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cwmma

1,957 karma · joined December 30, 2012

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/calvinmetcalf; my proof: https://keybase.io/calvinmetcalf/sigs/hSxsMlXz9xBucNTKe5tE8emSiSLmAVZPmXC-K5Hq2-A ]
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cwmma··on T. Rex Had a Body Temperature of 97°F
If it was environmental then you'd expect it to fluctuate over time, but they also checked it against an animal they knew to be cold blooded, if it was environmental you'd expect them to be the same, but that animal was calculated by the same method to be colder.
cwmma··on Biggest dark matter detector spots a single weird particle
I don't actually think Xenon-124 being radioactive was a surprise. All the publicity related to observing the decay for the first time is phrased around 'hey we observed something that's very rare' not 'hey this thing happened we didn't expect to happen'.

Which seems to point even more towards, scientists have a pretty good handle on which ones are radioactive.

cwmma··on Biggest dark matter detector spots a single weird particle
Probably not, they have a pretty good handle on why atoms decay, to the point they can predict some to be radioactive before it's actually observed to be (like Bismuth-209).

Also even if something is REALLY REALLY long lasting, you can still check for the halflife by observing enough of it, they've been able to rule out proton halflives under 10^34 years (the universe is on the order of 10^10 years old) but by observing enough protons (like say 50,000 tons of water) you would expect at least some to decay.

cwmma··on The hardest working font in Manhattan (2025)
Ironically, most of the metal stuff doesn't survive from antiquary. For instance most statues were in bronze not marble, but since metal can be easily recycled the only metal statues that survived are from ship wrecks.
cwmma··on Kalshi attacks a Wisconsin law banning election bets as 'voter suppression'
A lot of libertarian dogma is based on classic homo economicus 'lets pretend people act perfectly rationally' type theories that just really break down when confronted with how humans actually act.
cwmma··on The only road in London where you have to drive on the right
Iceland did it a year later, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H-dagurinn, but since there was less then 200k people living there it was a much less dramatic change
cwmma··on Latest Airbus single aisle aircraft innovations
Is there a term for a product which is really only really for a minority of it's users?

Air travel seems like this as most airlines and manufacturers seem to bend over backwards for their wealthy and high margin passengers and basically treat economy class as "fine I guess we'll throw the rest of you in the back"

Mobile games seem the apotheosis of this as a lot of games are really about finding whales and any enjoyment anyone else has is really an accidental side effect.

cwmma··on Patreon laying off 20% of staff
They might not have a choice is the problem, there has been a pretty successful campaign to get credit card companies to cut off payments to anyone even remotely connected to this kind of stuff.
cwmma··on OpenNode – Bitcoin Payment Processor
they just lost a case in Europe about being trademarked
cwmma··on Why Are There No Empires in Age of Empires? (2019)
> That makes me curious if military tactics of the time also had regional variation and if the relative strengths of various regions came from their awareness of certain tools being effective. Bringing in a foreign army with its foreign techniques might have been like bringing small pox to a population- they’d have no defense the first time around so if you’re fast you get them all.

I highly recommend...the author's blog for very in depth articles about this subject including

- this one on mounted warrior cultures and how they often dominated https://acoup.blog/2020/02/28/collections-the-fremen-mirage-... - this long series on why the legion ended up dominating the phalanx https://acoup.blog/2024/01/19/collections-phalanxs-twilight-...

cwmma··on New York becomes the first state to impose a data center moratorium
First off business are taxed on profits not revenues, so a money losing business doesn't pay taxes.

Second if there is something that causes undesirable side effects (like a data center) you want to tax that activity specifically so the Corp with 8 data centers pays more then the Corp with 1.

cwmma··on New York becomes the first state to impose a data center moratorium
If you can't tax the outputs you tax the input.

