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ken47

1,189 karma · joined September 5, 2012

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ken47··on Former PM Abe Shinzo dies after being shot
So what are the potential ramifications of this event and why?
ken47··on He dropped out to become a poet – now he’s won a Fields Medal
I can't say whether he disliked math, but I think it's clear that he didn't want to pursue it initially, for practical reasons if nothing else. As you can find in his bio on Wikipedia, he performed poorly on mathematical aptitude tests in elementary school, and so he thought he wouldn't be particularly good at it. If these are the kinds of math tests that I encountered as a kid (multiply, divide, solve single-variable equations, etc. as fast as humanly possible), it's unsurprising that he could still be good at abstract math, because these 2 skillsets have almost nothing in common.
ken47··on He dropped out to become a poet – now he’s won a Fields Medal
This passage caught my attention:

He proceeds just as deliberately when doing mathematics. Wang was shocked when he first witnessed it. “I have this math competition experience, that as a mathematician you have to be clever, you have to be fast,” he said. “But June is the opposite. … If you talk to him for five minutes about some calculus problem, you’d think this guy wouldn’t pass a qualifying exam. He’s very slow.” So slow, in fact, that at first Wang thought they were wasting a lot of time on easy problems they already understood. But then he realized that Huh was learning even seemingly simple concepts in a much deeper way — and in precisely the way that would later prove useful.

Having gone through the American education system, I felt like I was in a factory being evaluated as a potential end product. Steamroll through as much material as quickly as possible. Optimize behavioral patterns for the next performance metric. Rinse and repeat. Is this really the best system we can come up with? Can the pace of mathematical and scientific advancement be optimized by steamrollers? I wonder how much potential we've missed as a society because the education system has been trying to force everyone through the same hole, and destroying intellectual curiosity in the process.

Personally, my experience with this educational system turned me off from "math." It was only much later in life when I learnt that the mindless algorithms that I had to personally execute for years on end to get into university could barely be considered math at all. Only then could I begin to appreciate how elegant real math could be. And I doubt I'm alone in my experience.

ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
Let's say you take the big bang as a historical fact. Something created the big bang. By definition, the "thing" that created it is a creator. We cannot say whether this creator is a sentient being that has vastly more intelligence than any human, but we can say that the possibility seems to make some people very uncomfortable.
ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
Let's cast aside for a moment that unlike gravity, the big bang, if it occurred, is impossible for a human to witness first hand.

The understanding of gravity had a tectonic shift about a century ago. Imagine if scientists declared that Newton's model of gravity was the final word, and that it was heretical to question it. These things are called theories, not facts, for a reason.

Such things happen all the time in the history of science. As another example, think about the phrase "subatomic particle" and the sequence of mistakes that must have occurred to arrive at such wording.

Paradoxically, instead of the history of science inspiring humility, it seems to encourage arrogance among some. Is the ego a friend or enemy of scientific advancement?

ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
As a casual philosopher, it seems like the big bang theory as the origin of everything falls apart under a trivial question. To you, such a discrepancy may be "irrelevant" to your life, but you're in the minority. The vast majority of people in this world are religious for a reason. They want to understand the bigger picture, and their curiosity does not stop when their finite logical facilities do.
ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
Isn't it called the big bang theory, not the big bang fact? How many reputable scientists can you cite that would publicly declare the big bang as a fact rather than a theory?

I wonder if the person to whom I was originally responding finds your dogmatism as objectionable as dogmatism of a traditionally religious nature.

ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
I have no desire to discuss particular religions. As I said elsewhere, some religions provide explanations which are provably false.
ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
I think it applies to humanity as a whole. There's a certain obsession with a false sense of control.
ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
And that evidence is the state of the cosmos today?

Are you a software developer? Imagine that, for testing purposes, you want to test a particular state T in a simulation app that you believe can only occur organically after a large period of time.

Do you start the test simulation at a hypothetical t0 and wait to reach the desired state? Or do you simply bootstrap the simulation so that it starts in state T.

