Nature retracts paper that claimed adult stem cell could become any type of cell
retractionwatch.com
retractionwatch.com
To come back to the malicious part, for many researchers, not publishing the exact way they do things is part of how they protect themselves from people reproducing their work. Some do it for money (they want to start a business from that research), others to avoid competition, others because they believe they own the publicly funded research...
Very often, the thing you are trying to reproduce isn't exactly the same that was published. You have to adapt the instructions to your specific case, which can easily go wrong. Or maybe you did a mistake in following the instructions. Or maybe you mixed the instructions for two different cases, because you didn't fully understand the subtleties of the topic. Or maybe you made a mistake in translating the provided scripts to your institute's computational environment.
That means there are important validation/verification steps left out of the whole process. Sure, it's impossible to give every detail, and naturally there's always a time constraint, but if there's a hypothesis of action it needs to be verified. (Again easier said than done.)
For my masters' research I spent 6 years refining a super niche technique until I was able to reproduce my own work.
This is how we write pen testing reports at work. A pen testing report written that way ~20 years ago is one of the things that got me interested in pen testing. But I apply it to all of my technical writing.
If lack of reproducibility in science is as big a problem as it seems to be, maybe journals should impose a randomized "buddy system" where getting a paper published is conditional on agreeing to repeat at least 2-3 other experiments performed by peers. Have 3 peer researchers/labs repeat the work. If at least 2/3 are successful, publish the paper. If not, the original researchers can revise their instructions once or twice to account for things the peers did differently because the original instructions didn't discuss them.
Hopefully needing to depend on the other organizations for future peer review would be sufficient to keel everyone honest, but maybe throw in a secret "we know this is reproducible" and a secret "we know this is not reproducible" set of instructions every once in awhile and ban organizations from the journal if they fail more than a few of those.
For corner cases that require something truly impractical for even a peer to reproduce independently ("our equipment included the Large Hadron Collider and a neutral particle beam cannon in geosynchronous orbit"), the researchers that want to publish can supervise the peers as the peers reproduce the work using the original equipment.
This would obviously be costly up front, but I think it would be less costly in the big picture than thousands of scientists basing decades of research on a single inaccurate paper.
I also think that forcing different teams to work together might help build a collaborative culture instead of the hostile one that's described elsewhere in this discussion, but maybe I'm overly optimistic.
That already happened in CS, which inherited slow and thorough journals from mathematics. Because peer review was taking too long, people elevated abstracts in conference proceedings to the status of papers. The idea was that you submitted an extended abstract to a conference with limited peer review. After receiving feedback, you would write the actual paper and submit it to a journal for proper peer review. But because the work was already published in conference proceedings, people often didn't bother with the full paper.
In some countries, administrators resisted this and only considered journal papers real publications. Those administrators were universally reviled by the CS community. Over time, most of them budged and started accepting conference papers as merits. And so CS became a field with lower than average standards for peer review.
Maybe we could have something like that, where the vigilance department receives a small amount of money paid off from the penalty imposed on the researcher with bad/fraudulent research.
They're incredibly empowered to conduct raids and seize property and other belongings, if it comes down to that and the sum involved is large enough.
But only if that sum involved is not large enough for the owner to afford proper defense lawyers
https://www.irs.gov/about-irs/whistleblower-office-at-a-glan...
The second one is a little less relevant for published research, although it could take a different form when implemented in Academia.
People generally don't want to do the work of editing and publishing, or lack the academic knowhow to do it. But if that is not an issue, I don't think money will be an issue either.
Here's their motivation in a Nature letter to the editor: https://media.nature.com/original/magazine-assets/d41586-020...
Nature, as well as other top journals, do not publish results that report already published findings. Replication Studies would be the exception. These would provide independent validation of a recent prominent article.
People would think twice before misrepresenting findings in top journals, and good ideas would spread out more quickly.
That assessment does not match up with what any practicing scientist thinks is even within the realm of possibility for harm to science.
Reading these conversations is like listening to C-suite execs at big companies talk about what employees are getting away with via work at home policies.
Yes and yes. I'm 6 years past defending my PhD and I have low confidence in being able to reproduce results from papers in my field (computational biophysics).
I was recently at an industry-heavy biophysics conference that ran a speed dating event, and my conversation starter was "what fraction of papers in our field do you trust?". I probably talked to ~20 people, with a median response of ~25%.
