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claydavisss

119 karma · joined June 22, 2018

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claydavisss··on Facebook Indefinitely Suspends Trump
If you think Trump and/or his army treats this as a defeat, think again. Once Biden is in office, social media companies will become rubber stamps for the establishment or be faced with breakup. You wanted one-party rule...you're going to get it.
claydavisss··on Pentagon Puts F-35 Full-Rate Production Decision on Hold
600 have already been delivered. Covid caused a disruption in final certification, that's it. The F35 isn't being cancelled, although I predict most comments here will devolve into a debate of the plane's merits. The US and many allies are committed, the US will eventually own thousands.
claydavisss··on Average Rent in San Francisco Has Dropped $1k This Year
Increasingly, single family detached homes in the interior of SF are owned by the very wealthy who can remain in the city to shape policy over the long term, while renters come and go. So don't expect anyone at City Hall to swing a wrecking ball in the direction of Pac Heights.

The problem has solved itself already - the US is big and empty. There is little reason to stack people twenty stories high in a Zoom economy. So much talk here of policy changes, LVT etc etc...just freaking move!! That's a very trite response but it also is the best one. If anything, the pandemic has taken a wrecking ball to the entire thesis of New Urbanism and dense development...many Bay Area residents have already figured it out, don't be the last to get the memo.

claydavisss··on Ask HN: Facebook engineers, what keeps you at Facebook?
Oh come on, HN. Plenty of people love using Facebook. Despite what you might think, it isn't a giant global Nuremburg Rally.

I don't personally have an account but everyone in my family does and their feeds are dominated by entirely benign family photo sharing.

claydavisss··on Show HN: Discover $ monthly revenue of OnlyFans models
ugh, no programmer is making $700k a MONTH from programming alone
claydavisss··on Oracle Moving HQ to Austin
HN really needs an AMA on this so people stop repeating these false claims
claydavisss··on Elon Musk moves to Texas
Times change. At least in Austin (where most of the tech people go), the prevailing political viewpoints are pure coastal-envy liberal
claydavisss··on Why is the Google Cloud UI so slow?
The UI is the primary management interface, log search interface, and in certain cases, analytics interface.
claydavisss··on Expanding Fuchsia's open source model
an OS Google can control. Open source just like Go is open source - you are free to download and use it, but Google controls it.
claydavisss··on AirPods Max
The grinding sound is the pump trying to evacuate water. Your outbound filter is clogged. Look to the bottom left of the front of the unit, open the little door. Watch some Youtube videos on how to clean it. Agree with others that Samsung appliances aren't great, but if you inherited them like I did, you might as well learn the simple fixes.
claydavisss··on Edward the Confessor, a model of piety, was a surprisingly effective ruler
I think you'll be interested in Simon De Montfort, although not technically a king. His image is enshrined on the ceiling at the Capitol in Washington
claydavisss··on Tech’s flight from San Francisco is a relief to some advocates
For 98% of Californians, "muh fifth largest economy" has actually been a profound net-negative. I'm amazed people who pay $3k/month to rent to one-bedroom apt still trot this out as a brag point. "Fifth largest economy" has worked out well for the 1%, people who bought homes forever ago, and really no one else.
claydavisss··on They Thought They Were Free: The Germans, 1933-45 (1955)
A Jew sat down with Nazis to see what made them tick. This book could not be written in 2020.
claydavisss··on Exodus of Silicon Valley
owning your home > promotion
claydavisss··on Perl One-Liners Cookbook
There are "real" companies using Perl presently...Booking and DuckDuckGo and others. Looking at Redmonk, Tiobe, other surveys...Perl isn't at the top of the heap by any measure but it also stubbornly refuses to die. I write Perl every day and frankly don't care if people think it is "dead", and even I am surprised at how prominent it figures in language surveys, still.

Most of the key libraries I use are updated regularly. Perl itself is under active development with regular releases.

claydavisss··on Central Bank Digital Currencies are coming
The Fed Digital Dollar will be a purchasing instrument that exists only in an app or website. They will be added and subtracted as the government sees fit. If, for example, the government should want to spike consumer spending, they need only tell you that your account will have a maximum value of $100 as of midnight. Either spend the rest or it will be deleted.

Show up at a political rally for a group that is currently out of favor, your balance is deleted. Break the speed limit and your balance is deleted. Be home by 10pm or your balance is deleted. Pledge 10% of your balance to the poltical party currently in power and you can buy yourself forgiveness on your next potential balance deletion.

