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omegant

2,275 karma · joined August 25, 2011

ex apparly cofounder (a failed windows app store to rent expensive software before it was a thing) and airline pilot. Tinkering with crazy ideas on my free time.
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omegant··on Midair Collision over Denver
Looking at the youtube video of the radar with the radio sound that someone posted below, the Cirrus is cleared to runway 17R but he turns to runway 17L. There are 3 possibilities : 1- he mistakes one runway for the other visually, 2- he wrongly thinks he is cleared for the 17L runway 3- or he makes a too wide turn going for the 17R, intruding the 17L area.

The cirrus is the one that makes the mistake.

The 17 runways are quite close laterally (700’) , it may be either way a bad maneuver (overshooting) or chosing the wrong runway.

https://es.flightaware.com/resources/airport/APA/APD/AIRPORT...

The metro was not expecting another traffic in approach for his runway (I understand that they were in different frequencies with different controllers).

During the approach the upper-right side relative angle position in the window of the metro, makes the cirrus hard to spot. I guess he didn’t see the cirrus at all or just barely before the crash.

The cirrus is looking at the runway to his right and the other traffic probably the whole time, the metro is in front of him, so he doesn’t see the Metro till he is on top of him.

Usually with parallel runways, traffics are kept at different altitudes till they are aligned with their runways. This way if they make a mistake, they are separated by 1000’ vertically with the airplane flying parallel.

In this case the cirrus was cleared to visual approach and informed of the cessna he had to follow first. Once he says he has the cessna in sight, he is cleared to visual approach following the cessna. In the same comunication he is informed of the metro flying to the other runway and he replies traffic in sight again.

My guess is that he either has the metro in sight at the beginning and then he forgets about it during the maneuver, or he gives traffic in sight two times.

Thinking that the second part of the message is for the same aircraft (the cessna) he doesn’t even recognize what the controller is telling him about the metro. This is possible if he is too busy flying the maneuver and not paying proper attention to the radio, he hears “cleared for approach” and “traffic” but he mentally don’t really process the information the controller is giving him. A kind of sensory overload.

In airliners we have mandatory TCAS (traffic collision avoidance system) installed that shows you the near traffics in the screen and give you coordinated (between the traffics) automatic avoidance guidance and alarms( one traffic climbs and the other descends or keeps altitude).

In busy airports TCAS maneuver happen relatively often (a handfull of times a year) but nowadays is much harder to have a collision or a close call.

Also when two pilots are in the cockpit (like airliners) it’s easier that one is concentrated in flying and the other in the communications. It’s very common to correct and be corrected all the time during the flight.

It will be interesting to read the official report.

Edit: Kudos to the Metro pilot who was super calmed in the radio while declaring emergency and landing the plane. That is really difficult.

Edit 2: correcting the airport , KAPA (I talked about KDEN initially which has the same runways but with a bigger separation). This does make a difference regarding the mistake.

  Thank you Denvercoder9 for the heads up.
omegant··on Bitcoin has few attributes of money but all the attributes of a collectible
It has happened before, aluminum is a good example.
omegant··on Old-growth forest carbon sinks overestimated
Genuine question, if old-growth forest do not work as carbon sinks, how all the petroleum we are extracting comes from? Is all from ancient marine environments?
omegant··on Honda bucks industry trend by removing touchscreen controls
Most of them, as you find turbulence in all fases during the flight.
omegant··on Tesla races past $100B in market valuation
The valuation started climbing the second half of the year after the good production and sales numbers were published. But it had already plateaud, then the China megafactory presentation happened and the little dance that Elon made, seemed to help grab some attention there. This is enterely my (completely ignorant) guess, but it wouldn’t surprise me in the least, if most of the recent shares buyers were chinese. Is there any way to look were the buy orders are coming from?
omegant··on Airbus A320 Family Non-Normal Notes [pdf]
Yes it’s the PTU. If the noise is in the parking with engines stopped it maybe the yellow electric pump, used to open and close the cargo doors.
omegant··on Boeing to Suspend 737 Max Production in January
Also because I don’t see Boeing exiting the medium size jetline market, it would be like cutting an arm and a leg of the company. I see it as a mea culpa, as they recognize the screw up and try to make it from “0”. Not really 0 but if they redesign and improve the failures, the rest of the 737 is a pretty succesful plane. But with this way of saying it they are paying a public penitency, that maybe the public want them to pay.
omegant··on Boeing to Suspend 737 Max Production in January
I bet they will stop building the 737 max and start building the 737”new model that is the max with some changes that can be retrofitted”. Like a larger stabilizer, longer frame, or maybe something easier. But something that lets them say it’s a “new” model but keeps 99% of the production line untouched and can be negotiated with the existing buyers. We’ll see how it works in some weeks.
omegant··on The Long Road to the Student Debt Crisis
Honest question, why are Universities becoming so expensive? Is because these credits are available? Was estudying a degree cheaper before the credits?
omegant··on Mechanism of hardening of the arteries and potential treatment identified
https://peterattiamd.com/heart-disease-begin-tell-us-prevent...

