> What would even be sentient? The numbers in that order? The neural net meta-data? The bits in the computer?
What in would even be sentient in the human brain? The molecules in that configuration? The neurons? Maybe large groups of neurons?
Computation isn’t just abstract pieces of software executing off in some aether. It’s done through physical processes, taking place on real, physical pieces of hardware that exist in the same universe that our brains do. Most would say the atoms in your brain aren’t sentient, but you are sentient. So the best answer is that no, the bits and numbers in the computer aren’t sentient, the system as a whole is the thing you would call sentient.
I’m not trying to die on the hill that neural nets are sentient, because I think at this stage they are not. But I don’t think this common framing of it is the nail in the coffin people think it is.
> I used to tell people I was grateful to work in personal finance, because what I’ve learned has helped me get my own money under control. I have a small IRA, a comfortable $20,000 savings cushion, automatic bill payment, a credit card and a 740 credit score. But I’ve stopped giving financial literacy the credit, because I know the real reason my finances are “healthier” now: I have more money. I took a job with a salary that quadrupled my income, and voila — I became a lot more “responsible” with money.
Ramit Sethi has a similar take, which is that budget culture has become too obsessed with finding a lot of small (and largely ineffective) ways to cut down on spending so that you have more money, while really what most people should do is aggressively pursue avenues towards increasing their income. I tend like his advice way and attitude towards life in general more than Dave Ramsey.
I don’t think they segregate their training data based on car models. I mentioned in an above comment, but Comma.ai doesn’t do this and their devices support tons of cars. It would be very odd if a company far smaller than Tesla was able to figure out how to account for different camera positions and Tesla wasn’t. I bought a 2022 model year car and plugged the Comma device in and it just worked, and they would have had pretty much no training data from my car at that point. Just my speculation though.
I have a Comma 3 in my car, and it has a calibration phase that takes like 3 minutes of driving. The device works for many different cars of different sizes, and their driving algorithm uses neural networks. As far as I know you still have to get the device fairly close to centered on the windshield for it to work, but clearly you can still do some sort of calibration based on driving data alone. Maybe Tesla can account for even more deviation in camera position because they know ahead of time where the cameras are mounted?
Do you have a PhD in Economics? The author does, so I’m going to take his understanding of it over yours for now. He is fundamentally right that MMT proponents are reluctant to publish models, while proponents of other economic theories aren't. If you won't publish a model because you're afraid it won't stand up to scrutiny, you don't get to be taken seriously.
Simpler is better, so you want to add another sensor that humans don’t have, to do a task that only humans can currently do safely? This makes no sense to me.
What about other driving assistance system that claim to do the same thing as Autopilot? My 2022 Hyundai Elantra has a system that drives itself on highways. GM Super/UltraCruise is available on highways. Is NHTSA gonna investigate them too? Presumably they’re no farther along in self driving than Tesla is.
MMT is widely regarded as not in agreement with the few things we’re pretty sure we know about economics, and furthermore its proponents generally refuse to publish actual models of the system they propose. Here’s a good examination of an MMT model that finds it somewhat lacking:
Runner who reads a lot about the sport here. Like another comment said, there isn’t really a consensus that any particular foot strike is better. Even pros have variation in foot strike when wearing very minimal racing spikes [1]. There’s some thinking that the thing to focus on is your cadence, and as long as it’s not too slow then your form should just naturally become whatever is most efficient for you (for some that actually is a heel strike or mid-foot strike). And it’s also worth noting that you naturally have different form at different speeds. The most useful variable for shoe choice is honestly whatever you find to be most comfortable.
You’re splitting hairs. She’s making a “call to arms”, as mayor of one of the largest cities in the US, over an unsubstantiated claim that the Supreme Court is going to overturn the right to gay marriage, which they are not doing and have not indicated they will do. Seems pretty analogous to me.
Have you considered Fidelity has done more research and knows more about Bitcoin than you? Your judgement that it just “seems bad” is rather shallow when it’s being leveled at a decision made by one of the largest asset managers in the world.
Cashless society is indeed being proposed in the US. During the time when I was in college (at a public university), all university-run businesses switched to cashless. As in, you literally could not pay with cash. They wouldn’t accept it.
> Implementing all of these would require changing the constitution
This is naïve. Many countries, the US included, have variations of an emergency powers act, where the executive can get around the constitution in some ways. Even without that, though, you still can have things like Operation Choke Point [1], where the government merely makes suggestions/threats to private banks and payment processors to close the accounts associated with things they don’t like. So no, this has precedent. It’s not paranoia.
> As the price of Bitcoin increases, more people are attracted to it, which then drives its price even higher - creating a self-reinforcing upward spiral that is unsustainable and will eventually collapse.
You could say this about housing and the stock market as well, and I don’t think those are scams. This is just price discovery. Also, the price of bitcoin has “collapsed” several times in its history, much like the stock market.
None of the rights enjoyed by citizens of liberal democracies matter without the right to transact. You can’t exercise your right to speech if you can’t buy posters or domain names for your cause. You can’t go to a protest outside of walking distance if you can’t pay for gas in your car, or a bus or train ticket. Governments gaining such control of currency would be a backslide into authoritarianism.
HN just had an article on the front page yesterday talking about how Google Docs will now suggest you not use words like “motherboard” and “landlord”, and instead use more “inclusive” language. This stuff has literally gone from “it’s just college kids” to “it’s just Google”. And please, no “you can just build your own Google Docs” responses.
