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fpo

54 karma · joined July 14, 2017

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fpo··on Walking slower? Your ears, not your knees, might be the problem
Peak HN to link an article about "spurious correlations" (and not even replying with a well thought out point yourself, just the article link) in response to a claim that slowing down is associated with aging and diminished capacity.
fpo··on Street Votes: A proposed response to Ireland's housing crisis
That's a separate question. But I think all evidences points to that NOT solving any housing crises.
fpo··on Street Votes: A proposed response to Ireland's housing crisis
Genuine question, how is giving even more (hyper)local control gonna solve it? This is the exact breeding ground for NIMBYism and the like. The author doesn't really present an argument in favor of that, just sort of drops it as an assertion in the end with a CYA "but yea maybe I'm wrong".
fpo··on Rocket Mortgage to trim 8% of workforce as home-loan market shrinks
The math gets trickier when you consider monthly payments. At very low interest rates an extra 500k borrowed might only increase monthly payment by ~1500 which can be partially offset by $500-1000 less in property taxes per month depending on the municipality in Canada compared to US.
fpo··on Elon Musk makes $43B unsolicited bid to take Twitter private
I don’t understand how [0] suggests Twitter is dying. Is a power law distribution of content production on a social network that strange? What % of HN comments come from the top N accounts? Is Twitter lying about growing user numbers?
fpo··on Apple buys a company every three to four weeks
In my experience with most acquihires, your “upside” is basically a new hire package at the mid-high end (sometimes I see low) of external offers + a potentially expedited interview process.
fpo··on Apple buys a company every three to four weeks
You’re describing an acquisition including IP and not an acquihire. I’m not sure how much Apple cares about idiosyncrasies of founders for potential full acquisitions but I imagine they matter quite a bit for a run of the mill acquihire.
fpo··on Apple buys a company every three to four weeks
They wouldn't extend an offer to you in this case. Acqui-hires have no upside for employees and barely any for founders. Some small return to investors to sign off on the acquihire. Usually most people still have to interview for their jobs.
fpo··on Lyft lays off 17% of workforce, furloughs hundreds more
Uber is in a much better position to capitalize on Eats as well as non US recovery (given that it seems the US is on one of the worst paths of most developed economies). Hell if anything I can see some Western European countries finally unbanning Uber just to stimulate some more economic activity. Italy/Spain/Germany can't afford to be as protectionist moving forward.
fpo··on The Modern Mind May Be 100k Years Old (2016)
Why should it have? Progress is always incremental. Even before civilization there were minute steps towards organization from just pure hunter-gatherer days.

Just because the neolithic period started 12-15k years ago doesn't mean somebody woke up one day with a modern brain smart enough to plant things.

fpo··on Peak California
The cities are quite happy to not add jobs either. The “bluff” will be called.
fpo··on Amazon to Build Second HQ in North America
Also the initial business plan of Amazon was in large part trying to benefit from not having to pay sales tax on out of state shipments.
fpo··on Mastering Bayes with R
Author of the featured package, bayesAB, (https://github.com/FrankPortman/bayesAB) here. Thanks for the mention!

I'm glad to see others making Bayesian theory/methods accessible.