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learnstats2

2,395 karma · joined September 6, 2014

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learnstats2··on Gov.uk site broke Google realtime analytics during lockdown announcement
It's good, but in terms of content, it's impossible to keep up with the government's ever-changing position, lack of communication, and lateness to act.

The gov.uk "Brexit checker" is full of out-of-date information and plain broken links.

learnstats2··on Zynga shuts down FarmVille after 11 years
I remember Farmville best as the answer to the quiz question, close to the height of its popularity:

"What's the second most popular farming simulator game on Facebook?"

learnstats2··on Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
This has been a theme since the start of the first lockdown, but surely humans in general would seek to avoid having babies during a pandemic?
learnstats2··on Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?
> bitcoin to the moon

if you're assuming that printing money will inflate currency, won't every asset go to the moon (hold its value against depreciation of currency)? why would bitcoin particularly benefit?

learnstats2··on Amazon still hasn’t fixed its problem with bait-and-switch reviews
Does Section 230 remove Amazon's liability for misrepresentation, in the way it promotes is reviews as being tied to a particular product?

I'm doubtful about this.

learnstats2··on Evidence on Poverty Traps from Rural Bangladesh [pdf]
You've totally misread this. First base is the lowest category of wealth that the article describes.

22% received support and inherited up to a million, and a further 40% inherited at least a million - more than a lifetime's worth of income.

People outside these categories included those whose parents ran a successful business.

learnstats2··on Evidence on Poverty Traps from Rural Bangladesh [pdf]
> Unequal distribution of rewards (i.e. according to merit) is fine and desirable (as a motivating force).

This assumption sounds nice but isn't backed by psychology research. Extrinsic rewards can motivate and demotivate - and in general contribute to anxiety.

learnstats2··on A new population of blue whales was discovered hiding in the Indian Ocean
Humans are bad at curating habitats for other species.

Making or improving habitats for endangered species most effectively involves: leaving them the hell alone.

Getting a construction company to commit to curating (or financing) the habitat for endangered species is a specious political solution that favours continuing with unsustainable construction over essential habitats. I bet there is not a single case where this has been long-term effective.

learnstats2··on What If You Could Do It All Over?
Whilst I enjoyed that episode, it was fictional. Did Picard really need to be stabbed in the heart, just to learn his lesson? (And, his 'unremarkable career' seemed to be a bigger criticism of Starfleet/the Federation than we normally see - what's wrong with an ordinary life?)

I would be happy to remove the trauma that I experienced in my past. I'd take the risk of being a different person - with different good qualities.

learnstats2··on UK and EU agree Brexit trade deal
"a bunch of young black girls" would typically have no political power in the UK, given that young people, black people, and women, are each individually underrepresented in political decision-making.

I think that's the parent's point.

learnstats2··on iPhone factory workers say they haven’t been paid, cause millions in damages
I set out my interpretation and I was inviting you to clarify.
learnstats2··on iPhone factory workers say they haven’t been paid, cause millions in damages
There is a lengthy wikipedia page on "wage slavery", which has a long history, even if it is not part of the currently accepted definition of slavery. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wage_slavery

"Similarities between wage labour and slavery were noted as early as Cicero in Ancient Rome, such as in De Officiis."

If you need the wage from your labour to feed and house yourself, such that you are completely dependent on your employer, how is that functionally different to slavery?

Unpaid internships are increasingly considered immoral for reasons that you identify - many people literally cannot afford to take such an internship, so cannot gain this experience.

learnstats2··on iPhone factory workers say they haven’t been paid, cause millions in damages
The reason I ask the question is that I understand differently:

1. We don't know if these workers (or other workers) are pursuing this in court. Legal and illegal pursuit are not mutually exclusive, at all.

2. If the factory owner is not paying wages because they are already bankrupt, there is nothing that the legal system could reasonably do about that.

3. The workers would not have recourse to claim funds from Apple: I'm not aware that they would even in any country with a "good" legal system.

It strikes me as a long stretch to reach "bad/corrupt legal system" as a conclusion.

learnstats2··on iPhone factory workers say they haven’t been paid, cause millions in damages
> If the response of these workers is to ransack the place, that just tells you how bad/corrupt the legal system must be.

