Apple CEO Impressed by Remote Work, Sees Permanent Changes
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
What I can assure you is that with ~$200bn in the bank account, this a drop in the bucket, and has not affected any remote work decision.
It was also built to draw in new talent, but in a pandemic it's probably not the attractor they hoped it would be. I doubt Cook is losing sleep over it, but the pandemic definitely messed with his long term plans (like most everyone else, of course).
Was it? I mean, clearly Apple needed more office space while they're ramping up hiring, but do potential employees really care about that building?
Some funny bits from Wikipedia
> The use of special wood as a construction material was reported to be the subject of a 30-page guideline.
> The design of door handles was reported to be the subject of a one and a half year debate, involving several revisions before the Apple management gave its approval.
No they didn't, and that's the problem. It's not a "straw argument".
Cook, in an interview, said something that included both a pro-remote statement and a pro-office statement. The AppleInsider article included both of these statements. Bloomberg, OTOH, only included the pro-remote statement in their article.
It's lying by omission.
> Cook said 10% to 15% of Apple employees have gone back to the office and he hopes the majority of staff can return to the company’s new campus in Silicon Valley sometime next year. The CEO said he goes into the office at different points during the week and he noted that remote work is “not like being together physically.” Working in the office sparks creativity such as during impromptu meetings, he added.
Overall it's a balanced article that shows Cook both acknowledging WFH benefits and reiterating the perceived advantages of the office.
Seems to me that Tim Cook is pro office, while appreciating the alternative approach where possible
Meanwhile, Apple has one of the world's best 3D office spaces for experiencing and designing the future of augmented-reality workspaces. Would Apple spend years of R&D on ultra-precise location sensing (Ultra Wideband, WiFi6) and 3D-imaging (Lidar, FaceID) to surrender the future of digital workspaces to VR and Zoom?
Both articles, despite your insinutation of different narratives, contain the same quote "I don't believe that we'll return to the way we were, because we found that there are some things that actually work really well virtually,"
The actual quote is:
>"In all candor, it's not like being together physically, and so I can't wait for everybody to be able to come back into the office. I don't believe that we'll return to the way we were, because we found that there are some things that actually work really well virtually," Cook said. "But things like creativity and the serendipity that you talk about, these things, you depend on people kind of running into each other over the course of a day. We have designed our entire office such that there are common areas where people congregate and talk about different things, and you can't schedule those things."
And both articles do not contain this same quote. The Bloomberg article only contains a fragment of that quote, which seems to be specifically cherry picked to further a narrative.
There's too many tests that can only be done hands-on and require expensive and delicate instruments. Too many issues that can come up with engineers using different physical prototype hardware and different instruments, misunderstanding communication about what is being measured where, misinterpreting results. And too much time overhead in shipping things around the country constantly.
I am sure there is a place for a hybrid option but celebrating remote as the future discourages me to enter the field.
IRC/Slack/Discord communities are far better than even the best in-person networking event.
There are even job channels on some chat communities. Though the age of the forum is dead.
I run an IRC network, I’ve hired people from my IRC network, you choose your own level of involvement.
(And your own level of notification. I know the default in slack and discord is aggressive and designed to push more engagement but it is configurable)
As it stands there are many people who are absolutely not “distracted” by it, most do not get notifications at all, but usually if you did get a notification it would be because someone said your name explicitly.
Most people tend to read up when they feel like it and respond when they feel like it.
I also don’t like absolutism but the OP sounds absolutely defeated and for no reason other than they seem unaware that these communities exist and in my experience have given me better experiences than in person “networking” meetings.
Unless I’m already friends, meeting people at conferences is often not as valuable as meeting them on IRC.
A more positive phrasing: Find your own tribe.
I started a design patterns book study group +25 yo that's still going.
When I was doing activism, I had a hard time fitting in. Politics (and people) suck. So I started a new group.
I've participated in many other groups that were technical, volunteering, political. There's often at least one person that I connect with, making the effort worthwhile.
In that broader sense, we have macro forums on the scale of Reddit, and even Twitter, thought its content format/ui drifts much further way from traditional forums than something like Reddit.
Then on the micro scale we have forums like individual users' Facebook and Facebook communities.
So as with most things internet over the last 15 years, its evolved from having many many small scale offerings, to a very few massive corporations that ate everything else.
Buy a larger desk? Check. Buy a better chair? Check. Spend more time working since there is no psychological difference between relax and work time? Check.
Yes. This is unfortunately happening to me now
Since April this year in the UK we can get up to £6 per week written off business expenses incurred as a result of WFH.
