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elisharobinson

71 karma · joined April 17, 2016

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elisharobinson··on Systems Thinking
Something i see pop up in large Orgs and software solutions is as follows.

- you create large number of working small apps .

- you create a spec from these apps .

- create a huge app .

- make a Dsl to make extensible .

- extend the Dsl to fit what you need in the future .

- optimize the Dsl remove obvious N+1 stuff.

The hard part is throwing away the code in each step . Both managment and devs cant stomach the reality that the code is useless at each stage prior to dsl. They cant molt and discard the shell and hence the project dies.

elisharobinson··on The Demoralization is just Beginning
we are talking about a pure <hypothetical> scenario which is not related to present day reality . If we are talking about reality "skill" is rarely the deciding factor when individuals decide to migrate. it is about risk tolerance you are taking a huge risk by moving to a different country / culture / social circle the ROIC is not always clear. Its not for everyone ( was my point ). Hypothetically if the success of country is based on how many risk takers ( and not skill ) are there then sure your argument makes sense.
elisharobinson··on The Demoralization is just Beginning
this assumes that a smart person would move to US 100% of the time. given the bipolar nature of US i doubt 100% of smart people would move .
elisharobinson··on AI founders will learn the bitter lesson
this is not only not true , it has no basis's in reality. In the "real" world there are tradeoff's and constraints. scaling does not work infinitely , and products which are delivered by good engneering cultures have a non linear growth ( bad vs very good ).

comming back to research one of the frontier model's deepseek was able to come close to SOTA with a relatively small budget because of one of their mixture of experts approach.

elisharobinson··on Most people don't care about quality
What is quality https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=uAfUOfSY-S0&t=685s&pp=2AGtBZAC...

Please learn

elisharobinson··on Bluesky is on the verge of overtaking Threads in all the ways that matter
they are afloat using VC math . I dont think modern web is a place for a social media company. the AD revenue / AWS bill does not make sense. Unless they become a data broker like Meta. Or become the microphone for a group or individual.
elisharobinson··on Cognizant found guilty of discriminating against non-Indian employees
so you would admit that a 25% diff in base pay would be plausible . so would you also admit a 25% diff in benifits would also be plausible . granted the total diff would work out to somewhere around 30~40% range , but i still hold if we are comparing true apple to apple and we exclude FAANG , we would most likely get in the 50% range.

Some emphasis should be made on the total percentage of H1B applicants 75% are Indian and at-least ~90% of those are in the TECH working for CTS, TCS both are consulting firms They dont sell any products or services (and dont have offices in SF). They survive by giving the lowest bid for a service . And when the minimum wage is the lower bound why bother paying any higher (60-75% discount), This was the case prior to trump. After Trump H1Bs became scarce and to justify it you needed "highly skilled" employees and they made the paygap more justifiable to 45-50%.

So i still hold my original statement H1B is for tech what H2A is for agriculture.

elisharobinson··on Cognizant found guilty of discriminating against non-Indian employees
so your telling me my analysis is flawed because i didnt take META as a base. MY guy the article is about CTS. NOT META.

H1B is to tech what H2A is for agriculture . Yall want to Drive the combine ( Managment, Software development, VC ) but dont want to do the dirty work ( QA, Devops, IT admin )

elisharobinson··on Cognizant found guilty of discriminating against non-Indian employees
thanks for the ref , but it kinda proves the point . your source suggests the avg comp for senior software engineer is 100-150 K . on glass door it 178-263 . https://www.glassdoor.com/Salaries/senior-software-engineer-... .
elisharobinson··on Cognizant found guilty of discriminating against non-Indian employees
Some of the reasons why this is happening :

-> Getting an assignment in the US is viewed as a reward for employees who work in the company for 5+ years.

-> H1B visa employess are given a 50% minimum discount to market rate. cause lol what are you gonna do . Quit and go back in the Queue for H1B.

-> nepotism / favoritism self explanatory.

-> Are more willing to work 40+ hours a week. Less likely to take vacations.

These are the observations of myself and members of my family who are from India.

elisharobinson··on Starlink's new satellites emit 30x more radio interference than before
NO. A tax is a bad way to regulate any system in the long run. Ideally i would like all telescopes be shifted to outer space. if spacex or its competitor created a orbital satellite network and charged a monthly / yearly fee to get a feed of data from the cost / dollar would far exceed anything available today. tax going to govt is a place for inovation to die.
elisharobinson··on Starlink's new satellites emit 30x more radio interference than before
the solution is IMO , telescopes in space, even if starlink we to deploy newer better satellites the noise will be more because of the additive effect of the number of them which need to be in orbit. There is no viable way to go back. military , marine and aviation industry are adopting starlink type internet solutions on mass. Not to mention many countries have stated national security desire to have similar capability .
elisharobinson··on The Great Pacific Garbage Patch Can Be Cleaned for $7.5B
future mob bosses gonna be competing for ocean cleanup rights XD.
elisharobinson··on Tesla Cybertruck No Match for Car Wash
just means you havnt read much about trucks https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1370PE/#:~:text=(Reut....
elisharobinson··on StableCode
Assuming that the requirement quality is a constant . And humans as system have the ability to compile this high level instruction to low level code. now imagine there exists systems which A. Augments human ability making it more efficient. or B. replace humans completely. The only reason this is valuable is that it might POTENTIALLY reduces the $/hr cost of the system.
elisharobinson··on When First Principles Thinking Fails (2020)
when reasoning from first principles there is a "log" which you can look back and reflect on which helps to reevaluate either the axioms or inference steps. this is more time consuming.

