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d_silin

2,362 karma · joined May 17, 2019

https://marscalendar.space
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d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
LLMs are like anabolic steroids for the brain. Surely you can do more with them, but you are better without them. Access to them should be restricted, especially for untrained minds.
d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
And for the good reason. I have yet to see 1 (one) reason how giving infinite cheat machine to students is of any benefit to them.

The secret to mastery remained unchanged for a thousand years: books, lectures and homework. All of this can be done with pen and paper level of technology.

d_silin··on Why did we wait so long for the bicycle? (2019)
High-quality (higher carbon) steel required for frame, chain and gears was not abundant enough and cheap enough until late XIX century.
d_silin··on Apple Will 'Watch Everything Burn' When AI Bubble Bursts
Local models running on Apple hardware are definitely a thing, a low-hanging fruit they are harvesting right now while every pure-play AI company is losing money.
d_silin··on Citadel Buys Situational Awareness's Stock Portfolio After Big Losses in AI
Reminds me of LTCM fund story (very smart people X highly leveraged portfolio = a perfect recipe for massive losses on black swan day)
d_silin··on The Fabled Flatbreads of Uzbekistan (2015)
Article gave me an idea that Indus Valley seals were baker's stamps - that's why the imprinted goods were never found (eaten!).
d_silin··on Why Software Factories Fail (or: harness engineering is not enough)
My radical opinion is that LLMs are harmful for software development - they are the ultimate "goto" operator. All actual code should be written by a human developer.

Instead, use them in adversarial mode - run QA scenarios using LLM agent as a substitute for end user to do bug discovery.

d_silin··on The Fermi Paradox, Percolation, and Inbreeding
You can absolutely select founding population to be maximally genetically diverse and of large enough number to avoid inbreeding.

Speciation is a likely outcome for interplanetary and interstellar colonies, yes.

d_silin··on Grok CLI uploaded the whole home directory to GCS
beats rawdogging it, at least.
d_silin··on Grok CLI uploaded the whole home directory to GCS
"The "S" in AI stands for security" strikes again.

Run any cloud-based AI agents in VM/container and map your host's local folders to guest OS as needed.

Takes more effort that default way, I know.

d_silin··on Jim Keller's startup is building a factory to mass-produce small chip fabs
One of the most interesting technologies that is not about LLMs/AIs.
d_silin··on The Boeing 747 begins its final descent
My bad! Global aerospace industry then.
d_silin··on The Boeing 747 begins its final descent
1969 was truly the pinnacle of US aerospace industry - Concord, Boeing 747 and Apollo 11 all happened during this year.
d_silin··on Ford AI hiccups push carmaker to rehire ‘gray beard’ inspectors
This should be way higher.
d_silin··on My Mathematical Regression
There is no metric a reasonably intelligent person can't sabotage or subvert...

...for example, you can write a script to burn tokens and write the code yourself.

d_silin··on My Mathematical Regression
Nobody forces you to use AI.

It has become sort of junk food for the brain. Temptations and ads for it everywhere.

d_silin··on How to build a virtual cell and biology scaling laws
That's one idea I am willing to bet on (with my money and skills).
d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Fair enough. I appreciate your civility.
d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
When does it stop, though?

A white lie during interview, a deadline you promised and knew you could not deliver? A product you ship that claims to do X, but it doesn't?

d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Culture begins at the front door, corporate or personal.

I would expect absolute sincerity from pilot or a doctor during the interview, including history of mental health and professional mistakes. Authority over lives of people must come with full transparency. If you are caught lying or misrepresenting your experience and skills, not only you would lose your job, you should be blacklisted from occupation as well.

In every skill, everyone benefits from honesty, both employers and employees. But I am aware this is a minority view.

d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Goes both way, yes.

History has examples of extremely underprivileged people not compromising on the values even when facing death or torture.

d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Having any kind of integrity is expensive, financially, emotionally and sometimes physically.

Software development is not that high-stakes of a job anyway. There is always another interview. I got another one soon enough, where the employee AI policy fully aligned with mine, so telling the truth was an easy, pleasant experience.

Imagine you are a pilot or doctor. Any kind of interview reply that doesn't fully align with your values now carries a real risk for human lives.

d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Correct. I did it anyway (and yes, it was awful).
d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
In the end, everyone makes their own choices.

I don't want to preach martyrdom, but I am also offended by people choosing moral bankruptcy when faced with even the slightest hardships.

d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
Yes.
d_silin··on Not everyone is using AI for everything
It is not. I made that choice in the past and will do it again.

"Speak the truth, even if your voice shakes"

d_silin··on Policy on the AI Exponential
The only effective action is push back on Athropic.
d_silin··on Why SpaceX 2040 Revenue FCST $4.3T in highly unlikely
SpaceX already blown through a number of "... but this cannot be!" forecasts. Would not discount them easily.
d_silin··on SpaceX IPO: Nice Try Though [video]
TL;DR:

- AI part of SpaceX is absolute disaster, while its IPO valuation hinges on its future success.

- Lot's of questionable corporate shenanigans and accounting tricks.

- Public shareholders have zero power over Elon after IPO.

Some numbers for 1Q 2026

Launch: -660M

Starlink +1.1B

AI: -2.5B

d_silin··on 4K years ago, Mohenjo-daro grew more equal over time
Entire civilization flourished for 2000 years and then disappeared without any clue why.

I have a pet theory about Indus Valley script - inscriptions on the seals are so short and unique because they are just name signatures, to stamp other objects.

Having to be durable, they were the only inscribed objects that survived.

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