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d_silin

2,339 karma · joined May 17, 2019

https://marscalendar.space
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d_silin··on Effective altruism is this century's biggest idea
I was thinking of applying partially ordered set theory to social science. Order theory assumes only comparison operation ("less than" or "greater than") is possible to perform on the elements of the sets, so ordering is possible, but the values themselves can be completely non-measurable.
d_silin··on Effective altruism is this century's biggest idea
Almost any ideology, no matter how noble and inspiring, can be hijacked by the worst kind of people for their own selfish wants.

How to fix this problem?

d_silin··on Lotus Notes and the dangers of starting from scratch
Why don't they use their AI solutions for software development?
d_silin··on On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
This is the question I don't have a satisfactory answer for. But neither does Sam and Dario.
d_silin··on On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
...absolutely nothing will change short-term. Long-term, you still have to pay all the bills, but you won't be able to find a job (all taken by AIs).
d_silin··on On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
The actual solution link https://t.co/tz1shoCZZo
d_silin··on How concerned should we be about Astra's recurrent architecture?
Current AIs are closer to bottle rockets than to the Starship on the intelligence scale. Some property damage already happened, but you can't master the art of rocketry without trial and error.
d_silin··on How concerned should we be about Astra's recurrent architecture?
Market bubble will pop, not the first time and not the last, most likely after OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs.
d_silin··on How concerned should we be about Astra's recurrent architecture?
To add a bit more constructive feedback, think of the "AI cornucopia" and "Superintelligence destroys humanity" as opposite ends of all possible outcomes distribution (low probability event).

The most likely one is the "business as usual, but with AI" - some things will get better, some things will get worse, but overall state of affairs will remain mostly the same.

d_silin··on How concerned should we be about Astra's recurrent architecture?
A debate between grossly incompetent against grossly immoral, honestly.

You should ignore anything LessWrong or OpenAI says and do your own research.

d_silin··on Why HPSC Is a Big Deal for Space Exploration
Intel is also interested in this market.

https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/content-details/9234...

d_silin··on Felony Bench
But humans can be. I am sure Sam Altman wants to avoid serving multiple decades in American prison for felonies his AI did.
d_silin··on AI Boosted Homework Scores by 18% – Then Exam Scores Dropped 20%, Study Shows
While I am not 100% opposed to this idea, it should come with liability to the provider AND its error rate be better than best human doctors.
d_silin··on Optimizing things in the USSR (2016)
I suspect that you can definitely use planned economy tools down to a certain scale and then let the markets sort the rest.

At some level, Indian and Chinese economies have their development centrally planned, not just financially regulated, like in the West.

d_silin··on Casio F-B100W-1A
Neat. Note that battery life is reasonably good (2 years) even with Bluetooth sync feature.
d_silin··on Jason Arday, ex-Cambridge professor at centre of plagiarism row, found dead
I followed the story and he absolutely did, in multiple instances.
d_silin··on The AI Apocalypse Is Here
This is deeply unsatisfying answer.
d_silin··on The AI Apocalypse Is Here
The question to Sam and Dario would be: if the thing you are building is going do displace humanity, then why are you building it?
d_silin··on Humans Will Never Leave the Solar System
Low quality bait.

If humans would be able to settle Mars and asteroid belt, there is no limit to how far you can expand onwards.

d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
That's a cost, though. And in today's world, companies rather burn millions on AI than train their own labour.
d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
I sense a certain contradiction? If majority of students are just not very good at self-studying methods, then they don't scale well.

Mediocre student that sits through lectures, does the homework and submits assignment on due dates will get a good level of mastery in the subject. The very same student would be totally lost relying only on self-studying - he would not even know what he doesn't know.

d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
Self-directed studying doesn't scale. To produce thousands of new graduates per year you need industrial-scale methods - schools and colleges.
d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
I can teach symbolic math effectively using clay tablet and reed pen today.

Numerical methods, however, would require at least minimal computing hardware.

I think there should be a guiding principle of using the least amount of tech in teaching any subject, just like principle of least privilege in cybersecurity.

d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
Ha! Steroids give you muscle mass without lifting, believe it or not. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199607043350101

Of course, side effects are a different story.

d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
I had iPads and Apple Pencils - but nothing beats the pleasure of ink pen on paper.
d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
LLMs are like anabolic steroids for the brain. Surely you can do more with them, but you are better without them. Access to them should be restricted, especially for untrained minds.
d_silin··on Universities would prefer no AI
And for the good reason. I have yet to see 1 (one) reason how giving infinite cheat machine to students is of any benefit to them.

The secret to mastery remained unchanged for a thousand years: books, lectures and homework. All of this can be done with pen and paper level of technology.

d_silin··on Why did we wait so long for the bicycle? (2019)
High-quality (higher carbon) steel required for frame, chain and gears was not abundant enough and cheap enough until late XIX century.
d_silin··on Apple Will 'Watch Everything Burn' When AI Bubble Bursts
Local models running on Apple hardware are definitely a thing, a low-hanging fruit they are harvesting right now while every pure-play AI company is losing money.
d_silin··on Citadel Buys Situational Awareness's Stock Portfolio After Big Losses in AI
Reminds me of LTCM fund story (very smart people X highly leveraged portfolio = a perfect recipe for massive losses on black swan day)
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