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nieksand

1,113 karma · joined July 12, 2012

https://reprep.io
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nieksand··on We mailed one hundred letters to test the postal service
Honest question... why not kill it off instead and push legacy users into the digital world?

The USPS claims to have 230,000 vehicles. How much of that environmental footprint could be eradicated?

https://facts.usps.com/postal-service-has-more-than-200000-v...

nieksand··on Union's evidence in Amazon vote 'could be grounds for overturning election'
1. At their best unions protect members from managerial malfeasance, but unions also go out of their way to protect incompetents who should be fired. That is soul crushing as a coworker, bad for the company, and possibly harmful to customers.

2. Unions are heavily involved in politics. As a worker, part of your paycheck is being seized to support politicians whom you may vehemently oppose.

3. American unions fixate on seniority and credentials as metrics of merit. This is a poor fit for professions like software engineering and educators, where those only loosely correlate to actual performance.

4. Unions foster adversarial relationships within companies, an us/them mentality against "management". Sometimes the environment is already toxic so nothing is lost, but it can also turn an otherwise reasonable workplace sour.

nieksand··on Blue Origin Challenges NASA over SpaceX Moon Lander Deal
Maybe it's hidden behind the paywall, but does anybody have a link to the actual challenge document from Blue Origin? I was not able to find it on the GAO website.
nieksand··on Democrats to introduce bill to expand Supreme Court from 9 to 13 justices
From the article:

"The size of the Supreme Court, which has fluctuated since it was established in 1789, has remained at nine since 1869."

nieksand··on Democrats to introduce bill to expand Supreme Court from 9 to 13 justices
Golly. I wonder how Republicans would respond the next time they're in power?
nieksand··on U.S. has world’s highest rate of children living in single-parent households
One parent can watch multiple kids and give the other a break.
nieksand··on Apology critics who want to teach you how to say you’re sorry (2017)
Dangerous questions!

This is the world Americans now live in:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_McNeil_Jr.#Dismissal_fr...

nieksand··on Launch HN: Albedo (YC W21) – Highest resolution satellite imagery
Though this is really a tug rather than propellant transfer:

https://www.space.com/private-satellites-docking-success-nor...

But not so sci-fi.

nieksand··on Trader Joe's, Dollar General And Others Are Paying Workers To Get Vaccines
The article points out that vaccine developers and health care providers are shielded from liability, but I don't see anything about employers.

The Wikipedia page does not clarify either: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Vaccine_Injury_Compen...

nieksand··on Trader Joe's, Dollar General And Others Are Paying Workers To Get Vaccines
Is the employer then liable if negative side effects occur from the vaccine?
nieksand··on Reinventing virtualization with the AWS Nitro System
You might find this interesting too:

http://www.brendangregg.com/blog/2017-11-29/aws-ec2-virtuali...

It shows how various subsystems improved as virtualization evolved at AWS.

nieksand··on SpaceX test flight of Starship SN-5 [video]
An addendum to the "progress" section....

SpaceX has been flying cargo to the International Space System for some time using their Dragon capsule. A few days ago they completed their first manned mission on the Crew Dragon.

Three big items from this:

1. They have a reusable cargo/crew capsule for LEO operations.

2. They have gained experience in building human life support systems and associated ground operations.

3. They implemented autonomous docking for both the cargo and crew variants of Dragon. This is one of the keys to achieving in-orbit propellent transfer. Item (2) in my original post.

nieksand··on SpaceX test flight of Starship SN-5 [video]
SpaceX as a company is trying to solve the "transportation problem" of becoming a spacefaring civilization. Specifically, how do you reduce the cost of access by multiple orders of magnitude?

There are three big targets they need to hit:

1. Make Low Earth Orbit (LEO) cheap with a combination of launch cadence and reusability.

2. Reset the rocket equation in LEO by doing in-orbit fuel transfer.

3. Reset the rocket equation at Mars by generating fuel from the environment.

* The reasoning...

(1) A high launch cadence means you can switch from artisanal to mass production. You drastically reduce fixed costs of ground equipment and personnel. Experience translates to increased knowledge, reliability, and safety. You are less prone to schedule slip costs because there are more trains leaving the station.

(1) Reuse lets you get more life out of expensive components. It also helps you hit a higher launch cadence with less manufacturing capacity, further reducing costs.

(2) In orbit propellant transfer lets you start with a full tank again in LEO. It might take four tanker launches to refill one tank, but ultimately you can increase payload to non-LEO destinations by an order of magnitude. Being less mass constrained also makes things simpler and cheaper for payload development.

(3) Propellant production, aka in-situ resource utilization, lets you fully refuel at Mars or the moon. This lets you send non-trivial payloads in the return direction.

* The progress so far...

SpaceX has regular reuse of the 1st stage of their Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets. They have begun catching the fairings (nosecone) in giant nets mounted on ships and reusing those too. The 2nd stage is not reused. Doing so is difficult because it's much further downrange and has much larger velocity.

SpaceX has used their progress on reusability to drive down costs and capture a large part of the commercial launch market.

SpaceX is launching Starlink satellites to provide a global, low-latency, high-bandwidth internet access. Existing satellite internet is based on geosynchronous orbit satellites which have high-latency and low-bandwidth. SpaceX hoists 60 Starlink satellites per Falcon 9 launch. There are a couple hundred satellites in orbit already with several thousand planned. Their low orbit means they have a lifetime of just a few years and require regular replacement. If Starlink is a commercial success, then SpaceX will have found the "demand" needed to drive a high launch cadence.

