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onnoonno

99 karma · joined October 8, 2013

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onnoonno··on German villagers build own broadband network
TNG serves all of Schleswig-Holstein now? I thought this was a Kiel-only thing?
onnoonno··on Fraudulent trading activity at Mt. Gox
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernie_madoff

The world (of warcraft?) economy.

onnoonno··on Novena open laptop almost at $700k with 45 mins to go
By pure chance I just spoke to the guys who made it at Maker Faire. Very cool project.

They told me they have the full system running with zero binary-only blobs. I think that alone can be quite a selling point nowadays...

onnoonno··on The lie about Edward Snowden that just won't die
I wonder whether this could be a manufactured opinion to an extent?

I mean, we now know that online forums are subverted and socially engineered to keep 'bad opinions' down.

Add to that the still persisting mass media with known effects - and I slowly start to think of the internet as being very much part of the 'mass media', too.

For example, I noticed a lot of articles in newspapers being written by journalists that have agendas that diverge completely from the opinions of the people commenting on an article. The next step, I'd guess, is to 'properly' police these comments....

onnoonno··on The Mystery of Go, the Ancient Game That Computers Still Can’t Win
Hehehe ... and what is a belief in a higher being, that cannot be proven to exist, commonly called?

:-)

onnoonno··on Google offering $1M prize for a much smaller power inverter
According to Wikipedia, this is not true anymore:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hvdc

'Depending on voltage level and construction details, HVDC transmission losses are quoted as about 3.5% per 1,000 km, which is less than typical losses in an AC transmission system.[16]'

onnoonno··on The reality show: Schizophrenics used to see demons and spirits (2013)
Yes, I know that I am all over the place :D That's why I said its mostly based on 'gut feeling'... I guess I am just trying to figure out what part of my world view is coming from myself and what from others.
onnoonno··on The reality show: Schizophrenics used to see demons and spirits (2013)
Here is a observation I have and a question for the HN crowd:

Recently, I think I picked up a lot more articles in the tech circles, on reddit/HN/slashdot etc. that talk about the borders of mental illnesses, the question of the value of the humanities vs. STEM, Buddhism, the meaning of live, and more such fundamental/philosophical topics.

This is purely a gut feeling so far (I didn't do any math on frequencies of posts/submissions or similar), but:

Is this on the increase recently? I do feel some kind of phase transition the last couple of months. I actually posted that at a comment here on HN a while ago, back then I felt it was kind of like a 'collective identity crisis in the west'? Maybe I am just completely projecting my own inner soul searching to the outside world. But I do have the distinct impression that our society is at some kind of inflection point.

If I would try to boil it down to more 'everyday thoughts', I get somewhat of the impression that technology changed society so much that we all collectively begin to realize that we have as many new questions as we gained answers.

No one seems to know what will happen to our now quite-remote-from-the-people-governments, Bitcoin, surveillance, drones, etc.

And I have the impression even most of us are unable to see a clear picture for the future.

If I would look at history, I would expect some kind of mass movement(s?) to form soon.

Is anyone else having similar thoughts?

onnoonno··on Ants swarm like brains think
What I find especially interesting is why we think that these metaphysical concepts make sense. We do not only seem to think 'it makes sense', there seems to be an actual _emotion_ connected to it. We like it!

I mean, we look at evolution and at some point it 'just clicks', we wrap our head around it and see the abstraction clearly everywhere. And we like that we understand.

But we do we like it? Why do we like the explanation?

It also works the other way around: For example, look at the concept of the infinite regress. When one comes up, we actually seem to dislike the ideas that lead to it. Emotionally. There is no logical/rational reason for the dislike. Why so?

onnoonno··on What Killed My Sister?
I am curious: Is there a difference in the problems that show up with regards to the country that people look at?
onnoonno··on Space Colony Art from the 1970s
That's only proven reserves, though. Thorium right now is in basically no demand. Given the extremely high energy density of the fuel, A LOT of ores will become economically extractable.

It might not be 64ky, but >1ky seems to be very realistic.

Edit: See also the Wikipedia section on it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium#Reserve_estimates

onnoonno··on Do Men Suck At Friendship?
^^ This. I know I am there for my friends and I know that they are there for me. That already gives me a feeling of connectedness. I do not need to see them on a daily basis.
onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
But is the wealth they inherited the problem - or rather the abuse of power that comes with it?

If you agree that it is the abuse of power: Does this need additional complexity to address - or is it simply something to be addressed with (tax) laws?

Also, I think that the idea of 'eliminating human suffering' is a sure sign of an ideology. Human suffering can be reduced, certainly, but 'elimination' is utopian, an unreachable extreme.

For example, I would argue that a large property and luxury tax could alleviate most the problems that unwise wealth causes.

Further down in this thread, the user 'StandardFuture' more eloquently says what I think am trying to say - people are people and they just game whatever system is in place.