Of course, they may go the opposite direction to encourage people back into offices so coffee/sandwich shops etc. get more footfall.
I disagree with this sentiment, depending on where you live not commuting for a few weeks has already paid for all these things. And for many who haven't had to pay rent in the Bay Area for the last 6 months the gains are even more pronounced.
>Spend more time working since there is no psychological difference between relax and work time?
I agree that's an issue but can certainly be mitigated by building good habits around "work" and "not work" time.
Without remote work, there is significant pressure on people like me to move into the city. I live where the mortgage on my 2500 sqft home with a dedicated workspace ($850/mo) probably costs me less than your 400 sqft apartment's rent. I understand that many people who live in downtown apartments don't want to move; pre-COVID, some vacations to New York and to Chicago made me seriously consider moving somewhere downtown to enjoy the energy and opportunity provided by living downtown. But while quarantine with grocery deliveries was probably hellish for you, it was among my favorite seasons of the past few years of my life.
Without remote work, there was significant offloaded cost onto me the employee, to commute to the central workplace, not only financial but also in time. The cost of a very nice office chair is nothing compared to the cost of a driver's seat in a car, and has no comparison to the hours wasted each week on the road.
I have a physical and psychological difference because I have a home office, which I understand is a luxury that a 400 sqft studio doesn't afford. A home office is psychologically better for me than a central office, because my desk at the office was a combination space for my focus work, video/audio conference calls, eating lunch, and relaxing with coworkers.
While working remote, I spend a little more time working, and that more efficiently, but that's because I don't have to waste time on a commute and because I can maintain focus on a task without too many external interruptions when needed.
Like it or not, I think cost of living is about to experience a significant swing over the next few decades. House prices out here are (were) strongly correlated to distance to the highway and from there to the city. Apartment rents in downtown areas are (were) correlated not only to people's desire to live in the big city but also to the cost savings of not needing to own a car and proximity to high-paying jobs. Eventually, things will even out.
Ironically, commuting to work pushes a lot more of the costs you complain about onto the employee.
But if you work remote, can't you get a bigger apartment (or even a house) out in the suburbs (or other CoL area)?
The industry is changing for new entrants, and it is considerably different today.
I hope you don't actually believe that's what's happening in American cities.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/dozens-of-arrests-in-san-f...
https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Free-for-all-as-...
https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/05/30/george-floyd-protests...
Plenty of valid reasons to not want to move here. The idea that riots and people setting things on fire is like a serious problem for your day-to-day life? Absurd.
We both got anecdotes going either way.
If you're hiring a twenty-something Java developer, you're sort of hiring a commodity. Sure, you may care about schools, grades, interview, etc. but a lot of your decision is going to be based on their paper. They may not have worked anywhere, so they may not have much of a work record.
However, over time most people acquire a more unique toolbox of skills. In my case, since my first job out of grad school, I've basically been directly hired either by a referral or directly by the owner or a senior exec. My current job didn't even have a job posting for it.
Large tech companies often just don't take chances on people like this anymore.
I am on a 30 mbit connection and both my wife and I remote work. She is on Zoom calls all day long and I stream music and youtube without an issue, while maintaining a latency free remote connection to my desktop in the office.
The only semi-constructive thing I can say is "This too shall pass."
In 1998, at 18 years old, I was literally the boy in the bubble, living in forced isolation for over a year. Atypically, I was also very extroverted.
I was extremely fortunate to have access to dial up modems. So between CompuServe, and starting my own BBS network, I cobbled together a social life and some income publishing my own shareware.
It sucked. But it was also awesome.
Those online relationships were just about the best I've ever had. More like penpals than drinking buddies.
Alas, nothing is permanent, and I was eager to return to the real world.
As for the environmental noise, I'm sure you've investigated noise canceling headphones, white noise machines, and maybe even noise dampening acoustic foam on the walls.
Noise pollution is terrible. Especially if you're sensitive, like my sweetie. I hope you can find a corner in the basement, or open area on the roof, or something. The noise in our prior condo was terrible, driving my sweetie insane. Our neighborhood had gotten popular. So much new construction, new roof top open bar across the street, 3:00am deliveries in alley below our bedroom window, etc. There was literally was no peace.
If you're working remote any way, maybe you can peace out somewhere else. Anywhere with broadband and strong coffee.
I don't even have the option for "gigabyte speeds" - consider yourself lucky.
