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canoebuilder

345 karma · joined April 12, 2008

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canoebuilder··on Extroverts more likely to resist vaccines, study shows
> got vaccines and boosters as soon as i could simply due to my political identification (i don't care about virus itself

Did you also have any reservations about the safety of the injections, or just assumed it was safe? Which of course there was no way of knowing.

Because if you had reservations about safety or anything else but still got it because of the value you saw in it as a “political marker” that is surprising to me.

What is the deal recently with “political markers?” The term itself seems to have even come into far more use recently. Why is it do you think that “political markers” have come to take such precedence for some people?

canoebuilder··on Extroverts more likely to resist vaccines, study shows
>like you'd probably already been ignoring the other rules, playing down the whole thing on a subconscious level. Something like that. It makes perfect sense to me in a weird way that's hard to describe the precise causality of

Yeah I get what you’re saying, something like sunk cost, or inertia, though not exactly, as you say.

To me, leaving aside the positing here of extroversion, I think the strongest correlation was something like an iq test, or critical thinking test.

At the time of the “you must get injected, and if you don’t you’re despicable, and if you refuse we’re going to hold you down and stick it in you” campaign it was entirely clear, if not well before then, that the actual risk of the COVID infection itself to anyone in even reasonably good health was far below being injected with some experimental gene modification thing.

I think most people above a certain iq percentile looking into the method of proposed action that was presumed to be effective, which of course wasn’t, thought “WTF why would I want to experimentally modify my genes in response to this? That seems insane.”

Then there was the outright lying in claims being bandied about. The initial studies in no way showed that it stopped infection, transmission, or death. But that’s all you ever heard.

In December 2020 I saw a short news report from a hospital in France I think covering some of the earliest injections. Somewhere towards the end of that report it was said “It’s a vaccine just like any other vaccine.” WTF I thought, that’s exactly the opposite of what it is, it is a “vaccine” completely different from any other.

Then by July 2021 the buzzwords had shifted to calling things like serious heart issues (any heart issue, is a serious issue) mild. “Oh they’re just having some mild heart issues, no biggie.”

It was a completely egregious, evil abomination all round.

Back to the correlations, it didn’t really follow iq linearly like income or health outcomes or other socioeconomic data tends to, it was more the reserve of the far extents of the bell curve as shown in the mid wit bell curve meme.

Using level of educational attainment as a proxy for iq, not a perfect correlate of course, those with phds were indeed the least likely to fall for the injections among those with post secondary degrees according to the data I’ve seen.

Then a somewhat separate matter was those who were put in the ghastly situation of being made to choose between their livelihoods, or seeing their family, or whatnot, and being injected.

I can see some high iq critical thinkers making tough decisions under that level of coercion.

canoebuilder··on Tell HN: I think I found Toyota's battery
Given an innovation of this sort, there is not a single area of application, extending the range of electric cars. You could also make lighter weight electric cars. Which would have their merits.

Think of the whole spectrum of EVs, lighter weight e-bikes, scooters, skateboards, or long range e-bikes. Electric aircraft start to become feasible.

Much more flight time out of your toy drone, multi-day battery life for your phone or laptop.

Energy storage in off grid setups becomes simpler, or more capacity in the same space.

Etc. etc.

All that provided this new design could function as a more or less slot in replacement, or better, for current lithium batteries in terms of manufacturing, cost, and what not.

canoebuilder··on Tell HN: I think I found Toyota's battery
> 750 Wh/kg is great.

To put it mildly.

Energy density in the current leaders in that category, lithium ion batteries, 250-270 wh/kg. So, provided a similar or better ratio of watt-hours to unit of volume, we’re basically looking at tripling the energy storage of EVs or significant weight reduction, in the ideal scenario of this design being a safe and cost effective replacement for current batteries.

canoebuilder··on Solve your big problems by solving your real problem
> Gambling prohibition never prevented gambling to any great degree

You think there is no more gambling occurring in a world where you walk into a convenience store and there is a slot machine or whatever, or you watch a sporting event and 50% of the advertisements are for gambling, as opposed to a world where those things are not the case?

> You don't get to regulate illegal things.

Illegal things are regulated, these things are not allowed, do them and you will punished. The regulation is very clear.

> God save us from busybodies trying to protect us from ourselves.

I was once having a conversation with someone on this topic of gambling, and the problems it incurs to members of society, and by extension society as a whole. She had personal experience with a former spouse having a gambling problem.

She said something to the effect of “Well yeah, it’s not good, but you can’t legislate morality.“

I kind of nodded in agreement like, yeah, fair point.

But upon later reflection it occurred to me that what are laws if not the legislation of morality? That’s literally what laws are.