I think that in some sense, the idea of 'fixing the damn system' can actually be a trap. It may make one busy trying to think outside the box, to be busy inventing very advanced ideas for solving a problem that in the end boils down to 'people are people'.

onnoonno··on Space Colony Art from the 1970s
> Until we crack compact, high yield fusion, I doubt we will make much progress in realizing our space-faring dreams.

What about regular, fission nuclear power?

onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
... and in the meantime, the systems of thought (as I tried to argue in my other posts) that are erected to hide these basics behaviors will become increasingly intricate and complex and hide this very fact that people are people in increasingly interesting ways.

I believe, as I mentioned above, the idea that 'humans are not rational' is one of the latest such constructs to hide basic reality.

In a way, it is an interesting evolution of delusion, to the point where it gets extremely hard to avoid being drawn into it.

Thinking this line further, maybe the next restart will be rather due to the fact that the complexity is so big that people just accept reality?

onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
Nicely said. I don't know why you are downvoted :D
onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
Is it a good idea to assume non-rationality in policy, though?

As I also wrote in my other post, I think one can easily argue that 'more informed policy' that 'accounts for human's partial rationality' actually creates complexity which makes it even harder for humans to act rational.

*edit: grammar

onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
That might all be true. However, the question is not discussed in a vacuum. It is discussed in the context of policy, seemingly often used as a core premise.

Thus the question remains: What kind of policy one exactly wants to base on 'human's irrationality'. And whether it is good to base policy on irrational behavior.

It is also important to consider that there will always be people who are more rational in their profit/money/power-maximizing than others.

A policy based upon irrational behavior might create an inefficiency that will be exploited by those with more rational behavior.

That's why I am wary about lines of reasoning along 'people are just irrational'.

I believe it creates system(s) of thought where somehow, we account for people's irrationality and thus make it more just/less cyclic/less prone to capital accumulation.

Yet, those who simply, coolly maximize their own gains, those who sort ideas like 'complex, advanced policy informed by the irrational behavior of humans' into the religion bin etc. will still come out ahead.

In other words: We generate complex systems of thoughts, especially in fields like economic policy. Rational actors will play with those systems, circumvent them, be creative, etc.

To turn the argument around: Given that human's rational behavior is limited, is it a good idea to create complex policy that makes it even less likely for humans to understand it and act rational?

onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
> 2. Human beings are not rational.

I think I now heard this meme/statement/mantra/whatever way too often. Sorry.

First of all, I fundamentally do agree that this is the case. Deep down, I cannot fully figure out my emotions, that what drives me, in a completely rational sense. I like certain things, and I dislike others.

BUT I would still argue that using the idea 'human beings are not rational' in the generic form I see it being used and for any form of policy is very dangerous. Although I believe we cannot completely figure out who we are and what we want, we CAN certainly reflect on our thoughts and actions rationally.

Using this statement is very often basically saying: Humans believe 1+1=3, therefore we have to make policy x/y/z.

Agreeing to this statement in this blanket form often thus means:

a) Humans are not rational

b) Therefore anyone discussing this statement is not rational

c) Any rational argument about policy is essentially lost in this weird post-modernist black hole, by jumping back to a)

Addendum: Or, said in a more concise way: We finally figured out that we are simply stupid primates (as if that is news at all). Because we are stupid primates, we cannot think. Because we cannot think, we have to base our policies on that.

Isn't it surreal that one can appear to use deductive reasoning in this kind of 'argument'?

onnoonno··on Capital Man: Thomas Piketty is economics’ biggest sensation and fiercest critic
Well, but I think we have to figure out what and whether we can do something about it (inequality), how much, and for what cost (cost in the non-economic sense).

I think the observation that power accumulates in one way or the other, capitalism or not, seems to hold in any society.

Being naive and not an economist, I would still believe that money is a form of distributed trust and thus power. Lots of money means lots of power, in the sense of causing a lot of change (negative as well as positive).

And I do not think that there is necessarily something wrong with that. We all seem to praise the billionaire Elon Musk here on HN for making space flight more efficient. And I think he is a very capable individual who amassed a lot of power/money and is thus able to effect a lot of change. Why should I complain about this?

I would argue that the only things that hurt a society when it comes to accumulation of wealth/power is actually _using it in a detrimental_ sense.

Things such as: - luxuries - buying laws in your (corporations) favor - using a lot of resources (ore, land) inefficiently

The more I think about it, and having recently read another person here on HN mention it, the more I think something that broadly falls under the idea of 'Geolibertarianism' would bring us closer to a more just society. And, no I am not talking about 'solving our problems' here, because I think having problems is inherent to being a human.

Actually taxing the bad effects of money instead of owning/moving/etc. money itself would also solve e.G. the problem on how to deal with the existence crypto-currencies without resorting to draconian measures.

Finally, I think that we as humans tend to shy away from even just criticizing the actual bad effects of power. I think this is as much a problem as the people with power misbehaving in the first place. Most of us, myself included, simply seem to have a very strong 'follow the leader' emotion, and we rather argue about secondary issues than the real problems. Or we invent powerless utopias and start to believe in them (Marxism, Feminism, ...), actually becoming controllable by the malevolent powers.