All the articles are very good.

omegant··on Flightradar24 – how it works
Thanks!
omegant··on Flightradar24 – how it works
They surely get data from other sources too. You can track planes flying across the ocean, where they get that data from?
omegant··on Why I hate the weekends (2017)
I think we all need to be part of a small tribe, a group of friends we see at least every two weeks or so. Also getting intense contact with nature, I’ve noticed that if I’m without going out for more than 2 weeks I also begin to feel down and lay in the couch. Biking, skiing, trekking, it doesn’t matter, be out in the nature, far from the city.
omegant··on I'm Just a Middle-Aged House Dad Addicted to Pot
I consider myself addicted to sugar, the good part is that only takes about 3 days of craving to be free of them. After that it's much much easier to keep away from it.
omegant··on UK Airprox board says police drone and jet had 'near-miss'
It's not only limited manuverability, is the time window to see something that small and react at that speed. In an airliner at 180kts is like 5-7 seconds, you see a bird, confirm that is in a collision path and you correct you trajectory. At 400kts it's maybe 2-3 seconds to do all that.

You need to be looking forward to have time enough, but you need to look elsewhere sometimes(instruments, to the sides, etc..). So it's possible to crash with something you didn't see comming if it's small.

omegant··on America has a truck driver shortage
I'm sure you've already tried this, but here go my two cents about back pain.

My job is also sitting for 12 hours a day (although much better regulated and not as damaging as yours).

Try stretching your psoas, look for gymnastics, cycling or dance stretching. It's been the only thing that has helped me. I started having problems to straighten each morning, constant pain in the lumbar zone, bulging disc. A job partner told me about the psoas stretching and it works! It's the only thing that can make the pain go away. I'm telling everybody I know now! And usually helps a lot.

I only need to stretch it once a week but I must be constant if I fail to do it, the pain slowly returns.

omegant··on Drones that can haul a 20-pound load for 500 miles and land on a moving target
Inertial navigation and maps.
omegant··on Boeing 747s are back in demand as workhorses of global shipping
Mexico main cargo are avocados for Europe, Bogota fruis and flowers too. There isn't enough cargo offer for the demand that exists now a days. We are leaving cargo behind every single flight between these airports and Madrid.
omegant··on Boeing 747s are back in demand as workhorses of global shipping
Some information here: http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=421613

Really interesting.

omegant··on Boeing 747s are back in demand as workhorses of global shipping
Also four engines are a must if you operate long haul from hot and high airports like Mexico, Bogota or Quito. Due to engine failure performance requirements a twin engine needs to cut back almost half the traffic load(cargo and passangers) to be able to take off within the tables.

Once they have to retire 747 and A340 airlines din't really know what to do in those airports. New hot and high versions of the twin engines are being studied, but they have failed to meet the expectations previously.

omegant··on U.S. And U.K. Warn of Cybersecurity Threat from Russia
Meanwhile business selling defense systems for both NATO countries and Rusia is better than ever! Sometimes it seems to me they are playing by the WWF marketing rules, lots of chest thumping around, but mostly are others who are paying the broken bones(see how the death of 200 russian contractors that attacked Kurdish-American positions and got smashed, went mostly unnoticed 2 months ago) By others I mean Syrian, Yemenis, etc..

Of course it could go south and the blows become real (like in wrestling), but by the moment is mostly an useful show for both sides. NATO keeps the archenemy and the show business running. People in Russia see Putin as Peter the Great reborn, making Russia punch way above its weight internationally, recovering the pride lost in the 90s.