Should we not bother being busybodies having laws preventing theft and murder?

After all people still commit these acts should we not bother with regulations against them, attempting to protect people from themselves, and society from the negative downstream effects?

Ah but you say, it’s a victimless act. Let people have their big gulps, let people gamble. It is a victimless act until it isn’t, like speeding or drunk driving.

If a father downloads an app and blows through his families monthly resources with a few button presses that creates problems not just for him but the rest of his family and other people are going to have to pick up the slack.

These ventures being allowed into the system of capital creates incentives for as much of these problems in society as possible from the perspective of the proprietors of these ventures in order for them to extract the most capital profits that they can. (“Capital profits” meaning profit in the most narrowly defined sense in terms of numbers in a database. Is someone involved in this stuff profiting in anyway spiritually or emotionally in the way that comes from providing something of value to society?)

That is why it is de-generate. Nothing good is being created / generated.

It’s an extractive, predatory venture.

What is good for society?

It used to be a chicken in every pot.

Now a casino in every pocket?

Come on….

canoebuilder··on Solve your big problems by solving your real problem
In this case the “grievance“ being inability to operate a fundamentally exploitative and degenerate enterprise. Upon being redressed on such matters the proper response from a politician would be, gfy. Not, “well, just how much money do you plan to give me?“
canoebuilder··on I Am Leaving
See

The way I read it was “hmm that’s nice, people are now able to see the lunacy of that period in such a way as to make an off hand comment like that.”

The masks did nothing positive. It was the law of the land in public health that they were useless at preventing respiratory infections before people in positions of power wanted to scare people into compliance with massive overreach of their authority, then it became “mask up.” And once everybody “masked up,” all we got was yet more confirmation that yeah they are pointless in trying to prevent respiratory viral spread. Even if they kinda, sorta worked for that, which they don’t, the costs are still far too high.

All the masks contributed to was oxygen deprivation, micro plastic inhalation, and the degradation of the fabric of society. Think about it, it was bad enough for adults trying interact with faces wrapped up and concealed, “think of the children!”(actual legitimate usage of the phrase, btw) much worse for them having to do the same. People were harassed, assaulted, tased, arrested, for not wearing a “mask,” it was insanity.

Stop being a creepy mask person.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
>axe to grind Surprised you would have that interpretation, didn’t mean that at all. Your tone here, and in other comments seems rather more hostile than mine.

>who tf Unauthorized setting of fire to a structure is illegal, if someone is in or around the structure, it could kill the person.

“”” _People angry at churches _with good reason _get the torch “””

That reads at the very least as justifying, if not advocating. It’s certainly not saying we should strive to handle our issues in healthy and productive ways.

>1. How is

The concept of God at the baseline level is equivalent and synonymous with existence. People over time in various cultures and traditions have agglomerated various flavours onto the concept of God , but at the baseline level, God = existence.

The essence of what God is, is that the concept comes from the desire or impulse to understand or make sense of “the world” / existence.

You are a part of existence. And maybe not just “a part,” as you’ll see if you try to find the demarcation points that definitively separate you from the other parts.

You are the way in which awareness is aware of awareness. “You” are the existence that gives rise to the feeling and observation of existence.

God = existence If you hate God, you hate existence. If you hate existence, you hate yourself.

Better to love than hate, or perhaps even better to understand dichotomies.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
Hating God, is hating the world, is hating yourself. No good reason for that.

If another earthly mortal connected to a church has done something you take issue with, take it up with that person, don’t damage or destroy a community’s property, heritage, and connection to the transcendent.

people here srsly advocating/justifying criminal, potentially homicidal activity, smh

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
Were they smoking there in the moments immediately preceding the fire, and a dropped cigarette and maybe some sawdust or something somehow ignited a 35cm or whatever wide beam? And the smokers didn’t notice? But I think the answer is there weren’t any construction workers around in the time before the fire to be smoking anyway.

“Maybe it was an electrical thing or something” is far from conclusive evidence, and as OP was saying, completely incredible as a response to an event of this magnitude that attracted worldwide attention.

>pinpointing

I’m always surprised when I hear what fire forensics can figure out given the state of the evidence being worked with.

>any evidence pointing toward arson

The whole point of my original post was that all the circumstantial evidence points toward arson.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
Something bad occurred. Let’s figure out what, why, and how, and make any necessary changes to make future occurrences of bad thing less likely.

I don’t see how that is scapegoating.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
Ok but the fact of there being some construction going on is somewhat ancillary to the whole point being made of the various factors observed and at play here that come together and raise some questions. I could have easily left the “what is the rate” part out, and the points made would have been just as strong or stronger.

