant "cameras as the only input to a distance model". the "model" doing all the heavy lifting, covering the points that you quite rightly point out are needed

Several companies, most notably Tesla, have done this well enough to drive in all manner of traffic. I'm not going to comment about if lidar is strictly needed or not to achieve better-than-human safety, that's yet to be proven one way or another by anyone. The point is that cameras + local inference can do a pretty good job at distance estimation

Shame, shopping there felt like magic. I hope the technology is developed in future without having to rely on remote workers validating transactions. Definitely felt like the future of shopping

First my mind went to Phoenix (elixir framework), then to X (twitter) before it clicked what this was actually about. Some very overloaded names

If someone is printing their own rather than buying official models I don't think it's safe to assume they're buying the digital assets

The irony of naming this post "This is not the future" and leaving no room for the possibility that this is actually probably the future.

Whole post just reads as someone disgruntled at the state of the world and reeling that they aren't getting their way. Theres a toxic air of intellectual and moral superiority in that blog

Imagine an oral c++ algorithms and data structures exam

This isn't just essays, AI will happily output any known algorithm you ask for in a few seconds. CS coursework can be almost entirely automated in many cases

Split across all countries the satellite flies over, proportional to the amount of time spent over each country

Good luck

I see a lot of these posts about how Tesla UI (and touchscreens in cars in general) are unsafe and cause accidents. Intuitively it makes sense, but I haven't actually seen any evidence that Teslas or other touchscreen-heavy cars are actually involved in more accidents per mile. Would be curious if there's any studios on this to back up these claims, or is everyone just making intuitively true claims without evidence?

A simple search of twitter for "cisgender" shows that the word is not banned

I think you'd struggle to find a human on this planet that isn't biased one way or another when it comes to Musk

+1

I'm anywhere between indifferent and disgusted by Musks political views, depending on the issue.

Does that make me bearish on Tesla? Absolutely not. On the contrary I'm more bullish now than ever. I see so many people lose all objectivity and reason when they look at any Musk enterprise because they don't like the man

> when Postgres picks a stupid plan and can't be convinced to do something reasonable.

In my experience it can always be convinced to make a reasonable plan, but it's not always trivial. Sometimes it's just adding an index, sometimes it's entirely rewriting a query

"Lay-off means that they are laying off people regardless of their performance as a change in their strategy"

Sure, if a whole team or department is let go. If 10% of a team is cut though it won't be by random dice roll

"Despite the fact that anyone can edit any page"

This couldn't be further from the truth. Anything even slightly controversial or popular is heavily gated

If Tesla succeeds in their FSD ambitions (vision only), and they are actually correct that HW3/4 (current tesla hardware) is capable of full self driving, the economics will make sense, and we're a software update away from having millions of self driving taxis already on the roads

That's a lot of ifs, so I'm not at all saying its right around the corner, but it's within the set of possible outcomes. V12 is looking quite promising, but then again so was V11 and V10

From the few interviews I've watched, he seems like a real life manifestation of an Ayn Rand hero character. I doubt he has any public sector or welfare in his plans

A SLS launch costs about 2 billion dollars. A Starship launch is estimated to cost around 40 million. It'll probably end up costing more than that, but it would need to cost a whole lot more to make the SLS a better option

Starship has a slightly larger internal volume than the ISS, so yeah, a single starship is directly comparable to the current largest space station we've got