Even a tiny amount invested in reproduction studies and accountability would go a long way. Most papers in _computational_ biophysics still don't publish usable code and data.
If this happens before founders/early investors aren't the ones left without a chair when the music stops, it doesn't matter
See: Theranos.
Typically, most companies are answerable to the investors and shareholders. Customers usually don't figure in the equation.
And I am intimately familiar with what researchers “get away with’ while ‘working at home’. As a researcher who tried to reproduce several research papers only to discover the original scientists were wildly exaggerating their claims or cleverly disguising fundamental shortcomings, I can assure the cost is quite high to the scientific community, well in excess of 25% of the annual $48B NIH budget.
I hold a healthy disdain for my fellow scientists. The only way to get them to play by the rules in my view is to have a threat of a research audit hanging over them.
For example, the NIH could identify the top findings from 2024 that need to be reproduced, and seek expressions of interest to reproduce these and/or other important findings identified by applicants. Perhaps, also reach an agreement with top journals to publish replications as a new article type, and link them to the original one, just like they do with comments/news & views.
It would instantly make those publishing super edgy findings much more careful, just in case, and things would become more efficient.
Currently, academic publications are in a bit of market for lemons situation [1], where the seller (authors) have much more information than the buyers (readers, funders).
Time to change that.
wdym? You're on the happy path when reproducing, the cost of the original study includes all the failed attempts.
So, yes, the current situation can safely be assumed to pose at least a 25% cost on science. And "productivity" is the wrong term here. The harm of fraudulent/bad science runs much deeper than productivity
However, it did not have methods, it didn't say how they were not reproducible, as in a figure or an effect etc.
The closest thing to a definition of "reproducible" was a footnote on a table defining it as "sufficient to drive a drug development program," which is not at all the same thing as reproducible.
Which is to say, I'm skeptical of these anecdotes.
And if you've only ever encountered a single opinion piece on the reproducibility problem in biology/pre-clinical research, then I highly recommend you do a targeted keyword search.
> then I highly recommend you do a targeted keyword search.
There's no reason to be insulting, especially when linking to well known studies.
"I replicated X's work" or even "I was unable to replicate X's work" isn't exactly a career maker
Although I guess you could get the few staff scientists at the NIH to handle it.
Some older professors who already have tenure might be willing to help out, if they don't already have much else on their plate
Not necessarily published as part of the paper, a link to the separate document is fine.
I think it would be better if there were incentives that rewarded quality over quantity. At the moment, my university always says that quality is of the utmost importance, but then threatens to terminate my job if I cannot publish x number of papers in a given year.
From an economic perspective, is this a very desirable situation?
If the research isn't documented well enough to reproduce/verify, then the paper shouldn't pass review in the first place. The NIH could make it a condition of funding that papers are detailed enough to be reproducible.
I am not saying that all this is a desirable situation. It is very unfortunate, and I wish there was an easy solution. My first research paper took 5 major revisions and 6 years to get through peer review. All the reviewers criticized was the wording and my unwillingness to conform to the accepted views in that particular community; I almost lost my job over this, but once the paper was accepted, it won several awards. All of this leads me to believe that peer review is very subjective and prone to error, and I don't have a solution for that.
Given the quality of the social science papers I've read this seems like it would be a good thing IFF the 98% cut were the bottom 98%.
I suspect a lot of "hard" science papers would be caught as well so it's a necessary quality control method
Most research is useless and pointless, with only a few exceptions. We don't have a way to figure out which topics are the exceptions, so someone has to do the research. It's not worth it (or rather: extremely high financial risk) for companies or individuals to do it, so governments gave to fund it.
At this point, the current amount of fraud does not justify replicating even 1% of studies. We would get less scientific advancement in total. The current situation likely does justify some small investments in shaping incentives.
The problem is that it's hard to reliably capture value from research. A good example is LLM's. If OpenAI, Google, Meta and AWS had been able to build a wall round GTP3.5 Turbo and above models then I expect that they could have captured all the value of the research effort.. as it is I don't think that is/will be the case - it's almost too easy to replicate as Mistral have shown. Note: I'm not saying it's trivial or something, but if you spend a few $million on it you can get close enough, and then spending a few $million more will get you all the way. Also, I am not talking about building a frontier model today (which requires $100millon or so and some difficult skills/organisation) but rather a model in say 3 years time with the frontier performance of todays models.