And yes there was some sort of maintenance/construction going on, and if that played a role in the fire one would think at some point in the intervening years between then and now someone would have shown how it played a role.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
Are you saying “clearly not a unique occurrence” in regard to accidental, or arson?

I’m surprised at the 25% arson rate, that is considerably higher than I would have guessed, and when combined with the strange response as OP was pointing out, and the fact that there’s not a large subset of “No cause determined,” it would seem to tip the scale pretty strongly to arson being the most probable cause in this case.

canoebuilder··on Workers rely on medieval era tech to reconstruct the Notre Dame
>As far as we know, the fire was an accident

“As far as we know”

In the same sense of like “innocent until proven guilty”

But is that the right lens to be looking through here?

What is the rate of accidental church fires, let alone at somewhere that is such a treasured location as this?

Then factor in, wasn’t there an ongoing spate of what were clearly church arson attacks going on at the time?

Then factor in what you were describing of what seems to be an inexplicably lackadaisical approach of getting to the bottom of what occurred, giving the impression of some wanting above all else to divert attention from what one would think to be the most pertinent questions about what occurred.

Then do the calculus of, okay, if it could be shown to be a clear cut case of being accidental why wouldn’t people in a position to do so, show that? That would have minimal, if any, political ramifications. Whereas the political ramifications of other possible causes of the fire would be much higher.

It raises some questions doesn’t it?

Why aren’t people in positions of influence on this matter and in political leadership doing what their office calls on them to do?

And given what can be observed of their actions what is one to make of their intentions?

Why aren’t they safe guarding and defending the nation’s culture and heritage? Why are they leaving it open and vulnerable to attack?

canoebuilder··on Get started making music
Hey, nice writing on that vocal part! What is the synth?
canoebuilder··on DPReview is being archived by the Archive Team
>I can’t blame Amazon for stopping production on the site.

But on the other hand, can’t you? Where is the spirit today of someone like Carnegie, who said I’m going to take all this wealth and build thousands of free public libraries?

Digital imagery in various forms is the predominant art form in this era, this site is a hub for many practitioners of digital imagery. Could Amazon not see it in themselves as one of the richest corporations ever to serve a patron role in the preservation and continued operation of this site? At the cost of a mere pittance in terms of their overall resources.

It’s also surprising to me that Amazon wouldn’t see some level of self interest in that. Fewer people are buying these types of cameras, but more people than ever are consuming the media these types of cameras produce, on Amazon’s platforms, platforms hosted on AWS, and elsewhere.

There is definitely a value to the overall media ecosystem in keeping this resource alive. It might not be a highly quantifiable value, but that doesn’t mean it is a low value, quite the opposite I would think.

As others have said it just seems a bizarre, shortsighted action, that misses the big picture, coming out of the recent economic panic in the tech industry.

canoebuilder··on GPT-4
Thanks!
canoebuilder··on GPT-4
Do you mean the output of a LLM as the training data for the new model? What is the specification for the prompts that generate the training data?

Any links with more info?

canoebuilder··on We're never getting rid of ChatGPT
>AI researchers have been predicting systems like ChatGPT for many years now, and even successfully predicting their failure modes and pathologies.

Any particular examples you are thinking of here that you could point to? I’d be interested to read.

canoebuilder··on $118 16TB SSD on Amazon, 4 star reviews mention cuff links and coffee cups
Society seems to be degrading along multiple axes, from non enforcement of regulations against false advertising, rampant street crime that is furthered and facilitated by not prosecuting the offenders, breakdown in the education system teaching stuff far kookier than young earth creationism, the massive ineptness and exploitation in the handling of the virus situation, the virus thing was such a massive clusterf@#k its hard to even describe or see the full extent at present, wrapping cloth around children’s faces for hours and hours at a time for months maybe years on end, injecting them with this mRNA nonsense, damaging their hearts for life, if not worse, this was all utterly despicable and insane given the known facts.

And all that barely scratches the surface.

Some people see all that and they say “hey what the heck is going on? Why don’t we stick to the system of science and the system of laws and governance that have been serving us pretty well for several hundred years?”

Some other people hear that and for some reason respond by hurling epithets that don’t even make sense, have just become all-purpose verbal tar and feathering coinages. “Racist!” “Conspiracy theorist!”

So yeah, lot to unpack there, as they say.

canoebuilder··on FTX to file for U.S. bankruptcy, CEO resigns
> What was the “automated margin plan”?

And does/would it bring any value into the world, or is it just an effort to keep the plates spinning in the multi dimensional scam crypto has become?