Well, not all of them. Do your job well while being someone fun to work with. People will remember that, especially the ones in your age group. The people I worked with when I was younger are now in positions where they can let me know about jobs and recommend me for them, and I am in that position too for them.
This situation is not great, but keep moving forward as best as you can.
“It is not enough that you do your job well, you also need to spend energy to put out an entertaining persona.” is such an Americanism that creates a game theoretic layer of duplicitous characters on top.
This is important because whenever the boundaries are poorly defined, there is room for narcissistic abuse, even if self-inflicted. “Be a joy to work with” could have so many failure modes; the guy who brings up inconvenient truths could be penalized, the useless people pleasers can get ahead. The idea could work to Marie Kondo one’s clothes, but I feel like standards should be different for humans.
Niceness is a tricky metric to go by in a work environment, adults disagree, and work is not always fun.
On the flip side, if the critic can't express their criticisms without being an asshole, well then of course people aren't going to like working with them.
I think the asshole persona is a useful device to think through this problem, but I think you are overemphasizing it and ignoring other personas. You can express criticisms with perfect tact and you still will encounter people that has a problem with being challenged (it is rather common with newly promoted technical leads or managers), or like I said a healthy code review will require saying "no" at times, with no fault of the reviewer, will still generate adversarial dynamics.
And let's be realistic, performance reviews are highly biased towards positive feedback because criticisms look harsher on that format than they are so people hold back therefore I don't see "asshole" dynamics as frequent as you are focusing, if anything "niceness" dynamics is incentivizing dishonesty in peer feedback.
Now, think about the people you would hire to work for you, and the people you wouldn't even give an interview to.
The people you don't enjoy working with - what side of the equation do they fall on? Some of them will be because they are incompetent, and some of them will be because they are terrible people.
Now what about about the people you did enjoy working with? What side of the equation are they on? Some of them will be because they were great at their jobs and some of them will be cause they are great people. I'm willing to bet that the vast majority are both competent and people that you enjoy being around. I'm also willing to bet that the people you would be happy to work with again, are genuine in the way they treat other people. The "Fake Niceness" is easy to sniff out.
As always, YMMV.
But, what's also almost certainly true, is that different companies and different teams within companies will have vastly different emphasis on in person vs. remote. If you're someone who can't wait to go back into an office pretty much full-time and want to work with others who feel similarly, a lot of companies may not be right for you going forward--given that a mix of remote and in-person pretty much needs to work as if everyone were remote.
Also it's not merely an "experiment", we're talking about peoples' lives here. People aren't just fungible resources to be commanded and lorded over like chattel. Workers have been fighting for the freedom to work remotely for decades now, and it's sad that it takes a pandemic for employers to start respecting their employees enough to allow them the basic freedom of not being chained to their open office desks like zoo animals.
Turned out better for you, maybe, but not for everyone. There are plenty of people here on HN, including myself, who have said that they want to go back to the office, either full time or part time.
Yahoo was already down the drain at that point. Sounds like it was more about blaming the workers (and trying to shake things up) than anything else
Though to be fair, video conferencing systems at the time weren't great
I've never seen anyone make the claim that Mayer banned it because 'it wasn't working'. That's quite a revisionist history take.
"Speed and quality are often sacrificed when we work from home. We need to be one Yahoo!, and that starts with physically being together."
[0] http://allthingsd.com/20130222/physically-together-heres-the...
Mayer's tenure at Yahoo wasn't exactly a great success...
In one generation we've gone from everyone has an office with a door (even Homer Simpson has one!), to cube farms, to open offices. I've seen all of these and don't recall a single transition where employees thought "this is great!"
The pandemic has made corporate leadership realize that people will continue to work and produce things no matter what, even if their kids are pulling on their arm all day, because they need to work to live.
Additionally the benefits to corporations are obvious, reduced real estate is the just the tip of the iceberg. We've already seen companies can start thinking about reducing salaries based on location (which I can assure you will eventually translate to reduced salaries everywhere, why pay a premium for someone to live in SF 3 years from now?), the talent pool is now nation wide (and soon global) which will again reduce salaries. It's much easier to identify people who were just taking up space in the office and remove them. With no offices corporate travel becomes completely unnecessary etc.
None of these advantages have anything to do with whether or not employees are happier, or even more productive.
If open offices taught us anything, employers seem to be obsessed with finding what's the absolute worst for the employee, their productivity, the company, the stock price and the quality of the output.
The latency on videoconferencing still needs to be reduced. A ping between SF and NYC is around 62ms?
