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cyphertruck

221 karma · joined November 26, 2019

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cyphertruck··on Rendezvous with Rama
I just read a series of his books involving "unspace" so nice to see a recommendation. Will check out Shroud.
cyphertruck··on Rendezvous with Rama
Been following this movie's development for over 20 years. I give props to Morgan Freeman for trying so hard all this time to get it made. Denis Villeneuve would be a great director for this, and he could make it work.

Let's hope it happens soon... finally.

cyphertruck··on Efficient method to capture carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
Economics rules everything. How much does this cost vs simply planting trees, when the value of harvesting the trees is included? Since tree farms are generally profitable, and wood is expensive, it seems this method is likely to be economically less efficient.
cyphertruck··on The gaslit asset class
I stopped when he flubbed the first point. No, it’s not correct users have to just hope big miners will mine their transactions.

For two reasons:

1. They pay them. Do you trust “big grocery” will provide you food, or did you start a farm in your yard?

2. If that trust were ever broken, millions of bitcoiners who can easily afford to lose $10 a month can mine them. Despite there being no such censorship happening, these uneconomic miners are already a rapidly growing group. Bitcoiners are acutely aware of the state of the mempool.

cyphertruck··on US reportedly forcing TSMC to buy 49% stake in Intel to secure tariff relief
That money will be provided via a loan, from the US Government, at a reasonable interest rate. USG doesn't lose money, TSMC gets to expand into all of Intels fabs (when they raise the money to buy a controlling interest in INTC down the line.)

Or the entire thing can be done by a stock swap, with whoever diluting themselves however amount is necessary, etc.

cyphertruck··on US reportedly forcing TSMC to buy 49% stake in Intel to secure tariff relief
This isn't corruption or coercion. This is a deal. These are terms being offered. They can say no, or counter. But these terms benefit all parties-- TSMC can eventually buy out intel, get lots of top end fabs, bring their superior processes to those fabs and meet the huge demand in AI chips-- that they currently can't grow fast enough to cover. ASML machines take years to build... a better TSMC process on existing ASML machines in Intel fabs is an easy %30 win for the entire world.

Plus, china kept at bay, peace increased, intel's bad management gets to bail out saving face, TSMC gets rewarded for their hard work, Trump gets a win, Intel's employees get better management, and get rich from their stock options winning hugely....

Capitalism is where everyone wins like this.

Even china, because china loses if it goes to war, but china feels it has to go to war.

cyphertruck··on US reportedly forcing TSMC to buy 49% stake in Intel to secure tariff relief
It actually wouldn't. The sale price will be pretty close to the current market price, maybe %10 more. If the Government kicks in funds to underwrite the deal (say a loan to TSMC) then the deal would likely happen exactly at market price.

That means investors who sell are getting the current low market price or a little bit higher--- they will still be down the massive amount.

This is really bailing out current management-- letting them be replaced by the more capable TSMC people and getting an attaboy for helping the US government strengthen the alliance with Taiwan, keeping peace in the region.

cyphertruck··on US reportedly forcing TSMC to buy 49% stake in Intel to secure tariff relief
This is like an old fashioned Civilization game trade. Taiwan gets a significant ownership in a blue chip US company, TSMC should then take %51 control over intel, and turn it around. The US gets a stronger position with China such that china attacking Taiwan would be like bombing Apple or Google. The USA will go to war over that.

Only the willingness to go to war, stops aggressors. War is terrible and economic competition is the path to peace, but if you can't defend yourself you will get destroyed.

cyphertruck··on 4k NASA employees opt to leave agency through deferred resignation program
These cuts are absolutely not the ones I would make, but the reality is not as it is being portrayed.

The claim that SpaceX does not do science is false. Not only do they launch most of NASA's science missions, which counts, they also do independent science, including the Polaris Dawn and FRAM 2. Along with Axiom, they put science missions on the ISS, and all the NASA science done on ISS is facilitated by SpaceX putting humans there. Finally, literally everything that SpaceX has done or built is a result of science that SpaceX has had to do, including colder than ever propellants, and life support systems, etc. The Polaris Dawn spacewalk was not a replication of the 1960s spacewalks, as it was based on new suit science, etc.

Somehow, people like to pretend that probes landing on other planets is the only form of science that is done.

And the reality is that new entrants from RKLB, SpaceX, Firefly, and a lot of smaller companies are doing exactly this kind of science as well--- but at vastly lower cost.

The inescapable reality-- and this will always be the case with political organizations like NASA-- is no matter how well meaning they cannot do science as effectively as private organizations. NASA slows science down in large part because they are hamstrung by congress.

Yes, it looks like some way too expensive projects are getting cancelled and that means some waste of money. It's not the choice I would make.