Genuine question btw, if there is a real business there, does it serve the interests of broader society in any way?

canoebuilder··on Cameras on phones? (2001) [video]
Yeah I have that issue even not in Japan of having to search and search to find a ball I feel like my fingers won’t get stuck in.

I didn’t mean to disparage, the exciting half carried equal weight in my mind, just something about maybe the environment, the wooden floor, the shoes, the overall aesthetic, waiting your turn in a group, punctuated by the anticipatory excitement of watching your ball travel down the lane gave me this feeling of like the type of balance common in Eastern spiritual traditions or Schrödinger’s cat, where it is boring and exciting at the same time.

canoebuilder··on Ftx.com Has Probably Collapsed
Having watched the MtGox, Mark Karpeles, Willy Bot saga, and then see that same pattern repeat over and over really is almost surreal.

What’s funny, in a tragic kind of way, is that initial market manipulation from Karpeles is what drove the initial wave of VC interest who thought they were seeing an indication of genuine widespread demand. And then they couldn’t be left holding the bag and it just snowballed where we’ve seen this ongoing pattern of ever bigger scams and market rigging.

canoebuilder··on $118 16TB SSD on Amazon, 4 star reviews mention cuff links and coffee cups
You think there should be order and rule following in society? And laws and regulations should be enforced?

Looks like we’ve got ourselves a white supremacist over here.

canoebuilder··on JPMorgan team says crypto markets face ‘cascade’ of margin calls
And then what? Wouldn’t you need the crypto bros and shady investors to return at some point for your rewards to be of appreciable value? What are the rewards?
canoebuilder··on Cameras on phones? (2001) [video]
> Exciting Boring

Ha, thanks for sharing, that is amusing!

On the one hand it seems like it almost could be the way people humorously transcribe Japanese accented English, of “Exciting Bowling,” and on the other hand in a purely English context that really does strike me as a quite good description of bowling when you think about it.

canoebuilder··on PayPal’s updated acceptable use policy [pdf]
I think the better response here is, demand that the institutions in your free society operate based on the principles of freedom and free expression.

Not, no biggie, we’ve got an interesting in theory, largely impractical in practice alternative, crypto!

canoebuilder··on Denmark not offering second Covid booster shot to healthy adults under 50
Big, is bigger than small.

The number of people who have died from the virus after shots were introduced, that were supposed to stop people from contracting the virus, let alone dying from it, is bigger than the smaller number of people who died from the virus before the shots were introduced.

Do you find this an important data point? Do you think it is enough to win the prize? Do you want to co-author with me? Where should we publish?

canoebuilder··on Denmark not offering second Covid booster shot to healthy adults under 50
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/dramatic-decrease-in-birth...

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/new-data-from-germany-birt...

The effect we are talking about is something that necessarily only shows up within the past year, 9 months after young people started getting the shots.

A line chart going back 70 years is not useful here.

If you look at the data, linked above, where it is possible to see the effect I’m referring to, it is not something to blithely dismiss with a chart where it isn’t even possible for the effect to be visible.

Birth rates may be down over the long term, but year to year they are fairly stable, we are seeing moves to the downside hugely outside the range of normal year to year variability. And we are seeing it in a wide range of different populations with the commonality that we are seeing this hugely statistically significant effect occur in all these various populations like clockwork nine months after the young people in those populations started getting the shots.

>This is a continuation of my post from yesterday about a massive 13% decline in births in Germany. Such a decline is a nine-sigma event, meaning that it is so unlikely to occur by chance, that it would naturally happen as rarely as an asteroid striking the Earth

…

When expressed in “sigmas”, units of standard deviation, the 23.24% drop in the birth rate in Taiwan is a 26-sigma event!

This is can be described as “unimaginable” in terms of the likelihood of happening due to random chance

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/depopulation-of-taiwan

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/taiwan-birth-rate-cratered...

https://igorchudov.substack.com/?sort=search&search=Taiwan

Regarding “excess deaths,” I maybe should’ve mentioned I was referring to what has come to be called “non-COVID excess deaths.” The excess deaths are found in statistics of “all cause mortality.”

Is data for non-COVID excess deaths available for Russia and Iran?

canoebuilder··on Denmark not offering second Covid booster shot to healthy adults under 50
The “actual facts” are the numbers represented in the graph. (My bad, I thought that would be clear)

The shots were sold as “If you get this shot you won’t get the virus” but apparently people still are getting the virus. And not just getting the virus, but dying from it. And dying from it in greater numbers than before the shots! WTF is up with that?!

Clearly the shots don’t work as they were supposed to.

And they are killing people. Excess deaths are way up in mRNA injected countries.

And they are preventing people from being born. Birth rates are way down in mRNA injected countries.

Not good.

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