One would hope that if some work really did materially depend on a bogus paper, then they would discover the error sooner rather than later.
I don't think "number of citations" typically make this distinction?
Also for some papers the citation doesn't really matter, and you can exclude the entire thing without really affecting the paper.
Regardless, this seems like a nice idea on the face of it, but practically I foresee a lot of potential problems if done "non-negotiably".
Maybe negative citations could be categorized separately by the authors and not count towards the cited paper's citation count and be ignored for cascading citations.
If the citation doesn't materially affect the paper, the author can re-publish it with that removed.
This paper is 22 years old. Some authors have retired. Some are dead.
I really think that at the very least it needs a quick sniff test. Which is boring uninteresting work and with 4,500 citations that will take some effort, but that's why we pay the journals big bucks. Otherwise it's just going to be the academic variant of the Scunthorpe problem.
And/or do something more fine-grained than a binary retraction, such as adding in a clear warning that a citation was retracted and telling readers to double-check that citation specifically.
So now if you want to cite come paper you have to decide which papers you'd die and live with, and consequently your paper prestige will be dependent on how many other papers want to die and live with yours.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nofollow
although the incentives will be more confusing.
There's an argument to be made that citing something to disagree with it should increase its prestige but not its credibility (to the extent that those can be separated): you're agreeing that it's important.
The idea of punishing third parties for a citation is weird. If I quote somebody who lied, I'm at fault? Seriously?
No, absolutely not, that's pure fallacy.
There might be some small subset of citations that work like a mathematical proof, but how many of these 4500 citations could you find that operate that way?
And even then, you're just weakening the result, not throwing it out entirely: instead of a proof of X that cites a proof of Y, you have a proof that Y implies X.
If you cite something that turns out to be garbage, I'd imagine the procedure would be to remove the citation and to remove anything in the paper that depends on it, and to resubmit. If your paper falls apart without it, then it should be binned.
Science papers are novel contributions of data, and sometimes of purely computational methods. A data paper will stand on its own. A method paper will usually (or at least should) operate across multiple data sets to compare performance, or if only on a single dataset it's gonna to be a very well tested dataset.
If MNist turns out to be retracted, would we have to remove all the papers that used it over their years? That's about as deep as a citation can get into being fundamental and integral to a paper. And even in that case nearly any paper operating in that dataset will also be using other datasets. Sure, ignore a paper that only evaluates on a single retracted dataset, but why even bother retracting, as the paper would be ignored anyway, because what significant paper would use a single benchmark?
But 99.9% of citations have less bearing on a paper than being a fundamental dataset used to evaluate the claims in the paper. And those citations are inherently well-tested work product already.
So if people actually care about science, they would never even propose such a scheme. They would bother to at least understand what a citation was first.
Imagine you're reading a research paper, and each citation of a retracted paper has a bright red indicator.
Cites of papers that cite retracted papers get orange. Higher degrees of separation might get Yellow.
Would that, plus recalculating the citation graph points system, implement the "cascading deletes" you had in mind?
It could be trivial feature of hypertext, like we arguably should be using already. (Or one could even kludge it into viewers for the anachronistic PDF.)
I think a better method would be for someone to look over each paper that cites a retracted paper, see which parts of it depend on the retracted data, and cut and/or modify those parts (perhaps highlight in red) to show they were invalidated. Then if there’s a lot of or particularly important cut or modified parts, do this for the papers that cite the modified paper, and so on.
This may also be tedious. But you can have people who aren’t the original authors do it (ideally people who like to look for retracted data), and you can pay them full-time for it. Then the researchers who work full-time reading papers and writing new ones can dedicate much less their time questioning the legitimacy of what they read and amending what they’ve written long ago.
Of course, some papers pretty much have to be cited, because they're obviously very relevant, and you just have to risk an annoying red mark appearing in your paper if that mandatory citation is ever retracted.
But citations that are more discretionary or political, in some subfields (e.g., you know someone from that PI's lab is going to be a reviewer), if you think their pettiness might be matched by the sloppiness/sketchiness of their work, then maybe you don't give them that citation, after all.
If this means everyone in a field has incentive for citations to become lower-risk for this embarrassing taint, then maybe that field starts taking misconduct and reviewing more seriously.