But in the next 10 years, nearly %100 of all science will be done outside of NASA.... because the NASA overhead is too much, makes things too expensive, and less reliable.

For example, it's better to blow up 1 falcon one, and 2 falcon 9s, to get 500 successful falcon 9 launches at 1/100th the cost per kilogram of mass to orbit than to have a completely successful SLS system that launches only 2-3 times a decade.

The former accelerates science, lowers the cost of all science and more science gets done per dollar than the latter.

That transition is happening whether government, the senate and congress is aboard.... or not.

cyphertruck··on Sleeping beauty Bitcoin wallets wake up after 14 years to the tune of $2B
The traditional finance system is that a single central bank, owned by a cartel of rich banks- chase, jpm, etc-- issue the currency, charge us to use it and get first dibs on the benefits of monetary inflation -- google "cantillon effect".

The now much more diverse mining space is much better than completely centralized in one entity current system.

And bitcoin community has a way of working to fix weaknesses wherever they find it... there is active campaigns to diversify mining, as you pointed out those are pools-- and pools are being made obsolete. behind those pools are thousands or tens of thousands of mining operators, of all sizes, as it's viable at industrial as well as individual scale-- many use it to heat their house for less than the alternative, the earnings don't have to cover the full cost to be beneficial to people.

cyphertruck··on Athena spacecraft declared dead after toppling over on moon
Apollo took up an appreciable percentage of the GDP… this is a small startup with a fraction of the funding. Firefly landed successfully, but they are bigger.

This is a hardware rich, inexpensive program, and they could fly probably 100 missions for the cost of one NASA old style mission.

cyphertruck··on SpaceX Super Heavy splashes down in the gulf, canceling chopsticks landing
It's been announced, and is surely being designed, but they are only building hardware for V2 right now. Most likely V2 will continue as long as they need to get dialed in what they want V3 to be, then they will switch. V2 seems to be based on the learnings from V1, and I think V3 is the real design they want to fly-- but V3 depends on Raptor 3 and probably other advancements, and Raptor 3 is still at the testing stage in MacGregor.

For instance the V2 design seems to use Raptor 2.5 which is a Raptor 2 variant with Raptor 3 style interface with the ship. So they are testing the ship design to support Raptor 3 before they have Raptor 3.

The engines are really heart of these things and drive the development cadence.

cyphertruck··on [dead]
Going somewhere and paying for things to boost the local economy is not "exploitation". This is just agitprop.
cyphertruck··on Mass Market DVDs Are Dead: Long Live Heritage Physical Media
The internet was originally designed to be robust in the face of nuclear war, but that meant packets could be routed over the network even when individual point to point connections were lost.

I remember seeing an ad for whose premise was a cheap hotel where "we have every movie ever made on our TVs".

That was one promise of the streaming future... but there was never an understanding that the internet was permanent.

Even during the initial fad of "everyone needs their own homepage" before geocities, most pages were dead or broken or obsolete in a few months.

A large distributed redundant archive of data would be useful... probably with some mechanism where you can donate resources to preserve the data you like without having to support the stuff you don't care about (because resources are finite.)

cyphertruck··on Mass Market DVDs Are Dead: Long Live Heritage Physical Media
It's kinda amazing the results you get just by putting your collection together in something like Jellyfin, and getting the metadata etc.

Like having your own Netflix service.... I found I watched a lot more of my movies that way... than when they were just sitting on my drive.

cyphertruck··on Twitter kills its San Francisco headquarters, will relocate to South Bay
From the CEO: https://x.com/lindayax/status/1820838625245880634
cyphertruck··on Twitter kills its San Francisco headquarters, will relocate to South Bay
Government using force, whitewashed with a thin veneer of an NGO to cartelize advertisers and censor twitter is not “free speech”.

You pretended to be unaware of the situation then you straight up lie to push the dishonest narrative.

You support censorship.

This site literally bans anyone who defends conservative positions.

There’s nothing more hypocritical than leftists pretending to care about human rights.

I’m not going to indulge pretending otherwise.

You cannot lie your way into moral superiority.

cyphertruck··on Twitter kills its San Francisco headquarters, will relocate to South Bay
Except he is not suing advertisers. The Verge is fake news.

He is suing a literal cartel after their crime was exposed in congress.

cyphertruck··on Twitter kills its San Francisco headquarters, will relocate to South Bay
Active users on the site is setting records pretty regularly, according to Linda. Usability and performance of the site is far higher than before in my experience as well. Revenue is down only due to an illegal cartel boycott, which X has recently filed a lawsuit to resolve.
cyphertruck··on What "consent" looks like for the DEA and TSA
Criminality on the part of government will only tend to increase as legal recourse is denied, until or unless, illegal recourse becomes fashionable.
cyphertruck··on What "consent" looks like for the DEA and TSA
Yes, and every civil asset forfeiture, every traffic stop, is a felony under 18 U.S. Code § 241. Conspiracy against rights - https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/241 or 18 U.S. Code § 242. Deprivation of rights under color of law - https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/242

The problem is that the corruption has built up so much, and so many generations have grown up being "educated" by propaganda on TV like "Law & Order" that they think this is not corruption at all.