But with all of the half-interruptions, the interjections of "you go" - "oops, no wait, you go ahead", it feels like a good 300ms of latency.
The conversations do not feel natural at all.
John Carmack was speaking about this the other day in his Oculus talk.
With face-to-face I can avoid a majority of the interruptions because I can notice a slight change of a facial expression, e.g. a mouth slightly opening, eyes lighting up, that alludes to them beginning to speak.
But with a remote conversation, that noticing of expression suffers from the same latency issues as audio, so I'm reading the emotional cue way too late.
But I’d prefer an in person conversation any day vs the CB Radio-like feel of today’s conferencing.
I don’t want to throttle my thoughts. I want quick successions of comments going back and forth.
Simply not the experience right now with videoconferencing.
Video conf people, if you're reading this:
Study what's the regular "wait to talk time" for a face to face conversation - let's assume 250 ms.
Measure audio/video latency (from remote capture, encoding, transmission, display) - let's assume 100ms.
Add a listening progress bar to video that's filled when someone else speaks un-fills when 250 + 100 ms has passed.
Add a speaking progress bar that fills when when the person speaks and un-fills when 250 ms has passed.
It's not great or polished idea but I have no idea why this doesn't exist yet. We need a visual indicator when to talk on video conference because our human metrics are not calibrated for it.What I imagine is that when I'm listening I need to wait the regular wait time plus network lag because the speaker may have resume speaking. The speaker needs to resume speaking before 250 + 100 has passed so that others don't start talking before the speaker resumes.
Most emails/tweets/texts read like statements of proclamation.
The cues of a "hmmmm" or the rise in pitch in voice, can indicate someone isn't sure of the position. Or that they're pitching it as a possibility, not the actual solution.
All of those cues are lost. Twitter is the worst offender - I've seen many of people that I follow present in person at conferences and they come off as humble and approachable.
But their tweets are written as a bold, definitive statements, and read as a proclamation to be argued and challenged.
Someone here on HN nailed it last week, IMO, when they suggested that we only see a real benefit to remote work right now because it amounts to quiet time to get things done that we already knew needed to be done. The real test is how we are doing in a year. If my experience at a mid-size corporation is any indicator, it could get kinda ugly. We're surviving, but I don't feel at all like we are excelling. We spend half or more of every day in one Zoom call or another, trying desperately to make up for the lack of face-to-face time we just naturally had at the office. Some of our employees are clearly suffering mentally (especially the folks who live alone), and management hasn't really figured out how to manage in this brave new world.
I'm hoping for a hybrid solution to emerge. I want to go back to the office. Maybe two days a week. And when I'm remote, no f*cking Zoom meetings. Death by a million meetings is torture.
I'm also seeing juniors really struggle - when your biggest challenge is getting traction, communication barriers are just so hard to overcome.
Now that the suburbs are all built out and getting more expensive, I doubt the same phenomena can happen. There's a limit how far you can go to stay close to the metro area.
I live a (non-rush hour) hour from Boston which I still consider "close" to the metro in that I can drive in for the evening and have even commuted in--admittedly a long commute. But I'm in a small semi-rural town. It's not true rural cheap but it's a lot less expensive than actually in the city or close-in suburbs.
1) My group has been all remote since March. In June, we got a new boss, and we've been meeting remotely, phone conversations, etc. It worked out find. But then in August my boss needed to drop something off at my home. She came to my house, mask on, and gave me the technical documents I needed, and then we stood outside for about half an hour just talking, about family, kids, work, whatever. This meeting transformed my sense of our working relationship. A person who had been a face on a screen suddenly felt much more real, much more like a living breathing person. Of course I knew they were "real" before, but that brief in-person meeting really made a difference.
2) Normal meetings are not the appropriate format for something like. I think they should be more social, less structured in nature. Perhaps something like a once-monthly extended lunch-meeting that would just be a free flowing discussion of active projects, no agenda, just lunch & discussion. If things veer off of work topics, so be it. If the remote workers are really scattered, it could be done once every 6 months or so.
I recognize that there are personalities that don't need/want/benefit much from this sort of interaction. In those circumstances, their physical presence at meetings like this might not do anything for them, but it's a two-way interaction, and that could still be beneficial for the people they meet, if not for them.
As companies transition to remote work on a more permanent basis, the most successful ones will develop strategies like these to foster a healthy culture in a remote environment.