I wonder if you could assign a citation tree score to each first-level citation.
For example, I cite papers A,B,C,D. Paper A cites papers 1,2,3,4. Paper 1 cites a retracted paper, plus 3 good ones.
We could say "Paper 1" was 0.75, or 75% 'truthy'. "Paper A" would be 3x good + 1x 075% = 3.75/4 = 93.7% truthy, and so on.
Basically, the deeper in the tree that the retracted paper is, the less impact it propagates forth.
Maybe you could multiply each citation by it's impact factor at the top level paper.
At the top level, you'd see:
Paper A = 93.7% truthy, impact factor 100 -> 93.7 / 100 pts
Paper B = 100% truthy, IPF 10 -> 10/10 pts
Paper C = 3/4 pts
Paper D = 1/1 pts
Total = 107 / 115 pts = 93% truthy citation list
If a paper has an outsized impact factor, it gets weighted more heavily, since presumably the community has put more stock in it.
How many papers entirely depend on the accuracy of one cited experiment (even if the experiment is replicated)?
If an experiment or analysis is reliant on the correctness of a retracted paper, then shouldn't it need to be redone? In principle this seems reasonable to me—is there something I'm missing?
EDIT: Maybe I misunderstood... is your point that the criterion of "cites a retracted paper" is too vague on its own to warrant redoing all downstream experiments?
I think, personally, it's unrealistic to expect every researcher who mentions anything that has an electron in it (aka most things) to need to recreate the double slit experiment. Or, to harvest the stem cells themselves instead of buying them from trusted suppliers. Yes I do as I type this out see more that if more re-experimenting was done it would help detect fraud. But crucially, it really doesn't matter what an electron is to people determining that stems cells are in humans. The "non-negotiably" is what worries me. There should be some negotiation to say "hey your paper uses this debunked article. You have x days to find another, proven paper that supports the argument, or remove the argument entirely, or we'll retract your paper as well." I think that's valid. Especially since the fraud here wouldn't be impacting the author using the bad paper (most of the time, I would imagine) but rather the ones writing the paper. I would hesitate to believe that people faking such crucial, potentially lifesaving research care that some nobody they'll never meet might be upset their paper doesn't make it.
I think really what I'd like to see instead is more checking done at the peer review stage. To me that's the whole point of the journal. I'm biased on this having been rejected during the peer review stage and disliking how expensive journal articles can get, but at the end of the day, that's the point of them. They should be doing everything in their power to ensure that the research is accurate. And if we can't trust that, what's the point to the journals at all? May as well just go on blogs or something.
>Therefore, MSC-based bone regeneration is considered an optimal approach [53]. [0]
>MSC-subtypes were originally considered to contain pluripotent developmental capabilities (79,80). [1]
Both these examples give a single passing mention of the article. It makes no sense for thousands of researchers to go out and remove these citations. Realisticly you can't expect people to perform every experiment they read before they cite it. Meanwhile there has been a lot of development in this field despite the retracted paper.
[0] https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4409/8/8/886
[1] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.3402/jev.v4.30087
Now, it's possible that in a particular case, paper B assumes the correctness of a result in paper A and depends on it. But that isn't going to be the case with most references.
1- "The errors the authors corrected “do not alter the conclusions of the Article,” they wrote in the notice."
2- "the Blood paper contained falsified images, but Verfaillie was not responsible for the manipulations. Blood retracted the article in 2009 at the request of the authors. "
3- "The university found “no breach of research integrity in the publications investigated.” "
4- "The notice mentions two image duplications Bik wrote about on PubPeer. Because the authors could not retrieve the original images, it states:
the Editors no longer have confidence that the conclusion that multipotent adult progenitor cells (MAPCs) engraft in the bone marrow is supported.
Given the concerns above the Editors no longer have confidence in the reliability of the data reported in this article."This is so common. Why aren't there more legal outcomes around this like
(I agree... fraud is fraud, and should be handled with criminal law)
I've heard stories from others, such as when a fabrication was known to students in a lab, and of some playing along with it anyway.
We routinely hear on HN of fabrications discovered in journal publications.
Exactly how bad is the problem? What's the prevalence, scale, and impact?
What are the causes, and how does society address the problem?
In some fields more than half of the research is somehow not reproducible. Some is attributed to fraud, some incompetence. As a whole it makes science produced by these fields worse than a coin flip. Psychology is by far the worst culprit.