Well, you do the latter of course. So do the events at t0 need to occur for you to observe state T?

ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
The superiority to which you refer is questionable. If the goal of these explanations is to prove the origin of the universe in some kind of mathematical sense, they all fail. They all belong to the same category.

The inferior tier is one where an explanation can be proven false with the limited tools of the 2022 version of humanity. Perhaps some religions' explanations fall into this category, but not all.

ken47··on Religious Discrimination at Google
Can you prove the Big Bang occurred? If so, can you prove that nothing preceded a Big Bang?

If you are as rational as you arrogantly imply, then the obvious answers to these are no.

Are you equally appalled when you come across average people talking about these theories as if they are facts? I wonder.

ken47··on US moves closer to recalling Tesla’s self-driving software
Sources for claims would be appreciated.
ken47··on US moves closer to recalling Tesla’s self-driving software
Some form of Tesla would exist under this future. TSLA the stock might not.
ken47··on US moves closer to recalling Tesla’s self-driving software
Total straw man. The question isn't whether Tesla's are safe to drive. The question is whether "autopilot" is safe to auto pilot.
ken47··on Do kwon sent $80M a month to secret wallets?
Pride goeth before the fall. And this guy has a lot of pride. Pity when intelligence, ethics, and rationality diverge.
ken47··on The case for expanding rather than eliminating gifted education programs (2021)
What you describe is not equality of outcome. If you impose some kind of lifestyle on different people, each of them will have different subjective experiences. Some will be completely content in state A whereas others will be extremely displeased. Are the outcomes equal? No. Simply the conditions.
ken47··on The case for expanding rather than eliminating gifted education programs (2021)
Equality of opportunity is impossible. Equality of outcome is an order of magnitude more impossible.

Each of us was born into this world through a randomized process that was not created by humankind: the genes you were born with, the environment you were given before you could manage your own affairs, the accumulation of genetic mutations over the course of countless millennia that resulted in who you are today. This is the opportunity you were born with.

To think that we can compensate for this random process with any level of precision is to wage war with nature, and I'd bet that nature will win.

It is an admirable goal, and certainly we can take steps to reduce inequality of opportunity. But true equality of opportunity, or anything close to it, is unattainable in this universe.

ken47··on Carbon dioxide now more than 50% higher than pre-industrial levels
Meaningful action will happen by semi-random chance (breakthrough in low-emission energy) or by force of nature (climate changes so much that we have no choice but to act). In general, I don't think the average, or even somewhat above-average, person will be motivated by an abstract risk like the specter of CO2-induced climate change, unless incentives are created at a societal level to celebrate advancements in this field of technology and the associated low-emission lifestyle.

And would it be safe to assume that low-emission energy has much lower ROI, in a traditional sense, than fossil fuels? If so, I double down on my above predictions about triggers for meaningful change.

But that's life, isn't it? We're only capable of optimizing towards a finite distance in the future. If that weren't the case, we would be gods, not humans. And we certainly wouldn't be in this mess, or perhaps any mess, in the first place.

ken47··on The Collison Brothers Built Stripe into a $95B Unicorn
Here's the thing. The average person only cares about their economic growth up to a point. Study after study has concluded that once most people have "enough" money, adding more does not bring them any more happiness (with the rare exception of a increase being so substantial that it radically improves their social status -- let's say by at least an order of magnitude).

And studies have shown that people become unhappy when confronted with people who have significantly more than them - simply put, envy.

Therefore, one can easily argue that if economic growth is coupled to ever-increasing inequality, it actually begins to reduce overall human happiness after a point -- and if you "read the room" around the world, I'm pretty sure humanity has passed that point.

Just take a look at how society is structured today, where a 1% difference in achievement at some arbitrarily determined age can lead to a difference in expected lifetime income that is orders of magnitude larger. And that's not to mention the kind of personal wealth that, due to the properties of exponential growth, cannot help but grow, regardless of the competence of its owner.