This suggests that the legal system ideally ought to exist for the benefit of capital owners who commit fraud, so they don't suffer material loss. Is that what you mean?

learnstats2··on Conditional JavaScript: Only download when it is appropriate
Not really a restatement. My answer included the deliberation as a poor use of time.

> cares much about the user's resources like remaining battery life.

If you are in a position where you care about user resources then you would generally minimise how you use it, globally, in every case.

[I'd say that developers/product managers often do care about this, except that advertising is intentionally resource-greedy and will wreck any care given to this]

If a user runs out of battery before the end of the day, that is as much (if not more) about what happened at the start of the day as it is at the end.

learnstats2··on Conditional JavaScript: Only download when it is appropriate
> "Can the application be improved in any way if it were to query battery life, connection strength, metered vs unmetered bandwidth, remaining disk space?" are thoughtful questions for any developer to ask...

I suspect the answer is typically "Yes, but putting this level of thought into any other area of development would have been more worthwhile".

learnstats2··on Getting started with C
CS50 online course uses C from “Week 1” and it’s set up for you in a controlled learning environment while you learn concepts.

If you have some programming experience you can probably jump straight to the Problem Sets.

learnstats2··on A Beginner's Garden of Chess Openings (2002)
It seems more likely that the players you're facing have one safe opening that they almost always play, so they know from experience where it can accept modification at this level.
learnstats2··on How the novel coronavirus has evolved
I think we have already somewhat focussed on that 20%, by asking people not to hang out in big groups.

Churches and meat-packing plants are still a concern.

learnstats2··on AlphaFold2 at CASP14: “It feels like one’s child has left home.”
The reproducible part is that they can consistently fold proteins - which they can.

The fact that they're not telling anybody else how they did it stops it from being public science, but doesn't stop it from being science.

learnstats2··on Show HN: Discover $ monthly revenue of OnlyFans models
what would they have to do in addition? Maybe: have good business skills, networking skills, be independent, be in the right position to spot the right opportunities at the right time?
learnstats2··on Show HN: Discover $ monthly revenue of OnlyFans models
I'm pretty sure the highest paid technologists earn orders of magnitude more than this.

I was surprised these values were not higher.

learnstats2··on YouTube to remove content that alleges widespread election fraud
> the practice of not giving full assent to propositions which there is no reason to believe true.

Given that YouTube is not school, I read this to understand that Bertrand Russell is here saying that YouTube shouldn't give equal weight to presumed falsehoods.

He is saying that people should be explicitly educated, in a controlled environment, to recognise the schemes of scoundrels - so that decent people can act accordingly.

learnstats2··on Poor evidence that Q-tips are harmful
Weekly pill organiser boxes mostly solve this problem already, e.g. https://www.bing.com/images/search?q=weekly+pill+organiser&f...

You can already get technology-supported boxes but it seems to me that each extra 'check' step is likely to contribute to more failure cases.

learnstats2··on Exploring supervisors’ two‐faced response to their past abusive behavior
I agree that people are (in general) responsible for the bad actions they take, whatever the underlying causes are.

That doesn't mean there are no underlying causes.

learnstats2··on WhatsApp Will Start Showing Ads
Bad machine translation from Spanish to English - is there a native English source?
learnstats2··on Researchers Who Exposed VW Gain Little Reward from Success
The article directly contradicts that, above the fold:

"I still have sleepless nights trying to figure out how I’m going to pay the guys the next pay cycle"

learnstats2··on How does Brown University know where you are?
Accusing students of lying does not avoid covid exposure, though? It just creates bad will (and possibly legal issue).
learnstats2··on South Africa's lottery probed as 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 drawn
Looked at individual transactions within the economy - i.e. how this thread is looking at the lottery - those do appear to be zero sum in the same way.
learnstats2··on South Africa's lottery probed as 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 drawn
I don't believe that lottery players are unintelligent or uneducated.

It's rational to play the lottery if you believe that it's the only way to make a significant economic change to your life.

That's a bigger problem than just education provision.

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