We’ve worked with the Cupertino devs since the start of Apple News and there’s a bit of a disconnect there because of the time difference. Apple has had other teams here but few devs. (In Toronto anyway)
But, yes, if you live in SV only because some large tech company pays you a bunch of money to live there and they want you to stay in a radius that lets you come in once or twice a week, you don't have the option of moving anywhere you want. (Though you may have the option of moving somewhere that's OK for a once-a-week drive but not daily.)
Not everyone gets to work with purely digital products.
A few months later, post the start of COVID, I heard that they were now really remote. I re-engaged and again inquired. It turned out that the job was only remote until COVID was over, again, after COVID they would want in-person presence in the office 3-5 days a week. This despite the team being globally distributed. Again I declined to pursue.
Then I started to see tweets advertising remote positions in the same group. I was asked on twitter by a former co-worker who works in the same overall organization if I was interested and I explained that I had already investigated and the lack of ability to work remote was a non-starter. He encouraged me to investigate again with his reference. The result was the same as before, London or Cupertino. Being truly remote or WFH in the bay area would only work until COVID was over. 1-2 weeks a quarter in the office was insufficient. I declined to pursue. Even the former co-worker was surprised that they weren't more flexible.
I am not sure what the problem is at Apple. They have had issues with remote work for a long time. I recall one incident where they fired a firmware engineer working on the CHRP Macs because he had to move to Montana (spousal or family reasons) and in the process really screwed themselves. A significant part of the CHRP project delays were because they blew a hole in their own firmware team. There had been a couple of people I knew working remote at the time Steve returned to Apple. All of them were let go if they didn't return to Cupertino. This had been a problem even before Steve's return though. Some of it is their silo "super sekrit" culture. It doesn't seem to have changed over the years.
In the end, Apple is entitled to have whatever culture they want. I have been a remote WFH since 1997. Unless I can walk to the office in 10-15 minutes I am never going to commute for anyone. That pretty much rules out ever working for Apple.
Why do you need to specify where you live besides time zone or maybe State (for tax purposes)?
If you're upfront with only wanting a remote only job - I don't get why they would even bother with interacting with you.
I don't expect many companies in SV to allow permanent remote after COVID is over. Too many higher ups require the image of asses in seats to justify their position.
Some parts were wrong, and some were right in retrospect. Regardless, what struck me was was the "right, but early" pattern. Around the time Paul was writing that essay, large scale "IT outsourcing" and "work from anywhere" were starting to become the standard prediction.
Neither quite progressed as promised. Outsourcing reached a point and then receded into niches. Remote work seemed to hit a wall and be rolled back circa 2013. Marissa Mayer had her much-commented decisions. etc.
Now, in 2020, where are we?
Ultimately, the dynamic effects of massive work-from home will be big. A remote organisation is fundamentally different. It's not just how you work. It's who works, and what work they do. Both may ultimately change a lot if this really does snowball.
Globalizing labour, if that's where we're headed is a watershed.
However, I suspect engineering for the most part will remain primarily onsite. Apple has a big secretive factor that probably keeps many things onsite.
A hybrid approach that is fluid makes sense.
The employee impact is real in that these same executives and managers are loathe to see their pride and joy empty. even my work place shocked a lot of people with a declaration that anyone looking to continue remote work post pandemic will need VP approval for three days a week; as in they don't even want to consider full remote and the previous two days with permission is being clawed back. the biggest boon for many in my work for WFH has been the severe reduction in meetings.
what it tells me is that if their claims of everyone is doing so well remotely is that perhaps they feel threatened that they don't need to exercise on hand control for work to be done, as in they themselves might be more redundant than they want to admit to.
It's a symbolic embodiment of their products' build quality, attention to detail, design-lead ethos and green credentials.
It also provides a place for some people to work.
Soemthing tells me that if your competitors start offering 3 days a week remote work and people start taking them up on that offer, your company will change their stance mighty quick.
>they themselves might be more redundant than they want to admit to.
I really expect there to be a look across all businesses at mid level management. C-suite will save themselves, but people downstream won't be able to.
Having companies brag about their offices in order to attract talent, after all employees will spend 40-80 hours a week of their life there, is not that weird to me.
Of course my degree is in human/machine interaction. I automatically look past pretty and see how awful some buildings are for actual use. I'm weird that way.
They’ve been in Austin for a long time though. It’s mostly right now support services like AppleCare running out of that campus
The main developer/engineering hub is still Cupertino and Santa Clara though
It’s that the Bay Area is extremely low density compared to other comparable population centers such as New York, London, or you-name-the-city.
It’s just not practical to use conventional forms such as busses and light rail, and this is partly why Uber and Lyft had the leverage to force the state to back down over classifying workers as employees.