But maybe I am just naive.

*edit: typo(s)

onnoonno··on Bitcoin 2.0: Unleash The Sidechains
> Gold (or other physical commodity) backed shares can be centrally issued by each holder of gold

I am a bit confused. My impression so far was that something like this would be commonly seen as a decentralized scenario?

onnoonno··on C/C++ Fiddle
Cool! As feature requests are piling up here: I would like to be able to switch the machine/backend. Optimal would be a drop down menu to select

-x86_64 -x86 -arm -mips -or32 -avr

and so on. Yeah, I guess that requires a couple recompiled GCC binaries :D

onnoonno··on What if we never run out of oil? (2013)
Yes. But for example, the amount of nuclear fuel that is extractable is enough to power us for >>1000 years, even if it would be used replace all other forms of energy. Such as using nuclear to make artificial gasoline.

I think that would be enough time to figure out fusion. Or put wind and solar everywhere.

But we seem to be stuck, paralysed in our fight to solve everything with impossible requirements.

Fight AGW, NO nuclear, and keep the standard of living (or even increase it). All at the same time.

Personally, I would rather relax the second requirement.

onnoonno··on Ask HN: Idea Sunday
Not exactly the same, but when they started I found them to be impressive in delivery speed, Berkeley/Oakland: http://spoonrocket.com/

(I am not affiliated in any way)

onnoonno··on What You Can't Say (2004)
http://www.gutenberg.org/files/1998/1998-h/1998-h.htm

I think his ideas about us humans are brilliant. Still are very relevant. We didn't change. I believe Nietzsche turned out to be extremely far-sighted.

Would Zarathustra be the opposite of your scumbag description?

onnoonno··on Meditate in front of your computer with Calm
OTOH, I am spending more and more of my free time at the local hackerspace. Talking to people and combining computer with real world stuff. Also, manual work.

I have the impression that there has been/there is a society-wide phase transition, recently. More and more people seem to realize now that being in front of the net all day isn't really fulfilling, either.

onnoonno··on Can We Avoid a Surveillance State Dystopia?
Maybe we shouldn't be thinking in terms of utopia/dystopia or good and evil. If there is one thing about us, it is technology marching on.

Maybe we're just slowly being converted (or converting ourselves) into the borg. And it isn't brutal, it is cozy, nice, a little bit dull maybe, because we are working on losing our ape-like rawness. If it would be brutal, it wouldn't be efficient, and we highly value efficiency! We have the drugs for 'fixing people', and the neuroscience progresses. Maybe we'll simply end up as some kind of big, self-aware, computing foam covering the whole planet. Which many here would describe as 'dystopian', yet it is interestingly close to the simple idea of 'utopia' from, let's say, the movie 'Avatar'.

onnoonno··on AI
Thank you! I was going to write something similar. I think a real 'superior' AI must be able to follow all the various philosophical ideas we had and 'understand' them at a deeper level than we do. Things such as 'there is no purpose'/nihilism, extreme critical thinking about itself etc. If it doesn't, if it can't, it can't be superior to us by definition.

I think, given these philosophical ideas, we anthropomorphize if we even think in terms of good/evil about any AI. I believe if there is ever any abrupt change due to vastly better AI, it is more of the _weird_ kind than the good or evil kind. But weird might be very scary indeed, because at some level we humans tend to like that things are somewhat predictable.

I believe the whole discussion about AI is a bit artificial (no pun). Various kinds of AI are already deeply embedded in some parts of society and causes real changes - such as airplane planning systems, trading on the stock market etc. Those cause very real world effects and affect very realy people. And they tend to be already pretty weird. We don't really see it all the time, but it acts, and its 'will', so to speak, is a weird product of our own desires.

Also, I wonder whether and how societies would compare to AIs. We have mass psychological phenomena in societies that even the brightest persons only become aware of some time after 'they have fulfilled their purpose'. Are societies self-ware as a higher level of intelligence? And have they always been?

Are we, maybe simply the substrate, for evolution of technology, much as biology is the substrate for the evolution of us? Are societies, algorithms, AI, ideas & memes simply different forms of 'higher beings' on 'top' of us? Does it even make sense that there is a hierarchy and to think hierarchically at all about these things?

I have the impression our technology makes us, apart from other things, a lot more conscious. But that is not a painless process at all, quite the contrary. But so far, we seem to have decided to go this route? Will we, as humans, eventually become mad in some way from this?

There are mad people. Can we build superior AI if we do not understand madness? Will AI understand madness?

onnoonno··on AI
I think we should figure out what we mean by understand. Do you mean modeling 'the human brain' on some level and building abstractions?

Those abstractions are exactly that - abstractions. They are not the thing itself. Do you think we can understand everything through abstractions, even the process of understanding itself?

onnoonno··on AI
And then the question is - if the AI is more intelligent than us humans, it must surely be able to figure out itself, and it improve itself, includings its own goals, too?
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