But the 4th amendment is clear, they need a warrant. They never get one. And when they do, they are almost all fraudulent/invalid warrants.

But since government is the only one that gets to enforce the laws, it is not a surprise that government tends to let government get away with criminal activity.

cyphertruck··on What "consent" looks like for the DEA and TSA
The "Citizens United" ruling simply said that citizens who pool money to pay for political media do not lose their first amendment rights by doing so in the form of a corporation. (or other entity). In this case it was a group who funded a documentary critical of Hillary Clinton.

That's it.

Citizens United was a fundamentally pro-first amendment, pro-human rights ruling.

I wonder if you can mount a defense of the idea that government has the right to ban people from making videos that criticize political candidates without government approval?

cyphertruck··on Bitcoin and carbon dioxide emissions: Evidence from daily production decisions
There are so many false premises here that it’s not worth listing them.

But if the power in the area is coming from coal then every use of that power is equally coal based.

Hair dryers use more power than bitcoin mining, ban them first.

The attempt to demonize certain uses of power is just the attempt to demonize certain people in order to oppress them.

cyphertruck··on Ask HN: IP cameras that don't require an app or internet?
I have similar needs, but aldo need them to be outdoor/waterproof and PoE capable.

I looked at DIY with Raspberry Pi high quality cameras, but the outdoor requirements mean I really need a manufactured housing. (Camera will be in an area very hard to reach for servicing.)

I wonder if there is any project to hack the generic chinese camera makes and install custom firmware?

cyphertruck··on Feds seized $311M in Bitcoin, then hacker stole it back
Ah the old “violence makes it moral” argument.

The government cannot do those things under the law, but only by violating the laws.

Problem is they have done it so much you think its not only legal, but moral!

Innocent until proven guilty.

cyphertruck··on Feds seized $311M in Bitcoin, then hacker stole it back
Government had bo legal right to the bitcoin. Innocent until proven guilty, means the government stole the bitcoin in a criminal attempt to deny him an adequate defense.

You can’t “steal” your own property.

The government agents involved are all felons under 18 U.S. Code § 241. Conspiracy against rights - https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/241 and 18 U.S. Code § 242. Deprivation of rights under color of law - https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/242

The problem us our country is so corrupt you have forgotten we have a constitution and have probably never heard of the above two statutes.

cyphertruck··on Supply chain issues are killing synth companies
That’s not a bonus, that’s the entire point. Regulations hamstring companies and then deny them the ability to even comply with the regulations because other regulations have hamstrung the supply chain after regulations forced everyone onto vulnerable supply chains in the first place.

So instead of people getting rich by innovating and making other people’s lives better, the people getting rich are the ones taking bribes (“campaign contributions” they get to keep forever) for reducing the impact of those regulations.

cyphertruck··on The Bitcoin Crash Is Taking El Salvador's Big Bet with It
I always find these kinds of articles hilarious. Its fun to go back and look at the ones when bitcoin died at $12k, or $3k, or $1k, or $300, and nobody can forget the terrible drop from $100 to $20!

If your time horizon is a year, bitcoin isn’t for you.

Bitcoin is the hardest money known to man, but not everyone heeds that and there are tradeoffs.

If you look at bitcoins price history, %95 of the time— maybe %99! - it’s down from its all time high.

But buying at the exact peak is even harder than buying at the exact bottom.

But places like vice assume that’s what everyone did.

Or that El Salvador isn’t continuing to buy.

Dollar Cost Averaging is the way to go.

Don’t be expecting bitcoin to hit any particular price target at any point.

I for one just started out buying the equivalent of real actual monetary inflation as a percentage of my net worth. Until my net worth was too high to keep doing that.

El Salvador is booming. Bitcoin is unlocking value in its economy that have nothing to do with sitting in the government treasury.

cyphertruck··on Binance has paused Bitcoin withdrawals “due to a stuck on-chain transaction”
Bitcoin is not stuck. Transaction Fees are a little high, almost $0.60. No telling what’s going on with Binance. They may have been fractionally reserved.
cyphertruck··on Show HN: The Bitcoin Note – Secure, Self-Custodial Bitcoin Wallets in Cash Form
Except apparently you need to be online to send them the info after you cut the note. So its not really cold storage. What if their company shuts down?

You can do cold storage by securing seeds on metal, such as titanium, or any robust material you like.

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