katmannthree

> You could put your hand around this tree

To be fair, that's entirely reasonable to cut down with a machete. There's a bit of a technique to it and it'll take more than one swing but if you don't have a chainsaw handy a good machete will do the job.

If you want to go off trying to predict the cycle I’d suspect ag/weather tech. Political complexity aside it appears to be the biggest thing we’ll need to work on in the coming decades if we want to sustain the planet’s carrying capacity.

Probably more likely though to be something novel that few took seriously before it demonstrates utility. And this is the issue for QC, we already know what it’s useful for: a handful of niche search algorithms. It’s a bit like fusion in that even if you work out the (very significant) engineering issues you’re left with something that while useful is far from transformative.

I'd like to hear more, do you have an article or something you could link?

Because if you're going to carry, you should choose something that's safe to carry with a round chambered (i.e. not a Sig P320). There are countless videos showing real-world examples of defensive handgun use. One common thread is that there's virtually no time between when you realize you're going to need your sidearm and when you need it. The extra second it takes to rack the slide and chamber a round can be the difference between surviving the encounter and not.

From your careful word choice you know this but I'd like to draw attention to the specifics here. I'm not sure if it's actually soldered on but RAM is on-package like apple's M-series chips, unlike what used to be the case where soldering ram to the board was a choice made by the laptop mfgs.

Here's there's no choice to be made other than not using the chips. And unfortunately (although there are some benefits), it's probably not going to be just a few generations but a trend for high end processors going forward.

The point is to illustrate the disconnect between stated reasoning and proximate cause.

Consider your typical country music enjoyer. Their fondness of the art, as it were, is far more a function of cultural coding during their formative years than a deliberate personal choice to savor the melodic twangs of a corncob banjo. The same goes for people who like classic rock, rap, etc. The people who `hate' country are likewise far more likely to do so out of oppositional cultural contempt, same as people who hate rap or those in the not so distant past who couldn't stand rock & roll.

This of course fails to account for higher-agency individuals who have developed their musical tastes, but that's a relatively small subset of the population at large.

Devil's advocate, as with most LLM issues this applies to the meatbags that generated the source material as well. Quick example is asking someone to describe their favorite music and why they like it, and note the probable lack of reasoning on the `this is what I listened to as a teenager` axis.

> You have a duty as a founder to make really good products and get them into people’s hands. You’re making God real in people’s lives when they experience that.

These people do not know Christ.

As one of the many Americans who wants to contribute to a society whose values match their own, thank you. Is there somewhere to follow your efforts in that front?

Thank you for the link. How is Germany looking RE economic stability for the next couple of years? I was looking into Sweden but even the Swedish citizens I know there are having a difficult time finding / keeping engineering jobs as the economy has been doing poorly.

What’s your take on near-term stability for American immigrants in Europe? I was looking at options for moving last year but the work visa situation seemed fairly precarious (although that’s a relative thing in comparison with what may end up happening here in the US).

Was over an hour earlier today.

Yes but that would increase the BoM by several cents on these $1k+ GPUs so it's not likely to happen.

Care to share?

This is what actual power looks like.

> 1: very broadly speaking, to me it could take rest of my life

Perhaps coincidentally the rule of thumb is that it takes about 100 developer-years to go from zero to a viable kernel.

How is this different from “it’s not poor impulse control if you’re a _functional_ alcoholic who can muster enough resources to afford a handle every morning”?

Absolutely not. Try asking for it to solve something not well covered in the training data (e.g. a relatively performant polyhedral homotopy continuation solver) and it completely falls apart regardless of how much hand holding you give it.

It certainly makes sense at first glance. Have you read the houthis flag?

This article from Teflon.com is not clickbait, they’re just massively underselling the risk of fluorocarbons to birds. Burning a teflon pan will straight up kill any birds in your home. It’s not a minor irritant like onions, you can’t just crack a window to let the fumes out, if they’re exposed they’ll start having seizures within minutes and be dead before you could get them to a vet (not that there’s really anything that could be done).

Just as a general rule birds are delicate, there’s a lot given up to allow for flight. Teflon is somewhat risky for humans too but it’s not remotely on the same scale.

This really undersells the risk here. If you have birds and don’t want to watch them die in agony just put the PTFE stuff in the bin.

Personal experience corroborates. The last embers of self fade away in a place far too narrow to fit anything but that overwhelming peace.

It's a difficult subject though, the fear of death underpins a significant portion of life (see terror management theory for that idea taken to the extreme). I don't know the value of trying to undermine it at scale.

No. Salmon is fish too.

And if it turns out that no job requires sentience, will your friend still hold this to be a useful metric?

Are clawbacks a thing in this case for the people who did get [some] of their money out in time?

Yikes. Does anyone have an idea of which orgs have significant exposure (like Molly White's FTX contagion graph[0])?

[0] https://www.mollywhite.net/etc/ftx-contagion

> one can always claim the {entity} is just emulating understanding.

I've yet to see a convincing argument that humans are any different. They're sometimes better at pretending to understand things, but at the end of the day both humans and ChatGPT have a small handful of things which they functionally understand[0] and a larger body of knowledge which is only partially integrated.

Chomsky has disappeared up his own intestinal tract on this one. One can quibble about intelligence until the end of time, but the real question is that of utility -- which they certainly do have, in ever-increasing scope and measure.

[0]: i.e. have synthesized the object and can properly explain and apply it in other contexts

Ahh, the ever-elusive ``free will.'' Do you happen to have a rigorous definition of it you'd like to bring up for discussion?

Well if not it's still a nice bike chainwax additive! (/s/2)

It's different in sectors which aren't going to go through some things, places which are expanding rather than freaking out about dropping ad revenue and the end of zero interest rates. OpenAI / Microsoft, various energy sectors, and Palantir / miltech come to mind.

Life in a contracting industry sucks as a general rule, Meta has presumably decided that shedding weight is worth the nth-order effects. It's a strong signal to move on or start cultivating new skills now IMO.