So force then to pay more for electricity or water either through direct taxes or by forcing them to subsidize other users.

cwmma··on Japanese symbols that speak without words
If you write an article about Zabka stores and what's unique and interesting about them I'll probably read it.
cwmma··on AI Engineer Claims to Have Cracked Linear A
Surprisingly this comes up more then you'd think, for instance in Ancient Rome, tomorrow is two days away so all the dates are off by one from what you'd think it was. They mainly count down and it goes, 5, 4, 3, day before, day.
cwmma··on AI Engineer Claims to Have Cracked Linear A
Isn't a big problem with Linear A that there are so few symbols you can "solve" it relatively straightforwardly with no way to tell if you it's correct or not?
cwmma··on Show HN: Voice Age Verification
What do you consider the appropriate false negative/fall positive rate for voices of people aged 16-20? Since you don't give a confidence rating to the determination it's on the service to figure out what it's comfortable with.
cwmma··on Map Clustering Is Not My Favorite
As somebody who makes maps for a living, I think clusters are overrated (I have had, on multiple occasions, had to talk people out of it). The leaflet extension that gives you a preview of the area covered by the cluster and allows you to click to zoom to the extent of cluster I do feel is a good setup for situations where just putting all the dots down isn't going to give you good information. That being said doesn't work great on mobile.

Also pour one out to google fusion tables which back in the day was the amazing way to get tons of dots onto a map.

cwmma··on Show HN: Voice Age Verification
post puberty boys have absolutely have overlap with over 18 adults, if for no other reason then kids can go through puberty at different ages, so some 18 years olds have voices that are just dropping while others have had their voice drop for 6+ years.

You aren't going to be able to find a set of signatures that keeps out a useful number of <18s that doesn't also flag >18s

cwmma··on Show HN: Voice Age Verification
I (41 man with very deep voice) told it in a higher then normal voice that I was a kid, and it said I was under 18. I suspect if I was a kid that used a deep voice to say that I was an adult it would also fool it.

No offense but this is probably worthless is an adversarial environment.

cwmma··on US-Canada border library gets new Quebec-only entrance
It depends on the year, sometimes it's actually visa overstays.
cwmma··on Artificial intelligence is not conscious – Ted Chiang
Probably not, we're nowhere near the complexity of the human brain yet, there are also quantization limits to the human brain (i.e. molecules, quantum physics, etc) so to characterize them as having infinite detail is probably a bad modal.

If I'm going to be honest most of the people who advocate this type of thing tend to be, shall we say, crypto-duelists who really believe in a soul but not like intellectually but intuitively and keep trying to come up with excuse with it's not just meat. So like you can find philosophers advocating stuff like this but they tend to have a bit of an agenda.

cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
besides zoning laws, the judge fairly explicitly states that one of the reasons he thinks it's fine is because corporations aren't doing these kinds of shenanigans, so if you were to do something like that he might revise the ruling.
cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
I find myself defending this shitty ruling (which I honestly think is bad, but bad for completely other reasons) the ruling basically says, since corporations are not using this to dilute the vote it's fine, which basically means in other words, if corporations where to do the shenanigans you're suggesting, the judge is open to revising the ruling.
cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
yeah so it sounds like if you did this IN THIS TOWN and didn't also live in the town you'd get a vote. I'm not sure if you'd get a vote if you owned the land directly but for all I know you might.
cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
I don't think this is a good opinion or anything, but issues with vote dilution were expressly addressed in the opinion.
cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
It's specifically about corporations that own property in a specific town voting. So no you can't just spin up a bunch of LLCs to rig an election, this is about the rights of absentee landlords.
cwmma··on Corporations can vote in some Delaware elections, judge says
It sounds like you it's only corporations that own property in the town that get to vote. So that's probably whats preventing you.
cwmma··on We are Poles, so, of course, we print in Latin
There is a specific medial jargon developed form latin designed to be unambiguous and often intentionally different from lay words is one thing you're hearing in American tv, the other is that many technical words are English words but of latin origin.
cwmma··on Spain blocks prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi over lack of gambling licence
no they have a securities license. Also while a lot of stuff in stock markets are gambling like, the stock market is a positive sum game where very basic techniques (e.g. index investing) have positive expected values.

The buyers and sellers are not the only ones there, there is also the companies injecting money into it via dividends and stock buy backs, I can be a winner on the stock market without there having to be a loser.

cwmma··on Elon Musk has lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI
In the American system juries figure out questions of fact and judges figure out questions of law.

In this case I guess the question was 'when did the incident actually happen' with Elon arguing it was later then Altman.

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