Even if you waved that magic wand, beware that it will take two years to even have more than a trivial increase in ridership - trivial - not enough to make it wroth the investment. In 20 years you will see a difference, but who can wait 20 years? And this is a full system up and running at once - in the real world things go incrementally which means it is years before the system can even take you enough of the places you want to go fast enough that you would consider selling the car.
Which is why transport is hard to add. It takes upfront investment and then years of hoping people change their living style.
Though I will point out that if California had any notion of cost control they could have their current high speed rail idea actually running the full route. I'm not sure where the problem is but I know by best in world standards they are spending something like 4x as much as it costs. This only makes it harder for any system to get started and self-reinforces the idea that the bay area doesn't have enough density.
You assert that these attitudinal qualities cause a false perception of inadequate density.
I don’t dispute the attitudes you describe, but I assert that the causality is the other way around.
Individual Bay Area cities - e.g. Mountain View, SF, Oakland. Have plenty of density - comparable with other major cities.
They also actually do have reasonable public transport internally.
The region taken as a whole doesn’t. This is a function of density.
The distance between north and south suburbs of london is about 15-20 miles and can be traversed in about 1 hr - 1 hr 15 minutes by either car or tube.
The shortest route between say, downtown Oakland and the Apple Campus is about 50 miles. It can be traversed on the freeway during low traffic in about 50 minutes. By public transport it’s 2 hrs 47.
That’s because you have to go around the bay. Not because the transport system doesn’t exist.
No, not at all. Getting there is HARD HARD HARD. it would be a bad move to go all at once. However not going all at once is a recipe for failure.
The region has the density to make such a system work. What is lacking is political willingness to make it happen. Caltran runs a poor schedule that only commuters have a chance of finding useful (you still need a car for everything else), BART is a little better, but both ought to be able to do trains every 10 minutes or less all day - this is something every transit advocate has said for years. If the core can't do every 5 minutes, then the rest of the system will fail because it is too much effort to look up the schedule.
How do cars get around the bay in 50 minutes? I'm going to guess a bridge across. There is no reason you can't build a bridge for transit - in fact for the amount of people carried a transit bridge is cheaper than a car bridge. One full bus every 3 minutes is more humans moved than the maximum amount of cars that same lane can move, leaving plenty of room for more buses, thus your bus bridge is much cheaper than a car bridge because only two lanes are needed. (trains are even better)
Poor financial management doesn't help the cause, but the real problem is poor operations on the systems you already have. Fix that and results will show (a little - but remember you will need to accept low ridership on the 2am trains that you need to run anyway just because 2am is assurance that you can always get back home)
Also, no bridge is involved in the 50 minute route. It’s actually quite a straight path.
The difference is that the distance is far because of the low density and the car doesn’t have to stop the way public transport does.
As the distance goes up, the time penalty for stops becomes magnified.
The above is commonly done in the world.
There are no examples in the world of them being used within cities.
I could imagine a high speed loop of some kind around the entire 100 mile bay, with say 10 stops.
A 50 mile segment would take 33 minutes at 150 miles an hour with no stops, but there would be 5 stops in this case. It takes multiple miles to reach 150 mph and multiple miles to slow back down from that speed, plus a typically mandated doors open time of 30 seconds. We can easily estimate an additional 2-3 minutes per stop.
So high speed train portion would alone be in the order of 40-45 minutes.
That leaves 3 legs unaccounted for - getting to and from the high speed terminal at each end, and walking to and from the local transit. Given wait times and walking it would be generous to call those 15 minutes each.
That takes us to 1hr 15. The train cannot get you there faster than the car, unless you live next to the terminal and your destination is next to the terminal.
This is in the situation where we build a completely new kind of local train that accelerated to 150 mph between stops.
Musk’s hyper loop might do it. But no hyperloop has ever been put into production yet.
This shows that the problem is density and lack of available technology, and not anything to do with bad management.
The train left the station years ago, Google seems to be the only company doubling-down on Commercial Real Estate in the Bay Area and they will surely also soon start to backpedal...what demand is there for their San Jose megacampus? This in addition to buying up old Cisco properties, Moffett Field, other new construction, and now the proposal of yet-another "company town" in Mountain View? Someone needs to have a talk with whoever there thinks Commercial Real Estate is a good hedge in 2020.
Work culture will change for sure, and the layout and form that commercial real estate takes will change too, but it’s far too early to say that the space they’re getting is not worth the investment.