1,519 karma · joined May 13, 2016
Awesome!
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My intuition leads me to believe that these are arising properties/characteristics of complex and large prediction engines. A sufficiently good prediction/optimization engine can act in an agentic way, while never had that explicit goal.
I recently read this very interesting piece that dives into this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kpPnReyBC54KESiSn/optimality...
Insane to me that they use this as a measure of innovation, when almost by definition it is the antithesis of innovation.
Feels incredible to be living in a time with such neck breaking innovations. What are chances we’ll have a <100B parameter GPT4/Claude Opus model in the next 5 years?
cries in C/C++
Unless if you're on Ozempic until you literally dry out every single fat reserve in your body and your brain has to resort to breaking down the myelin sheaths (something that can happen in ultra long distance running, hence why hallucinations sometimes happen on 100+ mile runes), then the GLP1-RAs wouldn't be able to force the body to break down the fat in the brain.
To the best of my knowledge, GLP-1's have 0 direct impact on brain fat metabolism or myelin sheath breakdown.
Side note, GLP1 based therapies are being investigated for improving brain health and potentially helping prevent the development of neurodegenerative illnesses, potentially because of an anti inflammatory feedback mechanism it activates when its able to reach tissues outside the gut. (natural GLP1 is usually broken down ~5 min in the body after release)
- Blood stem cells are removed from the patient and the CRISPR Cas9 protein outside of the body is injected to cut the gene responsible for suppressing fetal hemoglobin production (even people with sickle cell have healthy fetal hemoglobin, their adult hemoglobin gene is what causes the deformed red blood cells)
- Chemotherapy is used to kill all living bone marrow and remove all previous unedited stem cells.
- New edited stem cells are inserted, and patient recovers with new blood production being of healthy red blood cells.
I'd say a huge step forward was FDA and EMA approval, but figuring out a way to remove previous unedited stem cells with chemotherapy would be a step change in the patient experience.
Whether or not you think the "value" of AI products is proportional to their performance gap vs the next closest thing or not is up to you. Very interesting PG essay I read recently talks about the opposite of this (Superlinear returns) where if you're half as good as the next competitor, you don't get half the customers, you get 0.
Good hardware, good software support, and market is starving for performant competitors to the H100s (and soon B100s). Would sell like hotcakes.
Then use that near free energy to desalinate whatever we need. Hell, we could regreen the Sahara and Gobi desert while we're at it too.