Edit a couple typos.

omegant··on Surgeons urge people to throw out bristle BBQ brushes (2016)
I use a piece of wood to scrape the grill, once is hot (it makes it easier). You may finish with some old newspaper.
omegant··on Playing Video Games with My Son Isn’t What I Thought It Would Be
You have survival and creative mode. In creative mode you have all the blocks you want to make great buildings, dont need to mine them and you can even fly around.

Start with your son in creative mode and practice building basic stuff. Then learn how to go survival mode watching some youtube tutorials. Small kids really enjoy creating their own houses, towns and megacaves in creative, when they feel comfortable they ask to go to survival on their own. Then they discover roblox (that has hundreds of mods) and there is no back! Hope it helps.

omegant··on Stuffing a Tesla Drivetrain into a 1981 Honda Accord
You are right! The amount of work and ingenuity they put in to the chassis is amazing. Mind blowing how everything is done with CAD (cardboard aided design)
omegant··on Stuffing a Tesla Drivetrain into a 1981 Honda Accord
Imprescindible youtube series Proyect Binky. A toyota corolla (if I recall correctly) 4 wheel drive engine and drivetrain in to a mini! https://m.youtube.com/channel/UCHvBHWBzzB7NyU5tIiEZHBg
omegant··on Boeing 757 Testing Shows Airplanes Vulnerable to Hacking, DHS Says
Very interesting, thank you.
omegant··on Boeing 757 Testing Shows Airplanes Vulnerable to Hacking, DHS Says
True, I didn't remember the telemetry system. We have no information about it, as far as I know it could be using the same satcom uplink, as it only sends limited error codes, not a complete status of the plane.

Current systems can not be updated remotely, just send information.

But this could be changing very fast.

omegant··on Boeing 757 Testing Shows Airplanes Vulnerable to Hacking, DHS Says
I fly A330-340 and with current popular models like 320 or 737 the flight computers are not directly conected to any network. They are conected to the acars a messaging computer (with a very limited protocol) that we use to ask for weather, company messages like how many wheel chairs we have onboard , delay expected , etc... There is also the CPDLC that it's used to send messages to control in the oceanic zones (but is going to be implemented for all flights) Both systems can receive basic flight plan data that we can accept and include in our flight computers (like new way points, wind speeds, etc..) but I guess the comunication protocol is so basic that no mayor owning can happen.

This systems are connected via vhf data channels (dedicated ground stations), or satellite data link.

Even if they manage to crash the flight computer (they sometimes crash on their own) you only have to take manual control and reset everything. But they could never gain control of the autopilot or anything of that kind. They can only (if very very good) manage to impersonate ground controllers, but we are checking via radio comms all the time, so if something doesn't make sense we just have to call to check.

The latest models have more integrated computer systems, like you can open a valve using a trackball in the cockpit (like in the flight simulator) But I don't think they have more connection to the exterior world than older models.

Even wifi access via the inflight entertainment system is going to find a very limited number of ports or protocols to attack.

It's not something that makes even the top 100 things we worry about. We worry more about birds or drones, or dogs running in the runway.

This could change if they keep trying to make more "interactive" the newer models though.

omegant··on Cursive Handwriting and Other Education Myths (2016)
I write in block letters since the senior year of highschool. I need it to be able to understand my own writting. I didn't like it then, but now with my sons I see the use of it. It teaches them attention to detail, observation, patience, fine hand dexterity, spatial references. Even if they don't ever use it again I find is an extremely useful and powerful tool for a 5 year old.
omegant··on Feynman’s Breakthrough: Disregard Others
Most people is going to be criticized if they step out of the beaten path. Powerful people in any field is not keen to radical change that could make them superfluous rather fast. Then there all those who want to be seen as worthy by the powerful that will parrot their opinions.

I don't think I would dare to introduce radically new stuf (I'm no scientist so it's easy for me to make this statement), at least in the area that puts food on the table, and this is what most people do. It's natural.

You need to be antisocial or obsessed or have no need to public suport due to a special situation(rich, political suport, personal inconditional suport from the boss, being an outsider).

Most of them will be wrong just the same and considered cranks, made fun off and forgotten.

We still need this kind of people even if we wont be like them.

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