Die-hard capitalists argue that this is the best economic system that we've ever had, but our sample size is very limited. We've only been trying this out for a minute fraction of humanity's existence, and the effects of this system have not reached a steady state. If the past few decades are any indication, capitalism has made the world worse off in many ways. It enabled our ancestors to leave us with many major unsolved problems, with blissful ignorance - issues that are given token acknowledgement in economics classes as "externalities," a term that doesn't even begin capture how important they really are for humanity's future.

I posit that overall human happiness plotted against economic inequality is maximized somewhere in between strictly enforced equality and the extreme levels of inequality that we see today. It doesn't take a genius to see it, but no one really talks about the middle. Perhaps sanity is too boring for this generation.

ken47··on Keep the web free, say no to Web3 (2021)
I'm not taking a side on the fiat vs. crypto debate. I'm inquiring purely about the technical aspects of the blockchain.

That being said, with non-blockchain data storage, one could create backups, so that if all the live running data stores were somehow destroyed, one could recover to some previous point in history with the redundant copies.

I'm trying to understand whether this, or any other sort of failure recovery, is possible with blockchain technology.

ken47··on Keep the web free, say no to Web3 (2021)
As a person who is allergic to trends like this, can someone bring me up to speed on the details of the blockchain? Particularly:

1) Is it resilient to catastrophic failure? Does there exist an N < 100 such that if there is an EMP, a computer virus, or some other anomaly that wipes the data from more than N% of the nodes, the block chain enters an irrecoverable failure state?

2) How scalable is it? Sure, it might work for a very small % of the world's transactions, but could it ever handle the sort of load that is taken on by say, Visa credit cards worldwide, while still allowing transactions to complete in a "reasonable" amount of time (that the average person would tolerate)? If not, what is the upper limit of requests per second while maintaining some sufficient upper bound for transaction time?

Feel free to be completely hand wavy. This is just a thought exercise for now.

ken47··on Reinstating our SAT/ACT requirement for future admissions cycles
I understand the audience here, but we don't need more emphasis on iq. We need more emphasis on ethics. We already have the power to destroy ourselves many times over, and within a century, will likely be seeing AI that can best a human in any intellectual endeavor, by an order of magnitude. Ethics first, with some baseline level of intellect, will be the only way out of this impending disaster.
ken47··on Reinstating our SAT/ACT requirement for future admissions cycles
As someone who uses to be very good at this kind of "math" in high school...it's not even real math. It's a bunch of teenagers being tested on how good they are at being poor man's computers. And I don't just mean standardized tests - almost the entirety of the high school math "education" is sad.
ken47··on Code quality: a concern for businesses, bottom lines, and empathetic programmers
The example assertions he was making were non falsifiable. However, if the claims were slightly tweaked to say something along the lines of:

"historically, a code modification like the one you've requested has taken 5n units of time. After refactoring, such a change will take n units of time."

You wouldn't perform an A/B test to prove your claim. The managers would simply have to trust you for the reputable engineer that you are, and hopefully observe substantially increased velocity after the refactoring.

ken47··on Code quality: a concern for businesses, bottom lines, and empathetic programmers
Yes, the drive for profits extinguishing the beauty from life yet again. If only the prevalent managerial culture was more philosophically sophisticated...
ken47··on Code quality: a concern for businesses, bottom lines, and empathetic programmers
I disagree with the idea that there is no way to measure code quality. As long as one is willing to sacrifice a lot of precision, it is certainly measurable. Just come up with adequately broad, discrete buckets.
ken47··on Code quality: a concern for businesses, bottom lines, and empathetic programmers
While not every developer can agree on what good code is, I find it much easier to agree on what bad code is. Bad code increases the risk of bugs, slows maintenance and updates, and is bad for the bottom line. It may be hard to sell non-technical managers on writing the best code ever, but at the very least, sell them on avoiding bad code.
ken47··on Leaded fuel reduced IQ of children born before 1990
The scientific method is absolutely trustworthy. People, however, are a different story.
ken47··on Depressed People See the World More Realistically
Logic makes a compelling case for itself, and some leaps of faith are larger than others.
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