I buy that as society becomes more accepting, the prevalence of non-heterosexual and trans people should be expected to increase, but this is a huge confounding variable in figuring out what the natural prevalence of these traits in society is. A Gallup poll this year [0] broke it down by generational cohort, and I was surprised at the increase in LGBT identification from Millennials (10.5%) to Gen Z (20.8%), and I am part of Gen Z. I don’t know what explains an increase of that size, simply because while society in general has become more accepting, my feeling is that it hasn’t become that much more accepting between Millennials and Gen Z. But maybe it has and I’m just underestimating it.
In America, progressives/leftists actually lump in “liberals” as “conservative” now since traditionally “liberal” means support of typical Enlightenment values, democracy, and free market capitalism. But I’ve noticed that people who vote Republican refer to progressives/leftists as “liberals”, so it’s all very confusing.
In what way is his view on free speech far beyond vocal free speech advocates? I think it’s pretty uncontroversial that Twitter is the de-facto public square on the internet, and so it is bad that they clearly have a political leaning when it comes to content moderation. I know they’re a private company. But it’s just naïve at this point to think Twitter is the same as any old private company.
I don’t see your point. I live in an apartment in a relatively urban area, and it is literally true that the bike infrastructure here is such that using a bike regularly puts you in much more danger than using a car. The city I live in isn’t going to build the infrastructure to ride a bike safely just because I stubbornly chose to ride a bike and put myself in danger. In the meantime, I’ll vote for candidates and ballot initiatives to support such infrastructure. But talking down to people who care about their personal safety is just going to alienate them.
Yeah, that’s fair, although FSD also goes for $12k right now and you can get the Comma 3 + required car harness for like $2400, so if it’s providing me at least 20% the value of FSD then I’m happy. I’d say it probably gives ~70% of the value of FSD, and without phantom braking. Not hating on the progress Tesla is making with FSD, but I think it is overpriced for now.
Also, openpilot has gotten much better over the past year, you might be surprised if you get the chance to try it again. They’re not even using the whole field of view of the new wide angle camera in the model currently, although it’s coming in openpilot 0.8.14. Their rate of improvement now that they’re developing for the Comma 3 is really impressive.
Comma has really good safety code. ISO26262 compliant, and they use MISRA C guidelines. Hotz talks about safety in the comma.ai discord server all the time, and frequently berates people for requesting unsafe features or making unsafe forks of openpilot. Afaik, comma auto-bans devices from using their servers if they detect that you’re running a fork that’s removed safety restrictions. It’s safe.
Has anyone in this thread who is commenting to hate on Hotz/Comma tried the product or even watched a video of it? I have their device in my car, and I love it. Lots of people in here saying this is doomed to fail and that e2e won’t work seem to not realize that Comma has pretty much already succeeded. Their e2e lateral policy is fantastic, and e2e longitudinal is shipping this year probably. They livestream demos on YouTube and it looks like e2e longitudinal is coming along nicely, here’s a stream from 3 months ago: https://youtu.be/wHoLW9WXOy8
Their business model, which has resulted in a profitable business with actual customers who love their product, is built of kerosene and straw?? As opposed to every other self-driving company, of which none are profitable or have customers and all rely on crazy amounts of VC funding.
Yeah, but you also didn’t address why the points they raised aren’t valid sources of value for crypto. All of the points they raised are valid, and none of them are obfuscation or misdirection Not all of us want a future where our rights are constrained by the whims of payment processing companies and the politicians who pressure them. Every right we want (freedom of speech, assembly, press) is meaningless if we lose the right to transact without arbitrary intervention from those with more power.
We don’t at all have evidence that Tesla can’t do Level 5 within the timeframe of this bet. Tesla is the farthest along of anyone who’s trying self-driving. Waymo and Cruise are geofenced, and still don’t work much better than Tesla. Aside from those, Comma.ai is doing seriously impressive stuff (sneaking up on Tesla tbh) on a way, way smaller budget, with less hardware, and notably, they’re going for a vision-only stack this year. Judging by what Comma’s been able to accomplish with basically smartphone hardware (maybe one step up from that), I’d be shocked if Carmack loses this.
I highly value a world where free expression isn’t effectively curtailed by private payment processors acting as censors on behalf of governments. Governments change, and it’s only a matter of time until this is used against you and people you agree with, if it hasn’t been already.
From what I can tell Musk is literally a founder of SpaceX. I know he was a dick to the founders of Tesla, and he deserves shit for that, but it is a fact that Tesla has come very far since then under his leadership, and any claim that the founders would have done better is pure speculation. And of course the teams at these companies deserve credit, which he consistently admits. People who are obsessed with tearing down Tesla/SpaceX are often inconsistent in that any good thing these companies do cannot be attributed at all to Elon, because “he’s just a grifter hypeman, the team/other founders deserve the credit”, but any bad press they get is somehow entirely Elon’s fault. The truth is just that he’s partially responsible for all the good and the bad.
From accounts of people who have actually worked with him, he’s a legitimately smart guy with a laser focus on executing, albeit a micromanager. All the people I’ve seen saying he’s just some idiot MBA type who doesn’t actually believe what he’s selling are random media personalities and pundits. I can’t claim to know which is true, but one is certainly more credible than the other.