1,141 karma · joined September 7, 2022
And don’t confuse moving the capital city with actually relocating Tehran. Tehran’s not going anywhere. What they’re proposing is building a new capital city, but it’ll be the rich and the political and religious elite who move there. The millions of poor and powerless living in Tehran will get left behind. Some will be able to migrate south, but many won’t.
Given the volume of material these streamers are handling, I expect QA is minimal. I remember when I was watching Frasier on Amazon Prime, a bunch of the episodes had been configured to play in the wrong aspect ratio. Clearly nobody had ever bothered to check them.
This is a frankly bizarre argument. Firstly, it presupposes that _only_ way AI becomes useful is if turns into AGI. But that isn't true: Existing LLMs can do a variety of economically valuable tasks, such as coding, even when not being AGI. Perhaps the economic worth of non-AGI will never equal what it costs to build an operate it, but it seems way too early to make that judgement and declare any non-AGI AI as worthless.
Secondly, even if scaling alone won't reach AGI, that doesn't mean that you can reach AGI _without_ scaling. Even when new and better architectures are developed, it still seems likely that, between two models with an equivalent architecture, the one with more data and compute research will be more powerful. And waiting for better architectures before you try to scale means you will never start. 50 years from now, researchers will have much better architectures. Does that mean we should wait 50 years before trying to scale them? How about 100 years? At what point do you say, we're never going to discover anything better, so now we can try scaling?
No serious advocate of settling Mars, Venus or anywhere else in space seriously believes it will be easier than remaining on Earth, nor are they suggesting that it means we can abandon the Earth entirely, or care less about protecting its biosphere. They simply understand that, no matter much of a relative paradise the Earth is, so long as 100% of humanity exists there then we are placing all our species' eggs at the bottom of a single basket's gravity-well. It will do us absolutely no good if we solve climate change, war, poverty, disease, etc. only to get wiped out by the next comet or mega-asteroid that smashes into us. And, statistically, eventually one will.
These sufferers are not all, and probably not even most, of the total, but they are organised and militant, and fully convinced of two things: That their condition has a 100% biological cause, and that they cannot trust the medical and scientific establishment. Even if they are completely right, it has created a situation where the cost of getting involved as a medical professional are just too high, so it has become a self-perpetuating situation.
Given LLM performance seems to scale with their size, this would result in more powerful models, which would grow the applicability, use and importance of AI, which would in turn grow the use and importance of Nvidia's hardware.
So this theory doesn't really stack up for me.
Humans are not rats, but nor do we really behave like other primates. We have evolved to co-operate socially and we do it very, very well, including (and perhaps especially) in resource-constrained environments. And we even engage in self-domestication to weed out individuals who attempt to dominate or cheat in such situations.
But the problem with modern society is it throws all of that evolved ability out of the window. We are attempting to learn how to co-exist and thrive while living in cities of millions of strangers, while living lifestyles their bear no relation at all to traditional human life. In a way, it's a miracle that we do as well as we do.
You must be new around here
- Web standards didn't move fast enough for developers and users. People _wanted_ things like games, streaming videos and online shopping, which were impossible to do properly with web standard technologies for much of the 90s and 2000s. This wasn't driven by "big corporations" and Macromedia was never a big corporation anyway.
- How have React, or Angular for that matter, "failed"? How are they things not to bet a career on? React remains the default choice for most web app development as it has been for over a decade now. And I still see plenty of Angular jobs, far more than are looking for web components, the supposed standardised alternative.
- Web standards are _not_ decentralised in any way, shape or form. They are organised through a handful of centralised organisations, mainly the W3C, which are controlled by their major funders. Who are, surprise surprise, large corporations. Yes, the are somewhat open to outside participation, but it still is browser vendor employees who do most of the key work and make the key decisions, with Google/Chrome being the dominant player.
- Many, if not most, web standard technologies are invented by small numbers of engineers working for large corporations with no different incentives than those working on the technologies the author disparages. Canvas and CSS animations were created by Apple. Web components were created by Google. They were then adopted and standardised by other corporate employees.
- What "churn" have React and Angular really suffered? React was released in 2013 and has seen only one really major change — Hooks — in that time. Otherwise it has been a remarkably stable base to build software on. Most of the "churn" has actually occurred at the _community_ level, through the rise and fall of various open-source tools and libraries.
- The progress of web standards has not been the consistently slow but irresistible tide the author claims. Progress in the late 90s and 2000s was essentially nonexistent, being held back by Microsoft/IE's lack of interest and then the huge mass of users stuck on outdated browser versions. Then, once evergreen browsers reached a critical mass, progress sped up enormously, and in the modern era it easily outpaces the supposed churn of frameworks like React and Angular.
Infrastructure like public transport and utilities are not, and never will be, functional markets, and regulation is always captured or ineffective in the long term. Privatisation is only a method to let financial markets pillage public goods.
- Proof: At first, dead people will be resurrected just to prove that it can be done.
- Research: The dead person was a witness to / participant in a historically significant event about which historians want to learn more. Or is a semi-random choice for learning about life at a particular time and place.
- Fame: The dead person is a historically significant figure and people want to meet them / profit from them.
- Connection to a living person: The dead person is identified as a direct ancestor of someone alive and they are curious to meet them, or they feel a responsibility to bring them back.
- Connection to the resurrected: Resurrected people will want to bring back their family and friends, and may push those in control to make this happen.
- Ethics: Some people and cultures may come to think they have a moral obligation to resurrect as many people as possible.
- Just because: Someone with the means to thought it would be cool to bring a random person back and see their reaction.