We're at an inflection point in history where the scientific method dictates we shouldn't trust many fields that use the title "science".
Publish or perish. You can't publish if your results aren't good.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shinya_Yamanaka#Yamanaka's_Nob...
[1] https://mathoverflow.net/questions/272028/hilberts-alleged-p...
Retractions are primarily associated with wrongdoing, but are sometimes also issued for "honest mistakes". If so it's typically with a very clear explanation, like in the link below.
https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/an...
NOTE: I DON'T FOLLOW THIS WORK CLOSELY: I am not sure that there are any successful programs using pluripotent somatic (adult) stem cells, if they even really exist, though there's lot of successful work with differentiated stem cells. So I think there's an unstated subtext as you surmise.
This paper was very important and eagerly received because the GW Bush administration had banned federal funding for research using foetal stem cells as a sop to the religious right (all that work moved to sg and cn, and continued in Europe).
- The overall retraction rate is 4 in 10,000.
- Most researchers go their entire career without a retraction
- She now has 4.
We need more reproduction. Or have some rule: Check all assumptions. Yes, it's a lot of work, but man will it save a lot of fake stuff from getting out there and causing a lot of useless work.
It seems like you're implying she's written exceptionally shoddy papers.
But on the other hand she could also just be exceptionally honest -- one of the very few researchers to retract papers later on when they realize they weren't accurate, as opposed to the 99+% of researchers that wouldn't bother.
Also I would imagine that retraction rates might vary tremendously among fields and subfields. Imagine if a whole subfield had all its results based on a scientific technique believed to be accurate, and then the technique was discovered to be flawed? But the retractions wouldn't have anything to do with honesty or quality of the researchers.
So I'm gonna need more context here.
Why don't you explicitly state which you think it is?
There could be a mistake the authors made which led to a wrong interpretation. Like, someone might write another article commenting on that mistake and wrong conclusions. But that wouldn’t be a reason for retraction. Something should be incredibly wrong for authors or journal to do that. Retractions due to fraud are much more common.
Fraudulent/doctored images don't fall in to the incompetence/mistake category though.
Some types of mistakes/incompetence: improperly applied statistics, poor experiment design, faulty logic, mistakes in data collection.
My advisor was very chill about it. He said that retractions aren't a big deal and was glad I spotted the issue sooner rather than later.
I corrected the experimental methodology and while the results weren't quite as good, they were still quite good and I got published with the correct results.
I disagree. Your new results were much better, because they were sound.
Very well done.
In that case, the retraction isn't didn't really get any publicity, and I'm actually proud of them for doing it, as many people wouldn't bother.
However, in practice I would say the majority of retractions are for wrongdoing on the part of the authors.
I wish, particularly in the case of the modern internet, that it was easier for authors to attach extras to old papers -- I have old papers where I would like to say "there is a typo in Table 2.3", and most journals have basically no way of doing this. I'm not retracting the paper over that of course! This is one advantage of arXiv, you can upload small fixes.
Maybe I just don't understand biology, but there seems to be something up here.
(note I wrote "should", not "will")
I find this vaguely reminiscent of Hollywood's casting couches.
If I had a nickel for every time I've heard that.
The problem is even more pronounced with more and more specialized and expensive equipment required for doing certain experiments.
It's trivially obvious that some kinds of stem cell can become any type of cell, given that we all had our beginnings as a single cell.
It’s not that obvious, as the brain grows, certain kind of cells die off and never come back. For example at 4-5 years of age being able to speak different phonenes is lost due to mass die off of a certain type of brain cell.
Could be the same for the pair of cells that start a human life. Once their purpose is served they may never exist again.
I'm not sure what difference that would make. Those brain cells (and all the other brain cells that don't die off) were still formed by successive divisions of the single cell that resulted from sperm meeting egg. Therefore, that original cell is capable of producing any cell type found in the body.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Critical_period_hypothesis
Say you were a software engineer who was paid by how often you shipped code with a nice title but you didn't have to give people the binaries so noone ever ran them. That is, the difference between nice documentation about code that never quite existed and scruffy documentation about code that does really useful things is you get money for the first and fired for the second.
Academia isn't quite that extreme but it does have incentives pointed in that direction.
It's pretty popular on HN too: https://news.ycombinator.com/from?site=retractionwatch.com