reasoning by pattern matching is quicker , when you fail you search for new patterns this is useful when the outcome is of low impact.

both are useful tools from my experience.

elisharobinson··on Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm
"carbon credit" != "tax credit"

carbon credit: EU law fines ICE car makers for making cars. they inturn purchase carbon credits to have the right to keep polluting. further more tesla made 53 B$ in rev for 2021. 1.5B is not nothing but not > 5% of revenue for the year. ie bulk of it came from actually making and selling cars.

tax credit: the US federal govt had a tax credit program which was lobbied by GM in the 2010's that gave car buyers 7.5K as a tax write off . this was only eligible for less than 100k cars sold (tesla sold 405,300 in q4 2022) and was only useful if you made enough income where a tax writeoff made sense. 2023 new laws are in place with more rules which makes them almost useless (or only useful for those who lobbied for it).

elisharobinson··on Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm
they have grown production capacity yoy of >50% , 2021 was a heavy capex year. tesla makes > 30% margin on each car sold.
elisharobinson··on Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm
not quite, if you bought it in the open market its 10~20% more $ than having a fixed longterm contract. and ICE carmakers usually have one OEM like samsung and Panasonic who have interest in getting best price for each cell . Tesla has inhouse cell production capacity and uses cells from all oems to get the best possible price / cell . This will give tesla a permanent 5% lead (outside of china) in cell pricing.
elisharobinson··on Investors conclude that Tesla is a carmaker, not a tech firm
"carmaker" != "electric carmaker" , all other carmakers DO NOT make profitable EV's and require heavy subsidies to be in parity. Tesla has better margins because it is vertically integrated . Apple will NEVER make a car , cars require a totally different supply chain not as simple as moving a low mass objects like phones and PC's , ie cant move them multiple times across different continents. other car makers will have to make significant investments while having losses and being dependent on ICE to break even all the while EV's grow and the ICE mkt share reduces (less profits) . They will probably never catch tesla in building a tech platform "infotainment" , how long would it take for any other car maker to ship steam games and have 60 fps gaming on the car.
elisharobinson··on IRS gets permission to go after taxpayers who don't report crypto transactions
Kinda sucks where the IRS is quicker to jump on the prospect to tax transactions ... Than the sec or fed is too offer solutions for protecting users from shit coins and fraud exchanges .. that's life I guess
elisharobinson··on Resources to understand deeply how money works?
There are no right answers.. My personal understanding is that any economic activity is directly proportional to energy spent and no of operations or movements... To explain with example.. Aws has many cloud services sql, ai, networking, etc... All of which can run on x86 arc.. All of x86 instruction set can be replaced as set of x86 MOV operations so only diff between different services is no of MOV instructions executed and how much energy it took to execute the operations... In conclusion you could say value = total no mov ops * energy consumed
elisharobinson··on Move fast or die: Key startup lessons
A worm on its own is faster than a horse in the mill stone . It's bad mindset to think that all software companies are the same , there are some companies which ship things other than CRUD apps on the web(shocker !!) .

My main gripe is the statement of ask for forgiveness than permission, that mindset does not work on projects like the 737max . Anything of value is built by teams and as such hero worship should be avoided whenever possible. Good work should be rewarded but don't skew the social dynamic to the point of "hero said it so it must be true".

elisharobinson··on Patent Trolls Inbound: Our First Lawsuit
I want a play by play dramatic court room drama depp heard style, i want the world to see what it looks like to set a patent troll on fire in real-time
elisharobinson··on VLC media player banned in India
the real problem which plague's India is over zealous "babu's" aka bureaucrats. It is very difficult to do actual good things with regards to policy so they settle for the most hype thing "ban X" and label it as patriotism and feed the narrative to the media machine which takes and runs with it . Now the government gets to pat itself on the back and the "babu" gains notoriety as a patriot its a very "notice me senpai" thing. They will continue to do this cause they are looked up to by everyone in the country as a educated elite . In reality they are a bunch of cockroaches who collectively share 3 brain cells to make what i like to call "dad joke style policy". If every there is a gaping flaw in modern democracies it is the unaccountable and ever powerful bureaucrat.
elisharobinson··on Debugging bare-metal STM32 from the seventh level of hell
this has "i just changed the comments and it works now but i dont know why " vibe to it.
elisharobinson··on Uber's Still Not Profitable
you make the car wet with wet clothes and shoes , smell wont go unless you dry it in the sun ... and if you dont dry it out it will smell like wet socks ...
elisharobinson··on Uber's Still Not Profitable
OP post mentions that they were profitable in Q2 2022 by raising rates . did you not read the article .
elisharobinson··on Uber's Still Not Profitable
i am not siding with Uber but to claim that they are going to fail is a bit of hyperbole . the value proposition is quite simple for both drivers and passengers . for drivers you would make more income by driving more consistently , for passengers you get a cab instead of shouting like a cave-person on the street. It is true that there is an element of bezzle with money pumping and dumping over the last few years . They can be profitable as a much smaller company.
elisharobinson··on Earthgrid aims to rewire the USA using super-cheap tunnel tech
Wow is this a joke . Just because you use plasma the mass transport problem does not disappear if is gaseous you have potentially toxic fumes spewing everywhere. Also tunnels need to be reinforced to prevent collapse from pockets ... Also lose soil is a problem so is ground water
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