Buy gold.

claydavisss··on Central Bank Digital Currencies are coming
A "ban" on gold would only achieve multiplying the spot price by ten overnight. It would be the final signal that fiat currencies should be avoided at all costs.
claydavisss··on California Is Built to Burn
In Los Gatos, some homeowners were denied a few years back and Senator Feinsteinn threw a fit, so the insurance cos relented.
claydavisss··on California Is Built to Burn
Almaden has been there since the 1800s. Lexington wasn't always just a reservoir, it was also once a town, going back to the 1800s as well. Hard to call them "irresponsible", they predate California urbanization.
claydavisss··on Regal and Cineworld reportedly closing all theaters in US and UK next week
It has to be torture for theaters now. Basically zero revenue for months while all of the bills and debts accumulate. Studios are quietly walking away through endless delays. Everyone will make less money in the future...home streamers don't pay per-seat
claydavisss··on Regal and Cineworld reportedly closing all theaters in US and UK next week
At worst, Cineworld pays a penalty for breach of contract, but that will be another debt collected in bankruptcy.
claydavisss··on Google's Pixel 5 Event
I predict the Pixel 5 will be the last phone Google markets. They failed to take the high end and retreated. Now they seem to be back focusing on the mid-range with a phone that has awful specs...you'd be better off buying a used S20. Its amazing that Google can't even capture meaningful market share in a segment they created.
claydavisss··on The Coinbase post was 100% right. Here's what you can do about it
Why can't people just start their own profit/non-profit organizations that codify their social and policy goals? Why are activists relying on capitalists to create the organizations they participate in?
claydavisss··on Social Cooling (2017)
Most of you only really believe in free speech (or any other exercise of power) when it conforms to, or reinforces your worldview.
claydavisss··on Cities Experiment with Remedy for Poverty: Cash, No Strings Attached
Aaaaand this is why I buy gold. Eventually your USD will be toilet paper. None of these stimulus measures is being funded by real economic growth, its just "printed". In the end the poor will have as many dollars as they want...problem is, no one will want to accept them.
claydavisss··on Central Banking for All: A Public Option for Bank Accounts (2018) [pdf]
A Fed-sponsored digital currency is probably already on its way...as the "fourth branch" of government, this may be as close as you ever get to "public banking".

The public will soon learn that public banking means your personal account is a policy instrument. Need to stimulate the economy? Just tell everyone that no accounts will be permitted to have a balance over $2k by Friday at midnight. Either spend the rest or lose it, up to you.

Or maybe you owe child support. Or maybe you haven't paid a parking ticket. Or maybe you attended a "riot". All of which may be "legal" reasons to deduct funds. Its all digital so you can't stop it. The possibilities are endless.

I suppose the upside is it will require a phone, so you'll get a free burner Android phone if you want one.

claydavisss··on The K-shaped recovery
California is now at parity

https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/California-no-l...

claydavisss··on Apple CEO Impressed by Remote Work, Sees Permanent Changes
And yet most Bay Area techies continue to discuss these trends as something that could happen but probably won't

The train left the station years ago, Google seems to be the only company doubling-down on Commercial Real Estate in the Bay Area and they will surely also soon start to backpedal...what demand is there for their San Jose megacampus? This in addition to buying up old Cisco properties, Moffett Field, other new construction, and now the proposal of yet-another "company town" in Mountain View? Someone needs to have a talk with whoever there thinks Commercial Real Estate is a good hedge in 2020.

claydavisss··on Work is changing profoundly and NYC will not be able to adapt
High COL regions continue to lean on marquee companies and the supposed geographic affinities. The trend of companies fleeing to cheaper locales isn't theoretical, its decades-old already and merely being highlighted and accelerated. The myopia of Bay Area techies is even worse, they don't understand how far along this trend already is.

Both California and NY suffer from fiscal mismanagement and large looming retirement crises and other costs. Why stick around to fund the inevitable tax increases if you don't have to? Both states will attempt and fail to establish something like an exit tax. Cities and counties can go bankrupt. The Federal government has a printing press. States have neither option.

California may be in even worse shape than NY - it is going to get progressively more expensive to recover from fires. Why pay the bill? Just move away. If you stay, you run the risk of having your financial independence taxed away and then you can't move.

claydavisss··on Zoom towns and the new housing market for the two Americas
For almost all of human history, people have "worked from home". The workplace as a distinct separate space from the home is only about a couple of centuries old.
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