* Why the SN-5 hop matters...

SN-5 is a prototype second stage for the "Starship" rocket. This rocket has both a massive payload capacity and _full_ reuse. In conjunction with Starlink this would solve (1). This prototype is demonstrating progress on the manufacturing process and viability of the design. There is still tons of work to be done.

SpaceX is already planning to do in-orbit propellant transfer using Starship, which then solves (2).

SpaceX has not begun on (3). However, the Mars 2020 rover mission actually has an experiment on board which does propellant production at demonstration-scale. The chemical reactions (sabatier process) are pretty straight forward, but providing sufficient energy and gathering the resources is a massive engineering challenge.

Ultimately, SpaceX has a coherent, achievable vision for reducing space transport costs by multiple orders of magnitudes and has made demonstratable progress towards that vision.

nieksand··on Ask HN: What are the most interesting things in tech lately?
SpaceX Starlink.

We already have low latency, high bandwidth internet available in big urban areas. Starlink offers a real solution for the rest of the world (rural communities, boats, vacation homes, isolated industrial facilities, etc).

The era of being outside of internet coverage is coming to a close.

nieksand··on Markets, Rent and WFH
You'll still have to pay NY state taxes if you're a telecommuter, even if you do not set foot in the state.
nieksand··on Hong Kong: UK makes citizenship offer to residents
No.

You are free to criticize the government all you want.

You can also advocate for independence without fear of imprisonment. Both California and Texas have supporters of succession.

You aren't free to blow up police cars though. For that you'll face consequences.

nieksand··on Hong Kong: UK makes citizenship offer to residents
Advocating for Hong Kong independence can also earn you a life sentence:

"Crimes of secession, subversion, terrorism and collusion with foreign forces are punishable by a maximum sentence of life in prison"

I'm not sure if criticizing Chairman Xi or the CCP would qualify as subversion.

nieksand··on Hong Kong: UK makes citizenship offer to residents
This article lists some key provisions from the Chinese Communist Party's security law:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-52765838

nieksand··on How Much Should You Pay Your Engineers to Ensure They Stick Around?
Compensation data from companies like Radford comes with three challenges

1. Your internal leveling scheme for SDEs needs to have been sorted out. External titles like "senior" are pretty meaningless, so one reasonable solution is mapping SDEs to an internal numerical tier so you can differentiate between "senior" and actual "senior".

2. Radford data comes with a trillion job titles. You need to identify the relevant ones and how your internal tiers map to them.

3. In markets where compensation is exploding (Seattle a few years ago), compensation data is a trailing indicator of what market rates you need to pay for new hires. You get fresher, but noisier, signals from candidates who reject your offers and from your personal network.

nieksand··on Venture Capital Is Getting Squeezed
This looks like it was copy/pasted from

https://stratechery.com/2015/venture-capital-and-the-interne...

nieksand··on TabNine Raises $12m in Series A
This shows a blank page for almost 8 seconds in Firefox before it renders anything. Crazy.
nieksand··on Google to Slow Hiring for Rest of 2020
Correct.

But that congenial/mediocre developer is still taking up a headcount that could hold a congenial/high-performing developer instead. There is also a separate issue where mediocrity discourages high-performers.

nieksand··on Google to Slow Hiring for Rest of 2020
As much as our industry sucks at interviewing, it sucks at performance management even more.

A congenial but mediocre developer can stick around forever in most places once they're in.

This performance management weakness also makes me suspicious of various companies claiming to have nailed the interview process.

nieksand··on Conntrack tales – one thousand and one flows
Are the weird edge cases easily fixable through some conntrack source patches? Or will they require major surgery to address?
nieksand··on Ask HN: Computer Science/History Books?
Kernighan's "UNIX: A History and a Memoir" is a fun read.
nieksand··on Ask HN: If I've already taught myself to code, should I still get my CS degree?
Correct, and I never claimed otherwise.

Whether you have a credential becomes less important the more experience you have. There will always be silly companies that do a hard-filter on degree, but you can have a perfectly happy and successful career without them.

But winter has come.

Available positions will become way more competitive, with more people chasing after few opportunities. It may be unfair, but the combination of no degree and no experience will be a large handicap.

nieksand··on Ask HN: If I've already taught myself to code, should I still get my CS degree?
In the coming months, you are likely to face the ugliest labor market in living memory. A lack of degree and real world experience means you're looking at even more difficulties.

Given that you have a scholarship, you'd be unwise not to snag the credential.

Also, it does not need to be a waste of time. Don't do the bare minimums. Push yourself. Take the hardest relevant classes you can find. Dig deep into any topics that interest you.

Finally, focus very hard on getting internships. In a grim market, you will be needing both the resume entries and the job leads that those can provide.

nieksand··on Amazon Relief Fund
It looks legit. It could also be a scam. Is there a link from amazon.com to this site somewhere?
nieksand··on Why N95 masks are hard to make
Which EU countries? I have not heard this before.
nieksand··on Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to the entire country
The box milk you buy in Europe can keep about a year when unopened. That stems from a combination of aseptic packaging and UHT pasteurization. I just peeked at a few containers in my house and they have expiration dates around early July.
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